Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 21 October 2009 at 21:17:12 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 October 2009, Fulham vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          9   22  +12      84.72     9.40    57.72    29.26    53.76    70.96    82.71    95.65     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   21  +11      80.46    10.10    46.24    18.29    35.98    53.71    69.26    90.48     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        9   19   +8      73.30    10.39    37.33     5.23    14.35    27.13    42.17    72.70     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   18  +16      83.76    10.63    77.62    30.99    52.10    66.90    78.01    92.16     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         8   17   +7      74.97    11.26    37.26     7.80    19.87    34.42    48.93    75.30     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      8   16   +5      69.02    11.87    24.43     3.51     9.46    17.84    28.86    56.29     0.07R    0.00  
Sunderland       9   16   +4      60.57    10.69     8.96     0.33     1.48     3.90     8.18    26.18     0.20R    0.01  
Liverpool        9   15   +9      72.25    10.14    43.29     4.55    12.66    23.94    38.45    71.91     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            9   12   -3      47.24    10.79   -11.66     0.01     0.07     0.26     0.77     4.06     4.99R    0.61  
Burnley          9   12  -10      43.50    10.32   -28.91     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.25     1.65     9.63R    1.41  
Everton          8   11   -2      38.37    10.45   -34.94     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.13     0.92    21.58R    4.18  
Fulham           8   10   -2      43.78    11.08   -16.37     0.01     0.07     0.20     0.57     2.76     9.38R    1.19  
Blackburn        8   10   -6      42.23    10.54   -28.17     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.23     1.63    12.00R    1.96  
Wigan            9   10   -7      42.05    10.19   -22.71     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.12     1.22    11.13R    1.62  
Bolton           8    8   -2      46.96    11.52   -10.46     0.03     0.12     0.41     1.01     4.63     6.87R    0.95  
Wolverhampton    9    8   -7      29.12     9.03   -47.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    57.23R   18.43  
Birmingham       9    7   -5      39.35    10.54   -14.31     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.10     0.89    17.75R    3.05  
Hull             9    7  -14      28.87     9.01   -57.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    58.56R   21.78  
West_Ham         8    5   -4      40.86    11.05   -17.78     0.01     0.03     0.08     0.24     1.46    15.79R    3.26  
Portsmouth       9    3  -10      24.21     8.97   -41.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    74.81R   41.54  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 October 2009, Blackpool vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        13   24  +11      80.98    11.66    31.10     9.16    21.14    66.30    32.25P    0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle        13   24  +11      91.74    10.24    45.94    34.14    57.34    92.67    69.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          13   23  +14      89.13    10.64    51.53    26.26    47.79    88.11    60.13P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   23   +7      74.40    11.26    17.16     3.29     8.41    43.00    15.77P    0.11R    0.01  
Blackpool        13   22   +6      77.87    11.59    23.17     4.95    13.10    55.73    23.20P    0.10R    0.00  
Preston          13   22   +3      69.76    11.50     7.24     1.25     3.89    28.29     8.28P    0.46R    0.04  
Nottm_Forest     13   22   +3      68.08    11.24     5.60     0.73     2.37    22.76     6.98P    0.48R    0.03  
Leicester        13   21   +4      69.50    11.34     9.96     1.26     3.60    27.30     9.33P    0.36R    0.01  
Bristol_City     13   21   +3      73.29    11.56    14.36     1.94     6.05    39.57    14.59P    0.26R    0.01  
QPR              12   20  +10      84.76    11.89    40.72    16.15    32.51    76.57    45.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea          13   18   -1      58.81    10.91    -4.03     0.10     0.39     5.91     1.80P    3.76R    0.33  
Watford          13   18   -2      57.60    11.43   -12.96     0.09     0.40     5.87     1.32P    5.91R    0.67  
Sheff_Utd        13   17   -1      59.39    11.40    -7.06     0.13     0.46     7.41     1.69P    4.67R    0.55  
Scunthorpe       13   17   -4      61.08    11.31    -7.14     0.13     0.58     9.21     1.85P    3.55R    0.42  
Sheff_Wed        13   16   +2      62.57    11.41     4.21     0.22     0.91    12.44     3.36P    2.18R    0.22  
Crystal_Palace   12   16   -2      60.08    11.89    -4.51     0.13     0.64     9.09     2.34P    4.00R    0.41  
Coventry         13   16   -4      57.02    11.26   -11.16     0.05     0.26     4.81     1.00P    6.73R    0.94  
