Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 6 October 2009 at 21:02:02 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 October 2009, Aston_Villa vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea          8   21  +12      84.41    10.25    52.11    24.02    43.71    61.13    76.51    94.38     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          8   19  +11      86.39     9.59    66.73    29.61    52.66    70.48    83.12    96.51     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        8   16   +7      74.83    10.91    44.05     4.92    14.39    27.07    43.02    76.57     0.01R    0.00  
Man_City         7   16   +7      77.78    11.69    43.56     9.90    23.16    38.45    53.62    81.37     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          7   15  +14      83.26    10.97    77.83    22.87    42.96    59.38    72.17    91.02     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool        8   15  +10      76.01    10.74    54.10     7.12    18.01    31.75    47.88    80.73     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      7   13   +4      64.66    12.75    18.15     1.38     4.28     8.94    16.30    41.62     0.36R    0.03  
Sunderland       8   13   +3      57.01    11.45     2.29     0.14     0.61     1.92     4.68    18.46     0.66R    0.04  
Burnley          8   12   -9      44.92    10.96   -26.29     0.01     0.04     0.12     0.34     2.58     8.03R    1.29  
Everton          7   10   -2      40.58    11.67   -35.51     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.37     2.27    17.44R    3.19  
Stoke            8    9   -4      44.93    11.34   -12.85     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.48     3.02     8.05R    1.25  
Wigan            8    9   -7      41.70    10.76   -25.78     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.18     1.55    11.92R    1.84  
Bolton           7    8   -1      45.14    11.97   -18.22     0.01     0.06     0.24     0.59     3.74     9.18R    1.37  
Birmingham       8    7   -3      39.47    10.96   -15.32     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.11     0.99    16.80R    3.01  
Fulham           7    7   -4      39.26    11.50   -25.66     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.20     1.57    19.25R    3.33  
Blackburn        7    7   -7      38.95    11.05   -32.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.12     1.14    19.45R    4.00  
Wolverhampton    8    7   -7      27.95     9.12   -53.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    59.53R   21.43  
Hull             8    7  -12      32.60     9.79   -50.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.20    39.95R   11.21  
West_Ham         7    5   -3      42.36    11.65   -15.69     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.27     2.19    12.56R    2.46  
Portsmouth       8    3   -9      22.91     8.93   -46.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.78R   45.56  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2009, Barnsley vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        11   24  +13     103.07    10.32    63.40    65.32    84.54    98.73    90.02P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        11   21  +10      87.25    12.01    41.73    10.48    32.14    81.80    46.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    11   20   +6      78.94    12.71    24.75     3.87    12.89    58.91    23.68P    0.10R    0.00  
Cardiff          11   19  +12      89.43    11.81    53.30    14.10    41.16    86.08    55.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston          11   19   +6      72.85    12.84    15.77     1.56     5.87    40.04    13.49P    0.40R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        11   17   +4      69.32    12.72    11.10     0.77     3.15    29.89     8.58P    0.89R    0.10  
Leicester        11   17   +2      68.10    12.60     7.78     0.50     2.46    25.72     8.15P    1.05R    0.11  
Bristol_City     11   17   +1      71.97    12.61    12.51     0.83     4.25    36.21    12.67P    0.47R    0.05  
Blackpool        11   16   +1      69.73    13.05    10.30     0.75     3.78    30.80     9.83P    1.08R    0.13  
Nottm_Forest     11   16   +1      60.12    11.98    -3.78     0.07     0.52     9.81     2.57P    3.42R    0.47  
Coventry         11   16   +0      62.06    12.63    -4.42     0.17     0.97    13.00     3.06P    3.95R    0.61  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   +0      61.78    13.42    -2.87     0.13     1.09    14.62     4.02P    4.59R    0.70  
QPR              10   14   +3      71.54    13.95    16.42     1.19     5.58    38.03    14.12P    1.09R    0.15  
Swansea          11   14   -2      54.03    11.92    -9.92     0.04     0.14     3.70     1.05P   10.55R    1.96  
Watford          11   14   -3      53.30    12.57   -21.75     0.04     0.19     4.33     0.83P   14.21R    3.23  
Sheff_Wed        11   13   +1      62.99    12.58     4.14     0.11     0.92    15.49     4.09P    2.76R    0.38  
