Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 5 October 2009 at 21:01:59 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2009, Arsenal vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 8 21 +12 84.42 10.33 52.45 24.10 43.44 60.96 76.17 94.07 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 8 19 +11 86.14 9.47 65.23 26.96 50.67 69.39 82.55 96.46 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 8 16 +7 74.61 11.13 43.46 5.06 13.91 26.29 42.10 75.45 0.01R 0.00 Arsenal 7 15 +14 83.31 10.97 77.85 22.36 42.52 59.08 72.25 90.98 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 8 15 +10 75.89 10.82 53.50 7.12 17.59 30.85 47.26 80.36 0.01R 0.00 Man_City 6 15 +7 77.78 12.95 43.19 11.99 25.14 39.34 52.82 78.58 0.03R 0.00 Sunderland 8 13 +3 57.25 11.75 2.79 0.15 0.68 2.14 5.12 20.13 0.82R 0.08 Aston_Villa 6 12 +4 64.82 13.68 17.59 2.22 5.81 11.01 18.87 43.03 0.37R 0.01 Burnley 8 12 -9 44.54 11.09 -26.99 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.34 2.45 8.50R 1.33 Everton 7 10 -2 40.64 11.84 -35.64 0.00 0.03 0.14 0.41 2.64 17.37R 3.32 Stoke 8 9 -4 44.53 11.24 -13.50 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.33 2.96 8.29R 1.43 Wigan 8 9 -7 41.24 10.60 -26.58 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.15 1.41 12.16R 1.82 Bolton 7 8 -1 45.98 12.06 -16.42 0.02 0.10 0.30 0.74 4.27 8.20R 1.41 Birmingham 8 7 -3 38.96 10.99 -16.33 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.09 0.91 18.60R 3.67 Fulham 7 7 -4 39.73 11.88 -24.39 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.27 2.06 18.96R 3.69 Blackburn 7 7 -7 39.25 11.36 -31.09 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.14 1.42 19.61R 4.02 Wolverhampton 8 7 -7 28.47 9.33 -53.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 57.38R 20.47 Hull 8 7 -12 32.24 9.69 -51.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 41.79R 12.24 West_Ham 7 5 -3 42.80 11.90 -14.99 0.01 0.05 0.14 0.39 2.62 11.94R 2.20 Portsmouth 8 3 -9 23.32 8.90 -45.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 75.96R 44.30Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2009, Barnsley vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 11 24 +13 102.77 10.46 62.95 64.57 84.23 98.49 89.85P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 11 21 +10 87.35 12.14 41.94 11.04 32.88 81.44 46.59P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 11 20 +6 79.31 12.94 25.58 4.28 14.09 59.63 24.93P 0.12R 0.01 Cardiff 11 19 +12 89.25 11.73 53.16 13.86 40.33 85.99 54.37P 0.01R 0.00 Preston 11 19 +6 72.58 12.98 15.23 1.45 5.73 39.33 13.18P 0.46R 0.07 Sheff_Utd 11 17 +4 68.80 12.80 10.12 0.80 3.11 28.66 8.33P 1.13R 0.15 Leicester 11 17 +2 68.26 12.30 8.06 0.42 2.27 25.67 7.76P 0.83R 0.05 Bristol_City 11 17 +1 71.96 12.76 12.57 0.89 4.19 36.74 12.87P 0.65R 0.08 Blackpool 11 16 +1 69.98 13.04 10.78 0.70 3.63 31.72 9.67P 0.99R 0.12 Nottm_Forest 11 16 +1 59.84 12.04 -4.23 0.08 0.50 9.60 2.50P 3.77R 0.41 Coventry 11 16 +0 62.58 12.82 -3.37 0.21 1.06 14.30 3.50P 3.66R 0.50 Crystal_Palace 10 15 +0 61.31 12.91 -3.59 0.11 0.76 12.93 3.39P 4.12R 0.58 QPR 10 14 +3 71.97 13.61 17.12 1.32 5.49 38.85 14.35P 0.77R 0.09 Swansea 11 14 -2 54.12 12.30 -9.64 0.02 0.18 4.10 1.11P 11.19R 2.22 Watford 11 14 -3 53.30 12.53 -21.93 0.02 0.18 4.26 0.82P 13.96R 3.20 Sheff_Wed 11 13 +1 62.78 12.46 3.88 0.15 0.90 14.78 3.73P 2.93R 0.39 Derby 11 13 -4 50.70 12.06 -23.27 0.01 0.09 2.39 0.44P 18.03R 4.36 Doncaster 11 11 -2 55.77 12.31 -5.12 0.04 0.22 5.52 1.52P 8.77R 1.65 Scunthorpe 11 11 -7 50.69 12.60 -24.05 0.02 0.12 2.79 0.53P 19.55R 5.22 Barnsley 11 11 -8 43.28 11.38 -38.43 0.00 0.01 0.53 0.11P 39.11R 12.70 Reading 11 10 -6 45.79 11.59 -23.51 0.00 0.02 0.98 0.22P 29.43R 8.65 Plymouth 11 8 -9 41.44 11.41 -33.51 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.07P 44.87R 16.79 Peterborough 11 7 -7 41.71 12.21 -32.04 0.00 0.02 0.60 0.13P 44.69R 18.15 Ipswich 11 5 -12 39.73 12.21 -38.70 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.04P 50.94R 24.63League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2009, Brentford vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leeds_United 11 27 +13 100.14 11.15 51.29 46.63 71.55 97.34 80.83P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 11 24 +10 92.04 11.56 44.78 18.03 41.75 90.45 56.05P 0.00R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 11 22 +4 74.51 12.68 11.70 1.97 6.31 44.94 13.38P 0.47R 0.01 Colchester 11 21 +12 95.64 10.66 59.19 27.80 57.86 95.83 71.73P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 11 20 +3 74.39 12.07 13.62 1.12 4.39 44.05 14.24P 0.44R 0.00 Swindon 11 18 -1 66.23 12.89 -0.87 0.37 1.68 22.55 5.40P 3.22R 0.13 Norwich 11 16 +5 74.52 12.36 25.45 1.29 4.94 47.09 12.98P 0.66R 0.04 Oldham 11 16 -1 58.23 12.16 -8.66 0.07 0.35 7.77 1.93P 8.90R 0.58 Huddersfield 11 15 +5 74.75 12.55 26.39 1.68 6.09 47.37 15.72P 0.62R 0.03 Millwall 11 14 +4 64.18 11.99 8.90 0.15 0.84 16.62 5.63P 2.92R 0.11 Southend 11 14 +3 65.46 12.78 8.77 0.37 1.57 21.41 6.29P 3.06R 0.13 Walsall 11 14 -3 55.95 11.72 -11.37 0.03 0.14 4.88 1.04P 11.82R 0.71 Exeter 11 13 -2 56.33 11.99 -9.04 0.02 0.16 5.94 1.21P 11.57R 0.79 Brentford 11 13 -3 55.42 11.96 -10.95 0.03 0.14 4.64 0.97P 13.34R 1.01 Hartlepool 11 12 -2 59.95 12.55 -1.30 0.10 0.40 10.35 2.65P 7.71R 0.55 Leyton_Orient 11 12 -7 49.18 11.94 -28.32 0.00 0.04 1.88 0.32P 28.56R 3.89 Gillingham 10 11 +0 65.14 13.54 8.24 0.27 1.45 21.95 5.75P 4.75R 0.32 Yeovil 11 11 -1 54.71 12.32 -7.11 0.03 0.16 5.21 1.32P 14.91R 1.22 Carlisle 11 11 -3 46.05 11.73 -26.10 0.00 0.04 1.17 0.23P 38.07R 5.32 Stockport 11 11 -4 49.33 11.81 -20.40 0.01 0.04 1.92 0.36P 27.29R 3.40 Brighton 10 9 -8 40.07 11.96 -44.18 0.00 0.01 0.46 0.08P 59.72R 16.97 Tranmere 11 7 -17 31.40 10.73 -69.37 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 84.13R 46.26 Wycombe 11 6 -8 37.81 10.80 -32.54 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 65.65R 17.26 Southampton 11 2 +1 56.18 12.32 11.89 0.02 0.11 6.02 1.88P 12.19R 1.27 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2009, Burton_Albion vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Bournemouth 11 25 +9 88.55 12.11 32.78 12.71 43.19 81.28 54.81P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 11 23 +8 86.30 11.84 33.98 8.86 35.66 77.18 46.08P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 11 21 +8 87.92 11.44 42.80 9.87 41.34 81.92 51.98P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 11 21 +7 84.83 11.62 32.70 5.89 30.15 74.37 42.61P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 11 21 +6 81.46 11.96 28.01 4.12 21.51 63.91 30.86P 0.00R 0.00 Notts_County 11 20 +17 100.63 9.75 86.22 52.57 84.67 98.44 89.74P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 11 20 +8 79.67 12.30 27.78 