Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 20 October 2009 at 21:17:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 October 2009, Fulham vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          9   22  +12      85.13     9.10    58.62    30.25    55.18    72.59    84.31    96.27     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   21  +11      80.36    10.03    46.01    17.87    35.22    52.40    68.23    90.16     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        9   19   +8      72.98    10.38    36.28     4.80    13.36    25.58    40.60    71.40     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   18  +16      84.07    10.39    78.45    31.22    53.10    68.15    78.96    92.77     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         8   17   +7      75.42    11.05    38.21     7.79    20.12    35.02    49.67    76.52     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      8   16   +5      69.28    11.88    24.83     3.60     9.71    18.28    29.32    57.13     0.05R    0.00  
Sunderland       9   16   +4      60.62    10.77     9.19     0.35     1.48     4.05     8.48    26.38     0.19R    0.01  
Liverpool        9   15   +9      72.10    10.06    42.90     4.05    11.51    22.88    37.37    71.16     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            9   12   -3      46.75    10.75   -12.49     0.02     0.07     0.22     0.61     3.54     5.41R    0.73  
Burnley          9   12  -10      44.01    10.34   -28.01     0.00     0.03     0.09     0.28     1.83     8.89R    1.29  
Everton          8   11   -2      38.23    10.41   -35.34     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.15     0.97    22.41R    4.30  
Fulham           8   10   -2      42.95    11.03   -17.76     0.01     0.05     0.17     0.46     2.47    10.62R    1.45  
Blackburn        8   10   -6      42.43    10.62   -27.63     0.01     0.04     0.12     0.30     1.77    11.94R    2.01  
Wigan            9   10   -7      42.32    10.10   -22.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.34    10.37R    1.41  
Bolton           8    8   -2      46.60    11.66   -11.15     0.02     0.11     0.35     0.91     4.23     7.53R    1.08  
Wolverhampton    9    8   -7      29.45     8.99   -47.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    55.66R   18.21  
Birmingham       9    7   -5      39.44    10.48   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.81    17.51R    3.06  
Hull             9    7  -14      29.41     9.11   -56.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    56.28R   20.43  
West_Ham         8    5   -4      39.95    11.08   -19.83     0.00     0.02     0.04     0.14     1.15    17.98R    4.13  
Portsmouth       9    3  -10      24.13     8.69   -41.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.16R   41.88  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 October 2009, Blackpool vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        13   24  +11      80.55    11.45    30.37     8.43    19.90    64.94    30.47P    0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle        13   24  +11      91.96    10.30    46.06    34.72    58.29    92.75    70.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          13   23  +14      88.93    10.51    50.95    25.14    46.96    88.12    59.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   23   +7      74.16    11.35    16.68     3.12     7.97    42.43    15.61P    0.17R    0.00  
Blackpool        13   22   +6      78.15    11.56    23.54     5.40    13.44    56.80    23.81P    0.07R    0.00  
Preston          13   22   +3      70.11    11.42     7.86     1.39     4.03    28.91     8.73P    0.42R    0.03  
Nottm_Forest     13   22   +3      68.30    10.90     5.97     0.61     2.21    22.94     6.69P    0.31R    0.02  
Leicester        13   21   +4      69.84    11.32    10.40     1.21     3.84    28.55     9.88P    0.36R    0.01  
Bristol_City     13   21   +3      72.63    11.71    13.47     1.85     5.45    37.63    13.42P    0.36R    0.02  
QPR              12   20  +10      85.36    11.72    41.64    17.24    34.32    78.64    47.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea          13   18   -1      58.67    11.06    -4.22     0.10     0.43     6.22     1.96P    3.86R    0.43  
Watford          13   18   -2      58.08    11.31   -12.18     0.13     0.45     6.09     1.41P    5.24R    0.63  
Sheff_Utd        13   17   -1      58.54    11.17    -8.58     0.09     0.37     6.22     1.29P    5.02R    0.64  
Scunthorpe       13   17   -4      61.60    11.48    -6.19     0.14     0.59    10.29     2.05P    3.52R    0.45  
Sheff_Wed        13   16   +2      61.77    11.13     2.76     0.19     0.74    10.45     2.74P    2.46R    0.31  
Crystal_Palace   12   16   -2      59.68    11.93    -5.01     0.13     0.50     8.77     2.24P    4.67R    0.53  
Coventry         13   16   -4      57.08    11.48   -11.11     0.07     0.30     5.22     1.13P    7.25R    1.11  
Doncaster        13   14   -1      53.67    10.74    -7.73     0.02     0.11     2.40     0.61P    9.24R    1.27  
