Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 29 September 2009 at 21:02:03 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 September 2009, Man_City vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Man_Utd 7 18 +11 94.14 8.81 97.39 52.81 76.29 88.64 94.63 99.11 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 7 18 +10 77.80 11.53 42.85 6.89 17.43 31.57 49.12 81.23 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 7 15 +12 76.99 10.95 58.54 6.20 15.97 29.46 46.81 82.76 0.01R 0.00
Tottenham 7 15 +7 79.01 10.91 56.44 5.63 18.85 35.26 54.55 85.55 0.00R 0.00
Man_City 6 15 +7 80.73 12.29 52.95 9.82 25.18 43.60 58.71 84.93 0.01R 0.00
Arsenal 6 12 +10 85.02 11.23 84.01 17.13 41.37 60.50 73.92 92.17 0.00 0.00
Aston_Villa 6 12 +4 65.26 13.64 18.59 1.45 4.57 9.62 17.56 43.24 0.31R 0.01
Sunderland 7 12 +3 48.29 11.47 -27.53 0.03 0.12 0.36 1.06 5.73 3.74R 0.34
Everton 6 9 -2 41.65 12.81 -42.89 0.01 0.06 0.25 0.77 3.60 16.47R 2.13
Wigan 7 9 -6 46.81 11.66 -18.01 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.55 4.50 5.53R 0.51
Burnley 7 9 -10 39.68 10.39 -31.35 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.96 14.03R 1.68
Stoke 7 8 -4 43.75 11.86 -15.68 0.00 0.03 0.15 0.47 3.13 9.21R 1.28
Bolton 6 7 -1 40.28 12.14 -34.66 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.30 2.14 17.18R 2.64
Birmingham 7 7 -2 42.86 11.81 -9.29 0.00 0.03 0.11 0.40 2.78 9.80R 0.74
Blackburn 6 7 -3 39.42 11.81 -30.24 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.17 1.62 18.71R 2.88
Wolverhampton 7 7 -6 33.91 10.60 -48.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.44 33.39R 7.38
Fulham 6 6 -4 35.02 11.40 -31.37 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.12 0.90 29.99R 4.47
West_Ham 6 4 -3 46.35 12.63 -8.63 0.01 0.05 0.21 0.72 5.05 7.68R 1.17
Hull 7 4 -13 29.68 10.12 -55.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 49.34R 15.10
Portsmouth 7 0 -10 19.07 8.98 -56.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 84.62R 59.67
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2009, Barnsley vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Newcastle 9 22 +13 108.15 11.17 73.05 74.56 88.48 98.77 92.45P 0.00 0.00
West_Brom 10 20 +10 86.84 13.36 41.39 7.10 29.35 74.76 40.78P 0.02R 0.00
Preston 10 18 +6 71.70 13.67 12.44 1.09 5.27 33.51 11.14P 0.62R 0.09
Middlesbrough 9 17 +5 80.79 14.11 27.66 4.02 15.50 58.86 25.69P 0.19R 0.02
Cardiff 10 16 +8 84.99 12.92 43.32 5.38 23.17 72.15 36.81P 0.03R 0.00
Sheff_Utd 10 16 +4 71.02 13.36 12.95 0.73 4.10 31.13 9.98P 0.64R 0.07
Blackpool 10 16 +4 77.04 13.59 22.21 1.81 9.19 48.66 20.28P 0.26R 0.02
Bristol_City 10 16 +1 68.96 13.31 7.45 0.48 2.69 24.94 8.47P 0.90R 0.10
Coventry 10 15 +0 63.26 13.28 -3.61 0.19 1.13 13.86 3.50P 2.87R 0.46
Watford 10 14 +1 59.47 13.62 -9.67 0.19 0.95 9.95 2.56P 5.24R 0.97
QPR 8 13 +5 77.12 15.00 24.49 3.14 11.56 49.18 22.53P 0.44R 0.04
Leicester 9 13 +1 65.44 14.25 4.32 0.30 2.28 19.82 6.53P 2.34R 0.32
Sheff_Wed 9 12 +4 72.80 13.77 21.23 0.82 4.98 37.07 12.53P 0.69R 0.11
Crystal_Palace 8 11 -3 51.07 14.36 -20.11 0.01 0.25 4.41 1.19P 17.58R 4.41
Scunthorpe 9 11 -4 57.75 14.13 -13.86 0.10 0.54 8.27 1.80P 8.03R 1.68
