Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 11 May 2009 at 21:05:31 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 May 2009, Arsenal vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         35   83  +42      89.32     2.09    45.29    94.21    99.83   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       36   80  +46      84.78     1.50    49.34     5.76    94.72   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         36   77  +41      81.74     1.48    44.17     0.03     5.46   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         36   68  +28      71.13     1.61    28.68     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   58   +5      61.88     1.79     6.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   57  +14      60.09     1.78    14.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          36   50   +6      52.97     1.80     6.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       36   48   +1      49.93     1.61    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        36   48   -2      50.87     1.69    -1.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        36   47   +8      50.26     1.84     8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           35   42   -9      45.64     2.11    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           36   42  -16      43.93     1.60   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          36   40  -11      42.67     1.76   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       36   40  -18      42.11     1.50   -19.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      36   38  -20      40.58     1.78   -20.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Sunderland      36   36  -17      37.74     1.58   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.50R    0.00  
Hull            36   34  -24      35.41     1.53   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.83R    1.38  
Newcastle       35   31  -19      34.62     2.11   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.87R    9.06  
Middlesbrough   35   31  -26      33.64     2.01   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.01R   24.62  
West_Brom       36   31  -29      32.37     1.51   -31.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.64R   64.94  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2009, Burnley vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    46   90  +28      90.00     0.00    28.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   83  +17      83.00     0.00    17.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   80  +25      80.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.64P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          46   77  +32      77.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    37.55P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   76  +12      76.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    13.88P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   74  +12      74.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.93P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   74  +12      74.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          46   68  +13      68.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   66   +9      66.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     46   61   +0      61.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              46   61   -2      61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   61   -7      61.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   58   -4      58.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   58  -11      58.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   57   -3      57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   56  -11      56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   54  -11      54.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   54  -12      54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     46   53  -15      53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   52  -13      52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         46   51  -13      51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          46   46  -13      46.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Charlton         46   39  -22      39.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southampton      46   35  -23      35.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2009, Brighton vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        46   96  +45      96.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   89  +24      89.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   87  +36      87.00     0.00    36.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    36.64P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            46   84  +28      84.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.14P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   82  +10      82.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.61P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   76  +19      76.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.62P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   74  +13      74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   71   -3      71.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   68   -3      68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   65   +1      65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   63  +18      63.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   63   +0      63.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   61   -5      61.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport        46   60   +2      60.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   56  -12      56.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   53   -3      53.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   52  -15      52.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           46   51  -25      51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       46   50  -13      50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   50  -13      50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   49   -4      49.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   46  -23      46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       46   39  -40      39.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hereford         46   34  -37      34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2009, Barnet vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            46   85  +29      85.00     0.00    29.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   79  +15      79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   78  +21      78.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   78  +20      78.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.18P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           46   75   +3      75.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.55P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   70  +11      70.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.96P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   69  +17      69.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.31P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   68  +24      68.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   67  +11      67.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   63   +5      63.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   63   -3      63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington           46   62  +17      62.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         46   59   +1      59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   58  +14      58.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            46   53  -22      53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   50  -17      50.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   48  -18      48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   48  -22      48.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   47  -20      47.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         46   47  -32      47.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          46   46   +8      46.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   41  -18      41.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester              46   39  -37      39.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Luton                46   26   -7      26.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30
Darlington           -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 April 2009, Weymouth vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        45   88  +30      89.18     1.29    29.69    90.83   100.00    93.09P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   85  +26      87.20     1.16    27.23     9.17   100.00    36.53P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               45   82  +30      83.28     1.31    29.85     0.00   100.00    28.71P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   81  +20      82.39     1.31    20.03     0.00    93.69    17.53P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   80  +24      81.58     1.32    24.31     0.00    74.08    17.37P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   77  +22      79.25     1.15    23.44     0.00    17.22     3.63P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        44   76  +18      79.24     1.79    18.70     0.00    15.02     3.13P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            45   73  +12      74.11     1.21    11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   70  +22      71.48     1.33    22.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              45   63  +14      65.32     1.11    15.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    45   60   +9      61.94     1.22     9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   45   60  -10      61.73     1.31    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   59   +1      60.35     1.31     0.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     45   57   -8      58.61     1.30    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           45   55  -17      55.59     1.00   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            45   54  -10      55.12     1.25   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         45   52   -5      53.43     1.32    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 45   51   -4      52.92     1.22    -3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic       45   49  -21      50.32     1.31   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow               45   48  -16      49.03     1.24   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking               44   44  -17      45.79     1.61   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.99R    0.00  
Weymouth             45   43  -39      43.50     0.95   -40.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.01R    0.00  
Northwich            45   40  -20      40.57     1.01   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Lewes                45   23  -61      23.79     1.08   -61.74     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4
Oxford_Utd           -5