Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 11 April 2009 at 21:05:05 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 April 2009, Chelsea vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   71  +33      86.15     3.21    41.40    68.54    94.80    99.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   70  +38      83.48     2.83    46.40    29.22    87.74    99.82   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   67  +35      78.97     3.00    40.52     2.23    17.36    96.79    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   61  +26      70.68     2.94    28.49     0.00     0.10     3.43    92.58   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   52   +6      64.05     3.60     9.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.99    98.80     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   51  +13      61.18     3.50    13.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.45    95.66     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   44   +1      51.01     3.05    -0.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   41   +2      48.53     2.96     0.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           32   41   -5      49.57     3.25    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          31   40   +3      49.59     3.43     3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   38   +7      49.00     3.37     9.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.00R    0.00  
Bolton          32   37  -10      45.03     3.27   -10.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.53R    0.00  
Stoke           32   36  -16      42.77     3.09   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.80R    0.00  
Portsmouth      31   34  -14      41.59     3.40   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.54R    0.04  
Hull            32   34  -19      39.21     2.91   -24.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.74R    0.18  
Blackburn       32   34  -19      40.89     3.03   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.76R    0.14  
Sunderland      32   32  -13      39.12     3.18   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.83R    0.57  
Newcastle       32   30  -15      36.53     2.98   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.90R    2.41  
Middlesbrough   32   30  -22      34.49     2.71   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.91R    8.60  
West_Brom       32   25  -31      29.67     2.79   -37.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.99R   88.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 April 2009, Burnley vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    42   80  +25      87.42     2.60    27.86    85.46    96.51   100.00    97.46P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       42   76  +16      82.23     2.56    17.09     5.31    40.18   100.00    55.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        42   75  +25      82.05     2.60    27.34     7.96    45.30   100.00    61.44P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   70  +20      78.58     2.98    22.54     0.78     8.69    99.45    31.32P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          41   69  +29      78.19     2.89    32.38     0.49     9.08    99.70    39.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   69   +9      74.48     2.63     8.92     0.00     0.23    92.55    13.40P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          42   62  +12      68.12     2.56    12.92     0.00     0.00     5.51     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          42   62   +2      67.13     2.54     1.61     0.00     0.00     2.09     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     42   59   +5      64.54     2.59     5.05     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              42   57   -1      62.19     2.48    -1.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   56   +4      61.60     2.56     4.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   54   -9      58.85     2.51    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   53   -1      58.70     2.63    -0.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   52   -4      57.38     2.67    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         41   52   -8      59.31     2.95    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster        42   52  -13      56.34     2.46   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Derby            41   51   -7      57.10     2.94    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Blackpool        42   50  -12      54.62     2.50   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84R    0.00  
Plymouth         42   49   -9      54.08     2.45    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Barnsley         41   46  -12      50.90     2.73   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.44R    0.02  
Nottm_Forest     42   45  -18      49.73     2.48   -19.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.95R    0.12  
Norwich          42   43  -10      47.76     2.59   -11.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.76R    0.71  
Southampton      42   41  -20      45.53     2.57   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.07R    4.93  
Charlton         41   33  -23      38.70     2.88   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   94.21  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 April 2009, Brighton vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        42   86  +39      93.74     2.58    42.40    92.38    99.49   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   82  +24      88.70     2.63    25.90     7.03    81.38   100.00    86.29P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         42   76  +11      81.89     2.63    11.54     0.01     2.53    99.09    20.19P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   75  +33      84.28     2.92    36.76     0.58    15.35    99.86    45.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            42   75  +23      81.11     2.61    23.90     0.01     1.21    97.93    26.86P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   69  +14      75.52     2.50    15.48     0.00     0.00    45.74     9.96P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       40   67  +16      75.97     3.22    17.31     0.00     0.04    56.99    11.74P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         42   64   -4      69.14     2.53    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   60   +2      66.50     2.67     3.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     42   60   -5      66.09     2.63    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   57  +16      65.18     2.93    18.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        42   57   +4      63.11     2.60     4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   57   -2      63.23     2.64    -0.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   55   -5      59.65     2.53    -6.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   52  -10      56.71     2.53   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil           41   49  -21      55.23     2.85   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