Swansea 10 11 -4 46.22 11.84 -19.51 0.01 0.03 0.90 0.26P 24.05R 6.45
Doncaster 10 10 -2 54.46 12.85 -7.94 0.03 0.17 4.42 1.26P 9.20R 1.74
Nottm_Forest 9 10 -2 53.39 13.28 -12.43 0.02 0.20 4.24 1.13P 11.30R 2.42
Reading 10 10 -4 50.55 12.67 -16.94 0.01 0.11 2.44 0.63P 15.31R 3.62
Derby 10 10 -7 42.06 12.09 -42.76 0.00 0.01 0.57 0.10P 38.89R 13.42
Barnsley 10 8 -9 40.93 11.66 -41.20 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.04P 41.88R 15.53
Peterborough 10 7 -6 44.58 12.75 -28.17 0.00 0.01 0.90 0.16P 30.66R 10.08
Plymouth 10 5 -10 38.62 12.17 -37.27 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.06P 48.95R 21.46
Ipswich 10 5 -11 41.82 12.97 -37.05 0.00 0.02 0.62 0.12P 39.90R 16.99
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2009, Brentford vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Leeds_United 10 26 +13 103.43 11.41 58.29 52.27 75.56 97.96 83.76P 0.00 0.00
Charlton 10 23 +10 90.86 12.53 43.02 13.36 33.03 86.30 47.10P 0.01R 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 10 22 +8 82.42 13.36 25.96 5.68 16.20 66.87 28.09P 0.11R 0.00
Colchester 10 18 +11 96.09 11.71 64.61 23.44 53.92 94.14 68.48P 0.00R 0.00
MK_Dons 10 17 +2 73.05 13.19 12.92 0.83 3.60 39.51 12.48P 0.97R 0.03
Huddersfield 10 15 +6 73.70 13.70 22.23 1.80 6.00 43.49 13.93P 0.96R 0.06
Oldham 10 15 -1 58.30 13.94 -11.39 0.26 0.80 10.32 2.68P 11.15R 1.45
Swindon 10 15 -2 60.53 13.42 -8.02 0.08 0.43 12.21 2.44P 7.83R 0.80
Norwich 10 13 +1 69.16 13.58 12.30 0.48 1.98 30.08 6.89P 2.43R 0.22
Brentford 10 13 -2 57.18 12.43 -8.68 0.01 0.20 6.49 1.47P 9.93R 0.94
Walsall 10 13 -3 58.34 12.75 -7.94 0.04 0.28 8.39 1.81P 9.08R 0.76
Hartlepool 10 12 +0 67.56 13.37 10.64 0.32 1.44 25.26 7.42P 2.82R 0.24
Gillingham 9 11 +3 73.60 14.69 24.35 1.25 5.45 43.92 14.96P 1.80R 0.17
Southend 10 11 +1 58.29 13.45 -3.54 0.09 0.54 9.97 2.66P 10.05R 1.23
Millwall 10 11 -1 52.88 12.35 -7.71 0.02 0.09 3.89 1.20P 16.57R 1.99
Stockport 10 11 -2 55.44 13.12 -10.60 0.04 0.22 6.49 1.41P 13.78R 1.68
Yeovil 10 10 -1 53.86 13.07 -10.37 0.02 0.13 5.42 1.19P 16.42R 2.33
Carlisle 10 10 -3 44.22 12.36 -29.35 0.00 0.02 1.13 0.23P 42.42R 9.98
Exeter 10 10 -4 51.43 12.30 -15.63 0.00 0.02 2.69 0.49P 20.72R 2.89
Brighton 9 9 -7 41.94 13.21 -45.48 0.00 0.04 1.20 0.25P 51.63R 17.97
Leyton_Orient 10 9 -8 43.81 12.25 -38.84 0.00 0.02 0.84 0.14P 44.07R 12.15
Tranmere 10 7 -12 38.74 12.34 -47.79 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.05P 60.67R 24.60
Wycombe 10 6 -7 43.42 12.44 -26.43 0.00 0.01 0.75 0.12P 44.82R 11.82
Southampton 10 -1 -2 47.47 13.65 -2.53 0.00 0.03 2.27 0.72P 31.75R 8.68
Adjustments:
Southampton -10
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2009, Barnet vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Bournemouth 10 24 +9 89.86 12.84 34.87 13.27 43.73 81.27 54.88P 0.01R 0.00
Rochdale 10 20 +9 81.97 12.97 30.49 4.75 23.09 62.42 32.83P 0.01R 0.00
Dag_&_Red 10 20 +8 90.29 12.27 47.50 11.87 45.94 84.14 55.77P 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 10 20 +7 85.21 12.75 33.16 6.82 30.19 71.88 41.30P 0.00R 0.00
Shrewsbury 10 20 +6 82.57 12.55 29.72 3.96 22.52 65.15 32.39P 0.00R 0.00
Notts_County 10 19 +17 102.46 10.43 91.34 53.04 84.54 98.12 89.29P 0.00 0.00
