Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 3 October 2009 at 21:02:04 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2009, Bolton vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          8   19  +11      86.53     9.36    66.93    27.74    52.01    70.94    84.06    96.88     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          7   18  +10      80.35    11.69    47.25    15.75    30.65    46.24    61.91    86.44     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        8   16   +7      75.37    10.91    45.08     5.42    15.07    28.16    44.37    78.08     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        7   15  +12      78.09    11.52    60.31    12.32    25.31    39.61    55.07    83.50     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City         6   15   +7      78.71    12.66    46.21    12.71    27.23    42.37    56.41    80.79     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland       8   13   +3      57.52    11.32     3.09     0.18     0.79     2.11     4.88    19.10     0.51R    0.08  
Arsenal          6   12  +10      82.79    12.10    73.83    23.22    41.97    56.83    69.38    88.39     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      6   12   +4      65.08    14.02    18.04     2.59     6.54    12.30    19.94    43.52     0.45R    0.02  
Burnley          8   12   -9      45.17    10.79   -25.29     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.30     2.55     6.54R    0.84  
Everton          6    9   -2      40.38    12.75   -41.47     0.01     0.08     0.32     0.79     3.32    18.99R    3.89  
Wigan            8    9   -7      41.44    10.63   -27.33     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.14     1.46    11.52R    1.95  
Bolton           7    8   -1      46.15    11.78   -16.10     0.03     0.11     0.33     0.78     4.30     7.36R    1.22  
Stoke            7    8   -4      44.81    12.01   -13.21     0.01     0.06     0.24     0.67     3.54     9.23R    1.72  
Blackburn        6    7   -3      39.38    12.02   -28.69     0.01     0.06     0.16     0.36     1.98    19.69R    4.56  
Birmingham       8    7   -3      39.37    11.20   -15.94     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.16     1.27    17.21R    3.47  
Wolverhampton    8    7   -7      28.53     9.22   -54.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    55.17R   18.81  
Hull             8    7  -12      33.40     9.77   -47.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    35.60R   10.19  
Fulham           6    6   -4      35.21    11.89   -30.34     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.19     1.09    31.58R    7.68  
West_Ham         6    4   -3      43.68    12.38   -12.21     0.01     0.06     0.19     0.59     3.54    10.85R    2.25  
Portsmouth       8    3   -9      23.20     8.97   -47.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    75.27R   43.33  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2009, Barnsley vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        11   24  +13     102.85    10.56    63.28    64.69    83.63    98.57    89.44P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        11   21  +10      87.40    11.99    41.98    10.91    33.18    81.97    46.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    11   20   +6      79.43    12.78    25.77     4.45    14.15    60.05    25.04P    0.13R    0.01  
Cardiff          11   19  +12      89.13    11.66    52.63    13.59    39.93    86.18    53.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston          11   19   +6      72.99    12.91    16.08     1.65     6.10    40.36    13.76P    0.47R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        11   17   +4      68.65    12.66     9.82     0.72     2.86    27.95     7.86P    1.07R    0.09  
Leicester        11   17   +2      69.05    12.25     9.14     0.44     2.60    27.60     8.84P    0.73R    0.04  
Bristol_City     11   17   +1      71.45    12.77    11.89     0.89     4.25    34.61    12.36P    0.57R    0.05  
Blackpool        11   16   +1      69.52    13.03    10.04     0.79     3.53    30.80     9.63P    1.01R    0.13  
Nottm_Forest     11   16   +1      60.09    11.75    -3.70     0.05     0.42     9.26     2.32P    3.41R    0.43  
Coventry         11   16   +0      62.37    12.78    -3.79     0.16     0.96    14.09     3.25P    3.61R    0.58  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   +0      61.59    13.29    -3.14     0.23     1.19    13.89     3.81P    4.32R    0.59  
QPR              10   14   +3      71.49    13.78    16.45     1.21     5.50    37.45    14.02P    0.87R    0.10  
Swansea          11   14   -2      54.67    12.38    -8.97     0.04     0.19     4.62     1.31P   10.45R    2.08  
Watford          11   14   -3      53.67    12.72   -21.25     0.04     0.26     4.67     0.89P   13.45R    3.12  
Sheff_Wed        11   13   +1      62.60    12.53     3.47     0.11     0.82    14.82     3.82P    3.04R    0.42  
Derby            11   13   -4      50.74    12.29   -23.37     0.01     0.11     2.78     0.58P   18.18R    4.33  
