Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 26 April 2009 at 21:05:20 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 April 2009, Arsenal vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   77  +38      87.70     2.71    43.79    87.25    99.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   74  +40      83.18     2.23    46.18    12.45    90.98    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   71  +36      79.06     2.37    39.80     0.30    10.02    97.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   65  +28      71.36     2.47    29.48     0.00     0.01     2.09    99.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   55   +6      62.23     2.52     8.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   53  +12      59.54     2.59    13.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.33     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   47   +6      52.21     2.47     5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.20     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        34   45   +0      50.20     2.47    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   44   +8      49.96     2.48     8.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   44   +0      48.98     2.40    -0.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           33   41   -7      47.86     2.89    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           34   39  -16      43.35     2.46   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Bolton          34   38  -11      43.52     2.57   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Portsmouth      33   37  -15      42.82     2.89   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.44R    0.00  
Blackburn       34   37  -18      41.44     2.35   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.88R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   35  -15      38.78     2.41   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.68R    0.03  
Hull            34   34  -22      37.61     2.35   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.16R    0.57  
Middlesbrough   34   31  -24      34.09     2.23   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.70R   14.44  
Newcastle       33   30  -16      35.61     2.68   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.11R    6.08  
West_Brom       34   28  -30      31.22     2.29   -33.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.57R   78.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2009, Barnsley vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    45   87  +27      89.11     1.20    28.12   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       45   80  +16      81.00     1.17    15.56     0.00    47.26   100.00    61.49P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   79  +25      80.57     1.29    25.28     0.00    39.45   100.00    58.81P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          44   74  +31      77.44     1.82    32.00     0.00    13.29   100.00    46.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   74  +13      75.43     1.31    13.09     0.00     0.00    93.73    16.80P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   73   +8      74.66     1.31     8.44     0.00     0.00    75.09    11.24P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   71  +11      72.71     1.27    11.48     0.00     0.00    31.18     5.44P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          45   68  +14      69.98     1.24    14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   63   +8      64.86     1.27     8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   61   +4      62.09     1.26     3.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              45   61   -1      61.99     1.18    -1.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        45   58   -8      59.30     1.30    -8.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   58  -10      58.67     1.06   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   56   -3      57.14     1.24    -3.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   55   -6      56.76     1.32    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   54  -10      55.02     1.26   -10.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   54  -10      54.89     1.17   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   53  -12      53.78     1.12   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   51  -12      52.59     1.27   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     45   50  -17      51.67     1.30   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.44R    0.00  
Barnsley         45   49  -14      50.11     1.21   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.65R    0.00  
Norwich          44   46   -9      48.33     1.81    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.71R    0.00  
Charlton         45   36  -24      37.42     1.32   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   26.12  
Southampton      45   35  -21      36.07     1.24   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   73.88  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2009, Cheltenham vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        45   93  +42      95.08     1.22    43.10   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   88  +24      89.99     1.26    24.98     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   82  +12      83.58     1.31    12.30     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.40P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   81  +34      84.87     1.79    35.71     0.00     0.00   100.00    35.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   81  +25      82.94     1.27    25.84     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.45P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         45   73  +13      74.18     1.28    12.70     0.00     0.00    34.33     6.53P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   72  +16      75.88     1.76    18.02     0.00     0.00    65.67    11.96P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         45   68   -5      69.98     1.26    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     45   67   -3      68.33     1.28    -3.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   62   +0      63.24     1.30    -0.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   61   -4      62.52     1.33    -3.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   60  +15      61.97     1.28    15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport        45   60   +3      61.45     1.31     3.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   60   -2      61.49     1.29    -1.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   55  -12      56.38     1.29   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   52   -3      52.80     1.16    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           45   51  -23      52.21     1.25   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       45   50  -10      50.84     1.19   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Northampton      44   49   +0      50.89     1.73    -1.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.03R    0.00  
Brighton         45   49  -16      50.28     1.29   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.85R    0.00  
Carlisle         45   47  -15      48.16     1.26   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.91R    0.00  
Crewe            45   46  -20      46.71     1.10   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.55R    0.00  
Cheltenham       44   39  -35      40.34     1.55   -37.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hereford         45   34  -36      34.63     1.05   -37.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            45   82  +27      84.12     1.19    28.10   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   78  +22      80.17     1.14    23.11     0.00    98.78   100.00    99.15P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   76  +14      77.08     1.24    13.60     0.00    43.93   100.00    57.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   75  +19      77.08     1.19    19.99     0.00    57.29   100.00    69.82P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           45   72   +2      72.97     1.23     1.37     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.26P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   70  +12      71.79     1.30    12.63     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.10P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   68  +25      69.70     1.30    25.48     0.00     0.00    73.96    24.92P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   66  +16      67.04     1.23    15.52     0.00     0.00    26.04     7.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   64   +9      65.13     1.27     8.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         45   63   +7      64.63     1.32     7.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   63   +1      64.55     1.29     1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington           45   59  +16      60.88     1.26    16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         45   59   +3      61.01     1.25     3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   58  +15      59.65     1.30    15.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   50  -16      50.67     1.03   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            45   50  -24      50.77     1.13   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   48  -17      49.78     1.30   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         45   46  -32      46.91     1.20   -32.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            45   45  -23      45.98     1.22   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         45   44  -21      44.58     0.96   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          45   43   +4      44.16     1.25     3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              45   40  -18      41.86     1.29   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.24R    0.00  
Chester              45   39  -36      39.86     1.15   -36.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.76R    0.00  
Luton                45   26   -5      26.66     1.05    -6.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30
Darlington           -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 April 2009, Weymouth vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        45   88  +30      89.17     1.28    29.69    90.82   100.00    93.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   85  +26      87.19     1.16    27.21     9.18   100.00    36.54P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               45   82  +30      83.26     1.30    29.82     0.00   100.00    28.45P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   81  +20      82.40     1.31    20.04     0.00    93.89    17.66P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   80  +24      81.58     1.32    24.31     0.00    74.17    17.34P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   77  +22      79.24     1.16    23.43     0.00    16.85     3.56P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        44   76  +18      79.24     1.80    18.70     0.00    15.09     3.23P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            45   73  +12      74.10     1.20    11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   70  +22      71.49     1.32    22.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              45   63  +14      65.32     1.11    15.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    45   60   +9      61.93     1.22     9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   45   60  -10      61.74     1.31    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   59   +1      60.33     1.30     0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     45   57   -8      58.61     1.30    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           45   55  -17      55.59     1.00   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            45   54  -10      55.12     1.25   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         45   52   -5      53.43     1.32    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 45   51   -4      52.93     1.23    -3.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic       45   49  -21      50.32     1.31   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow               45   48  -16      49.02     1.24   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking               44   44  -17      45.81     1.61   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.97R    0.00  
Weymouth             45   43  -39      43.51     0.95   -40.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.03R    0.00  
Northwich            45   40  -20      40.58     1.02   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Lewes                45   23  -61      23.79     1.09   -61.75     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4
Oxford_Utd           -5