Aldershot 10 18 +7 72.00 13.20 13.36 1.09 7.43 33.64 13.33P 0.04R 0.00
Barnet 10 18 +4 82.89 12.83 29.79 3.67 23.23 65.65 35.21P 0.02R 0.00
Bradford 10 16 +0 72.31 13.28 12.15 0.72 6.90 33.69 12.72P 0.13R 0.01
Bury 10 15 -3 46.74 11.77 -35.08 0.00 0.06 1.21 0.29P 7.91R 0.58
Cheltenham 10 13 -2 57.11 12.69 -14.25 0.04 0.49 6.01 1.48P 1.70R 0.14
Accrington_Stanley 10 13 -4 48.52 11.81 -35.60 0.00 0.07 1.35 0.30P 7.64R 0.71
Burton_Albion 10 12 +0 69.37 13.04 13.61 0.27 3.97 25.96 9.33P 0.20R 0.03
Crewe 10 12 -1 52.15 12.48 -21.38 0.01 0.20 3.15 0.80P 3.89R 0.34
Port_Vale 10 11 +0 55.83 13.11 -6.97 0.05 0.53 6.02 1.85P 2.25R 0.19
Chesterfield 9 11 -3 66.65 13.37 4.99 0.18 2.85 20.12 6.63P 0.42R 0.05
Northampton 10 10 -4 65.97 13.26 7.20 0.17 2.30 18.44 5.60P 0.66R 0.05
Hereford 10 10 -4 48.37 12.40 -28.17 0.00 0.11 1.91 0.42P 7.28R 0.96
Morecambe 10 10 -4 63.17 13.05 1.51 0.08 1.38 13.19 3.94P 0.85R 0.08
Macclesfield 10 10 -7 53.55 12.92 -19.48 0.01 0.33 3.64 0.94P 4.65R 0.63
Grimsby 9 10 -7 35.30 11.13 -59.45 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 42.45R 7.19
Lincoln_City 10 9 -9 42.35 12.01 -34.84 0.00 0.01 0.48 0.10P 18.72R 2.68
Torquay 10 7 -6 51.51 12.98 -16.52 0.01 0.12 2.44 0.61P 5.87R 0.82
Darlington 10 2 -13 17.26 7.99 -77.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.28R 85.52
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 September 2009, Altrincham vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Oxford_Utd 14 35 +19 105.85 8.99 67.52 77.14 99.08 83.78P 0.00 0.00
Kettering 13 24 +9 84.91 10.96 34.54 4.25 62.42 19.69P 0.00 0.00
AFC_Wimbledon 13 23 +11 88.52 10.33 46.76 7.67 75.23 27.98P 0.00 0.00
Stevenage 12 23 +9 81.69 11.40 28.39 2.94 50.69 15.63P 0.00 0.00
Mansfield 14 23 +6 72.43 10.51 15.05 0.32 19.14 3.19P 0.01R 0.00
York 12 22 +8 79.57 11.46 25.84 1.97 43.02 12.14P 0.00R 0.00
Luton 12 22 +5 82.22 11.33 27.29 2.80 52.13 13.92P 0.00 0.00
Tamworth 13 22 +5 73.20 10.77 14.79 0.51 21.31 4.73P 0.00R 0.00
Kidderminster 14 21 +5 65.48 10.53 5.65 0.10 7.04 1.45P 0.09R 0.00
Altrincham 14 21 +3 66.59 10.42 6.59 0.08 7.67 1.65P 0.04R 0.00
Crawley_Town 14 21 -6 62.09 10.64 -9.89 0.01 3.26 0.42P 0.33R 0.01
Cambridge_Utd 13 20 +12 80.09 10.94 38.91 2.09 46.47 12.76P 0.00R 0.00
Rushden_&_D'mnds 14 20 +5 64.41 10.29 5.22 0.05 5.30 0.90P 0.10R 0.00
Histon 14 17 -4 53.83 10.29 -16.58 0.00 0.62 0.07P 2.12R 0.07
Eastbourne_Boro 14 16 -7 48.32 9.98 -25.75 0.00 0.15 0.02P 6.42R 0.35
Wrexham 12 14 +1 63.53 11.71 6.70 0.07 6.18 1.64P 0.47R 0.01
Barrow 14 13 -12 44.76 10.03 -32.56 0.00 0.03 0.00P 13.61R 1.27
Salisbury 14 11 +0 49.22 9.99 -9.42 0.00 0.14 0.02P 5.05R 0.30
Forest_Green 14 11 -15 34.70 8.85 -49.17 0.00 0.01 0.00 48.05R 7.24
Gateshead 13 8 -12 45.95 10.76 -27.56 0.00 0.09 0.01P 13.30R 1.39
Ebbsfleet_United 14 8 -15 32.24 8.71 -45.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.78R 13.07
Hayes_&_Yeading 12 7 -9 37.96 10.38 -42.25 0.00 0.02 0.00P 34.99R 6.24
Grays_Athletic 12 7 -11 40.04 10.51 -40.03 0.00 0.02 0.00P 28.26R 4.68
Chester 13 -14 -7 20.34 10.46 -24.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.37R 65.37
Adjustments:
Salisbury -10
Chester -25