Doncaster        11   11   -2      55.25    12.02    -5.77     0.03     0.16     4.62     1.28P    8.80R    1.61  
Scunthorpe       11   11   -7      50.58    12.68   -24.37     0.01     0.12     2.89     0.58P   20.00R    5.45  
Barnsley         11   11   -8      42.79    11.17   -39.11     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.06P   40.50R   13.52  
Reading          11   10   -6      46.10    11.85   -23.12     0.00     0.02     1.13     0.26P   28.98R    8.49  
Plymouth         11    8   -9      41.49    11.48   -33.25     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.07P   44.85R   16.95  
Peterborough     11    7   -7      41.63    12.05   -32.21     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.09P   44.36R   18.08  
Ipswich          11    5  -12      39.76    12.23   -38.53     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.06P   51.18R   23.87  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2009, Brentford vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     11   27  +13     100.51    10.93    51.85    47.48    73.00    97.62    82.20P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         11   24  +10      91.71    11.71    44.08    17.48    40.73    89.71    54.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   11   22   +4      74.66    12.61    12.06     2.01     6.40    44.82    13.41P    0.49R    0.02  
Colchester       11   21  +12      95.65    10.83    59.11    27.58    57.70    95.42    71.63P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          11   20   +3      74.56    12.32    13.80     1.06     4.69    44.85    14.88P    0.48R    0.01  
Swindon          11   18   -1      66.18    12.94    -0.75     0.32     1.50    22.01     5.23P    3.41R    0.17  
Norwich          11   16   +5      74.61    12.25    25.59     1.30     4.86    46.65    12.97P    0.61R    0.03  
Oldham           11   16   -1      57.96    12.57    -9.10     0.06     0.36     8.02     1.94P   10.05R    0.76  
Huddersfield     11   15   +5      74.49    12.62    26.08     1.76     5.87    47.13    15.32P    0.66R    0.02  
Millwall         11   14   +4      64.48    11.91     9.27     0.19     0.93    17.10     5.71P    2.62R    0.10  
Southend         11   14   +3      65.49    12.81     8.93     0.30     1.51    21.53     6.20P    3.22R    0.16  
Walsall          11   14   -3      56.29    11.83   -10.80     0.01     0.12     5.22     1.05P   11.40R    0.65  
Exeter           11   13   -2      56.64    12.29    -8.72     0.02     0.11     6.45     1.33P   11.82R    0.79  
Brentford        11   13   -3      55.22    11.93   -11.37     0.02     0.11     4.60     0.95P   13.40R    1.11  
Hartlepool       11   12   -2      59.79    12.49    -1.42     0.04     0.34    10.31     2.54P    7.79R    0.53  
Leyton_Orient    11   12   -7      49.17    11.90   -28.52     0.00     0.03     1.89     0.31P   28.48R    3.57  
Gillingham       10   11   +0      65.60    13.29     9.16     0.29     1.45    22.31     5.75P    4.08R    0.22  
Yeovil           11   11   -1      53.97    12.33    -8.32     0.02     0.12     4.53     1.06P   16.18R    1.48  
Carlisle         11   11   -3      46.12    11.72   -26.04     0.00     0.02     1.18     0.25P   37.19R    5.36  
Stockport        11   11   -4      49.35    11.78   -20.30     0.00     0.03     1.84     0.35P   26.89R    3.37  
Brighton         10    9   -8      40.00    11.81   -44.03     0.00     0.02     0.45     0.07P   59.61R   16.42  
Tranmere         11    7  -17      31.67    10.73   -69.11     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   83.03R   44.91  
Wycombe          11    6   -8      37.64    11.11   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.01P   65.80R   18.93  
Southampton      11    2   +1      56.00    12.52    11.60     0.02     0.10     6.15     1.88P   12.80R    1.39  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2009, Barnet vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Bournemouth          11   25   +9      87.88    12.25    31.93    12.11    40.09    79.54    51.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            11   23   +8      86.28    11.69    33.80     8.28    34.53    77.51    45.21P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            11   21   +8      88.39    11.58    43.50    10.94    42.42    82.80    53.15P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet               11   21   +7      84.74    11.81    32.50     5.92    29.39    73.91    41.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           11   21   +6      81.69    11.97    28.23     4.21    21.70    64.80    31.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County         11   20  +17      99.96     9.93    84.62    49.16    82.16    98.01    87.89P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             10   20   +9      82.59    13.07    31.75     7.14    27.12    65.62    36.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot            11   18   +6      68.43    12.72     8.63     0.54     4.65    25.28     9.53P    0.13R    0.00  
