Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 23 April 2009 at 21:05:28 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 April 2009, Chelsea vs Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 32 74 +35 86.75 3.00 41.67 82.84 98.28 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 33 71 +38 82.45 2.54 45.61 16.48 89.87 99.94 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 33 68 +35 77.87 2.72 39.44 0.68 11.81 95.44 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 33 62 +26 70.80 2.69 29.19 0.00 0.05 4.63 98.09 100.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 33 54 +6 62.79 2.92 9.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.42 99.26 0.00 0.00 Everton 33 53 +13 61.28 2.96 15.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.49 97.77 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 33 45 +1 51.11 2.75 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.03 0.00 0.00 Fulham 33 44 +5 50.98 2.81 5.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.19 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 33 44 +3 49.80 2.64 1.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.00 0.00 Man_City 33 41 +7 47.82 2.80 6.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.00 Wigan 32 41 -5 49.57 3.25 -4.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.00 0.00 Stoke 33 39 -15 44.14 2.73 -17.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19R 0.00 Bolton 33 37 -11 43.67 2.95 -11.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.66R 0.00 Portsmouth 33 37 -15 42.77 2.90 -16.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.84R 0.00 Sunderland 33 35 -12 40.47 2.80 -13.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.98R 0.01 Hull 33 34 -20 38.14 2.57 -24.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.46R 0.16 Blackburn 33 34 -20 39.70 2.72 -22.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.38R 0.10 Middlesbrough 33 31 -22 34.52 2.44 -27.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.02R 5.31 Newcastle 33 30 -16 35.57 2.69 -18.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.01R 2.86 West_Brom 33 25 -33 29.25 2.62 -37.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.46R 91.56Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Charlton vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 44 86 +27 89.90 1.77 28.73 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 44 80 +17 82.74 1.74 17.07 0.01 85.43 100.00 89.36P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 44 76 +24 79.27 1.83 24.77 0.00 9.68 100.00 37.28P 0.00 0.00 Reading 44 74 +31 77.45 1.83 32.00 0.00 4.31 100.00 38.72P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 44 74 +16 77.28 1.86 16.79 0.00 0.57 98.91 19.63P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 44 72 +8 75.26 1.87 8.75 0.00 0.00 90.39 12.92P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 44 68 +15 70.96 1.73 15.35 0.00 0.00 6.53 1.34P 0.00 0.00 Preston 44 68 +10 70.67 1.74 9.96 0.00 0.00 4.17 0.75P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 44 60 +5 62.77 1.77 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 44 60 +4 62.87 1.81 4.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 QPR 44 60 -1 62.67 1.73 -1.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 44 57 -8 59.20 1.77 -8.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 44 56 -1 58.52 1.79 -1.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 44 55 -12 57.01 1.66 -13.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 44 54 -9 56.50 1.79 -9.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Watford 44 52 -7 54.92 1.86 -6.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 44 52 -12 54.42 1.72 -12.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Derby 44 51 -11 53.89 1.83 -10.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17R 0.00 Plymouth 44 50 -12 52.60 1.74 -12.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.52R 0.00 Nottm_Forest 44 49 -17 51.76 1.81 -16.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.70R 0.00 Barnsley 44 48 -14 50.11 1.74 -14.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.40R 0.00 Norwich 44 46 -9 48.32 1.81 -9.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.15R 0.00 Charlton 44 36 -23 38.37 1.82 -23.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 25.67 Southampton 44 34 -21 36.20 1.79 -21.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 74.33 Adjustments: Southampton -10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Bristol_Rovers vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 44 92 +42 96.09 1.76 44.08 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 44 85 +23 88.52 1.83 24.22 0.00 64.62 100.00 74.32P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 43 81 +35 87.08 2.15 38.06 0.00 35.38 100.00 58.94P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 44 79 +11 82.38 1.83 11.90 0.00 0.00 100.00 18.59P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 44 78 +24 81.62 1.85 25.33 0.00 0.00 100.00 28.66P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 44 72 +13 75.20 1.78 13.60 0.00 0.00 37.47 7.41P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 42 70 +16 76.07 2.53 17.05 0.00 0.00 62.53 12.08P 0.00 0.00 Southend 44 67 -5 70.10 1.79 -4.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 44 66 -3 69.09 1.85 -2.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 44 61 +0 63.91 1.86 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 44 60 +16 63.48 1.86 17.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Colchester 44 60 -1 62.74 1.83 -0.