Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 30 September 2009 at 21:01:55 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 September 2009, Man_City vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 7 18 +11 94.28 8.75 96.90 54.21 77.16 88.64 94.43 99.13 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 7 18 +10 78.37 11.44 44.48 7.19 18.60 33.54 50.99 82.46 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 7 15 +12 76.94 10.97 58.61 5.88 15.61 29.20 46.50 81.46 0.01R 0.00 Tottenham 7 15 +7 79.01 10.85 56.65 5.73 18.81 35.23 54.15 85.38 0.00R 0.00 Man_City 6 15 +7 80.38 12.18 52.58 9.05 24.31 42.62 57.61 84.07 0.01R 0.00 Arsenal 6 12 +10 84.93 10.97 82.73 16.49 40.63 59.43 73.23 92.50 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 6 12 +4 66.10 13.51 20.35 1.42 4.53 9.87 18.41 45.21 0.31R 0.01 Sunderland 7 12 +3 48.16 11.30 -27.31 0.01 0.11 0.35 0.98 5.33 3.50R 0.31 Everton 6 9 -2 41.18 12.65 -44.39 0.01 0.06 0.21 0.69 3.34 16.80R 2.07 Wigan 7 9 -6 47.67 11.58 -16.92 0.00 0.04 0.18 0.66 4.78 4.49R 0.41 Burnley 7 9 -10 39.78 10.73 -31.27 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.14 1.17 14.84R 1.85 Stoke 7 8 -4 43.16 11.63 -16.75 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.35 2.43 9.69R 1.10 Bolton 6 7 -1 39.90 12.17 -35.66 0.01 0.04 0.14 0.35 2.08 18.11R 2.48 Birmingham 7 7 -2 42.49 11.81 -9.87 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.38 2.62 10.45R 0.96 Blackburn 6 7 -3 39.22 11.51 -30.73 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.22 1.49 18.07R 2.67 Wolverhampton 7 7 -6 34.13 10.28 -48.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.28 31.58R 6.33 Fulham 6 6 -4 36.07 11.67 -29.52 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.15 1.01 26.88R 4.13 West_Ham 6 4 -3 46.41 12.79 -8.15 0.00 0.03 0.17 0.72 5.19 7.77R 1.28 Hull 7 4 -13 28.95 9.79 -56.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 52.27R 15.37 Portsmouth 7 0 -10 18.74 8.97 -56.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.21R 61.05Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 September 2009, Newcastle vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Newcastle 10 23 +13 105.79 10.74 69.99 71.45 87.27 98.64 91.39P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 10 20 +10 86.85 13.16 41.54 9.13 30.83 75.74 42.13P 0.02R 0.00 Preston 10 18 +6 70.88 13.59 11.03 1.18 5.30 31.92 10.58P 0.65R 0.07 Middlesbrough 10 17 +4 75.75 13.40 19.88 2.35 8.75 44.81 17.04P 0.25R 0.03 Cardiff 10 16 +8 84.51 13.13 42.46 6.16 24.21 71.29 37.27P 0.05R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 10 16 +4 71.28 13.07 13.55 1.05 4.25 31.73 9.95P 0.53R 0.05 Blackpool 10 16 +4 78.73 13.13 25.08 2.60 11.48 54.44 23.61P 0.15R 0.02 Leicester 10 16 +2 70.11 12.76 10.07 0.58 3.13 27.70 9.02P 0.50R 0.04 Bristol_City 10 16 +1 68.27 13.50 6.65 0.63 2.91 24.36 8.32P 1.07R 0.13 Coventry 10 15 +0 63.25 13.31 -3.40 0.26 1.36 14.21 3.75P 2.82R 0.38 QPR 9 14 +5 79.61 13.96 29.04 3.58 14.28 57.26 27.33P 0.18R 0.01 Watford 10 14 +1 60.47 13.71 -7.36 0.21 1.08 11.69 2.86P 4.98R 0.80 Sheff_Wed 10 13 +4 70.64 13.38 18.01 0.66 4.05 31.85 10.88P 0.64R 0.08 Nottm_Forest 10 13 +0 59.41 12.61 -3.46 0.07 0.42 8.26 2.22P 3.83R 0.55 Crystal_Palace 9 12 -3 50.33 12.67 -18.56 0.02 0.09 2.53 0.61P 15.71R 3.09 Swansea 10 11 -4 45.51 11.81 -20.07 0.00 0.03 0.80 0.21P 