Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 20 October 2009 at 21:02:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 October 2009, Fulham vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          9   22  +12      84.98     9.23    58.69    30.42    54.51    71.91    83.58    96.11     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          9   21  +11      80.74     9.97    46.72    18.98    36.80    53.65    69.31    90.70     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        9   19   +8      73.78    10.32    38.39     5.64    15.34    28.32    43.50    73.76     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          8   18  +16      83.10    10.53    76.32    28.01    48.84    63.96    75.67    91.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         8   17   +7      75.19    11.33    37.64     8.22    20.20    34.70    48.70    75.09     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      8   16   +5      69.16    11.89    24.94     3.52     9.30    17.64    28.92    56.62     0.07R    0.00  
Sunderland       9   16   +4      60.72    10.77     9.33     0.37     1.58     4.17     8.53    26.35     0.21R    0.01  
Liverpool        9   15   +9      72.47    10.20    43.71     4.80    13.08    24.66    38.66    71.51     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            9   12   -3      46.95    10.49   -12.16     0.00     0.06     0.22     0.61     3.30     4.96R    0.71  
Burnley          9   12  -10      43.52    10.31   -29.14     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.22     1.73     9.55R    1.53  
Everton          8   11   -2      37.92    10.40   -36.07     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.21     1.07    22.91R    4.67  
Fulham           8   10   -2      43.26    10.92   -17.11     0.01     0.06     0.12     0.40     2.35     9.72R    1.22  
Blackburn        8   10   -6      41.89    10.58   -28.96     0.01     0.03     0.10     0.30     1.59    12.77R    2.05  
Wigan            9   10   -7      41.94    10.19   -22.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.12     1.24    11.30R    1.51  
Bolton           8    8   -2      47.52    11.45    -9.36     0.02     0.13     0.35     0.99     4.73     6.02R    0.76  
Wolverhampton    9    8   -7      29.17     9.02   -48.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05    57.11R   18.68  
Birmingham       9    7   -5      39.32    10.39   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.86    17.32R    2.85  
Hull             9    7  -14      29.20     9.03   -57.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    56.80R   20.92  
West_Ham         8    5   -4      40.39    11.03   -19.02     0.01     0.02     0.04     0.15     1.22    16.71R    3.91  
Portsmouth       9    3  -10      24.33     8.83   -41.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.53R   41.20  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 October 2009, Blackpool vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        12   24  +12      85.84    11.75    38.13    18.25    33.74    78.24    44.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle        13   24  +11      91.58    10.35    45.63    30.97    53.85    91.81    67.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          13   23  +14      88.81    10.70    50.77    23.03    43.96    87.10    57.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    13   23   +7      74.66    11.31    17.49     2.91     7.87    43.36    15.69P    0.11R    0.00  
Blackpool        13   22   +6      77.99    11.56    23.30     4.67    12.38    55.23    22.37P    0.08R    0.00  
Preston          13   22   +3      69.96    11.38     7.46     1.14     3.62    27.93     7.97P    0.41R    0.02  
Nottm_Forest     13   22   +3      68.37    11.04     5.98     0.50     1.99    22.74     6.47P    0.35R    0.01  
Leicester        13   21   +4      69.80    11.15    10.33     1.01     3.30    26.99     9.17P    0.30R    0.01  
Bristol_City     13   21   +3      73.23    11.57    14.28     1.90     5.67    38.19    13.79P    0.22R    0.02  
QPR              12   20  +10      84.95    11.78    40.88    14.83    30.64    77.18    44.37P    0.04R    0.00  
Watford          13   18   -2      57.72    11.10   -13.00     0.07     0.28     5.25     1.07P    5.15R    0.58  
Sheff_Utd        13   17   -1      58.90    11.27    -7.93     0.12     0.42     6.70     1.46P    4.64R    0.54  
Scunthorpe       13   17   -4      61.77    11.51    -6.10     0.17     0.63     9.96     1.94P    3.42R    0.43  
Sheff_Wed        13   16   +2      62.36    11.22     3.62     0.20     0.73    11.00     2.78P    2.18R    0.23  
Crystal_Palace   12   16   -2      59.65    11.60    -5.10     0.14     0.50     7.38     1.78P    4.22R    0.42  
Coventry         13   16   -4      56.74    11.16   -11.73     0.05     0.21     4.21     0.93P    6.62R    0.96  
Swansea          12   15   -2      53.06    11.14   -10.73     0.02     0.08     2.27     0.57P   11.20R    1.93  
Doncaster        13   14   -1      53.27    10.78    -8.38     0.01     0.08     2.15     0.56P    9.74R    1.38  