Derby            13   14   -6      50.45    11.19   -21.07     0.01     0.06     1.54     0.30P   18.15R    3.77  
Barnsley         13   14   -8      45.62    10.46   -32.09     0.01     0.02     0.45     0.08P   31.41R    7.29  
Reading          13   10  -11      42.02    10.77   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   44.54R   14.79  
Peterborough     13    8   -9      41.60    11.02   -30.28     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P   45.71R   16.24  
Plymouth         13    8  -13      39.57    10.47   -36.55     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   53.99R   21.32  
Ipswich          13    7  -12      37.00    10.60   -42.63     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   63.19R   31.13  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 October 2009, Leeds_United vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     12   30  +14      99.05    10.72    47.14    48.07    71.15    97.00    79.61P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         13   28  +11      91.10    10.77    41.06    17.84    41.04    89.78    54.29P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          13   26   +6      79.80    11.01    19.56     2.75     9.36    60.53    22.26P    0.04R    0.00  
Colchester       13   25  +13      93.40     9.96    52.39    23.78    51.73    94.34    65.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   12   22   +3      74.57    11.71    13.52     1.84     5.73    42.40    11.70P    0.32R    0.00  
Norwich          13   19   +5      74.81    11.19    25.04     0.98     4.26    44.90    11.68P    0.27R    0.00  
Swindon          13   19   -3      59.90    11.23   -10.90     0.04     0.27     7.23     1.23P    5.90R    0.40  
Huddersfield     13   18   +8      80.06    11.05    38.90     3.60    11.39    64.18    24.52P    0.09R    0.00  
Millwall         13   18   +8      72.24    10.88    21.98     0.69     2.93    35.06    13.10P    0.30R    0.01  
Southend         13   17   +2      64.69    11.18     5.96     0.14     0.71    14.60     3.50P    2.17R    0.11  
Walsall          13   17   -1      59.71    10.99    -4.26     0.03     0.15     6.75     1.35P    5.28R    0.20  
Oldham           13   17   -3      55.64    11.10   -11.56     0.03     0.10     3.61     0.73P   10.82R    0.87  
Hartlepool       13   16   +0      61.89    11.24     1.94     0.05     0.29    10.10     2.40P    3.67R    0.20  
Yeovil           13   15   +1      55.78    11.20    -5.81     0.02     0.10     3.94     0.87P   10.08R    0.65  
Leyton_Orient    13   15   -7      50.28    10.74   -25.41     0.00     0.01     1.09     0.15P   23.10R    2.65  
Gillingham       13   14   -3      57.21    11.38    -7.72     0.01     0.10     4.93     0.85P    9.44R    0.58  
Brentford        13   14   -4      53.91    10.71   -10.96     0.01     0.05     2.14     0.46P   13.27R    1.19  
Stockport        13   14   -7      46.31    10.50   -28.85     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.06P   36.00R    4.97  
Brighton         13   13   -7      45.01    10.39   -31.65     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.05P   40.67R    5.87  
Exeter           13   13   -9      46.34    10.40   -28.81     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.08P   36.14R    4.50  
Carlisle         13   11   -6      41.69    10.19   -30.69     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   53.28R   10.28  
Tranmere         13   10  -17      30.84     8.85   -68.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    89.20R   53.18  
Southampton      13    8   +5      65.20    11.05    26.22     0.11     0.60    15.90     5.15P    2.03R    0.14  
Wycombe          13    7   -9      40.21    10.50   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   57.92R   14.19  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Bournemouth          13   28   +9      87.39    11.15    30.54    17.01    47.81    84.26    58.34P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            13   27  +11      86.63    11.08    35.63    14.98    45.48    83.68    54.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             13   26  +11      85.75    11.11    35.27    13.73    42.63    81.59    53.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            13   25   +8      82.39    10.99    27.21     7.12    30.15    72.77    41.32P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         13   22  +17      93.65     9.76    67.43    37.22    74.29    95.84    82.00P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            12   21   +9      75.91    11.91    22.48     3.51    15.99    51.45    24.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           13   21   +4      70.38    11.18    10.51     0.91     6.15    31.95    11.62P    0.10R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        13   21   +4      74.81    11.34    18.08     2.04    11.91    47.29    20.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               13   21   +4      76.01    11.32    19.45     2.41    13.84    51.60    23.28P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         13   20   -1      66.08    11.17    -0.14     0.25     2.60    19.46     5.93P    0.21R    0.01  
