Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 22 April 2009 at 21:05:13 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Liverpool vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Liverpool       33   71  +38      82.43     2.53    45.54    19.21    83.26    99.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         31   71  +33      86.27     3.19    41.56    77.91    95.49    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   67  +35      78.97     3.02    40.50     2.89    21.22    96.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   62  +26      70.73     2.69    29.13     0.00     0.04     3.18    97.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   54   +6      62.77     2.91     9.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.51    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   52  +13      60.95     3.18    14.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63    96.68     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        33   45   +1      51.08     2.76    -0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   44   +5      51.03     2.84     5.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.60     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   44   +3      49.76     2.63     1.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   41   +7      47.84     2.79     6.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           32   41   -5      49.54     3.23    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   39  -15      44.17     2.73   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Bolton          33   37  -11      43.65     2.95   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.00  
Portsmouth      32   37  -13      43.20     3.06   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62R    0.00  
Sunderland      33   35  -12      40.45     2.83   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.22R    0.01  
Hull            33   34  -20      38.16     2.58   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.94R    0.17  
Blackburn       33   34  -20      39.70     2.71   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.33R    0.16  
Middlesbrough   33   31  -22      34.51     2.43   -27.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.15R    5.18  
Newcastle       33   30  -16      35.58     2.70   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.35R    2.95  
West_Brom       33   25  -33      29.28     2.62   -37.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   91.53  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Charlton vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    44   86  +27      89.90     1.77    28.75    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       44   80  +17      82.73     1.75    17.06     0.01    85.34   100.00    89.22P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   76  +24      79.26     1.83    24.74     0.00     9.79   100.00    37.16P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          44   74  +31      77.42     1.82    31.98     0.00     4.23   100.00    38.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   74  +16      77.27     1.86    16.78     0.00     0.64    98.89    20.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   72   +8      75.26     1.88     8.75     0.00     0.00    90.25    12.55P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          44   68  +15      70.97     1.74    15.34     0.00     0.00     6.71     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   68  +10      70.69     1.75     9.97     0.00     0.00     4.14     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   60   +5      62.75     1.77     4.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   60   +4      62.87     1.80     4.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              44   60   -1      62.68     1.73    -1.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   57   -8      59.21     1.77    -8.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   56   -1      58.53     1.79    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   55  -12      57.00     1.65   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   54   -9      56.50     1.79    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   52   -7      54.94     1.87    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        44   52  -12      54.41     1.72   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Derby            44   51  -11      53.87     1.83   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Plymouth         44   50  -12      52.60     1.74   -12.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.67R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   49  -17      51.75     1.80   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.38R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   48  -14      50.11     1.75   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.42R    0.00  
Norwich          44   46   -9      48.32     1.81    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.17R    0.00  
Southampton      44   44  -21      46.23     1.80   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.13R    0.00  
Charlton         44   36  -23      38.37     1.82   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Bristol_Rovers vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        44   92  +42      96.12     1.76    44.10   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   85  +23      88.50     1.85    24.20     0.00    64.59   100.00    74.01P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   81  +35      87.06     2.16    38.04     0.00    35.41   100.00    58.96P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   79  +11      82.39     1.83    11.91     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.60P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            44   78  +24      81.60     1.86    25.30     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.96P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +13      75.19     1.78    13.61     0.00     0.00    37.81     7.72P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   70  +16      76.04     2.51    17.00     0.00     0.00    62.19    11.76P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   67   -5      70.11     1.81    -4.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   66   -3      69.09     1.84    -2.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   61   +0      63.90     1.87     0.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   60  +16      63.47     1.86    17.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   60   -1      62.77     1.83    -0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   58   -5      60.14     1.72    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport        44   57   +2      60.31     1.84     2.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   55  -11      57.25     1.73   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   50   -9      51.91     1.75   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.44R    0.00  
Swindon          44   49   -4      51.10     1.78    -5.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.01R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   49  -23      52.55     2.11   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.16R    0.00  
Brighton         44   48  -16      50.28     1.79   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.93R    0.00  
Carlisle         44   46  -15      48.62     1.85   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.56R    0.00  
Crewe            44   46  -19      47.60     1.63   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.00R    0.00  
Northampton      42   45   -1      50.31     2.55    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.90R    0.00  
Cheltenham       43   38  -35      40.64     2.04   -37.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    4.45  
Hereford         43   33  -35      35.38     1.95   -37.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   95.55  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Dag_&_Red vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            44   79  +25      82.32     1.75    25.91    72.34    99.79   100.00    99.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   77  +22      80.96     1.69    23.66    26.07    97.33   100.00    98.23P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   75  +14      77.81     1.78    14.12     0.94    48.63   100.00    61.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   74  +19      77.51     1.78    20.11     0.65    52.92   100.00    66.55P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   71   +2      73.29     1.80     1.29     0.00     1.16   100.00    17.94P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   69  +12      72.16     1.88    12.61     0.00     0.18    98.08    24.44P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   65  +22      68.38     1.87    22.94     0.00     0.00    61.85    19.58P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   65  +16      67.86     1.80    16.16     0.00     0.00    32.73     9.94P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   63   +8      66.21     1.87     8.69     0.00     0.00     6.62     1.63P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   62   +1      64.51     1.76     0.69     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   61   +6      63.47     1.81     5.58     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           44   59  +18      62.35     1.79    18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   58  +18      61.01     1.84    18.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   58   +3      60.93     1.74     3.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   50  -23      52.75     1.72   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   48  -16      51.19     1.87   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   47  -17      48.86     1.64   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         44   44  -18      45.62     1.59   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   44  -23      45.82     1.65   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         44   43  -33      45.26     1.79   -33.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          44   40   +3      43.05     1.79     3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.00  
Grimsby              44   40  -17      42.75     1.75   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.00  
Chester              44   36  -37      37.66     1.65   -38.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.81R    0.00  
Luton                44   25   -5      27.10     1.72    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30
Darlington           -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Barrow vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        45   88  +30      89.16     1.28    29.68    90.64   100.00    93.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   85  +26      87.19     1.16    27.21     9.36   100.00    35.50P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               45   82  +30      83.28     1.30    29.86     0.00   100.00    28.31P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   80  +24      81.60     1.32    24.32     0.00    77.92    17.99P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   78  +18      80.89     1.86    18.21     0.00    54.64    10.18P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   77  +22      79.27     1.15    23.49     0.00    22.49     4.90P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        43   76  +20      80.50     2.23    20.53     0.00    44.95    10.12P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            45   73  +12      74.10     1.20    11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   70  +22      71.47     1.32    22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              44   63  +15      66.82     1.72    16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    45   60   +9      61.92     1.22     9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   45   60  -10      61.73     1.31    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   59   +1      60.37     1.30     1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           45   55  -17      55.60     1.00   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     43   54   -7      58.21     2.28    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            45   54  -10      55.10     1.24   -10.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         45   52   -5      53.44     1.33    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic       45   49  -21      50.31     1.31   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 44   48   -5      51.49     1.80    -3.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barrow               45   48  -16      49.03     1.24   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Woking               44   44  -17      45.77     1.60   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.43R    0.00  
Weymouth             44   43  -38      44.63     1.58   -39.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.28R    0.00  
Northwich            44   37  -22      38.95     1.67   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Lewes                45   23  -61      23.80     1.09   -61.72     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4
Oxford_Utd           -5