Derby            13   14   -6      50.69    10.92   -20.71     0.01     0.04     1.32     0.24P   16.74R    3.17  
Barnsley         13   14   -8      45.64    10.60   -32.42     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.07P   30.77R    7.68  
Reading          13   10  -11      41.76    10.73   -32.46     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   44.76R   15.55  
Peterborough     13    8   -9      41.64    10.93   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   45.06R   15.64  
Plymouth         13    8  -13      40.41    10.70   -35.08     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   50.27R   19.42  
Ipswich          13    7  -12      36.72    10.56   -43.51     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   63.70R   32.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 October 2009, Leeds_United vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     12   30  +14      99.19    10.73    47.45    48.56    71.37    97.18    79.83P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         13   28  +11      91.23    10.57    41.07    17.40    41.11    90.85    55.14P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          13   26   +6      79.50    11.01    19.15     2.57     8.80    60.24    21.52P    0.05R    0.00  
Colchester       13   25  +13      93.77     9.96    52.79    24.65    53.77    94.82    67.74P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   12   22   +3      74.45    11.60    13.35     1.65     5.23    42.27    11.61P    0.32R    0.01  
Norwich          13   19   +5      74.97    11.08    25.35     0.97     4.38    45.87    11.79P    0.27R    0.01  
Swindon          13   19   -3      60.28    11.34   -10.20     0.08     0.33     8.15     1.61P    5.70R    0.33  
Huddersfield     13   18   +8      79.35    11.01    37.43     3.08    10.13    62.25    22.82P    0.08R    0.00  
Millwall         13   18   +8      71.52    10.77    20.96     0.68     2.65    33.00    12.02P    0.30R    0.01  
Southend         13   17   +2      64.65    11.35     5.96     0.14     0.77    15.06     3.65P    2.36R    0.11  
Walsall          13   17   -1      59.73    11.03    -4.17     0.03     0.18     6.94     1.47P    5.50R    0.24  
Oldham           13   17   -3      55.56    11.11   -11.71     0.01     0.08     3.41     0.66P   11.54R    0.86  
Hartlepool       13   16   +0      61.43    11.10     1.23     0.06     0.26     9.05     2.04P    4.03R    0.23  
Yeovil           13   15   +1      55.68    11.21    -6.02     0.02     0.12     4.09     0.91P   10.75R    0.68  
Leyton_Orient    13   15   -7      50.60    10.85   -24.85     0.00     0.02     1.24     0.18P   22.72R    2.55  
Gillingham       13   14   -3      57.09    11.33    -7.92     0.01     0.07     4.96     0.81P    9.78R    0.52  
Brentford        13   14   -4      53.79    10.84   -11.16     0.00     0.04     2.28     0.42P   14.08R    1.32  
Stockport        13   14   -7      46.52    10.47   -28.55     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.06P   35.53R    4.66  
Brighton         13   13   -7      45.38    10.43   -30.95     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P   39.90R    5.80  
Exeter           13   13   -9      46.09    10.57   -29.29     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.06P   37.54R    5.31  
Carlisle         13   11   -6      42.12    10.29   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   51.59R   10.03  
Tranmere         13   10  -17      30.98     8.96   -68.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    88.84R   53.47  
Southampton      13    8   +5      65.16    11.16    25.99     0.08     0.67    16.60     5.57P    2.16R    0.12  
Wycombe          13    7   -9      40.51    10.49   -27.73     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   56.96R   13.73  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 October 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Bournemouth          13   28   +9      87.54    11.09    30.90    17.35    48.10    84.78    58.62P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            13   27  +11      86.70    11.04    35.89    15.02    45.67    83.99    55.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             13   26  +11      85.49    11.24    34.74    13.57    42.00    80.81    52.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            13   25   +8      82.68    11.07    27.83     7.71    31.40    73.51    42.48P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         13   22  +17      93.32     9.90    66.68    35.97    72.27    95.67    80.44P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            12   21   +9      76.20    12.33    23.02     4.25    17.72    52.62    26.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           13   21   +4      70.20    11.17    10.20     0.93     5.99    31.40    11.48P    0.08R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        13   21   +4      74.83    11.45    17.98     1.92    12.04    47.52    20.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Barnet               13   21   +4      75.93    11.31    19.27     2.21    13.75    51.43    23.42P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         13   20   -1      66.00    11.14    -0.22     0.27     2.55    19.23     5.93P    0.23R    0.01  