Bradford             11   17   +0      73.08    12.38    14.35     0.95     7.34    36.32    13.38P    0.10R    0.01  
Chesterfield         11   17   -1      66.17    11.86     0.42     0.13     2.07    17.26     5.16P    0.18R    0.00  
Bury                 11   16   -3      48.79    11.40   -30.12     0.00     0.09     1.55     0.37P    5.82R    0.26  
Cheltenham           11   14   -2      59.31    12.01    -8.32     0.04     0.56     7.43     1.92P    1.02R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   11   13   -5      48.00    11.36   -32.76     0.00     0.05     1.03     0.22P    8.34R    0.42  
Macclesfield         11   13   -6      54.28    11.98   -19.44     0.01     0.22     3.48     0.80P    3.37R    0.16  
Burton_Albion        10   12   +0      68.73    13.15    12.49     0.39     4.29    26.37     9.75P    0.33R    0.01  
Port_Vale            11   12   +0      55.82    12.25    -6.00     0.01     0.31     4.95     1.39P    2.29R    0.09  
Crewe                11   12   -2      51.21    11.89   -22.70     0.01     0.14     2.43     0.59P    4.62R    0.24  
Lincoln_City         11   12   -8      46.43    11.65   -29.28     0.00     0.05     0.88     0.21P   11.21R    0.89  
Northampton          11   11   -4      64.68    12.32     5.36     0.08     1.53    15.81     4.41P    0.60R    0.05  
Hereford             11   11   -4      50.19    11.86   -22.50     0.00     0.11     2.01     0.52P    5.68R    0.38  
Morecambe            11   11   -4      62.72    12.34     1.54     0.07     1.10    11.73     3.44P    0.93R    0.04  
Grimsby              11   10  -11      34.52    10.11   -60.77     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   49.67R    5.90  
Torquay              11    8   -6      48.54    11.97   -20.73     0.00     0.07     1.24     0.30P    8.09R    0.82  
Darlington           11    2  -14      16.02     7.16   -76.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.62R   90.67  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 October 2009, AFC_Wimbledon vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         15   36  +19     102.68     9.04    61.31    71.74    98.42    79.80P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          15   30  +11      87.66     9.87    35.13     8.43    74.50    26.15P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          14   27  +10      86.26    10.25    33.92     7.72    69.21    25.82P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          15   26   +7      73.26    10.23    14.24     0.53    22.47     4.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              14   25   +5      79.76    10.51    22.50     2.16    44.87    10.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      15   24   +6      71.38    10.05    13.81     0.42    16.73     3.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Altrincham         15   24   +4      70.65    10.06    10.93     0.32    14.89     3.32P    0.02R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      14   23  +10      83.41    10.10    37.48     4.66    60.70    20.68P    0.00     0.00  
York               13   23   +8      78.91    10.86    25.08     2.32    42.04    12.07P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           14   22   +4      72.05    10.64    13.84     0.66    19.81     4.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       15   22   -6      59.57    10.02   -13.13     0.01     1.95     0.26P    0.38R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      14   20  +10      74.12    10.67    27.68     0.99    26.96     6.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   15   20   +4      61.76     9.96     1.98     0.02     3.18     0.60P    0.21R    0.01  
Histon             14   17   -4      54.33    10.45   -15.90     0.00     0.87     0.15P    2.32R    0.08  
Eastbourne_Boro    15   16   -8      47.16     9.49   -25.71     0.00     0.09     0.01P    7.88R    0.42  
Salisbury          15   14   +1      53.51     9.87    -4.44     0.00     0.51     0.08P    2.12R    0.09  
Wrexham            13   14   +0      58.87    11.18     0.51     0.02     2.66     0.65P    1.06R    0.03  
Barrow             15   14  -12      46.99     9.81   -27.51     0.00     0.07     0.01P    9.56R    0.78  
Grays_Athletic     14   11   -9      44.02     9.67   -29.77     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.43R    1.50  
Forest_Green       15   11  -16      34.42     8.44   -46.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.60R    7.46  
Gateshead          14    9  -12      44.75    10.16   -27.77     0.00     0.03     0.00P   15.06R    1.31  
Ebbsfleet_United   15    9  -15      32.09     8.29   -44.32     0.00     0.00     0.00P   61.96R   12.54  
Hayes_&_Yeading    14    8  -10      36.72     9.48   -40.22     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.66R    5.78  
Chester            14  -13   -7      19.82     9.75   -22.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.71R   70.01  

Adjustments:
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25