Port_Vale            13   18   +2      66.44    11.60     7.50     0.38     3.52    22.03     8.37P    0.19R    0.01  
Bradford             13   17   -2      64.73    11.19     1.91     0.22     2.24    16.79     5.11P    0.44R    0.06  
Bury                 12   17   -3      51.51    11.27   -23.73     0.01     0.21     2.60     0.68P    4.73R    0.58  
Accrington_Stanley   13   16   -2      54.41    11.29   -16.15     0.01     0.30     4.07     1.01P    3.49R    0.38  
Macclesfield         13   16   -6      53.18    10.84   -20.35     0.00     0.13     2.57     0.61P    3.86R    0.41  
Crewe                13   15   -2      54.97    11.06   -14.92     0.02     0.22     3.91     0.93P    2.64R    0.26  
Northampton          13   15   -3      62.33    11.58    -0.31     0.11     1.52    13.00     3.82P    0.84R    0.09  
Hereford             13   15   -3      56.13    11.06   -10.76     0.02     0.39     4.81     1.23P    1.74R    0.18  
Lincoln_City         13   15   -8      48.76    10.67   -23.99     0.00     0.06     1.17     0.24P    8.08R    1.02  
Cheltenham           13   14   -7      48.76    10.45   -27.29     0.00     0.02     0.97     0.21P    7.39R    0.87  
Morecambe            13   12   -7      57.59    11.32    -7.60     0.02     0.41     5.82     1.53P    2.08R    0.28  
Torquay              13   10   -6      51.66    11.45   -12.65     0.00     0.15     2.38     0.66P    5.48R    0.91  
Grimsby              13   10  -14      33.01     9.21   -58.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.26R   18.90  
Darlington           13    5  -15      22.73     7.78   -60.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.40R   76.05  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 October 2009, Luton vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   40  +24     105.05     8.02    68.09    77.69    99.43    85.36P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          17   34  +16      88.86     9.00    39.13     6.53    79.34    29.15P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          16   33  +12      91.27     9.45    39.48     9.96    84.82    31.63P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          17   32   +9      78.89     9.52    20.31     0.73    38.74     6.43P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   32   +7      84.93     9.34    28.12     2.83    64.59    15.82P    0.00     0.00  
York               17   28   +8      80.34     9.01    27.94     0.71    45.40    11.03P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      17   27   +6      69.99     9.00    11.38     0.04     9.88     1.91P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      16   26  +12      81.58     9.23    37.50     1.38    52.06    13.66P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   26   +6      64.97     9.27     3.81     0.03     4.39     0.71P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      17   24  +11      68.82     9.37    19.40     0.08     9.57     2.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham         17   24   +2      64.60     9.25     4.01     0.01     3.82     0.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Histon             17   24   +1      61.89     9.24    -3.57     0.00     2.20     0.29P    0.06R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   22   +0      62.38     9.12    -0.05     0.00     2.23     0.34P    0.12R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       17   22   -8      55.10     9.01   -17.14     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.74R    0.01  
Barrow             17   20   -9      52.49     9.13   -20.69     0.00     0.18     0.03P    1.86R    0.04  
Wrexham            15   18   +1      60.98    10.22     2.67     0.01     2.63     0.59P    0.32R    0.00  
Salisbury          17   17   +0      56.03     9.16    -1.54     0.00     0.39     0.05P    0.72R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   16  -12      42.42     8.39   -33.30     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.59R    0.71  
Gateshead          16   12  -10      44.54     9.24   -26.71     0.00     0.02     0.00P   11.79R    0.64  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   11  -11      40.52     8.88   -34.23     0.00     0.00     0.00P   21.57R    1.63  
Grays_Athletic     16   11  -15      40.88     8.89   -36.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.95R    1.94  
Forest_Green       17   11  -22      33.42     7.98   -54.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.88R    8.04  
Ebbsfleet_United   17    9  -21      28.35     7.24   -52.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.90R   20.75  
Chester            16  -10   -7      20.43     8.85   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.45R   66.23  

Adjustments:
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25