Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 22 October 2009 at 21:17:18 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 October 2009, Fulham vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          9   22  +12      85.20     9.27    59.10    31.21    55.79    72.98    84.09    96.04     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   21  +11      80.36     9.93    46.02    17.41    35.10    52.68    68.93    90.65     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        9   19   +8      73.06    10.36    36.44     4.92    13.39    25.91    40.94    71.95     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   18  +16      83.65    10.48    78.18    30.02    51.34    66.54    77.71    92.49     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City         8   17   +7      75.55    11.28    38.56     8.34    21.14    36.20    50.76    76.70     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      8   16   +5      68.83    11.85    24.31     3.36     9.07    17.12    28.00    56.07     0.10R    0.01  
Sunderland       9   16   +4      60.34    10.75     8.63     0.35     1.43     3.82     8.13    25.58     0.24R    0.01  
Liverpool        9   15   +9      72.14    10.26    42.99     4.34    12.47    23.72    38.31    71.01     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            9   12   -3      47.10    10.70   -11.93     0.01     0.05     0.21     0.62     3.66     5.16R    0.62  
Burnley          9   12  -10      43.58    10.47   -29.16     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.27     1.80    10.05R    1.57  
Everton          8   11   -2      38.36    10.44   -35.29     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.16     0.98    21.48R    3.80  
Fulham           8   10   -2      42.91    11.14   -17.65     0.01     0.05     0.15     0.46     2.49    10.88R    1.44  
Blackburn        8   10   -6      42.47    10.74   -27.67     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.24     1.76    12.07R    1.88  
Wigan            9   10   -7      42.29    10.27   -22.04     0.00     0.02     0.04     0.17     1.43    10.46R    1.34  
Bolton           8    8   -2      47.38    11.80    -9.82     0.02     0.10     0.36     0.98     5.15     6.79R    0.92  
Wolverhampton    9    8   -7      29.43     9.22   -47.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    55.63R   18.16  
Birmingham       9    7   -5      39.30    10.34   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.81    17.30R    2.68  
Hull             9    7  -14      29.06     9.21   -57.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    57.53R   21.79  
West_Ham         8    5   -4      40.47    11.13   -19.13     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.15     1.28    16.83R    3.81  
Portsmouth       9    3  -10      24.00     8.69   -41.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    75.44R   41.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 October 2009, Blackpool vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        13   24  +11      80.93    11.43    30.89     9.10    20.87    66.19    31.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle        13   24  +11      91.79    10.57    45.84    34.68    57.15    92.19    69.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          13   23  +14      89.01    10.63    51.18    25.94    47.36    87.82    59.73P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   23   +7      74.31    11.28    16.99     2.98     8.02    43.30    15.78P    0.14R    0.01  
Blackpool        13   22   +6      78.10    11.57    23.50     5.18    13.62    56.77    24.18P    0.04R    0.00  
Preston          13   22   +3      70.09    11.53     7.81     1.48     4.29    29.32     8.86P    0.43R    0.01  
Nottm_Forest     13   22   +3      68.53    10.95     6.26     0.73     2.46    23.71     7.24P    0.30R    0.02  
Leicester        13   21   +4      69.64    11.22    10.20     1.10     3.59    27.41     9.60P    0.44R    0.02  
Bristol_City     13   21   +3      72.28    11.71    12.89     1.92     5.73    36.15    13.09P    0.28R    0.01  
QPR              12   20  +10      85.03    11.68    41.09    15.89    33.00    78.10    46.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea          13   18   -1      58.68    10.81    -4.10     0.09     0.38     5.66     1.60P    3.73R    0.36  
Watford          13   18   -2      57.69    11.32   -12.81     0.07     0.33     6.05     1.25P    5.77R    0.60  
Sheff_Utd        13   17   -1      59.12    11.18    -7.56     0.14     0.51     6.98     1.55P    4.30R    0.54  
Scunthorpe       13   17   -4      61.72    11.39    -5.90     0.16     0.65    10.26     2.05P    3.21R    0.41  
Sheff_Wed        13   16   +2      62.42    11.38     3.94     0.25     0.93    11.97     3.29P    2.50R    0.30  
Crystal_Palace   12   16   -2      59.65    11.74    -5.24     0.15     0.55     8.06     2.07P    4.52R    0.50  
Coventry         13   16   -4      56.98    11.42   -11.28     0.11     0.37     5.05     1.18P    7.15R    0.99  