Derby            11   13   -4      51.26    12.01   -22.31     0.02     0.10     2.70     0.52P   16.61R    3.79  
Doncaster        11   11   -2      54.92    12.27    -6.24     0.03     0.15     4.74     1.14P   10.01R    1.84  
Scunthorpe       11   11   -7      50.87    12.43   -23.72     0.01     0.06     2.53     0.38P   18.99R    5.11  
Barnsley         11   11   -8      42.44    11.30   -39.91     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.08P   42.05R   14.58  
Reading          11   10   -6      45.52    11.83   -23.96     0.00     0.02     0.99     0.22P   31.12R    9.45  
Plymouth         11    8   -9      41.96    11.50   -32.50     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.05P   43.05R   16.55  
Peterborough     11    7   -7      42.06    12.03   -31.19     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.14P   43.05R   16.99  
Ipswich          11    5  -12      39.82    12.10   -38.61     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P   50.54R   23.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2009, Brentford vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     11   27  +13      99.92    11.15    50.80    44.74    70.15    97.26    80.31P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         11   24  +10      92.49    11.55    45.64    19.01    43.02    91.06    57.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   11   22   +4      74.70    12.41    12.08     1.78     5.75    45.32    12.77P    0.43R    0.01  
Colchester       11   21  +12      96.02    10.67    59.92    28.72    58.56    95.84    72.41P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          11   20   +3      74.47    12.17    13.85     1.25     4.72    44.28    14.48P    0.40R    0.00  
Swindon          11   18   -1      66.29    12.83    -0.65     0.45     1.75    22.16     5.39P    3.05R    0.15  
Norwich          11   16   +5      74.59    12.36    25.71     1.18     4.78    46.87    12.76P    0.61R    0.02  
Oldham           11   16   -1      57.17    12.10   -10.28     0.04     0.25     6.66     1.47P   10.35R    0.76  
Huddersfield     11   15   +5      74.50    12.89    26.05     1.90     6.20    46.89    15.66P    0.75R    0.02  
Millwall         11   14   +4      63.89    12.00     8.39     0.15     0.94    16.25     5.47P    2.94R    0.11  
Southend         11   14   +3      65.37    12.79     8.63     0.33     1.58    21.33     6.15P    3.22R    0.13  
Walsall          11   14   -3      56.33    11.74   -10.75     0.01     0.13     5.30     1.09P   11.33R    0.55  
Exeter           11   13   -2      55.93    12.20    -9.65     0.02     0.12     5.94     1.17P   12.87R    0.86  
Brentford        11   13   -3      54.82    11.68   -11.84     0.02     0.10     4.22     0.81P   13.79R    1.03  
Hartlepool       11   12   -2      60.15    12.48    -0.97     0.07     0.32    10.87     2.64P    7.50R    0.50  
Leyton_Orient    11   12   -7      49.29    11.81   -28.14     0.01     0.03     1.77     0.27P   27.88R    3.79  
Gillingham       10   11   +0      65.17    13.39     8.35     0.28     1.25    21.66     5.41P    4.70R    0.31  
Yeovil           11   11   -1      54.70    12.26    -7.16     0.03     0.16     5.09     1.23P   14.59R    1.27  
Carlisle         11   11   -3      46.33    11.99   -25.70     0.00     0.02     1.51     0.30P   37.40R    5.36  
Stockport        11   11   -4      49.56    12.03   -19.97     0.01     0.04     2.20     0.48P   26.86R    3.22  
Brighton         10    9   -8      39.91    11.94   -44.50     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.07P   59.88R   16.60  
Tranmere         11    7  -17      31.28    10.56   -70.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   84.50R   46.54  
Wycombe          11    6   -8      37.87    10.97   -32.56     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   65.81R   17.64  
Southampton      11    2   +1      56.85    12.39    13.08     0.01     0.11     6.82     2.14P   11.11R    1.13  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2009, Burton_Albion vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Bournemouth          11   25   +9      88.80    12.02    33.20    13.52    43.72    82.11    55.54P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            11   23   +8      85.94    11.84    33.35     8.59    34.54    76.44    44.85P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            11   21   +8      88.12    11.72    43.16    10.54    42.43    82.08    52.84P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               11   21   +7      84.18    11.91    31.65     5.44    28.77    72.36    40.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           11   21   +6      81.97    11.87    28.85     4.34    22.67    65.49    32.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County         11   20  +17     100.17     9.91    84.97    51.14    83.71    98.05    88.75P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             11   20   +8      79.79    12.35    27.98     3.88    19.45    58.63    29.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot            11   18   +6      68.66    12.74     9.13     0.67     5.20    26.16    10.25P    0.09R    0.00  
