Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 1 October 2009 at 21:01:52 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 September 2009, Man_City vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd          7   18  +11      94.23     8.68    97.33    52.89    76.78    88.67    94.74    99.30     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          7   18  +10      78.43    11.72    44.54     7.81    19.22    33.98    51.77    82.72     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        7   15  +12      76.67    11.03    57.74     5.36    14.92    28.86    45.76    81.27     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        7   15   +7      79.01    11.02    56.81     5.81    19.13    35.55    54.86    85.49     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City         6   15   +7      80.63    12.07    52.99     9.22    24.34    42.90    57.96    85.34     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          6   12  +10      84.92    11.36    83.86    17.36    40.88    59.19    72.79    91.92     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      6   12   +4      65.60    13.49    19.60     1.51     4.44     9.70    17.91    43.93     0.28R    0.02  
Sunderland       7   12   +3      48.10    11.42   -27.47     0.02     0.10     0.39     1.00     5.77     3.63R    0.34  
Everton          6    9   -2      41.11    12.75   -44.60     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.62     3.51    17.56R    2.35  
Wigan            7    9   -6      47.50    11.34   -17.02     0.00     0.03     0.15     0.58     4.67     4.37R    0.33  
Burnley          7    9  -10      39.57    10.56   -31.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.91    15.01R    1.77  
Stoke            7    8   -4      42.67    11.51   -17.36     0.01     0.02     0.09     0.27     2.21    10.26R    1.21  
Bolton           6    7   -1      39.98    12.54   -36.31     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.29     2.26    19.14R    3.21  
Birmingham       7    7   -2      42.70    11.34    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.24     2.14     9.31R    0.71  
Blackburn        6    7   -3      39.14    11.59   -30.90     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.18     1.59    19.02R    2.78  
Wolverhampton    7    7   -6      33.78    10.39   -48.95     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.05     0.32    33.21R    6.73  
Fulham           6    6   -4      36.72    11.58   -28.65     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.18     1.22    25.05R    3.58  
West_Ham         6    4   -3      46.84    12.44    -7.31     0.02     0.08     0.17     0.73     5.35     6.59R    0.71  
Hull             7    4  -13      29.21     9.90   -56.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    51.00R   15.62  
Portsmouth       7    0  -10      18.88     8.73   -56.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    85.56R   60.63  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 September 2009, Newcastle vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Newcastle        10   23  +13     105.59    10.76    69.50    70.45    86.67    98.66    91.19P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        10   20  +10      87.12    12.91    42.03     9.55    31.10    76.92    42.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston          10   18   +6      71.42    13.51    12.08     1.32     5.40    32.98    11.23P    0.53R    0.07  
Middlesbrough    10   17   +4      75.65    13.29    19.70     2.27     8.51    44.66    16.81P    0.25R    0.04  
Cardiff          10   16   +8      84.75    13.14    43.09     6.90    24.93    71.84    38.10P    0.09R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        10   16   +4      70.80    13.18    12.76     0.83     4.01    30.84     9.49P    0.73R    0.11  
Blackpool        10   16   +4      78.00    13.14    23.93     2.35    10.49    51.97    21.92P    0.12R    0.01  
Leicester        10   16   +2      69.65    13.46     9.41     0.68     3.62    27.57     9.68P    0.73R    0.08  
Bristol_City     10   16   +1      68.75    13.51     7.34     0.84     3.15    25.44     8.66P    1.08R    0.12  
Coventry         10   15   +0      63.11    13.56    -3.45     0.28     1.47    14.71     3.84P    3.14R    0.42  
QPR               9   14   +5      79.66    14.14    29.13     3.69    14.86    57.00    27.53P    0.15R    0.01  
Watford          10   14   +1      60.90    13.89    -6.41     0.22     1.26    12.62     3.39P    4.70R    0.78  
Sheff_Wed        10   13   +4      69.87    13.31    16.56     0.49     3.49    29.50     9.66P    0.82R    0.08  
Nottm_Forest     10   13   +0      59.01    12.73    -3.95     0.07     0.39     8.08     2.12P    4.08R    0.55  
Crystal_Palace    9   12   -3      50.59    12.91   -18.14     0.01     0.15     2.88     0.72P   15.75R    3.07  
Swansea          10   11   -4      45.62    11.62   -20.05     0.00     0.02     0.72     0.18P   25.60R    6.63  
