Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 6 May 2009 at 21:05:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 May 2009, Aston_Villa vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   80  +40      88.40     2.44    44.44    91.18    99.46   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   77  +43      83.63     1.99    47.02     8.64    91.35   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   74  +38      80.11     2.00    41.14     0.17     9.19    98.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   68  +31      72.54     2.06    31.81     0.00     0.00     1.04   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   58   +7      63.12     2.19     8.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   56  +14      60.93     2.22    15.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.70     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   48   +1      51.80     2.06     0.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   47  +10      50.85     2.11     9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   47   +4      51.41     2.25     4.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   47   +1      49.83     2.04    -1.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           34   42   -7      47.30     2.52    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   39  -11      43.41     2.21   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           35   39  -17      42.01     2.04   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Portsmouth      35   38  -18      41.76     2.22   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   37  -20      40.77     2.03   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   35  -17      37.70     2.01   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.08R    0.00  
Hull            35   34  -23      36.99     2.06   -24.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.43R    0.18  
Newcastle       35   31  -19      34.68     2.11   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.19R    3.84  
Middlesbrough   35   31  -26      33.53     1.98   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.72R   11.24  
West_Brom       35   28  -31      30.51     1.97   -33.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.50R   84.74  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2009, Burnley vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    46   90  +28      90.00     0.00    28.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   83  +17      83.00     0.00    17.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   80  +25      80.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.11P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          46   77  +32      77.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    38.19P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   76  +12      76.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    13.72P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   74  +12      74.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   74  +12      74.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          46   68  +13      68.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   66   +9      66.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     46   61   +0      61.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              46   61   -2      61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   61   -7      61.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   58   -4      58.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   58  -11      58.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   57   -3      57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   56  -11      56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   54  -11      54.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   54  -12      54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     46   53  -15      53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   52  -13      52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         46   51  -13      51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          46   46  -13      46.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Charlton         46   39  -22      39.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southampton      46   35  -23      35.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2009, Brighton vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        46   96  +45      96.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   89  +24      89.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   87  +36      87.00     0.00    36.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    36.48P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            46   84  +28      84.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.35P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   82  +10      82.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.64P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   76  +19      76.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.53P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   74  +13      74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   71   -3      71.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   68   -3      68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   65   +1      65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   63  +18      63.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   63   +0      63.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   61   -5      61.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport        46   60   +2      60.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   56  -12      56.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   53   -3      53.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   52  -15      52.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           46   51  -25      51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       46   50  -13      50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   50  -13      50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   49   -4      49.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   46  -23      46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       46   39  -40      39.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hereford         46   34  -37      34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2009, Barnet vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            46   85  +29      85.00     0.00    29.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   79  +15      79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   78  +21      78.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   78  +20      78.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.68P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           46   75   +3      75.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.87P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   70  +11      70.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.71P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   69  +17      69.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.73P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   68  +24      68.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   67  +11      67.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   63   +5      63.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   63   -3      63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington           46   62  +17      62.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         46   59   +1      59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   58  +14      58.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            46   53  -22      53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   50  -17      50.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   48  -18      48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   48  -22      48.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   47  -20      47.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         46   47  -32      47.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          46   46   +8      46.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   41  -18      41.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester              46   39  -37      39.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Luton                46   26   -7      26.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30
Darlington           -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 April 2009, Weymouth vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        45   88  +30      89.17     1.28    29.68    90.74   100.00    93.14P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   85  +26      87.20     1.15    27.23     9.26   100.00    36.50P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               45   82  +30      83.27     1.30    29.83     0.00   100.00    28.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   81  +20      82.39     1.31    20.04     0.00    93.83    17.72P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   80  +24      81.59     1.32    24.32     0.00    73.98    17.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   77  +22      79.25     1.16    23.45     0.00    17.05     3.86P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        44   76  +18      79.24     1.80    18.70     0.00    15.14     3.23P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            45   73  +12      74.11     1.20    11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   70  +22      71.48     1.32    22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              45   63  +14      65.33     1.10    15.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    45   60   +9      61.94     1.22     9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   45   60  -10      61.74     1.31    -9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   59   +1      60.34     1.30     0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     45   57   -8      58.62     1.30    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           45   55  -17      55.59     0.99   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            45   54  -10      55.12     1.25   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         45   52   -5      53.42     1.32    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 45   51   -4      52.92     1.22    -3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic       45   49  -21      50.34     1.32   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow               45   48  -16      49.02     1.24   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking               44   44  -17      45.79     1.61   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.06R    0.00  
Weymouth             45   43  -39      43.50     0.95   -40.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.94R    0.00  
Northwich            45   40  -20      40.58     1.02   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Lewes                45   23  -61      23.79     1.08   -61.74     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4
Oxford_Utd           -5