Doncaster        13   14   -1      53.24    10.83    -8.34     0.01     0.07     2.33     0.64P   10.18R    1.50  
Derby            13   14   -6      50.74    11.13   -20.49     0.01     0.07     1.59     0.33P   17.00R    3.35  
Barnsley         13   14   -8      45.52    10.59   -32.48     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.08P   32.03R    7.69  
Reading          13   10  -11      42.09    10.78   -31.97     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P   44.14R   14.55  
Peterborough     13    8   -9      41.49    11.09   -30.76     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   45.96R   16.34  
Plymouth         13    8  -13      39.57    10.63   -36.36     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   53.67R   20.82  
Ipswich          13    7  -12      36.61    10.57   -43.72     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   64.39R   32.10  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 October 2009, Leeds_United vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     12   30  +14      98.70    10.73    46.84    47.13    70.54    96.95    79.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         13   28  +11      90.83    10.75    40.54    17.40    40.11    89.73    53.33P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          13   26   +6      79.39    11.17    18.98     2.86     9.49    59.17    22.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Colchester       13   25  +13      93.73     9.89    52.66    25.31    53.73    94.85    67.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   12   22   +3      74.91    11.79    14.12     2.06     6.14    43.88    12.78P    0.30R    0.00  
Norwich          13   19   +5      74.82    11.16    25.13     1.09     4.38    44.90    11.80P    0.25R    0.01  
Swindon          13   19   -3      59.93    11.58   -10.77     0.06     0.34     7.93     1.50P    6.51R    0.44  
Huddersfield     13   18   +8      79.36    11.01    37.42     3.06    10.02    62.01    22.86P    0.08R    0.00  
Millwall         13   18   +8      72.14    10.63    21.81     0.59     2.76    34.87    12.74P    0.28R    0.01  
Southend         13   17   +2      64.84    11.24     6.32     0.16     0.86    15.12     3.68P    2.19R    0.09  
Walsall          13   17   -1      59.37    10.89    -4.77     0.01     0.14     6.28     1.21P    5.46R    0.20  
Oldham           13   17   -3      56.06    11.18   -11.07     0.02     0.11     3.91     0.82P   10.45R    0.90  
Hartlepool       13   16   +0      61.88    11.39     1.92     0.07     0.42    10.26     2.55P    4.07R    0.28  
Yeovil           13   15   +1      55.60    11.10    -6.12     0.03     0.13     3.80     0.87P   10.53R    0.79  
Leyton_Orient    13   15   -7      50.93    10.84   -24.11     0.01     0.04     1.38     0.23P   21.85R    2.27  
Gillingham       13   14   -3      56.93    11.29    -8.13     0.02     0.12     4.84     0.86P    9.74R    0.61  
Brentford        13   14   -4      53.77    10.73   -11.12     0.01     0.04     2.08     0.39P   13.84R    1.19  
Stockport        13   14   -7      46.84    10.44   -28.03     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.10P   34.26R    4.24  
Brighton         13   13   -7      44.85    10.46   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P   41.85R    6.06  
Exeter           13   13   -9      45.99    10.53   -29.37     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.06P   37.82R    5.38  
Carlisle         13   11   -6      42.40    10.32   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   50.68R    9.30  
Tranmere         13   10  -17      30.74     8.92   -68.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.56R   54.17  
Southampton      13    8   +5      65.24    11.12    26.22     0.12     0.61    16.43     5.15P    2.22R    0.16  
Wycombe          13    7   -9      40.28    10.42   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   58.02R   13.90  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Bournemouth          13   28   +9      87.66    11.04    31.00    17.36    48.21    85.13    58.95P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            13   27  +11      86.71    11.01    35.92    14.67    46.00    83.81    55.36P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             13   26  +11      85.69    11.08    35.11    13.72    42.24    81.25    52.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            13   25   +8      82.89    10.80    28.20     7.52    31.15    74.29    42.46P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         13   22  +17      93.60     9.79    67.58    37.34    73.61    95.77    81.52P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            12   21   +9      75.66    12.25    21.92     3.47    16.39    50.89    24.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           13   21   +4      69.79    11.22     9.52     0.77     5.60    30.03    10.81P    0.08R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        13   21   +4      74.97    11.22    18.30     1.87    11.86    47.75    20.39P    0.03R    0.00  
