Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 25 April 2009 at 21:05:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2009, Bolton vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   77  +38      87.66     2.70    43.78    87.05    98.93   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   74  +40      83.19     2.24    46.19    12.61    90.99    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   71  +36      79.07     2.36    39.84     0.33    10.08    98.37   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   62  +26      70.74     2.69    29.09     0.00     0.01     1.65    99.32   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   55   +6      62.25     2.52     8.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   53  +12      59.53     2.59    13.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    95.74     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   47   +6      52.18     2.48     5.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.30     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        34   45   +0      50.20     2.47    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   44   +8      50.00     2.48     8.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   44   +0      48.98     2.42    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           32   41   -5      49.51     3.24    -4.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   39  -16      43.31     2.46   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Bolton          34   38  -11      43.48     2.57   -11.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Portsmouth      33   37  -15      42.84     2.89   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   35  -15      38.78     2.40   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.82R    0.03  
Blackburn       33   34  -20      39.62     2.70   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.10R    0.41  
Hull            34   34  -22      37.58     2.35   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.09R    0.69  
Middlesbrough   33   31  -22      34.52     2.41   -27.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.64R   12.24  
Newcastle       33   30  -16      35.58     2.68   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.61R    6.46  
West_Brom       34   28  -30      31.23     2.30   -33.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.12R   80.17  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2009, Barnsley vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    45   87  +27      89.11     1.20    28.13   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       45   80  +16      80.99     1.17    15.54     0.00    47.11   100.00    61.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   79  +25      80.55     1.29    25.26     0.00    39.17   100.00    59.07P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          44   74  +31      77.46     1.83    32.03     0.00    13.73   100.00    46.76P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          45   74  +13      75.44     1.31    13.11     0.00     0.00    93.79    16.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          45   73   +8      74.67     1.31     8.45     0.00     0.00    75.51    11.09P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   71  +11      72.71     1.27    11.46     0.00     0.00    30.70     5.17P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          45   68  +14      69.98     1.24    14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          45   63   +8      64.87     1.26     8.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     45   61   +4      62.08     1.26     3.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              45   61   -1      61.99     1.18    -1.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        45   58   -8      59.29     1.30    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   58  -10      58.67     1.06   -11.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   45   56   -3      57.15     1.24    -3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          45   55   -6      56.75     1.32    -5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            45   54  -10      55.03     1.26   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   54  -10      54.87     1.15   -10.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        45   53  -12      53.78     1.12   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         45   51  -12      52.58     1.27   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     45   50  -17      51.67     1.30   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.40R    0.00  
Barnsley         45   49  -14      50.11     1.22   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.57R    0.00  
Norwich          44   46   -9      48.32     1.82    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.81R    0.00  
Charlton         45   36  -24      37.43     1.33   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   25.60  
Southampton      45   35  -21      36.06     1.24   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   74.40  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2009, Cheltenham vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        45   93  +42      95.09     1.22    43.11   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   88  +24      89.99     1.27    24.97     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         45   82  +12      83.57     1.31    12.29     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.25P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   81  +34      84.86     1.78    35.70     0.00     0.00   100.00    35.45P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            45   81  +25      82.95     1.26    25.86     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.21P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         45   73  +13      74.18     1.28    12.70     0.00     0.00    34.21     6.53P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   72  +16      75.90     1.75    18.02     0.00     0.00    65.79    11.56P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         45   68   -5      69.99     1.26    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     45   67   -3      68.33     1.28    -3.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   62   +0      63.23     1.30    -0.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   61   -4      62.52     1.33    -3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   60  +15      61.98     1.28    16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport        45   60   +3      61.45     1.31     3.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   60   -2      61.50     1.28    -1.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   55  -12      56.37     1.29   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   52   -3      52.81     1.17    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           45   51  -23      52.20     1.25   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       45   50  -10      50.82     1.18   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Northampton      44   49   +0      50.88     1.72    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.20R    0.00  
Brighton         45   49  -16      50.28     1.29   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.80R    0.00  
Carlisle         45   47  -15      48.16     1.27   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.89R    0.00  
Crewe            45   46  -20      46.70     1.10   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.55R    0.00  
Cheltenham       44   39  -35      40.33     1.54   -37.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Hereford         45   34  -36      34.64     1.05   -37.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            45   82  +27      84.11     1.19    28.09   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   78  +22      80.18     1.14    23.12     0.00    98.83   100.00    99.27P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   76  +14      77.07     1.24    13.59     0.00    43.88   100.00    57.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   75  +19      77.07     1.19    19.99     0.00    57.29   100.00    69.47P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           45   72   +2      72.98     1.23     1.36     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.44P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   70  +12      71.79     1.31    12.64     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.00P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   68  +25      69.69     1.30    25.46     0.00     0.00    73.78    24.95P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   66  +16      67.05     1.23    15.54     0.00     0.00    26.22     7.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             45   64   +9      65.15     1.27     8.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         45   63   +7      64.60     1.32     7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   63   +1      64.56     1.29     1.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington           45   59  +16      60.88     1.26    16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         45   59   +3      60.98     1.26     3.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            45   58  +15      59.66     1.30    15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            45   51  -23      51.80     1.15   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   50  -16      50.68     1.04   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               45   48  -17      49.80     1.29   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         45   46  -32      46.91     1.20   -32.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            45   45  -23      45.96     1.21   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         45   44  -21      44.58     0.96   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          45   43   +4      44.15     1.25     3.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              45   40  -18      41.86     1.29   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester              45   37  -37      37.86     1.16   -37.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Luton                45   26   -5      26.66     1.05    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30
Darlington           -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 April 2009, Weymouth vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        45   88  +30      89.17     1.29    29.68    90.77   100.00    93.09P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   85  +26      87.20     1.15    27.23     9.23   100.00    36.29P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               45   82  +30      83.26     1.30    29.83     0.00   100.00    28.43P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   81  +20      82.39     1.31    20.03     0.00    93.71    18.04P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   80  +24      81.58     1.33    24.32     0.00    73.91    17.38P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   77  +22      79.24     1.16    23.43     0.00    17.00     3.52P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        44   76  +18      79.24     1.80    18.70     0.00    15.38     3.24P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            45   73  +12      74.11     1.20    11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   70  +22      71.49     1.33    22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              45   63  +14      65.32     1.11    15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    45   60   +9      61.92     1.23     9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   45   60  -10      61.74     1.31    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   59   +1      60.35     1.31     0.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     45   57   -8      58.60     1.30    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           45   55  -17      55.58     0.99   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            45   54  -10      55.13     1.25   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         45   52   -5      53.43     1.32    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 45   51   -4      52.92     1.22    -3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic       45   49  -21      50.32     1.31   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow               45   48  -16      49.02     1.24   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking               44   44  -17      45.81     1.62   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.98R    0.00  
Weymouth             45   43  -39      43.51     0.95   -40.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.02R    0.00  
Northwich            45   40  -20      40.58     1.02   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Lewes                45   23  -61      23.80     1.08   -61.74     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4
Oxford_Utd           -5