Swindon          42   48   -3      53.13     2.63    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.99R    0.00  
Hartlepool       42   47   -9      51.51     2.59   -10.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.70R    0.00  
Carlisle         42   45  -14      50.15     2.66   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.07R    0.00  
Crewe            42   45  -18      49.35     2.45   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.43R    0.00  
Northampton      40   42   -2      50.19     3.21    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.80R    0.00  
Brighton         41   39  -20      43.84     2.76   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.03R    0.28  
Hereford         41   33  -32      37.09     2.57   -36.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   44.08  
Cheltenham       41   32  -37      36.91     2.77   -40.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   55.64  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 April 2009, Barnet vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            41   73  +23      81.22     2.83    25.05    60.82    97.59   100.00    98.32P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   71  +19      79.97     2.84    22.05    33.06    92.23   100.00    94.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   70  +16      76.85     2.49    18.11     4.69    66.63    99.75    75.65P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               42   69  +12      74.31     2.56    11.82     0.87    18.69    97.37    36.89P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   68  +14      73.82     2.64    14.49     0.50    17.88    93.53    35.58P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           42   65  +16      71.10     2.59    16.92     0.06     5.53    77.41    27.23P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           42   65   +0      69.51     2.58    -1.56     0.00     0.93    44.23     8.19P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   62   +9      68.27     2.68    10.15     0.00     0.14    33.31     7.73P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   61  +15      66.62     2.59    15.27     0.00     0.03    16.86     4.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             42   60   +9      65.15     2.62     8.43     0.00     0.00     6.82     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            40   58  +18      66.83     3.30    18.92     0.00     0.33    25.77     7.85P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   57   +4      62.51     2.58     4.14     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   56   +0      62.70     2.88    -0.14     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   53  +18      63.01     3.26    20.54     0.00     0.00     3.55     1.23P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            42   49  -20      54.03     2.45   -20.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   47  -13      51.49     2.36   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               42   46  -16      51.80     2.71   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         42   44  -15      48.44     2.45   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   43  -20      47.00     2.45   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         42   43  -29      47.19     2.49   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth          42   37   +2      43.05     2.59     2.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54R    0.01  
Grimsby              42   34  -22      39.22     2.55   -22.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.78R    0.31  
Chester              42   33  -36      36.54     2.40   -38.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.94R    2.60  
Luton                41   23   -4      28.86     2.92    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.73R   97.09  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 April 2009, Altrincham vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        43   88  +32      92.26     2.30    32.20    98.10   100.00    98.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        43   79  +24      84.19     2.13    25.65     0.34    96.44    27.39P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              42   77  +24      83.29     2.69    25.17     0.97    86.85    22.20P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   76  +19      80.94     2.15    20.32     0.00    59.76    11.92P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               41   74  +26      83.22     2.85    29.85     0.59    86.47    24.89P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            42   74  +16      79.26     2.65    15.61     0.00    29.15     5.32P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        41   72  +19      78.96     2.94    19.13     0.00    30.08     6.87P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         41   68  +25      76.21     2.97    27.07     0.00    10.56     2.69P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            41   66  +11      73.42     2.81    11.94     0.00     0.70     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              42   63  +17      70.24     2.46    19.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    43   59  +13      63.38     2.21    13.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   43   57  -10      61.67     2.27    -9.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            42   55   +1      61.29     2.63     2.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            43   53   -9      56.22     2.17   -10.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           42   49  -18      52.68     2.32   -20.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     40   48   -7      56.76     3.15    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green         42   48   -8      53.46     2.70    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic       42   46  -19      50.36     2.56   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.68R    0.00  
Barrow               42   45  -16      49.34     2.52   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.91R    0.00  
Woking               42   43  -15      47.03     2.39   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.32R    0.00  
Weymouth             41   42  -35      46.38     2.64   -39.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.44R    0.00  
York                 41   41   -7      48.96     2.99    -5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.43R    0.00  
Northwich            42   31  -27      36.23     2.46   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    0.17  
Lewes                42   23  -56      25.62     2.05   -60.07     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.83  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4