Barnet               13   21   +4      75.86    11.23    19.23     2.12    13.17    50.76    22.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         13   20   -1      66.20    11.37     0.23     0.31     2.98    19.74     6.32P    0.26R    0.02  
Port_Vale            13   18   +2      66.47    11.28     7.55     0.31     3.13    21.18     7.75P    0.18R    0.01  
Bradford             13   17   -2      65.12    11.23     2.72     0.24     2.34    17.65     5.36P    0.40R    0.03  
Bury                 12   17   -3      50.94    11.37   -24.82     0.02     0.21     2.46     0.62P    5.43R    0.50  
Accrington_Stanley   13   16   -2      54.22    11.23   -16.54     0.03     0.30     3.75     0.94P    3.58R    0.34  
Macclesfield         13   16   -6      53.61    11.13   -19.70     0.01     0.20     3.13     0.77P    3.75R    0.41  
Crewe                13   15   -2      54.89    11.15   -15.13     0.02     0.28     4.14     1.01P    2.61R    0.24  
Northampton          13   15   -3      62.60    11.49     0.13     0.14     1.40    13.23     3.76P    0.80R    0.13  
Hereford             13   15   -3      56.45    11.21   -10.20     0.04     0.42     5.29     1.39P    1.90R    0.25  
Lincoln_City         13   15   -8      48.99    10.74   -23.73     0.00     0.06     1.11     0.25P    7.75R    0.96  
Cheltenham           13   14   -7      48.57    10.63   -27.55     0.00     0.03     1.01     0.22P    7.67R    1.00  
Morecambe            13   12   -7      57.25    11.40    -8.24     0.02     0.35     5.49     1.33P    2.57R    0.35  
Torquay              13   10   -6      51.69    11.24   -12.58     0.00     0.07     2.13     0.50P    5.37R    0.92  
Grimsby              13   10  -14      33.16     9.35   -57.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.82R   17.59  
Darlington           13    5  -15      22.36     7.78   -61.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.78R   77.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 October 2009, Luton vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   40  +24     105.10     8.10    68.37    77.47    99.45    84.95P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          17   34  +16      89.22     8.96    39.68     6.66    80.52    30.18P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          16   33  +12      91.22     9.35    39.44    10.08    85.11    31.32P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          17   32   +9      78.85     9.43    20.22     0.68    38.13     6.46P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   32   +7      85.13     9.14    28.50     2.76    65.43    15.82P    0.00     0.00  
York               17   28   +8      80.12     9.14    27.57     0.71    44.44    10.73P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      17   27   +6      69.82     9.08    11.10     0.05     9.86     1.89P    0.00R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      16   26  +12      81.56     9.32    37.46     1.44    52.03    13.89P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   26   +6      64.90     9.15     3.67     0.03     4.05     0.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      17   24  +11      68.83     9.39    19.39     0.08     9.70     2.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham         17   24   +2      64.89     9.26     4.48     0.02     3.73     0.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Histon             17   24   +1      61.91     9.24    -3.57     0.01     2.24     0.33P    0.10R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   22   +0      62.51     9.03     0.22     0.01     2.11     0.32P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       17   22   -8      54.80     9.07   -17.60     0.00     0.31     0.02P    0.79R    0.02  
Barrow             17   20   -9      52.69     9.15   -20.50     0.00     0.14     0.02P    1.67R    0.03  
Wrexham            15   18   +1      60.89    10.12     2.44     0.01     2.32     0.50P    0.29R    0.00  
Salisbury          17   17   +0      55.87     9.11    -1.77     0.00     0.41     0.08P    0.74R    0.03  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   16  -12      42.62     8.26   -32.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.60R    0.64  
Gateshead          16   12  -10      44.63     9.26   -26.55     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.34R    0.60  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   11  -11      40.40     8.97   -34.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.82R    1.88  
Grays_Athletic     16   11  -15      40.62     8.81   -36.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.56R    2.04  
Forest_Green       17   11  -22      33.22     8.05   -54.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.77R    8.52  
Ebbsfleet_United   17    9  -21      28.23     7.20   -52.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.91R   21.98  
Chester            16  -10   -7      20.74     8.82   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.31R   64.25  

Adjustments:
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25