Doncaster        13   14   -1      53.41    10.87    -8.10     0.01     0.09     2.48     0.63P   10.05R    1.47  
Derby            13   14   -6      50.42    11.03   -20.82     0.02     0.06     1.46     0.29P   17.61R    3.42  
Barnsley         13   14   -8      45.63    10.56   -32.17     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.08P   31.45R    7.17  
Reading          13   10  -11      42.05    10.82   -31.98     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   44.40R   14.69  
Peterborough     13    8   -9      41.16    10.97   -31.40     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P   47.20R   16.87  
Plymouth         13    8  -13      39.81    10.66   -36.09     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   52.51R   20.79  
Ipswich          13    7  -12      36.77    10.71   -43.14     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   63.94R   31.81  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 October 2009, Leeds_United vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     12   30  +14      99.06    10.74    47.29    47.55    70.92    96.92    79.32P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         13   28  +11      91.14    10.65    41.16    17.60    40.50    90.35    53.89P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          13   26   +6      80.38    11.09    20.34     3.12    10.35    62.62    23.87P    0.04R    0.00  
Colchester       13   25  +13      93.55    10.07    52.67    24.21    52.50    94.18    66.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   12   22   +3      74.58    11.78    13.54     1.90     5.66    42.20    11.80P    0.34R    0.01  
Norwich          13   19   +5      74.91    11.27    25.29     1.20     4.53    44.94    12.01P    0.28R    0.00  
Swindon          13   19   -3      60.06    11.46   -10.55     0.06     0.30     7.81     1.47P    6.07R    0.35  
Huddersfield     13   18   +8      79.59    11.03    38.02     3.28    10.17    62.57    23.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Millwall         13   18   +8      71.98    10.79    21.60     0.66     2.82    34.61    12.80P    0.24R    0.00  
Southend         13   17   +2      64.57    11.26     5.69     0.16     0.75    14.50     3.30P    2.30R    0.13  
Walsall          13   17   -1      59.31    10.80    -4.79     0.02     0.15     5.88     1.18P    5.30R    0.20  
Oldham           13   17   -3      55.96    11.12   -11.26     0.04     0.14     3.70     0.81P   10.55R    0.87  
Hartlepool       13   16   +0      62.46    11.19     2.83     0.07     0.38    10.48     2.54P    3.47R    0.18  
Yeovil           13   15   +1      55.46    11.26    -6.38     0.01     0.11     3.88     0.90P   10.62R    0.63  
Leyton_Orient    13   15   -7      50.19    10.89   -25.37     0.00     0.01     1.25     0.18P   23.60R    2.62  
Gillingham       13   14   -3      57.24    11.36    -7.64     0.02     0.13     5.06     0.86P    9.26R    0.64  
Brentford        13   14   -4      53.74    10.80   -11.20     0.01     0.04     2.20     0.41P   14.05R    1.20  
Stockport        13   14   -7      46.18    10.46   -29.30     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.07P   36.23R    4.67  
Brighton         13   13   -7      44.90    10.38   -31.88     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   40.89R    6.23  
Exeter           13   13   -9      46.44    10.68   -28.53     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.07P   35.77R    4.98  
Carlisle         13   11   -6      41.71    10.34   -30.80     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   53.01R   10.84  
Tranmere         13   10  -17      31.04     8.92   -68.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   88.70R   52.54  
Southampton      13    8   +5      64.96    10.99    25.68     0.08     0.53    15.34     4.86P    2.17R    0.14  
Wycombe          13    7   -9      40.35    10.36   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   57.02R   13.76  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Bournemouth          13   28   +9      87.81    11.02    31.17    17.85    49.41    85.67    59.98P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            13   27  +11      86.81    10.95    35.94    15.04    46.69    84.24    55.84P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             13   26  +11      84.97    11.10    33.84    12.27    40.11    80.07    50.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            13   25   +8      82.68    10.82    27.78     7.39    31.28    73.99    42.63P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         13   22  +17      93.55     9.85    67.28    37.75    73.42    95.72    81.18P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            12   21   +9      75.91    12.07    22.41     3.60    16.37    51.90    25.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           13   21   +4      70.15    11.27    10.20     1.01     6.31    31.31    11.85P    0.08R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        13   21   +4      74.85    11.07    18.06     1.71    11.36    47.04    19.84P    0.03R    0.00  