3.65 19.04 58.63 29.37P 0.02R 0.00 Aldershot 11 18 +6 68.10 12.69 8.13 0.51 4.36 24.79 9.04P 0.14R 0.00 Bradford 11 17 +0 73.77 12.38 15.92 0.97 8.51 38.77 14.62P 0.07R 0.00 Chesterfield 11 17 -1 65.17 11.98 -1.08 0.11 1.80 15.46 4.48P 0.28R 0.01 Bury 11 16 -3 49.12 11.61 -29.64 0.00 0.07 1.77 0.38P 5.83R 0.31 Burton_Albion 11 15 +1 71.36 12.25 15.11 0.49 5.23 31.92 11.65P 0.12R 0.00 Cheltenham 11 14 -2 60.01 12.15 -7.05 0.05 0.78 8.53 2.34P 0.96R 0.05 Accrington_Stanley 11 13 -5 47.80 11.40 -32.80 0.00 0.05 1.10 0.24P 8.36R 0.47 Macclesfield 11 13 -6 54.20 12.01 -19.42 0.01 0.24 3.57 0.83P 3.35R 0.18 Port_Vale 11 12 +0 56.91 12.21 -4.14 0.04 0.55 5.96 1.92P 1.75R 0.08 Crewe 11 12 -2 50.48 11.63 -24.16 0.01 0.12 1.94 0.43P 5.06R 0.27 Lincoln_City 11 12 -8 46.94 11.57 -28.58 0.00 0.03 0.80 0.18P 10.43R 0.66 Northampton 11 11 -4 64.24 12.20 4.54 0.06 1.37 14.44 4.11P 0.58R 0.03 Hereford 11 11 -4 50.35 11.86 -22.34 0.01 0.12 2.00 0.53P 5.38R 0.35 Morecambe 11 11 -4 62.80 12.42 1.68 0.06 1.16 12.20 3.56P 0.94R 0.08 Grimsby 11 10 -11 34.28 9.77 -60.83 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 49.96R 5.79 Torquay 11 8 -6 47.78 11.83 -22.17 0.00 0.04 0.97 0.21P 9.17R 0.93 Darlington 11 2 -14 15.81 7.26 -77.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.60R 90.77Conference (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 October 2009, Histon vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 15 36 +19 102.96 8.96 61.76 73.18 98.48 80.88P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 15 30 +11 87.82 9.80 35.33 8.74 75.67 27.01P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 14 27 +10 85.97 10.33 33.49 7.08 68.76 24.66P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 15 26 +7 73.34 10.28 14.36 0.46 22.98 4.31P 0.00 0.00 Luton 14 25 +5 79.72 10.52 22.50 2.10 44.77 11.11P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 15 24 +6 71.53 10.05 14.07 0.40 17.28 3.73P 0.01R 0.00 Altrincham 15 24 +4 71.08 10.09 11.58 0.33 16.17 3.85P 0.01R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 14 23 +10 83.77 9.97 38.15 4.56 62.58 21.12P 0.00 0.00 York 13 23 +8 78.82 10.87 24.88 2.05 42.65 11.87P 0.00R 0.00 Tamworth 14 22 +4 72.06 10.50 13.89 0.52 19.99 4.46P 0.01R 0.00 Crawley_Town 15 22 -6 59.77 10.22 -12.77 0.01 2.18 0.28P 0.48R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 15 21 +10 72.57 10.06 25.55 0.52 21.37 5.21P 0.01R 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 15 20 +4 61.40 9.91 1.37 0.02 2.99 0.60P 0.25R 0.01 Histon 15 18 -4 54.59 9.64 -14.54 0.00 0.56 0.07P 1.55R 0.06 Eastbourne_Boro 15 16 -8 47.08 9.57 -25.87 0.00 0.09 0.00P 7.79R 0.38 Salisbury 15 14 +1 53.11 9.79 -5.13 0.00 0.45 0.08P 2.01R 0.06 Wrexham 13 14 +0 58.89 11.15 0.50 0.03 2.88 0.75P 1.11R 0.04 Barrow 15 14 -12 46.76 9.57 -27.85 0.00 0.05 0.01P 9.32R 0.69 Grays_Athletic 14 11 -9 44.08 9.78 -29.45 0.00 0.03 0.00P 15.74R 1.65 Forest_Green 15 11 -16 34.54 8.50 -46.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.42R 7.31 Gateshead 14 9 -12 44.61 10.26 -27.88 0.00 0.07 0.01P 15.96R 1.53 Ebbsfleet_United 15 9 -15 32.06 8.23 -44.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.30R 12.85 Hayes_&_Yeading 14 8 -10 36.75 9.54 -40.32 0.00 0.01 0.00P 40.45R 5.90 Chester 14 -13 -7 20.01 9.69 -22.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.59R 69.51 Adjustments: Salisbury -10 Chester -25