Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 13 April 2009 at 21:05:07 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 April 2009, Aston_Villa vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Man_Utd 31 71 +33 86.19 3.19 41.48 69.01 95.01 99.92 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 32 70 +38 83.45 2.83 46.32 28.72 87.46 99.85 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 32 67 +35 78.96 3.00 40.51 2.27 17.40 96.64 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 32 61 +26 70.71 2.95 28.55 0.00 0.13 3.58 95.56 100.00 0.00 0.00
Aston_Villa 32 53 +6 63.53 3.25 9.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.80 98.63 0.00 0.00
Everton 32 52 +13 60.92 3.19 14.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.65 95.33 0.00 0.00
West_Ham 32 44 +1 51.04 3.03 -0.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.93 0.00 0.00
Fulham 32 43 +5 51.82 3.15 5.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.32 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 32 41 +2 48.60 2.96 1.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.00 0.00
Wigan 32 41 -5 49.59 3.23 -4.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.00 0.00
Man_City 32 38 +5 47.14 3.08 6.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.01R 0.00
Bolton 32 37 -10 45.05 3.29 -10.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50R 0.00
Stoke 32 36 -16 42.68 3.08 -18.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.97R 0.00
Portsmouth 31 34 -14 41.54 3.37 -17.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.56R 0.04
Hull 32 34 -19 39.24 2.92 -24.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.85R 0.18
Blackburn 32 34 -19 40.94 3.06 -21.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.32R 0.13
Sunderland 32 32 -13 39.10 3.17 -14.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.71R 0.56
Newcastle 32 30 -15 36.48 2.99 -18.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.76R 2.69
Middlesbrough 32 30 -22 34.44 2.70 -27.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.36R 9.11
West_Brom 32 25 -31 29.71 2.80 -36.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.96R 87.29
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 April 2009, Barnsley vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Wolverhampton 43 83 +26 88.92 2.17 28.68 98.71 99.87 100.00 99.91P 0.00 0.00
Birmingham 43 77 +16 81.27 2.20 16.29 0.34 36.61 100.00 51.69P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 43 76 +25 80.79 2.29 25.97 0.57 35.10 100.00 53.89P 0.00 0.00
Cardiff 42 73 +22 79.77 2.64 23.86 0.38 21.52 99.90 41.65P 0.00 0.00
Reading 42 70 +29 77.45 2.56 31.87 0.00 6.88 99.38 37.91P 0.00 0.00
Burnley 43 69 +7 73.49 2.30 7.57 0.00 0.01 81.19 11.43P 0.00 0.00
Swansea 43 65 +14 69.67 2.18 14.82 0.00 0.00 13.46 2.61P 0.00 0.00
Preston 43 65 +4 68.83 2.18 3.69 0.00 0.00 5.79 0.87P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_City 43 60 +5 63.91 2.21 4.67 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.03P 0.00 0.00
QPR 43 60 +0 63.52 2.11 -0.78 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 43 57 +4 61.47 2.20 4.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Wed 43 54 -10 57.77 2.19 -10.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Crystal_Palace 43 53 -2 57.25 2.25 -1.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Coventry 42 53 -8 58.47 2.59 -7.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Watford 43 52 -6 56.13 2.27 -5.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00
Doncaster 43 52 -15 54.95 2.03 -16.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14R 0.00
Derby 42 51 -8 55.99 2.59 -8.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00
Blackpool 43 51 -12 54.68 2.17 -12.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.56R 0.00
Plymouth 43 50 -9 54.38 2.17 -8.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.64R 0.00
Norwich 43 46 -8 49.27 2.20 -9.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.40R 0.02
Barnsley 42 46 -14 49.56 2.34 -16.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.75R 0.05
Nottm_Forest 43 46 -18 50.17 2.27 -17.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.82R 0.04
Southampton 43 44 -19 47.30 2.21 -20.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.58R 0.62
Charlton 42 34 -23 38.69 2.57 -24.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.27
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 April 2009, Cheltenham vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Leicester 43 89 +40 94.86 2.21 42.65 99.19 99.97 100.00 99.98P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 43 82 +22 87.39 2.25 23.99 0.51 64.06 100.00 73.46P 0.00 0.00
Millwall 43 79 +13 83.54 2.24 13.58 0.00 4.54 99.93 23.77P 0.00 0.00
MK_Dons 42 78 +34 85.48 2.59 37.10 0.30 31.13 99.98 55.28P 0.00 0.00
Leeds 43 75 +22 80.24 2.28 23.67 0.00 0.18 95.16 25.32P 0.00 0.00
Tranmere 43 72 +15 76.31 2.19 15.25 0.00 0.00 39.54 8.87P 0.00 0.00
Scunthorpe 41 70 +17 77.47 2.88 18.09 0.00 0.12 65.15 13.28P 0.00 0.00
Southend 43 67 -3 71.07 2.17 -2.99 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.03P 0.00 0.00
