Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 2 May 2009 at 21:05:21 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2009, Chelsea vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   80  +40      88.43     2.43    44.49    92.65    99.52   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   74  +40      83.15     2.23    46.09     7.12    86.48    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   74  +38      80.11     2.01    41.13     0.23    14.00    99.06   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   68  +31      72.51     2.06    31.79     0.00     0.00     0.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   55   +6      62.31     2.52     8.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   53  +12      59.51     2.59    13.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.99     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   48   +1      51.85     2.09     0.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   47  +10      50.85     2.10     9.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          35   47   +4      51.44     2.25     4.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   47   +1      49.87     2.04    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           34   42   -7      47.23     2.52    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          35   39  -11      43.38     2.22   -10.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Stoke           35   39  -17      42.02     2.05   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Portsmouth      35   38  -18      41.75     2.21   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Blackburn       35   37  -20      40.75     2.03   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.56R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   35  -15      38.82     2.40   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.78R    0.00  
Hull            34   34  -22      37.57     2.34   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.27R    0.23  
Newcastle       34   31  -16      35.01     2.29   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.70R    3.56  
Middlesbrough   35   31  -26      33.54     2.00   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.38R   11.78  
West_Brom       35   28  -31      30.56     1.99   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.55R   84.43  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 April 2009, Norwich vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    45   87  +27      89.11     1.20    28.11   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       45   80  +16      80.98     1.16    15.53     0.00    39.94   100.00    55.92P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   79  +25      80.56     1.29    25.28     0.00    33.18   100.00    55.61P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          45   77  +33      78.71     1.26    33.47     0.00    26.88   100.00    55.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   74  +13      75.44     1.31    13.11     0.00     0.00    93.73    16.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   73   +8      74.67     1.31     8.44     0.00     0.00    75.38    11.10P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   71  +11      72.71     1.27    11.47     0.00     0.00    30.89     5.24P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          45   68  +14      69.99     1.23    14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   63   +8      64.87     1.27     8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   61   +4      62.08     1.26     3.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              45   61   -1      61.99     1.18    -1.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        45   58   -8      59.29     1.29    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   58  -10      58.67     1.06   -11.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   56   -3      57.15     1.24    -3.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   55   -6      56.75     1.33    -5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   54  -10      55.04     1.27   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   54  -10      54.88     1.16   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   53  -12      53.77     1.11   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   51  -12      52.58     1.27   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     45   50  -17      51.66     1.30   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   49  -14      50.11     1.22   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.18R    0.00  
Norwich          45   46  -11      47.32     1.31   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.82R    0.00  
Charlton         45   36  -24      37.43     1.32   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   25.84  
Southampton      45   35  -21      36.07     1.24   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   74.16  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2009, Brighton vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        46   96  +45      96.00     0.00    45.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   89  +24      89.00     0.00    24.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   87  +36      87.00     0.00    36.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    36.90P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            46   84  +28      84.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.60P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         46   82  +10      82.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.00P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   76  +19      76.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.50P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   74  +13      74.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend         46   71   -3      71.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     46   68   -3      68.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   65   +1      65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   63  +18      63.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   63   +0      63.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   61   -5      61.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport        46   60   +2      60.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   56  -12      56.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   53   -3      53.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         46   52  -15      52.00     0.00   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           46   51  -25      51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       46   50  -13      50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   50  -13      50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   49   -4      49.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crewe            46   46  -23      46.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       46   39  -40      39.00     0.00   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hereford         46   34  -37      34.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2009, Barnet vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            46   85  +29      85.00     0.00    29.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   79  +15      79.00     0.00    15.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   78  +21      78.00     0.00    21.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   78  +20      78.00     0.00    20.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.68P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           46   75   +3      75.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.44P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   70  +11      70.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.03P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   69  +17      69.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    26.84P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   68  +24      68.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             46   67  +11      67.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         46   63   +5      63.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   63   -3      63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington           46   62  +17      62.00     0.00    17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         46   59   +1      59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            46   58  +14      58.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            46   53  -22      53.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   50  -17      50.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               46   48  -18      48.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            46   48  -22      48.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         46   47  -20      47.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         46   47  -32      47.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          46   46   +8      46.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              46   41  -18      41.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester              46   39  -37      39.00     0.00   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Luton                46   26   -7      26.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30
Darlington           -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 April 2009, Weymouth vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        45   88  +30      89.16     1.28    29.68    90.80   100.00    93.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   85  +26      87.19     1.16    27.22     9.20   100.00    36.36P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               45   82  +30      83.26     1.30    29.82     0.00   100.00    28.22P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   81  +20      82.39     1.31    20.04     0.00    93.58    17.94P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   80  +24      81.59     1.32    24.32     0.00    74.48    17.45P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   77  +22      79.23     1.17    23.42     0.00    16.76     3.69P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        44   76  +18      79.23     1.80    18.69     0.00    15.18     3.22P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            45   73  +12      74.11     1.20    11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   70  +22      71.49     1.32    22.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              45   63  +14      65.32     1.11    15.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    45   60   +9      61.94     1.22     9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   45   60  -10      61.73     1.31    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   59   +1      60.35     1.30     0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     45   57   -8      58.62     1.30    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           45   55  -17      55.59     1.00   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            45   54  -10      55.11     1.25   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         45   52   -5      53.43     1.32    -4.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 45   51   -4      52.92     1.23    -3.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic       45   49  -21      50.32     1.31   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow               45   48  -16      49.02     1.24   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking               44   44  -17      45.80     1.60   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.95R    0.00  
Weymouth             45   43  -39      43.50     0.95   -40.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.05R    0.00  
Northwich            45   40  -20      40.59     1.03   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Lewes                45   23  -61      23.80     1.09   -61.73     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4
Oxford_Utd           -5