Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 16 April 2009 at 21:05:09 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 April 2009, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   71  +33      86.21     3.19    41.50    68.98    95.01    99.93   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   70  +38      83.46     2.82    46.34    28.81    87.66    99.82   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   67  +35      78.96     3.00    40.51     2.21    17.19    96.69    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   61  +26      70.69     2.96    28.51     0.00     0.14     3.56    95.23   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   53   +6      63.56     3.26     9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.94    98.48     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   52  +13      60.97     3.18    14.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84    95.49     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   44   +1      51.04     3.05    -0.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.93     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          32   43   +5      51.85     3.15     6.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.35     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   41   +2      48.56     2.98     0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           32   41   -5      49.62     3.24    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   38   +5      47.15     3.07     6.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          32   37  -10      45.07     3.29   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Stoke           32   36  -16      42.68     3.09   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.84R    0.00  
Portsmouth      31   34  -14      41.53     3.39   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.65R    0.05  
Hull            32   34  -19      39.18     2.90   -24.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.59R    0.19  
Blackburn       32   34  -19      40.95     3.03   -21.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.20R    0.15  
Sunderland      32   32  -13      39.12     3.16   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.14R    0.55  
Newcastle       32   30  -15      36.46     2.99   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.79R    2.71  
Middlesbrough   32   30  -22      34.42     2.69   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.33R    8.76  
West_Brom       32   25  -31      29.67     2.79   -37.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.96R   87.59  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 April 2009, Barnsley vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    43   83  +26      88.92     2.17    28.70    98.65    99.88   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       43   77  +16      81.27     2.20    16.28     0.33    36.29   100.00    51.75P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   76  +25      80.79     2.28    25.97     0.64    35.04   100.00    54.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   73  +22      79.79     2.62    23.89     0.38    21.70    99.93    42.17P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          42   70  +29      77.45     2.57    31.91     0.00     7.08    99.35    37.67P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   69   +7      73.49     2.31     7.56     0.00     0.01    80.81    10.94P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          43   65  +14      69.66     2.18    14.80     0.00     0.00    13.56     2.64P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   65   +4      68.85     2.19     3.71     0.00     0.00     6.10     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   60   +5      63.88     2.20     4.65     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              43   60   +0      63.51     2.11    -0.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   +4      61.46     2.19     4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   54  -10      57.78     2.19   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   53   -2      57.28     2.25    -1.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   53   -8      58.49     2.60    -7.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Watford          43   52   -6      56.13     2.28    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Doncaster        43   52  -15      54.93     2.03   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Derby            42   51   -8      55.95     2.59    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   51  -12      54.69     2.18   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Plymouth         43   50   -9      54.36     2.19    -8.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Norwich          43   46   -8      49.29     2.21    -9.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.96R    0.02  
Barnsley         42   46  -14      49.59     2.37   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.47R    0.04  
Nottm_Forest     43   46  -18      50.16     2.25   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.06R    0.03  
Southampton      43   44  -19      47.30     2.21   -20.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.00R    0.63  
Charlton         42   34  -23      38.69     2.58   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 April 2009, Cheltenham vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        43   89  +40      94.83     2.21    42.61    99.20    99.95   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   82  +22      87.40     2.27    23.99     0.51    64.41   100.00    73.72P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   79  +13      83.52     2.25    13.55     0.00     4.61    99.95    24.05P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   78  +34      85.43     2.59    37.05     0.29    30.72    99.98    54.68P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            43   75  +22      80.23     2.28    23.67     0.00     0.21    95.17    25.20P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   72  +15      76.33     2.18    15.27     0.00     0.00    39.79     8.88P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   70  +17      77.45     2.89    18.09     0.00     0.10    64.87    13.47P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   67   -3      71.07     2.17    -3.01     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     43   63   -4      67.25     2.25    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   61   +2      65.42     2.31     2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   58   -4      61.74     2.20    -4.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   57  +15      64.19     2.63    17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stockport        43   57   +3      61.29     2.22     3.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   57   -3      61.33     2.25    -2.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   55   -9      58.76     2.17    -9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           42   49  -22      53.88     2.50   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Swindon          43   48   -4      51.38     2.23    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.41R    0.00  