Huddersfield 43 63 -4 67.26 2.25 -3.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oldham 43 61 +2 65.43 2.32 2.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Walsall 43 58 -4 61.73 2.20 -4.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 42 57 +15 64.19 2.64 17.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Stockport 43 57 +3 61.30 2.22 3.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Colchester 43 57 -3 61.33 2.27 -2.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Leyton_Orient 43 55 -9 58.74 2.16 -9.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yeovil 42 49 -22 53.89 2.51 -22.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.05R 0.00
Swindon 43 48 -4 51.36 2.23 -5.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.76R 0.00
Hartlepool 43 47 -10 50.30 2.19 -11.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.95R 0.00
Crewe 43 46 -18 49.53 2.12 -18.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.45R 0.00
Carlisle 43 45 -15 49.09 2.30 -15.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.31R 0.00
Northampton 41 42 -3 48.45 2.87 -3.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.45R 0.00
Brighton 42 42 -19 46.08 2.49 -21.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.05R 0.00
Cheltenham 42 35 -36 38.44 2.37 -39.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.97R 33.32
Hereford 42 33 -33 36.56 2.35 -35.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 66.67
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 April 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Brentford 42 76 +24 82.83 2.50 25.97 87.51 99.66 100.00 99.78P 0.00 0.00
Exeter 43 72 +13 75.99 2.21 12.86 0.86 35.37 99.98 51.43P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 42 71 +18 78.58 2.48 20.95 9.92 85.28 100.00 90.11P 0.00 0.00
Bury 43 71 +16 76.74 2.14 18.45 1.64 62.25 99.96 73.36P 0.00 0.00
Rochdale 43 69 +14 73.80 2.31 15.04 0.07 14.59 95.96 34.77P 0.00 0.00
Gillingham 43 68 +1 71.23 2.20 -0.43 0.00 1.68 75.19 13.92P 0.00 0.00
Darlington 43 66 +16 70.44 2.22 16.51 0.00 1.16 74.97 22.83P 0.00 0.00
Chesterfield 43 63 +9 67.95 2.31 10.26 0.00 0.00 28.43 6.57P 0.00 0.00
Shrewsbury 43 62 +15 65.90 2.19 14.76 0.00 0.00 8.32 2.31P 0.00 0.00
Bradford 43 61 +9 64.44 2.23 7.95 0.00 0.00 2.50 0.61P 0.00 0.00
Morecambe 42 59 +1 64.27 2.50 0.77 0.00 0.00 1.79 0.40P 0.00 0.00
Dag_&_Red 41 58 +17 65.45 2.97 17.94 0.00 0.00 11.67 3.48P 0.00 0.00
Lincoln_City 43 58 +4 62.45 2.21 4.59 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 41 54 +18 62.27 2.96 20.00 0.00 0.00 1.19 0.42P 0.00 0.00
Aldershot 43 50 -20 53.35 2.02 -21.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Accrington_Stanley 43 47 -14 49.54 1.96 -16.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Barnet 43 47 -16 51.67 2.32 -15.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Notts_County 43 44 -17 46.62 2.02 -19.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Port_Vale 43 44 -20 47.01 2.11 -21.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Macclesfield 43 43 -30 45.86 2.07 -32.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00
Bournemouth 43 37 +1 41.69 2.23 1.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.94R 0.00
Grimsby 43 37 -20 41.33 2.21 -19.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.79R 0.00
Chester 43 36 -35 38.82 2.11 -36.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.21R 0.06
Luton 42 24 -4 28.43 2.53 -5.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.94
Adjustments:
Rotherham -17
Bournemouth -17
Luton -30
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 April 2009, Barrow vs York; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Burton_Albion 44 88 +31 90.92 1.86 31.25 97.62 100.00 98.16P 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 44 82 +25 85.88 1.75 26.66 2.38 99.41 30.72P 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 44 79 +21 82.31 1.72 21.95 0.00 72.57 15.70P 0.00 0.00
Torquay 43 78 +24 82.57 2.30 24.66 0.00 72.00 16.81P 0.00 0.00
Stevenage 43 77 +18 81.41 2.31 18.45 0.00 46.08 8.98P 0.00 0.00
Histon 42 75 +26 82.42 2.50 29.17 0.00 73.50 20.94P 0.00 0.00
Kidderminster 42 75 +20 80.59 2.58 20.13 0.00 35.92 8.56P 0.00 0.00
Crawley_Town 42 68 +23 74.32 2.64 24.26 0.00 0.53 0.13P 0.00 0.00
Kettering 42 66 +10 72.04 2.51 10.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Wrexham 43 63 +16 68.03 2.13 17.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rushden_&_D'monds 44 60 +13 63.45 1.81 13.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Eastbourne_Borough 44 60 -9 62.88 1.82 -8.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mansfield 43 55 -1 59.62 2.26 -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Salisbury 44 54 -9 56.15 1.74 -9.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Altrincham 43 52 -17 55.16 2.06 -18.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ebbsfleet_United 41 51 -6 57.47 2.90 -6.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 43 49 -8 52.81 2.28 -8.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00
Barrow 43 46 -16 49.01 2.16 -17.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.24R 0.00
Grays_Athletic 43 46 -20 49.42 2.22 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.89R 0.00
Woking 43 43 -17 45.95 2.04 -18.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.60R 0.00
Weymouth 42 43 -35 46.26 2.26 -39.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.28R 0.00
York 42 42 -7 48.59 2.66 -5.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00R 0.00
Northwich 43 34 -25 38.09 2.06 -25.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.96R 0.00
Lewes 43 23 -57 25.11 1.83 -59.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00
Adjustments:
Mansfield -4