Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 21 April 2009 at 21:05:32 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 April 2009, Man_City vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   71  +33      86.17     3.21    41.40    69.00    94.76    99.93   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   70  +38      83.42     2.85    46.30    28.68    87.43    99.84   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   67  +35      78.94     3.02    40.49     2.31    17.70    96.68   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   61  +26      70.65     2.97    28.41     0.00     0.11     3.56    97.08   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   54   +6      62.79     2.91     9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.01    99.32     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   52  +13      60.93     3.21    14.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.92    96.44     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        33   45   +1      51.03     2.73    -0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.37     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          33   44   +5      51.07     2.83     5.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   44   +3      49.77     2.64     1.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   41   +7      47.88     2.79     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           32   41   -5      49.62     3.25    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           33   39  -15      44.14     2.73   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Bolton          33   37  -11      43.67     2.95   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.00  
Portsmouth      32   37  -13      43.19     3.03   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.50R    0.00  
Sunderland      33   35  -12      40.42     2.81   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.26R    0.01  
Hull            33   34  -20      38.12     2.57   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.32R    0.14  
Blackburn       33   34  -20      39.69     2.71   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.25R    0.14  
Middlesbrough   33   31  -22      34.50     2.41   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.14R    5.15  
Newcastle       33   30  -16      35.55     2.68   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.26R    2.81  
West_Brom       33   25  -33      29.24     2.61   -37.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.45R   91.75  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Charlton vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    44   86  +27      89.90     1.77    28.73   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       44   80  +17      82.75     1.74    17.09     0.00    85.66   100.00    89.61P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   76  +24      79.27     1.84    24.76     0.00     9.63   100.00    36.33P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          44   74  +31      77.42     1.82    31.96     0.00     4.08   100.00    39.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   74  +16      77.27     1.86    16.78     0.00     0.63    98.85    20.02P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   72   +8      75.24     1.88     8.73     0.00     0.00    90.20    12.97P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          44   68  +15      70.97     1.74    15.36     0.00     0.00     6.76     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   68  +10      70.65     1.74     9.94     0.00     0.00     4.19     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   60   +5      62.79     1.78     5.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   60   +4      62.88     1.80     4.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              44   60   -1      62.70     1.74    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   57   -8      59.17     1.75    -8.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   56   -1      58.53     1.80    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   55  -12      57.00     1.65   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   54   -9      56.48     1.78    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   52   -7      54.94     1.86    -6.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        44   52  -12      54.39     1.72   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Derby            44   51  -11      53.87     1.83   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Plymouth         44   50  -12      52.59     1.73   -12.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.60R    0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   49  -17      51.76     1.81   -16.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.43R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   48  -14      50.11     1.74   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.46R    0.00  
Norwich          44   46   -9      48.32     1.81    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.28R    0.00  
Southampton      44   44  -21      46.25     1.80   -21.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.98R    0.00  
Charlton         44   36  -23      38.38     1.82   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Bristol_Rovers vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        44   92  +42      96.10     1.76    44.07   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   85  +23      88.51     1.84    24.21     0.00    64.66   100.00    74.33P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   81  +35      87.06     2.15    38.03     0.00    35.34   100.00    58.93P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   79  +11      82.37     1.82    11.89     0.00     0.00   100.00    18.46P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            44   78  +24      81.63     1.85    25.33     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.61P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +13      75.19     1.78    13.60     0.00     0.00    37.78     7.67P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   70  +16      76.06     2.51    17.04     0.00     0.00    62.22    12.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   67   -5      70.10     1.81    -4.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   66   -3      69.11     1.84    -2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   61   +0      63.91     1.86     0.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   60  +16      63.47     1.87    17.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   60   -1      62.75     1.83    -0.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   58   -5      60.14     1.72    -6.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport        44   57   +2      60.30     1.85     2.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   55  -11      57.26     1.74   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   50   -9      51.90     1.76   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.48R    0.00  
Swindon          44   49   -4      51.09     1.78    -5.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.08R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   49  -23      52.54     2.10   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.04R    0.00  
Brighton         44   48  -16      50.28     1.79   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.96R    0.00  
Carlisle         44   46  -15      48.63     1.86   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.48R    0.00  
Crewe            44   46  -19      47.61     1.63   -20.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.77R    0.00  
Northampton      42   45   -1      50.29     2.55    -1.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.20R    0.00  
Cheltenham       43   38  -35      40.66     2.04   -37.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    4.32  
Hereford         43   33  -35      35.40     1.95   -37.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   95.68  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Dag_&_Red vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            44   79  +25      82.32     1.73    25.93    72.47    99.77   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   77  +22      80.97     1.70    23.67    25.97    97.42   100.00    98.30P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   75  +14      77.83     1.78    14.14     0.93    49.38   100.00    62.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   74  +19      77.50     1.77    20.09     0.62    52.20   100.00    66.16P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   71   +2      73.31     1.80     1.34     0.00     1.05   100.00    18.47P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   69  +12      72.17     1.87    12.62     0.00     0.18    98.15    24.17P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   65  +22      68.38     1.86    22.93     0.00     0.00    62.25    19.49P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   65  +16      67.85     1.80    16.13     0.00     0.00    32.22     9.61P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   63   +8      66.21     1.86     8.70     0.00     0.00     6.72     1.57P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   62   +1      64.50     1.77     0.67     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   61   +6      63.46     1.82     5.57     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           44   59  +18      62.35     1.78    18.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   58  +18      61.01     1.85    18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   58   +3      60.94     1.74     3.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   50  -23      52.74     1.73   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   48  -16      51.21     1.86   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   47  -17      48.85     1.64   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         44   44  -18      45.65     1.60   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   44  -23      45.82     1.65   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         44   43  -33      45.26     1.80   -33.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth          44   40   +3      43.06     1.79     3.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Grimsby              44   40  -17      42.73     1.74   -17.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.23R    0.00  
Chester              44   36  -37      37.67     1.64   -38.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.78R    0.00  
Luton                44   25   -5      27.07     1.71    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30
Darlington           -10


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2009, Barrow vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        45   88  +30      89.17     1.28    29.69    90.80   100.00    93.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   85  +26      87.20     1.15    27.23     9.20   100.00    36.42P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               45   82  +30      83.26     1.30    29.82     0.00   100.00    27.43P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              45   80  +24      81.58     1.32    24.31     0.00    77.50    17.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   78  +18      80.90     1.87    18.24     0.00    54.56    10.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   77  +22      79.25     1.15    23.47     0.00    22.47     4.83P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        43   76  +20      80.51     2.23    20.55     0.00    45.47    10.13P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            45   73  +12      74.08     1.20    11.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         45   70  +22      71.49     1.32    22.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              44   63  +15      66.83     1.71    16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    45   60   +9      61.92     1.22     9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   45   60  -10      61.73     1.31    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   59   +1      60.36     1.31     0.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           45   55  -17      55.58     0.99   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     43   54   -7      58.19     2.28    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            45   54  -10      55.10     1.24   -10.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         45   52   -5      53.44     1.32    -4.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic       45   49  -21      50.31     1.31   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 44   48   -5      51.48     1.79    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barrow               45   48  -16      49.03     1.24   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Woking               44   44  -17      45.77     1.60   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.52R    0.00  
Weymouth             44   43  -38      44.64     1.57   -39.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.23R    0.00  
Northwich            44   37  -22      38.98     1.67   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Lewes                45   23  -61      23.79     1.08   -61.73     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4
Oxford_Utd           -5