Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 4 May 2009 at 21:05:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2009, Liverpool vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   80  +40      88.40     2.44    44.46    90.95    99.50   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   77  +43      83.65     1.99    47.03     8.87    91.25   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   74  +38      80.15     2.00    41.19     0.19     9.25    98.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   68  +31      72.49     2.06    31.76     0.00     0.00     1.01   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   56  +14      60.93     2.23    15.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   55   +6      62.29     2.52     8.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.68     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   48   +1      51.79     2.06     0.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   47  +10      50.84     2.11     9.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   47   +4      51.42     2.24     4.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   47   +1      49.82     2.02    -1.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           34   42   -7      47.25     2.53    -7.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   39  -11      43.41     2.22   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke           35   39  -17      42.01     2.05   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Portsmouth      35   38  -18      41.77     2.21   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   37  -20      40.75     2.03   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   35  -17      37.68     2.02   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.07R    0.01  
Hull            34   34  -22      37.66     2.35   -25.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.17R    0.19  
Newcastle       35   31  -19      34.66     2.12   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.65R    3.86  
Middlesbrough   35   31  -26      33.56     2.00   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.29R   11.50  
West_Brom       35   28  -31      30.55     1.99   -33.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.44R   84.44  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2009, Burnley vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    46   90  +28      90.00     0.00    28.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       46   83  +17      83.00     0.00    17.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   80  +25      80.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.14P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          46   77  +32      77.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    37.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          46   76  +12      76.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    13.92P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   74  +12      74.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          46   74  +12      74.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          46   68  +13      68.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          46   66   +9      66.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     46   61   +0      61.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              46   61   -2      61.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        46   61   -7      61.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          46   58   -4      58.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   58  -11      58.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   46   57   -3      57.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        46   56  -11      56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   54  -11      54.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            46   54  -12      54.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     46   53  -15      53.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   52  -13      52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         46   51  -13      51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          46   46  -13      46.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Charlton         46   39  -22      39.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Southampton      46   35  -23      35.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2009, Brighton vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        46   96  +45      96.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   89  +24      89.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   87  +36      87.00     0.00    36.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    36.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            46   84  +28      84.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.59P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   82  +10      82.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.64P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   76  +19      76.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.80P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   74  +13      74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   71   -3      71.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   68   -3      68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   65   +1      65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   63  +18      63.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   63   +0      63.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   61   -5      61.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport        46   60   +2      60.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   56  -12      56.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   53   -3      53.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   52  -15      52.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           46   51  -25      51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       46   50  -13      50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   50  -13      50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   49   -4      49.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   46  -23      46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       46   39  -40      39.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hereford         46   34  -37      34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2009, Barnet vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            46   85  +29      85.00     0.00    29.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   79  +15      79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   78  +21      78.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   78  +20      78.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.47P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           46   75   +3      75.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   70  +11      70.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.99P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   69  +17      69.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.51P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   68  +24      68.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   67  +11      67.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   63   +5      63.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   63   -3      63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington           46   62  +17      62.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         46   59   +1      59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   58  +14      58.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            46   53  -22      53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   50  -17      50.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   48  -18      48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   48  -22      48.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   47  -20      47.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         46   47  -32      47.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          46   46   +8      46.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   41  -18      41.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester              46   39  -37      39.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Luton                46   26   -7      26.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30
Darlington           -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 April 2009, Weymouth vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        45   88  +30      89.17     1.28    29.69    90.63   100.00    92.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   85  +26      87.19     1.16    27.22     9.37   100.00    36.17P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               45   82  +30      83.28     1.30    29.86     0.00   100.00    28.29P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   81  +20      82.39     1.31    20.04     0.00    93.78    17.95P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   80  +24      81.58     1.32    24.31     0.00    73.96    17.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   77  +22      79.24     1.16    23.43     0.00    16.98     3.69P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        44   76  +18      79.24     1.81    18.71     0.00    15.29     3.26P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            45   73  +12      74.10     1.20    11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   70  +22      71.47     1.32    22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              45   63  +14      65.33     1.10    15.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    45   60   +9      61.93     1.22     9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   45   60  -10      61.74     1.31    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   59   +1      60.35     1.30     0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     45   57   -8      58.61     1.30    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           45   55  -17      55.59     1.00   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            45   54  -10      55.11     1.24   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         45   52   -5      53.43     1.32    -4.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 45   51   -4      52.91     1.23    -3.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic       45   49  -21      50.32     1.31   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow               45   48  -16      49.01     1.24   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking               44   44  -17      45.80     1.62   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.93R    0.00  
Weymouth             45   43  -39      43.49     0.94   -40.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.07R    0.00  
Northwich            45   40  -20      40.59     1.03   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Lewes                45   23  -61      23.80     1.09   -61.73     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4
Oxford_Utd           -5