Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 28 April 2009 at 21:05:16 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 April 2009, Newcastle vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 33 77 +38 87.66 2.70 43.74 87.07 98.96 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 34 74 +40 83.19 2.22 46.16 12.58 91.06 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 34 71 +36 79.06 2.37 39.81 0.35 9.98 98.02 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 34 65 +28 71.36 2.45 29.45 0.00 0.01 2.00 99.79 100.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 34 55 +6 62.25 2.53 8.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 99.45 0.00 0.00 Everton 34 53 +12 59.54 2.60 13.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 96.17 0.00 0.00 Fulham 34 47 +6 52.19 2.47 5.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.26 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 34 45 +0 50.21 2.48 -0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.00 0.00 Man_City 34 44 +8 49.95 2.48 8.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 34 44 +0 48.98 2.41 -0.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.00 Wigan 33 41 -7 47.87 2.89 -6.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 Stoke 34 39 -16 43.35 2.45 -17.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09R 0.00 Bolton 34 38 -11 43.54 2.57 -11.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20R 0.00 Portsmouth 34 38 -15 42.67 2.55 -16.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38R 0.00 Blackburn 34 37 -18 41.45 2.36 -20.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.46R 0.00 Sunderland 34 35 -15 38.75 2.38 -17.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.39R 0.03 Hull 34 34 -22 37.60 2.35 -25.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.29R 0.53 Newcastle 34 31 -16 34.98 2.26 -18.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.76R 6.42 Middlesbrough 34 31 -24 34.08 2.23 -27.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.90R 14.31 West_Brom 34 28 -30 31.23 2.28 -33.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.54R 78.70Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 April 2009, Norwich vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 45 87 +27 89.11 1.20 28.11 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 45 80 +16 80.97 1.16 15.52 0.00 39.87 100.00 55.85P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 45 79 +25 80.56 1.29 25.28 0.00 33.19 100.00 55.41P 0.00 0.00 Reading 45 77 +33 78.72 1.26 33.48 0.00 26.93 100.00 56.40P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 45 74 +13 75.45 1.31 13.12 0.00 0.00 93.75 16.37P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 45 73 +8 74.66 1.31 8.43 0.00 0.00 75.06 10.63P 0.00 0.00 Preston 45 71 +11 72.71 1.27 11.47 0.00 0.00 31.20 5.34P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 45 68 +14 69.98 1.24 14.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 45 63 +8 64.86 1.26 8.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 45 61 +4 62.09 1.26 3.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 45 61 -1 61.99 1.18 -1.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 45 58 -8 59.28 1.29 -8.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 45 58 -10 58.67 1.06 -11.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 45 56 -3 57.15 1.24 -3.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 45 55 -6 56.75 1.32 -5.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 45 54 -10 55.03 1.26 -10.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 45 54 -10 54.88 1.16 -10.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 45 53 -12 53.78 1.12 -12.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 45 51 -12 52.57 1.27 -11.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 45 50 -17 51.67 1.30 -16.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 45 49 -14 50.12 1.22 -14.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.96R 0.00 Norwich 45 46 -11 47.32 1.31 -11.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.04R 0.00 Charlton 45 36 -24 37.43 1.32 -23.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 25.64 Southampton 45 35 -21 36.07 1.24 -21.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 74.36 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 April 2009, Northampton vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 45 93 +42 95.09 1.22 43.11 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 45 88 +24 89.98 1.27 24.98 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 45 84 +35 86.17 1.18 36.22 0.00 0.00 100.00 36.24P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 45 82 +12 83.57 1.31 12.29 0.00 0.00 100.00 18.24P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 45 81 +25 82.94 1.26 25.86 0.00 0.00 100.00 27.87P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 45 75 +19 76.60 1.32 19.34 0.00 0.00 69.94 12.16P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 45 73 +13 74.15 1.28 12.66 0.00 0.00 30.06 5.49P 0.00 0.00 Southend 45 68 -5 70.00 1.25 -4.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 45 67 -3 68.34 1.28 -3.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 45 62 +0 63.23 1.30 -0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 45 61 -4 62.53 1.33 -3.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 45 60 +15 61.98 1.28 16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stockport 45 60 +3 61.45 1.31 3.