Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 23 April 2009 at 21:05:28 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 April 2009, Chelsea vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   74  +35      86.75     3.00    41.67    82.84    98.28    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   71  +38      82.45     2.54    45.61    16.48    89.87    99.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   68  +35      77.87     2.72    39.44     0.68    11.81    95.44   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   62  +26      70.80     2.69    29.19     0.00     0.05     4.63    98.09   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   54   +6      62.79     2.92     9.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.42    99.26     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   53  +13      61.28     2.96    15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49    97.77     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        33   45   +1      51.11     2.75     0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   44   +5      50.98     2.81     5.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   44   +3      49.80     2.64     1.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   41   +7      47.82     2.80     6.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           32   41   -5      49.57     3.25    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   39  -15      44.14     2.73   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Bolton          33   37  -11      43.67     2.95   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Portsmouth      33   37  -15      42.77     2.90   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.84R    0.00  
Sunderland      33   35  -12      40.47     2.80   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.98R    0.01  
Hull            33   34  -20      38.14     2.57   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.46R    0.16  
Blackburn       33   34  -20      39.70     2.72   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.38R    0.10  
Middlesbrough   33   31  -22      34.52     2.44   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.02R    5.31  
Newcastle       33   30  -16      35.57     2.69   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.01R    2.86  
West_Brom       33   25  -33      29.25     2.62   -37.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.46R   91.56  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Charlton vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    44   86  +27      89.90     1.77    28.73    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       44   80  +17      82.74     1.74    17.07     0.01    85.43   100.00    89.36P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   76  +24      79.27     1.83    24.77     0.00     9.68   100.00    37.28P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          44   74  +31      77.45     1.83    32.00     0.00     4.31   100.00    38.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   74  +16      77.28     1.86    16.79     0.00     0.57    98.91    19.63P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   72   +8      75.26     1.87     8.75     0.00     0.00    90.39    12.92P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          44   68  +15      70.96     1.73    15.35     0.00     0.00     6.53     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   68  +10      70.67     1.74     9.96     0.00     0.00     4.17     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   60   +5      62.77     1.77     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   60   +4      62.87     1.81     4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              44   60   -1      62.67     1.73    -1.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   57   -8      59.20     1.77    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   56   -1      58.52     1.79    -1.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   55  -12      57.01     1.66   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   54   -9      56.50     1.79    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   52   -7      54.92     1.86    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   52  -12      54.42     1.72   -12.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Derby            44   51  -11      53.89     1.83   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Plymouth         44   50  -12      52.60     1.74   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.52R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   49  -17      51.76     1.81   -16.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.70R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   48  -14      50.11     1.74   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.40R    0.00  
Norwich          44   46   -9      48.32     1.81    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.15R    0.00  
Charlton         44   36  -23      38.37     1.82   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   25.67  
Southampton      44   34  -21      36.20     1.79   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   74.33  

Adjustments:
Southampton      -10


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Bristol_Rovers vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        44   92  +42      96.09     1.76    44.08   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   85  +23      88.52     1.83    24.22     0.00    64.62   100.00    74.32P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   81  +35      87.08     2.15    38.06     0.00    35.38   100.00    58.94P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   79  +11      82.38     1.83    11.90     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            44   78  +24      81.62     1.85    25.33     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.66P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +13      75.20     1.78    13.60     0.00     0.00    37.47     7.41P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   70  +16      76.07     2.53    17.05     0.00     0.00    62.53    12.08P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   67   -5      70.10     1.79    -4.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   66   -3      69.09     1.85    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   61   +0      63.91     1.86     0.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   60  +16      63.48     1.86    17.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   60   -1      62.74     1.83    -0.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   58   -5      60.14     1.72    -6.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport        44   57   +2      60.31     1.85     2.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   55  -11      57.26     1.73   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   50   -9      51.90     1.76   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.33R    0.00  
Swindon          44   49   -4      51.07     1.77    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.16R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   49  -23      52.57     2.11   -23.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.23R    0.00  
Brighton         44   48  -16      50.27     1.79   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.28R    0.00  
Carlisle         44   46  -15      48.64     1.85   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.02R    0.00  
Crewe            44   46  -19      47.61     1.62   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.79R    0.00  
Northampton      42   45   -1      50.28     2.54    -1.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.19R    0.00  
Cheltenham       43   38  -35      40.62     2.04   -37.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    4.55  
Hereford         43   33  -35      35.38     1.95   -37.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   95.45  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Dag_&_Red vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            44   79  +25      82.33     1.74    25.92    72.45    99.75   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   77  +22      80.97     1.70    23.67    25.97    97.25   100.00    98.26P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   75  +14      77.84     1.79    14.17     0.95    49.25   100.00    62.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   74  +19      77.51     1.78    20.11     0.62    52.41   100.00    66.21P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   71   +2      73.28     1.80     1.28     0.00     1.20   100.00    17.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   69  +12      72.20     1.88    12.68     0.00     0.14    98.24    24.66P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   65  +22      68.39     1.86    22.95     0.00     0.00    62.47    19.79P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   65  +16      67.83     1.80    16.12     0.00     0.00    32.07     9.53P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   63   +8      66.18     1.86     8.66     0.00     0.00     6.61     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   62   +1      64.49     1.76     0.65     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   61   +6      63.48     1.82     5.60     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           44   59  +18      62.35     1.78    18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   58  +18      60.99     1.84    18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   58   +3      60.96     1.74     3.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   50  -23      52.75     1.73   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   48  -16      51.18     1.86   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   47  -17      48.87     1.64   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         44   44  -18      45.62     1.59   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   44  -23      45.83     1.65   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         44   43  -33      45.27     1.80   -33.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          44   40   +3      43.07     1.79     3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Grimsby              44   40  -17      42.73     1.74   -17.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27R    0.00  
Chester              44   36  -37      37.66     1.64   -38.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.78R    0.00  
Luton                44   25   -5      27.06     1.71    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30
Darlington           -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 23 April 2009, Northwich vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        45   88  +30      89.16     1.28    29.68    90.68   100.00    93.14P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   85  +26      87.20     1.16    27.22     9.32   100.00    36.37P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               45   82  +30      83.26     1.30    29.83     0.00   100.00    28.43P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   81  +20      82.40     1.31    20.04     0.00    94.01    17.96P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   80  +24      81.59     1.32    24.32     0.00    74.10    17.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   77  +22      79.24     1.16    23.43     0.00    17.03     3.76P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        44   76  +18      79.22     1.80    18.68     0.00    14.86     3.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            45   73  +12      74.12     1.21    11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   70  +22      71.49     1.32    22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              45   63  +14      65.32     1.11    15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    45   60   +9      61.93     1.22     9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   45   60  -10      61.74     1.31    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   59   +1      60.34     1.30     0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     45   57   -8      58.63     1.30    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           45   55  -17      55.59     1.00   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            45   54  -10      55.11     1.25   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         45   52   -5      53.44     1.33    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic       45   49  -21      50.32     1.31   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 44   48   -5      51.48     1.81    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barrow               45   48  -16      49.02     1.24   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Woking               44   44  -17      45.81     1.60   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.14R    0.00  
Weymouth             44   43  -38      44.65     1.58   -39.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.60R    0.00  
Northwich            45   40  -20      40.58     1.03   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Lewes                45   23  -61      23.81     1.09   -61.71     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4
Oxford_Utd           -5