26.54R 7.11 Scunthorpe 10 11 -6 52.16 13.13 -23.98 0.02 0.19 3.30 0.66P 14.64R 3.63 Doncaster 10 10 -2 54.40 12.55 -7.87 0.02 0.17 4.10 1.06P 8.97R 1.80 Reading 10 10 -4 50.48 13.22 -16.93 0.02 0.14 2.93 0.69P 16.96R 4.21 Derby 10 10 -7 41.89 11.78 -42.79 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.06P 39.21R 13.24 Barnsley 10 8 -9 41.73 11.97 -39.43 0.01 0.03 0.45 0.10P 39.73R 14.74 Peterborough 10 7 -6 44.05 12.50 -29.00 0.00 0.01 0.78 0.14P 32.04R 10.57 Plymouth 10 5 -10 37.85 12.04 -38.84 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 52.27R 24.01 Ipswich 10 5 -11 42.46 12.83 -35.62 0.00 0.01 0.57 0.09P 38.28R 15.43League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2009, Brentford vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leeds_United 10 26 +13 103.41 11.41 58.16 52.03 75.16 98.14 83.35P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 10 23 +10 90.96 12.65 43.25 13.48 33.68 86.66 47.54P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 10 22 +8 83.03 13.59 26.87 6.54 17.48 68.83 29.54P 0.14R 0.01 Colchester 10 18 +11 96.07 11.44 64.28 23.16 53.59 94.69 68.47P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 10 17 +2 72.54 13.23 12.18 0.76 3.35 38.79 12.19P 0.94R 0.04 Huddersfield 10 15 +6 72.93 13.86 20.65 1.59 5.46 41.61 13.19P 1.23R 0.06 Oldham 10 15 -1 58.91 13.55 -10.31 0.10 0.56 10.72 2.54P 9.93R 1.28 Swindon 10 15 -2 60.49 13.22 -8.11 0.11 0.50 12.25 2.66P 7.43R 0.87 Norwich 10 13 +1 68.79 13.60 11.56 0.38 1.85 29.90 6.90P 2.73R 0.21 Brentford 10 13 -2 57.05 12.47 -8.77 0.02 0.16 6.91 1.41P 10.53R 1.10 Walsall 10 13 -3 58.60 12.59 -7.54 0.04 0.29 8.25 1.92P 8.65R 0.69 Hartlepool 10 12 +0 67.24 13.22 10.08 0.32 1.37 24.59 7.10P 2.60R 0.17 Gillingham 9 11 +3 73.21 14.92 23.68 1.33 5.62 43.32 14.91P 2.10R 0.20 Southend 10 11 +1 58.36 13.25 -3.41 0.05 0.41 10.12 2.49P 9.98R 1.12 Millwall 10 11 -1 51.63 11.96 -9.12 0.01 0.08 2.91 0.86P 18.90R 2.51 Stockport 10 11 -2 55.81 12.96 -9.70 0.03 0.19 6.81 1.51P 13.19R 1.62 Yeovil 10 10 -1 53.66 12.94 -10.63 0.02 0.11 5.29 1.20P 17.15R 2.38 Carlisle 10 10 -3 44.51 12.33 -28.76 0.01 0.04 1.13 0.21P 42.23R 9.73 Exeter 10 10 -4 51.18 12.65 -16.03 0.00 0.04 3.10 0.60P 22.87R 3.50 Brighton 9 9 -7 41.89 13.05 -45.70 0.00 0.01 1.02 0.17P 51.92R 18.27 Leyton_Orient 10 9 -8 44.06 12.25 -38.14 0.00 0.02 1.03 0.17P 43.67R 12.08 Tranmere 10 7 -12 38.85 12.27 -47.59 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.04P 60.79R 24.67 Wycombe 10 6 -7 43.96 12.39 -25.60 0.00 0.00 0.86 0.16P 43.31R 11.66 Southampton 10 -1 -2 48.35 13.53 -1.31 0.00 0.02 2.62 0.86P 29.70R 7.85 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 September 2009, Chesterfield vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Bournemouth 10 24 +9 89.94 12.95 35.17 13.82 44.95 81.63 55.81P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 10 20 +9 82.32 13.35 31.28 5.71 24.80 63.45 34.44P 0.02R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 10 20 +8 89.71 12.29 45.97 10.94 44.37 83.30 54.45P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 10 20 +7 84.95 12.78 32.42 6.86 29.47 71.41 41.03P 0.00R 0.00 Shrewsbury 10 20 +6 81.98 12.86 28.38 4.52 22.09 63.33 31.20P 0.01R 0.00 Notts_County 10 19 +17 101.94 10.60 89.47 51.43 83.64 97.92 88.45P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 10 18 +7 73.53 13.66 16.07 1.69 