Scunthorpe       10   11   -6      52.68    13.45   -23.05     0.02     0.18     3.90     0.74P   14.43R    3.91  
Doncaster        10   10   -2      54.80    12.46    -7.27     0.01     0.14     4.16     1.06P    8.52R    1.61  
Reading          10   10   -4      50.37    13.05   -17.11     0.02     0.14     2.84     0.70P   16.72R    4.39  
Derby            10   10   -7      41.74    11.77   -42.93     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P   39.79R   13.58  
Barnsley         10    8   -9      41.44    11.95   -40.22     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.06P   40.70R   15.16  
Peterborough     10    7   -6      44.30    12.73   -28.70     0.00     0.03     1.00     0.22P   31.64R   10.21  
Plymouth         10    5  -10      38.17    12.18   -38.05     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   51.67R   22.87  
Ipswich          10    5  -11      42.31    13.01   -36.20     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.13P   38.76R   16.30  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2009, Brentford vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leeds_United     10   26  +13     103.99    11.57    59.15    54.44    76.85    98.06    84.48P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         10   23  +10      90.99    12.58    43.36    13.40    33.39    86.87    47.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   10   22   +8      82.39    13.52    25.73     5.81    16.05    67.22    28.24P    0.18R    0.00  
Colchester       10   18  +11      95.79    11.52    63.61    21.47    52.95    94.40    67.87P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons          10   17   +2      72.78    12.95    12.48     0.65     3.20    38.80    11.74P    0.84R    0.04  
Huddersfield     10   15   +6      73.21    14.11    21.19     1.92     6.20    42.53    13.91P    1.29R    0.06  
Oldham           10   15   -1      58.61    13.52   -10.65     0.16     0.68    10.00     2.47P    9.93R    1.20  
Swindon          10   15   -2      60.86    13.33    -7.51     0.12     0.65    12.87     2.99P    7.30R    0.76  
Norwich          10   13   +1      68.56    13.51    10.92     0.38     1.94    28.82     6.40P    2.60R    0.23  
Brentford        10   13   -2      57.09    12.78    -8.57     0.04     0.22     7.46     1.72P   10.67R    1.15  
Walsall          10   13   -3      58.29    12.73    -7.94     0.03     0.22     8.23     1.75P    9.29R    0.77  
Hartlepool       10   12   +0      66.90    13.06     9.41     0.21     1.15    23.63     6.40P    2.74R    0.22  
Gillingham        9   11   +3      73.82    14.64    24.80     1.18     5.40    44.99    15.66P    1.56R    0.13  
Southend         10   11   +1      59.01    13.58    -2.53     0.12     0.58    11.38     3.11P    9.63R    1.13  
Millwall         10   11   -1      52.72    12.01    -7.88     0.02     0.08     3.31     0.91P   16.56R    2.04  
Stockport        10   11   -2      55.30    13.07   -10.76     0.03     0.18     6.56     1.46P   14.22R    1.74  
Yeovil           10   10   -1      53.13    12.97   -11.61     0.01     0.08     4.73     1.05P   18.20R    3.03  
Carlisle         10   10   -3      45.14    12.28   -27.61     0.00     0.03     1.30     0.26P   39.58R    8.60  
Exeter           10   10   -4      50.96    12.57   -16.29     0.00     0.05     2.94     0.55P   22.78R    3.42  
Brighton          9    9   -7      41.99    13.20   -45.30     0.01     0.04     1.14     0.24P   51.38R   18.49  
Leyton_Orient    10    9   -8      44.19    12.30   -37.94     0.00     0.02     1.02     0.16P   43.37R   12.24  
Tranmere         10    7  -12      38.62    12.11   -47.70     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.05P   61.80R   24.77  
Wycombe          10    6   -7      43.36    12.20   -26.46     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.13P   44.95R   11.70  
Southampton      10   -1   -2      47.84    13.64    -1.88     0.00     0.02     2.56     0.73P   31.11R    8.27  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 September 2009, Chesterfield vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Bournemouth          10   24   +9      90.10    12.86    35.33    14.21    44.82    82.25    55.67P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             10   20   +9      82.57    13.00    31.80     5.12    24.68    65.36    35.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            10   20   +8      89.79    12.34    46.03    10.67    44.97    83.53    54.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            10   20   +7      84.69    12.78    31.94     6.48    28.72    70.88    40.44P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           10   20   +6      81.84    12.79    28.12     4.08    21.95    63.20    31.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County         10   19  +17     102.43    10.47    90.51    53.09    84.81    98.24    89.54P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            10   18   +7      72.98    13.68    15.09     1.52     9.54    37.35    16.27P    0.06R    0.00  
