Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 9 May 2009 at 21:05:19 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 May 2009, Blackburn vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       36   80  +46      84.77     1.51    49.33    12.90    98.21   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         34   80  +40      88.49     2.41    44.63    87.05    99.47   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   74  +38      80.13     2.00    41.13     0.04     2.33    99.05   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   68  +31      72.48     2.06    31.75     0.00     0.00     0.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     36   58   +5      61.89     1.79     6.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         36   57  +14      60.09     1.78    14.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          36   50   +6      52.97     1.81     6.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       36   48   +1      49.94     1.62    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        36   48   -2      50.87     1.69    -1.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   47  +10      50.81     2.10     9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           35   42   -9      45.63     2.10    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           36   42  -16      43.91     1.58   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          36   40  -11      42.66     1.76   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       36   40  -18      42.16     1.52   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      36   38  -20      40.60     1.76   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Sunderland      36   36  -17      37.73     1.58   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.56R    0.00  
Hull            36   34  -24      35.42     1.54   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.96R    1.42  
Newcastle       35   31  -19      34.65     2.13   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.54R    8.94  
Middlesbrough   35   31  -26      33.60     2.01   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.19R   24.51  
West_Brom       36   31  -29      32.35     1.51   -31.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.62R   65.13  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2009, Burnley vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    46   90  +28      90.00     0.00    28.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   83  +17      83.00     0.00    17.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   80  +25      80.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.05P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          46   77  +32      77.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    37.80P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   76  +12      76.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.34P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   74  +12      74.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   74  +12      74.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          46   68  +13      68.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   66   +9      66.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     46   61   +0      61.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              46   61   -2      61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   61   -7      61.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   58   -4      58.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   58  -11      58.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   57   -3      57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   56  -11      56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   54  -11      54.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   54  -12      54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     46   53  -15      53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   52  -13      52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         46   51  -13      51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          46   46  -13      46.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Charlton         46   39  -22      39.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southampton      46   35  -23      35.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2009, Brighton vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        46   96  +45      96.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   89  +24      89.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   87  +36      87.00     0.00    36.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    36.84P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            46   84  +28      84.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.51P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   82  +10      82.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.98P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   76  +19      76.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.67P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   74  +13      74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   71   -3      71.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   68   -3      68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   65   +1      65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   63  +18      63.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   63   +0      63.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   61   -5      61.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport        46   60   +2      60.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   56  -12      56.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   53   -3      53.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   52  -15      52.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           46   51  -25      51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       46   50  -13      50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   50  -13      50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   49   -4      49.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   46  -23      46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       46   39  -40      39.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hereford         46   34  -37      34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2009, Barnet vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            46   85  +29      85.00     0.00    29.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   79  +15      79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   78  +21      78.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   78  +20      78.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.48P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           46   75   +3      75.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.97P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   70  +11      70.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.88P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   69  +17      69.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.67P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   68  +24      68.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   67  +11      67.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   63   +5      63.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   63   -3      63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington           46   62  +17      62.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         46   59   +1      59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   58  +14      58.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            46   53  -22      53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   50  -17      50.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   48  -18      48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   48  -22      48.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   47  -20      47.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         46   47  -32      47.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          46   46   +8      46.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   41  -18      41.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester              46   39  -37      39.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Luton                46   26   -7      26.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30
Darlington           -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 April 2009, Weymouth vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        45   88  +30      89.18     1.29    29.70    90.96   100.00    93.28P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   85  +26      87.18     1.16    27.21     9.04   100.00    35.99P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               45   82  +30      83.26     1.30    29.82     0.00   100.00    28.21P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   81  +20      82.40     1.31    20.04     0.00    93.97    18.19P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   80  +24      81.57     1.32    24.30     0.00    73.95    17.33P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   77  +22      79.23     1.16    23.43     0.00    17.05     3.81P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        44   76  +18      79.23     1.80    18.68     0.00    15.03     3.18P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            45   73  +12      74.11     1.20    11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   70  +22      71.49     1.33    22.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              45   63  +14      65.33     1.10    15.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    45   60   +9      61.93     1.22     9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   45   60  -10      61.75     1.31    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   59   +1      60.34     1.30     0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     45   57   -8      58.61     1.30    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           45   55  -17      55.60     1.00   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            45   54  -10      55.12     1.25   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         45   52   -5      53.43     1.32    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 45   51   -4      52.92     1.22    -3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic       45   49  -21      50.32     1.31   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow               45   48  -16      49.02     1.24   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking               44   44  -17      45.80     1.61   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.91R    0.00  
Weymouth             45   43  -39      43.50     0.95   -40.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.09R    0.00  
Northwich            45   40  -20      40.59     1.03   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Lewes                45   23  -61      23.79     1.08   -61.74     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4
Oxford_Utd           -5