10.04 38.91 17.04P 0.04R 0.00 Barnet 10 18 +4 82.73 12.72 29.35 3.76 23.04 65.94 34.82P 0.01R 0.00 Bradford 10 16 +0 71.74 13.25 11.06 0.59 6.24 32.72 11.81P 0.15R 0.02 Bury 10 15 -3 47.46 12.08 -33.48 0.01 0.12 1.51 0.38P 8.19R 0.57 Chesterfield 10 14 -2 65.36 12.85 0.59 0.12 2.08 17.02 5.19P 0.47R 0.03 Cheltenham 10 13 -2 57.93 12.68 -12.59 0.03 0.61 6.85 1.78P 1.57R 0.06 Accrington_Stanley 10 13 -4 49.07 12.16 -34.46 0.01 0.12 1.80 0.40P 7.41R 0.55 Burton_Albion 10 12 +0 69.18 13.03 13.21 0.26 3.78 26.31 9.29P 0.29R 0.02 Crewe 10 12 -1 53.23 12.64 -19.00 0.01 0.26 3.82 0.95P 3.80R 0.29 Port_Vale 10 11 +0 55.53 12.57 -7.38 0.01 0.42 4.95 1.49P 2.44R 0.14 Northampton 10 10 -4 65.60 13.29 6.43 0.15 2.22 18.44 5.78P 0.69R 0.07 Hereford 10 10 -4 48.95 12.43 -26.55 0.00 0.14 2.02 0.53P 7.33R 0.85 Morecambe 10 10 -4 62.58 13.13 0.47 0.07 1.30 12.86 3.77P 1.11R 0.10 Macclesfield 10 10 -7 52.96 12.62 -20.61 0.01 0.18 2.90 0.70P 5.26R 0.67 Grimsby 10 10 -8 36.53 10.92 -56.99 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.04P 38.77R 5.43 Lincoln_City 10 9 -9 42.37 11.96 -34.77 0.00 0.03 0.56 0.13P 19.89R 2.37 Torquay 10 7 -6 50.82 12.83 -17.49 0.01 0.11 2.19 0.51P 6.86R 1.12 Darlington 10 2 -13 17.01 7.84 -76.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.71R 87.72Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2009, Altrincham vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 14 35 +19 105.84 8.98 67.07 77.86 99.15 84.64P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 14 27 +10 85.82 10.21 34.20 4.38 68.28 20.82P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 13 26 +10 85.97 10.55 33.23 5.12 67.75 22.91P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 13 23 +11 88.51 10.34 46.66 7.82 76.78 28.71P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 14 23 +6 72.90 10.54 16.01 0.38 21.59 3.79P 0.00R 0.00 York 12 22 +8 79.50 11.23 25.62 1.70 44.40 12.15P 0.00R 0.00 Tamworth 13 22 +5 73.53 11.04 15.34 0.66 24.22 5.69P 0.01R 0.00 Luton 13 22 +4 77.75 11.05 21.15 1.09 37.64 8.41P 0.00R 0.00 Kidderminster 14 21 +5 65.66 10.32 5.95 0.08 7.34 1.38P 0.07R 0.00 Altrincham 14 21 +3 66.95 10.54 6.98 0.12 8.99 1.89P 0.07R 0.00 Crawley_Town 14 21 -6 61.53 10.35 -10.84 0.01 3.20 0.36P 0.34R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 14 20 +10 74.44 10.58 28.49 0.67 27.59 6.58P 0.01R 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 14 20 +5 64.64 10.29 5.64 0.04 6.02 1.00P 0.10R 0.00 Histon 14 17 -4 53.91 10.08 -16.14 0.00 0.71 0.11P 2.22R 0.08 Eastbourne_Boro 14 16 -7 48.48 9.96 -25.23 0.00 0.17 0.03P 7.21R 0.38 Wrexham 12 14 +1 62.29 11.67 4.81 0.08 5.67 1.46P 0.64R 0.02 Barrow 14 13 -12 44.59 10.16 -33.08 0.00 0.05 0.01P 16.01R 1.62 Salisbury 14 11 +0 49.63 10.06 -8.55 0.00 0.22 0.03P 5.15R 0.28 Forest_Green 14 11 -15 34.61 8.75 -49.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.80R 7.82 Grays_Athletic 13 10 -9 46.53 10.41 -27.22 0.00 0.13 0.02P 11.88R 1.17 Gateshead 13 8 -12 45.05 10.67 -29.35 0.00 0.09 0.01P 16.01R 1.61 Ebbsfleet_United 14 8 -15 32.24 8.96 -45.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.43R 14.03 Hayes_&_Yeading 13 7 -10 37.47 9.97 -41.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.16R 6.73 Chester 13 -14 -7 20.36 10.68 -24.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.89R 66.27 Adjustments: Salisbury -10 Chester -25