Barnet               10   18   +4      82.52    12.92    29.28     3.49    22.91    65.20    34.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             10   16   +0      71.19    13.10     9.91     0.54     5.71    31.12    10.79P    0.11R    0.00  
Bury                 10   15   -3      48.04    12.02   -32.15     0.01     0.11     1.40     0.34P    7.15R    0.55  
Chesterfield         10   14   -2      65.95    13.08     1.44     0.16     2.52    18.33     5.83P    0.47R    0.04  
Cheltenham           10   13   -2      57.47    12.87   -13.45     0.07     0.68     6.88     1.91P    1.83R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   10   13   -4      49.14    12.25   -34.54     0.02     0.14     1.89     0.42P    7.63R    0.80  
Burton_Albion        10   12   +0      68.81    13.28    12.62     0.28     3.75    25.82     9.33P    0.36R    0.03  
Crewe                10   12   -1      53.19    12.72   -19.31     0.03     0.32     4.05     1.04P    3.74R    0.34  
Port_Vale            10   11   +0      55.75    12.77    -6.95     0.03     0.52     5.60     1.77P    2.32R    0.15  
Northampton          10   10   -4      65.47    13.15     6.28     0.12     2.07    17.63     5.23P    0.74R    0.08  
Hereford             10   10   -4      48.83    12.62   -26.72     0.01     0.13     1.99     0.52P    7.66R    1.06  
Morecambe            10   10   -4      62.72    13.27     0.65     0.08     1.32    13.36     3.90P    1.31R    0.19  
Macclesfield         10   10   -7      53.12    12.88   -20.02     0.01     0.20     3.28     0.78P    5.53R    0.89  
Grimsby              10   10   -8      36.55    10.92   -57.24     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   38.41R    6.57  
Lincoln_City         10    9   -9      41.89    11.89   -35.50     0.00     0.02     0.47     0.10P   21.21R    3.18  
Torquay              10    7   -6      50.41    12.67   -18.23     0.00     0.12     2.01     0.50P    6.99R    1.26  
Darlington           10    2  -13      17.93     8.20   -74.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.46R   84.73  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2009, Altrincham vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         14   35  +19     105.37     9.07    66.44    76.23    98.99    83.32P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          14   27  +10      85.79    10.16    34.01     4.57    68.07    20.78P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          13   26  +10      85.83    10.77    33.12     5.63    66.66    22.69P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      13   23  +11      88.35    10.35    46.30     8.28    76.37    28.85P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          14   23   +6      72.73    10.45    15.56     0.34    21.36     3.69P    0.02R    0.00  
York               12   22   +8      79.85    11.53    26.18     2.10    46.00    13.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           13   22   +5      73.63    11.08    15.51     0.70    24.94     5.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Luton              13   22   +4      77.56    11.32    20.83     1.34    37.31     8.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      14   21   +5      66.58    10.51     7.52     0.08     9.04     1.78P    0.07R    0.00  
Altrincham         14   21   +3      66.53    10.47     6.48     0.09     8.46     1.76P    0.08R    0.00  
Crawley_Town       14   21   -6      61.46    10.63   -10.93     0.02     3.29     0.40P    0.53R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      14   20  +10      73.90    10.51    27.60     0.52    25.92     5.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   14   20   +5      64.42    10.38     5.30     0.04     5.91     0.98P    0.13R    0.00  
Histon             14   17   -4      54.40    10.12   -15.40     0.00     0.79     0.12P    1.97R    0.06  
Eastbourne_Boro    14   16   -7      48.35     9.77   -25.31     0.00     0.14     0.01P    6.84R    0.27  
Wrexham            12   14   +1      62.62    11.89     5.25     0.06     6.21     1.45P    0.72R    0.02  
Barrow             14   13  -12      44.50    10.07   -33.28     0.00     0.04     0.00P   15.90R    1.47  
Salisbury          14   11   +0      49.60    10.05    -8.58     0.00     0.24     0.05P    5.33R    0.32  
Forest_Green       14   11  -15      34.83     8.82   -49.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.83R    7.56  
Grays_Athletic     13   10   -9      46.46    10.50   -27.47     0.00     0.15     0.02P   12.48R    1.20  
Gateshead          13    8  -12      45.14    10.70   -29.22     0.00     0.09     0.00P   16.08R    1.54  
Ebbsfleet_United   14    8  -15      31.99     8.76   -46.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.89R   14.24  
Hayes_&_Yeading    13    7  -10      38.13    10.16   -40.28     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.32R    5.87  
Chester            13  -14   -7      20.11    10.51   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.78R   67.43  

Adjustments:
Salisbury          -10
Chester            -25