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 44 58 -5 60.14 1.72 -6.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stockport 44 57 +2 60.31 1.85 2.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 44 55 -11 57.26 1.73 -11.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 44 50 -9 51.90 1.76 -10.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.33R 0.00 Swindon 44 49 -4 51.07 1.77 -5.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.16R 0.00 Yeovil 43 49 -23 52.57 2.11 -23.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.23R 0.00 Brighton 44 48 -16 50.27 1.79 -16.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.28R 0.00 Carlisle 44 46 -15 48.64 1.85 -15.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.02R 0.00 Crewe 44 46 -19 47.61 1.62 -20.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.79R 0.00 Northampton 42 45 -1 50.28 2.54 -1.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.19R 0.00 Cheltenham 43 38 -35 40.62 2.04 -37.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 4.55 Hereford 43 33 -35 35.38 1.95 -37.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 95.45League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Dag_&_Red vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Brentford 44 79 +25 82.33 1.74 25.92 72.45 99.75 100.00 99.84P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 44 77 +22 80.97 1.70 23.67 25.97 97.25 100.00 98.26P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 44 75 +14 77.84 1.79 14.17 0.95 49.25 100.00 62.21P 0.00 0.00 Bury 44 74 +19 77.51 1.78 20.11 0.62 52.41 100.00 66.21P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 44 71 +2 73.28 1.80 1.28 0.00 1.20 100.00 17.79P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 44 69 +12 72.20 1.88 12.68 0.00 0.14 98.24 24.66P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 44 65 +22 68.39 1.86 22.95 0.00 0.00 62.47 19.79P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 44 65 +16 67.83 1.80 16.12 0.00 0.00 32.07 9.53P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 44 63 +8 66.18 1.86 8.66 0.00 0.00 6.61 1.58P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 44 62 +1 64.49 1.76 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 44 61 +6 63.48 1.82 5.60 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 44 59 +18 62.35 1.78 18.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 44 58 +18 60.99 1.84 18.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 44 58 +3 60.96 1.74 3.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 44 50 -23 52.75 1.73 -23.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnet 44 48 -16 51.18 1.86 -15.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 44 47 -17 48.87 1.64 -18.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 44 44 -18 45.62 1.59 -19.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 44 44 -23 45.83 1.65 -24.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 44 43 -33 45.27 1.80 -33.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 44 40 +3 43.07 1.79 3.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.95R 0.00 Grimsby 44 40 -17 42.73 1.74 -17.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.27R 0.00 Chester 44 36 -37 37.66 1.64 -38.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.78R 0.00 Luton 44 25 -5 27.06 1.71 -6.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30 Darlington -10Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 23 April 2009, Northwich vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 45 88 +30 89.16 1.28 29.68 90.68 100.00 93.14P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 45 85 +26 87.20 1.16 27.22 9.32 100.00 36.37P 0.00 0.00 Histon 45 82 +30 83.26 1.30 29.83 0.00 100.00 28.43P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 45 81 +20 82.40 1.31 20.04 0.00 94.01 17.96P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 45 80 +24 81.59 1.32 24.32 0.00 74.10 17.27P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 45 77 +22 79.24 1.16 23.43 0.00 17.03 3.76P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 44 76 +18 79.22 1.80 18.68 0.00 14.86 3.07P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 45 73 +12 74.12 1.21 11.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 45 70 +22 71.49 1.32 22.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 45 63 +14 65.32 1.11 15.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 45 60 +9 61.93 1.22 9.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 45 60 -10 61.74 1.31 -9.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 45 59 +1 60.34 1.30 0.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 45 57 -8 58.63 1.30 -7.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 45 55 -17 55.59 1.00 -18.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 45 54 -10 55.11 1.25 -10.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 45 52 -5 53.44 1.33 -4.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grays_Athletic 45 49 -21 50.32 1.31 -21.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 44 48 -5 51.48 1.81 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Barrow 45 48 -16 49.02 1.24 -16.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26R 0.00 Woking 44 44 -17 45.81 1.60 -18.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.14R 0.00 Weymouth 44 43 -38 44.65 1.58 -39.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.60R 0.00 Northwich 45 40 -20 40.58 1.03 -21.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Lewes 45 23 -61 23.81 1.09 -61.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Mansfield -4 Oxford_Utd -5