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Colchester 45 60 -2 61.50 1.28 -1.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 45 55 -12 56.37 1.28 -11.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swindon 45 52 -3 52.81 1.17 -3.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 45 51 -23 52.20 1.25 -23.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 45 50 -10 50.83 1.19 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42R 0.00 Northampton 45 49 -1 49.83 1.16 -1.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.29R 0.00 Brighton 45 49 -16 50.28 1.29 -16.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.50R 0.00 Carlisle 45 47 -15 48.16 1.27 -15.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.15R 0.00 Crewe 45 46 -20 46.70 1.10 -21.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.65R 0.00 Cheltenham 45 39 -38 39.78 1.14 -38.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Hereford 45 34 -36 34.63 1.05 -37.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Brentford 45 82 +27 84.11 1.20 28.08 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 45 78 +22 80.18 1.14 23.12 0.00 98.73 100.00 99.15P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 45 76 +14 77.09 1.24 13.62 0.00 44.74 100.00 57.80P 0.00 0.00 Bury 45 75 +19 77.06 1.20 19.98 0.00 56.54 100.00 68.92P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 45 72 +2 72.98 1.23 1.37 0.00 0.00 100.00 16.35P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 45 70 +12 71.79 1.30 12.63 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.76P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 45 68 +25 69.70 1.30 25.48 0.00 0.00 73.97 25.45P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 45 66 +16 67.04 1.23 15.52 0.00 0.00 26.03 7.56P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 45 64 +9 65.14 1.28 8.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 45 63 +7 64.61 1.32 7.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 45 63 +1 64.55 1.29 1.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Darlington 45 59 +16 60.87 1.26 16.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 45 59 +3 61.01 1.25 3.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 45 58 +15 59.64 1.30 15.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 45 50 -16 50.69 1.04 -16.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 45 50 -24 50.77 1.13 -24.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 45 48 -17 49.79 1.30 -16.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 45 46 -32 46.91 1.20 -32.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 45 45 -23 45.97 1.22 -23.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 45 44 -21 44.58 0.96 -22.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 45 43 +4 44.17 1.25 3.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 45 40 -18 41.86 1.29 -17.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.32R 0.00 Chester 45 39 -36 39.87 1.16 -36.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.68R 0.00 Luton 45 26 -5 26.67 1.05 -6.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30 Darlington -10Conference (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 April 2009, Weymouth vs York; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 45 88 +30 89.18 1.29 29.69 90.88 100.00 93.14P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 45 85 +26 87.19 1.16 27.21 9.12 100.00 36.28P 0.00 0.00 Histon 45 82 +30 83.26 1.30 29.82 0.00 100.00 28.20P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 45 81 +20 82.41 1.31 20.06 0.00 93.61 17.96P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 45 80 +24 81.58 1.32 24.31 0.00 73.96 17.37P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 45 77 +22 79.24 1.16 23.43 0.00 17.07 3.78P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 44 76 +18 79.24 1.80 18.71 0.00 15.37 3.27P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 45 73 +12 74.10 1.20 11.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 45 70 +22 71.49 1.32 22.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 45 63 +14 65.33 1.11 15.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 45 60 +9 61.92 1.22 9.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 45 60 -10 61.74 1.31 -9.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 45 59 +1 60.33 1.30 0.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 45 57 -8 58.61 1.30 -7.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 45 55 -17 55.60 1.00 -18.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 45 54 -10 55.12 1.25 -10.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 45 52 -5 53.45 1.32 -4.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 45 51 -4 52.92 1.23 -3.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grays_Athletic 45 49 -21 50.31 1.31 -21.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 45 48 -16 49.02 1.24 -16.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 44 44 -17 45.81 1.61 -18.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.97R 0.00 Weymouth 45 43 -39 43.50 0.95 -40.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.03R 0.00 Northwich 45 40 -20 40.58 1.03 -21.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Lewes 45 23 -61 23.80 1.09 -61.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Mansfield -4 Oxford_Utd -5