Barnet               13   21   +4      76.24    11.14    19.74     2.27    14.11    52.93    23.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         13   20   -1      66.26    11.20     0.27     0.33     2.81    19.92     6.20P    0.19R    0.01  
Bradford             13   17   -2      65.03    11.25     2.53     0.22     2.28    17.41     5.36P    0.39R    0.04  
Bury                 12   17   -3      51.26    11.26   -24.23     0.01     0.20     2.42     0.59P    4.99R    0.55  
Accrington_Stanley   13   16   -2      54.52    11.04   -15.97     0.01     0.28     3.66     0.91P    3.05R    0.31  
Macclesfield         13   16   -6      53.49    10.90   -19.92     0.01     0.19     2.91     0.68P    3.42R    0.39  
Port_Vale            12   15   +1      63.04    11.90     3.88     0.24     1.99    15.12     5.70P    0.55R    0.04  
Crewe                12   15   -1      57.81    11.53   -10.74     0.10     0.76     7.20     1.93P    1.70R    0.17  
Northampton          13   15   -3      62.74    11.47     0.40     0.14     1.57    13.73     3.97P    0.74R    0.08  
Hereford             13   15   -3      56.28    11.14   -10.52     0.02     0.34     4.94     1.30P    2.02R    0.27  
Lincoln_City         13   15   -8      49.43    10.65   -22.95     0.01     0.07     1.24     0.26P    7.16R    0.76  
Cheltenham           13   14   -7      48.51    10.47   -27.67     0.00     0.03     0.88     0.17P    7.50R    0.93  
Morecambe            13   12   -7      57.36    11.31    -8.01     0.02     0.34     5.70     1.37P    2.10R    0.25  
Torquay              13   10   -6      51.22    11.24   -13.51     0.00     0.08     2.01     0.52P    5.56R    1.07  
Grimsby              13   10  -14      32.59     9.13   -59.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.78R   19.24  
Darlington           13    5  -15      22.47     7.72   -60.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.72R   75.89  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 October 2009, Luton vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   40  +24     105.04     8.02    68.11    78.33    99.45    85.64P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          17   34  +16      88.79     8.97    39.00     6.36    79.12    28.77P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          16   33  +12      90.85     9.33    38.88     9.30    84.01    30.35P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          17   32   +9      78.86     9.40    20.30     0.73    38.23     6.63P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   32   +7      85.24     9.16    28.60     2.79    65.60    16.38P    0.00     0.00  
York               17   28   +8      80.06     9.09    27.46     0.64    44.30    10.66P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      17   27   +6      69.97     9.31    11.31     0.07    10.72     2.21P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      16   26  +12      81.79     9.31    37.96     1.62    53.13    14.39P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   26   +6      64.70     9.15     3.35     0.03     3.82     0.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      17   24  +11      69.06     9.31    19.90     0.10    10.19     2.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Altrincham         17   24   +2      64.58     9.16     3.99     0.01     3.49     0.72P    0.03R    0.00  
Histon             17   24   +1      61.94     9.19    -3.63     0.00     2.11     0.28P    0.07R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   22   +0      62.78     9.08     0.63     0.02     2.49     0.41P    0.08R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       17   22   -8      54.92     9.05   -17.41     0.00     0.29     0.03P    0.68R    0.01  
Barrow             17   20   -9      52.20     9.10   -21.20     0.00     0.13     0.01P    1.78R    0.05  
Wrexham            15   18   +1      61.27    10.14     3.02     0.00     2.47     0.53P    0.27R    0.00  
Salisbury          17   17   +0      56.11     9.20    -1.45     0.00     0.44     0.08P    0.65R    0.02  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   16  -12      42.40     8.34   -33.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.03R    0.67  
Gateshead          16   12  -10      44.49     9.29   -26.80     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.02R    0.71  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   11  -11      40.43     8.86   -34.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.58R    1.79  
Grays_Athletic     16   11  -15      40.96     8.77   -36.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.33R    2.11  
Forest_Green       17   11  -22      33.07     8.04   -55.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.51R    8.81  
Ebbsfleet_United   17    9  -21      28.12     7.18   -52.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.51R   22.94  
Chester            16  -10   -7      21.07     8.86   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.44R   62.88  

Adjustments:
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25