Hartlepool       43   47  -10      50.29     2.18   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.24R    0.00  
Crewe            43   46  -18      49.53     2.13   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.27R    0.00  
Carlisle         43   45  -15      49.08     2.31   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.80R    0.00  
Northampton      41   42   -3      48.47     2.87    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.34R    0.00  
Brighton         42   42  -19      46.11     2.51   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.86R    0.01  
Cheltenham       42   35  -36      38.49     2.39   -39.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   33.00  
Hereford         42   33  -33      36.57     2.36   -35.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   67.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 April 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            42   76  +24      82.82     2.50    25.97    87.48    99.67   100.00    99.77P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               43   72  +13      75.98     2.21    12.85     0.81    35.58    99.98    51.43P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   71  +18      78.58     2.50    20.97    10.09    84.90   100.00    89.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   71  +16      76.75     2.13    18.46     1.57    62.61    99.96    73.52P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             43   69  +14      73.79     2.31    15.02     0.06    14.46    96.19    35.22P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           43   68   +1      71.21     2.20    -0.45     0.00     1.58    74.87    13.42P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           43   66  +16      70.45     2.22    16.52     0.00     1.19    75.13    23.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   63   +9      67.95     2.30    10.27     0.00     0.00    28.36     6.71P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   62  +15      65.90     2.20    14.76     0.00     0.00     8.37     2.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   61   +9      64.46     2.23     7.98     0.00     0.00     2.49     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   59   +1      64.31     2.51     0.83     0.00     0.00     1.98     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            41   58  +17      65.45     2.98    17.90     0.00     0.00    11.57     3.31P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   58   +4      62.46     2.20     4.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   54  +18      62.25     2.96    19.98     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            43   50  -20      53.36     2.02   -21.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   47  -14      49.53     1.94   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               43   47  -16      51.67     2.32   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         43   44  -17      46.60     2.02   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   44  -20      47.01     2.12   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         43   43  -30      45.86     2.07   -32.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Bournemouth          43   37   +1      41.71     2.24     1.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.78R    0.00  
Grimsby              43   37  -20      41.34     2.20   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.35R    0.00  
Chester              43   36  -35      38.77     2.10   -37.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.81R    0.11  
Luton                42   24   -4      28.45     2.52    -5.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.89  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 16 April 2009, Histon vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        44   88  +31      90.96     1.86    31.31    97.71   100.00    98.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        44   82  +25      85.86     1.76    26.63     2.29    99.18    30.06P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   79  +21      82.28     1.72    21.89     0.00    68.94    14.52P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               43   78  +29      83.45     2.13    31.34     0.00    85.74    24.42P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   78  +24      82.57     2.30    24.66     0.00    69.75    16.55P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            43   77  +18      81.42     2.30    18.45     0.00    43.48     8.55P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        42   75  +20      80.55     2.56    20.07     0.00    32.91     7.61P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         43   69  +23      74.05     2.29    24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering            43   67  +10      71.60     2.12    10.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              43   63  +16      68.09     2.13    17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    44   60  +13      63.45     1.80    13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   44   60   -9      62.89     1.83    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            43   55   -1      59.59     2.25    -0.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            44   54   -9      56.17     1.76    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           43   52  -17      55.18     2.06   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     42   51   -9      56.67     2.67    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         43   49   -8      52.81     2.27    -8.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barrow               43   46  -16      48.99     2.15   -17.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.23R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic       43   46  -20      49.40     2.20   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.88R    0.00  
Woking               43   43  -17      45.95     2.02   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.48R    0.00  
Weymouth             42   43  -35      46.25     2.24   -39.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.69R    0.00  
York                 42   42   -7      48.60     2.66    -5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.75R    0.00  
Northwich            43   34  -25      38.14     2.07   -25.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R    0.00  
Lewes                43   23  -57      25.10     1.82   -59.79     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4