Bradford             11   17   +0      73.32    12.41    15.06     0.89     7.89    37.83    14.00P    0.10R    0.00  
Chesterfield         11   17   -1      65.05    11.91    -1.40     0.12     1.65    15.36     4.35P    0.31R    0.01  
Bury                 11   16   -3      49.23    11.71   -29.50     0.01     0.12     1.81     0.45P    5.95R    0.27  
Burton_Albion        11   15   +1      72.02    12.24    16.12     0.65     5.97    33.58    12.79P    0.08R    0.00  
Cheltenham           11   14   -2      59.61    11.96    -7.75     0.04     0.59     7.69     1.97P    1.00R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   11   13   -5      48.28    11.31   -31.93     0.00     0.05     1.06     0.23P    7.93R    0.40  
Macclesfield         11   13   -6      53.80    12.17   -20.18     0.01     0.24     3.64     0.87P    3.94R    0.18  
Port_Vale            11   12   +0      56.32    12.12    -5.15     0.02     0.43     5.52     1.68P    1.77R    0.05  
Crewe                11   12   -2      51.47    11.65   -22.15     0.01     0.11     2.27     0.51P    4.20R    0.20  
Lincoln_City         11   12   -8      46.64    11.32   -28.74     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.13P   10.61R    0.57  
Northampton          11   11   -4      64.43    12.19     4.82     0.10     1.46    15.05     4.39P    0.55R    0.02  
Hereford             11   11   -4      50.11    11.55   -22.79     0.00     0.06     1.63     0.36P    5.72R    0.49  
Morecambe            11   11   -4      62.06    12.43     0.35     0.04     0.91    11.33     3.12P    1.03R    0.07  
Grimsby              11   10  -11      34.38     9.77   -60.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   50.18R    5.82  
Torquay              11    8   -6      48.16    11.85   -21.42     0.00     0.04     1.15     0.27P    8.60R    0.68  
Darlington           11    2  -14      15.82     7.11   -77.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.93R   91.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 October 2009, Tamworth vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         15   36  +19     102.88     9.08    61.59    71.96    98.32    80.12P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          15   30  +11      87.68     9.76    35.10     8.51    74.88    26.06P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          14   27  +10      86.39    10.34    33.87     7.49    69.55    25.77P    0.00     0.00  
York               14   26   +9      82.08    10.38    28.86     3.59    53.91    15.25P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          15   26   +7      73.74    10.30    15.00     0.55    23.60     4.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              14   25   +5      79.42    10.65    21.97     2.07    43.15    10.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      15   24   +6      71.80    10.06    14.49     0.40    17.82     4.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Altrincham         15   24   +4      70.44     9.97    10.54     0.24    14.04     3.18P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      14   23  +10      83.52    10.02    37.80     4.38    61.20    20.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           15   22   +3      68.65    10.07     9.37     0.14    11.08     2.10P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       15   22   -6      59.88     9.95   -12.62     0.01     1.86     0.25P    0.41R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      15   21  +10      73.17    10.09    26.46     0.59    22.89     5.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   15   20   +4      62.09    10.01     2.48     0.03     3.60     0.67P    0.19R    0.00  
Histon             15   18   -4      54.82     9.88   -14.22     0.00     0.65     0.09P    1.65R    0.05  
Eastbourne_Boro    15   16   -8      46.97     9.55   -26.09     0.00     0.08     0.01P    8.47R    0.42  
Salisbury          15   14   +1      53.62     9.89    -4.29     0.00     0.55     0.12P    2.05R    0.05  
Wrexham            13   14   +0      58.49    11.18    -0.04     0.02     2.67     0.71P    1.24R    0.04  
Barrow             15   14  -12      46.53     9.72   -28.35     0.00     0.05     0.00    10.27R    0.74  
Grays_Athletic     14   11   -9      44.17     9.81   -29.67     0.00     0.04     0.01P   15.35R    1.48  
Forest_Green       15   11  -16      34.62     8.53   -46.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.65R    7.39  
Gateshead          14    9  -12      44.32    10.17   -28.56     0.00     0.05     0.01P   16.08R    1.58  
Ebbsfleet_United   15    9  -15      32.05     8.20   -44.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.19R   13.20  
Hayes_&_Yeading    14    8  -10      36.80     9.50   -39.82     0.00     0.00     0.00P   40.28R    5.55  
Chester            14  -13   -7      19.94     9.93   -22.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.11R   69.49  

Adjustments:
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25