Port_Vale            13   18   +2      66.48    11.22     7.60     0.32     3.02    21.40     7.74P    0.16R    0.01  
Bradford             13   17   -2      64.65    11.20     1.67     0.21     2.14    16.60     4.98P    0.37R    0.05  
Bury                 12   17   -3      51.27    11.36   -24.15     0.02     0.22     2.64     0.73P    5.29R    0.66  
Accrington_Stanley   13   16   -2      54.67    11.14   -15.75     0.05     0.38     3.99     1.03P    3.16R    0.36  
Macclesfield         13   16   -6      53.37    10.88   -20.23     0.00     0.16     2.69     0.64P    3.93R    0.52  
Crewe                13   15   -2      54.83    11.07   -15.11     0.03     0.27     3.99     0.96P    2.75R    0.30  
Northampton          13   15   -3      62.32    11.45    -0.46     0.10     1.34    12.82     3.54P    0.78R    0.08  
Hereford             13   15   -3      56.15    11.21   -10.65     0.02     0.34     5.10     1.32P    2.22R    0.25  
Lincoln_City         13   15   -8      48.86    10.55   -23.60     0.00     0.06     1.02     0.25P    7.57R    1.02  
Cheltenham           13   14   -7      48.90    10.56   -26.97     0.00     0.07     1.07     0.22P    7.39R    1.03  
Morecambe            13   12   -7      57.20    11.46    -8.30     0.03     0.40     5.64     1.49P    2.51R    0.38  
Torquay              13   10   -6      51.61    11.18   -12.69     0.01     0.10     2.07     0.53P    5.28R    0.85  
Grimsby              13   10  -14      33.04     9.18   -57.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   65.02R   19.13  
Darlington           13    5  -15      22.90     7.82   -59.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.19R   75.35  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 October 2009, Luton vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         17   40  +24     104.91     7.95    67.77    77.67    99.51    85.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          17   34  +16      89.32     8.96    39.87     6.99    80.67    30.63P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          16   33  +12      90.80     9.28    38.69     9.42    84.17    30.18P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          17   32   +9      78.73     9.44    20.04     0.73    37.48     6.43P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   32   +7      85.24     9.12    28.57     2.87    65.97    16.28P    0.00     0.00  
York               17   28   +8      80.22     9.02    27.73     0.68    44.42    10.62P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      17   27   +6      69.56     9.25    10.66     0.08     9.69     1.98P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      16   26  +12      81.60     9.21    37.55     1.42    52.00    13.68P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   17   26   +6      65.11     9.19     4.08     0.04     4.46     0.71P    0.02R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      17   24  +11      68.94     9.35    19.68     0.08    10.12     2.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Altrincham         17   24   +2      64.89     9.09     4.47     0.01     3.59     0.75P    0.04R    0.00  
Histon             17   24   +1      61.85     9.26    -3.69     0.00     2.25     0.36P    0.07R    0.00  
Tamworth           17   22   +0      62.67     9.01     0.37     0.01     2.32     0.34P    0.07R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       17   22   -8      54.27     9.06   -18.32     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.86R    0.02  
Barrow             17   20   -9      52.41     9.10   -20.86     0.00     0.09     0.01P    1.79R    0.04  
Wrexham            15   18   +1      61.21    10.14     2.96     0.01     2.57     0.60P    0.31R    0.00  
Salisbury          17   17   +0      56.01     9.10    -1.58     0.00     0.41     0.07P    0.65R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    17   16  -12      42.56     8.37   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.08R    0.77  
Gateshead          16   12  -10      44.59     9.30   -26.61     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.82R    0.63  
Hayes_&_Yeading    16   11  -11      40.84     8.89   -33.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.29R    1.62  
Grays_Athletic     16   11  -15      40.81     8.78   -36.35     0.00     0.01     0.00P   20.90R    2.03  
Forest_Green       17   11  -22      33.13     7.93   -54.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.61R    8.51  
Ebbsfleet_United   17    9  -21      28.06     7.07   -52.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.13R   22.72  
Chester            16  -10   -7      20.93     8.92   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.36R   63.67  

Adjustments:
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25