Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 24 April 2009 at 21:05:37 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 April 2009, Chelsea vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   74  +35      86.77     3.01    41.71    83.19    98.44    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   71  +38      82.45     2.53    45.59    16.09    89.96    99.93   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   68  +35      77.88     2.71    39.45     0.72    11.55    95.68   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   62  +26      70.77     2.70    29.19     0.00     0.05     4.40    97.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   54   +6      62.80     2.92     9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.44    99.27     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   53  +13      61.29     2.96    15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59    97.81     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        33   45   +1      51.07     2.76    -0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   44   +5      51.02     2.83     5.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   44   +3      49.78     2.63     1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   41   +7      47.85     2.80     6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           32   41   -5      49.62     3.22    -4.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   39  -15      44.16     2.73   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Bolton          33   37  -11      43.63     2.94   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Portsmouth      33   37  -15      42.77     2.89   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.84R    0.00  
Sunderland      33   35  -12      40.46     2.79   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.99R    0.01  
Hull            33   34  -20      38.13     2.58   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.42R    0.15  
Blackburn       33   34  -20      39.69     2.73   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.39R    0.12  
Middlesbrough   33   31  -22      34.52     2.43   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.92R    5.27  
Newcastle       33   30  -16      35.57     2.68   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.15R    2.83  
West_Brom       33   25  -33      29.24     2.59   -37.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.51R   91.62  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Charlton vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    44   86  +27      89.91     1.78    28.74   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       44   80  +17      82.73     1.74    17.07     0.00    85.30   100.00    89.40P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   76  +24      79.28     1.84    24.77     0.00     9.70   100.00    36.99P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          44   74  +31      77.43     1.81    31.98     0.00     4.37   100.00    39.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   74  +16      77.27     1.85    16.78     0.00     0.63    98.96    19.82P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   72   +8      75.24     1.87     8.73     0.00     0.00    90.16    12.61P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          44   68  +15      70.96     1.74    15.35     0.00     0.00     6.65     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   68  +10      70.68     1.75     9.96     0.00     0.00     4.23     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   60   +5      62.77     1.78     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   60   +4      62.87     1.82     4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              44   60   -1      62.67     1.74    -1.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   57   -8      59.20     1.76    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   56   -1      58.50     1.78    -1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   55  -12      57.01     1.65   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   54   -9      56.49     1.80    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   52   -7      54.95     1.86    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        44   52  -12      54.41     1.72   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Derby            44   51  -11      53.87     1.83   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Plymouth         44   50  -12      52.59     1.74   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.50R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   49  -17      51.77     1.81   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.84R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   48  -14      50.11     1.74   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.60R    0.00  
Norwich          44   46   -9      48.33     1.81    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.82R    0.00  
Charlton         44   36  -23      38.37     1.82   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   26.27  
Southampton      44   34  -21      36.22     1.79   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   73.73  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 April 2009, Leicester vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        45   93  +42      95.08     1.22    43.10   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   85  +23      88.50     1.83    24.18     0.00    64.75   100.00    74.19P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   81  +35      87.06     2.16    38.05     0.00    35.25   100.00    58.97P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   79  +11      82.38     1.82    11.89     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            44   78  +24      81.65     1.84    25.37     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.16P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   72  +16      75.89     1.75    18.03     0.00     0.00    66.71    12.65P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +13      75.20     1.77    13.61     0.00     0.00    33.29     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   67   -5      70.10     1.81    -4.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   66   -3      69.10     1.84    -2.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   61   +0      63.88     1.87     0.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   60  +16      63.46     1.87    17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport        45   60   +3      61.46     1.31     3.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   60   -1      62.76     1.83    -0.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   58   -5      60.15     1.72    -6.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   55  -11      57.26     1.73   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   50   -9      51.90     1.75   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Yeovil           44   50  -23      51.90     1.64   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.99R    0.00  
Swindon          44   49   -4      51.09     1.78    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.81R    0.00  
Brighton         44   48  -16      50.27     1.79   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.35R    0.00  
Northampton      43   46   -1      49.90     2.12    -1.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.19R    0.00  
Carlisle         44   46  -15      48.63     1.85   -15.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.79R    0.00  
Crewe            45   46  -20      46.71     1.10   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.94R    0.00  
Cheltenham       43   38  -35      40.66     2.06   -37.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R    2.35  
Hereford         44   34  -35      35.35     1.53   -37.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.65  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Dag_&_Red vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            44   79  +25      82.33     1.74    25.94    72.79    99.73   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   77  +22      80.97     1.69    23.67    25.68    97.53   100.00    98.42P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   75  +14      77.83     1.78    14.14     0.91    49.10   100.00    61.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   74  +19      77.50     1.77    20.10     0.62    52.38   100.00    66.60P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   71   +2      73.30     1.79     1.31     0.00     1.09   100.00    18.21P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   69  +12      72.17     1.87    12.62     0.00     0.16    98.11    24.06P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   65  +22      68.38     1.86    22.94     0.00     0.00    61.90    19.37P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   65  +16      67.87     1.80    16.16     0.00     0.00    32.84     9.84P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   63   +8      66.22     1.86     8.71     0.00     0.00     6.51     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   62   +1      64.49     1.77     0.66     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   61   +6      63.46     1.82     5.57     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           44   59  +18      62.33     1.78    18.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   58  +18      61.01     1.84    18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   58   +3      60.94     1.73     3.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   50  -23      52.75     1.73   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   48  -16      51.19     1.85   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   47  -17      48.85     1.64   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         44   44  -18      45.63     1.59   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   44  -23      45.82     1.64   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         44   43  -33      45.26     1.80   -33.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          44   40   +3      43.07     1.80     3.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.97R    0.00  
Grimsby              44   40  -17      42.74     1.75   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.23R    0.00  
Chester              44   36  -37      37.66     1.65   -38.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.79R    0.00  
Luton                44   25   -5      27.07     1.71    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30
Darlington           -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 April 2009, Weymouth vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        45   88  +30      89.16     1.28    29.67    90.52   100.00    92.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   85  +26      87.21     1.15    27.24     9.48   100.00    36.53P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               45   82  +30      83.27     1.30    29.83     0.00   100.00    28.15P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   81  +20      82.38     1.31    20.02     0.00    93.75    17.95P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   80  +24      81.60     1.32    24.33     0.00    74.55    17.85P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   77  +22      79.24     1.16    23.44     0.00    16.66     3.44P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        44   76  +18      79.23     1.80    18.70     0.00    15.04     3.18P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            45   73  +12      74.11     1.21    11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   70  +22      71.49     1.32    22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              45   63  +14      65.32     1.11    15.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    45   60   +9      61.91     1.22     9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   45   60  -10      61.73     1.31    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   59   +1      60.36     1.31     0.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     45   57   -8      58.61     1.30    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           45   55  -17      55.58     0.99   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            45   54  -10      55.12     1.25   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         45   52   -5      53.43     1.32    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 45   51   -4      52.91     1.23    -3.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic       45   49  -21      50.32     1.31   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow               45   48  -16      49.02     1.24   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking               44   44  -17      45.81     1.61   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.97R    0.00  
Weymouth             45   43  -39      43.50     0.96   -40.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.03R    0.00  
Northwich            45   40  -20      40.58     1.02   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Lewes                45   23  -61      23.80     1.09   -61.73     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4
Oxford_Utd           -5