Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 10 April 2009 at 21:05:07 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 April 2009, Everton vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 30 68 +32 85.24 3.49 41.38 64.06 92.25 99.92 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 31 67 +34 82.93 3.05 44.35 32.28 84.78 99.81 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 31 64 +34 78.56 3.19 41.29 3.65 22.85 97.50 99.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 31 58 +23 69.05 3.27 25.45 0.00 0.12 2.74 84.15 100.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 31 52 +6 64.10 3.56 9.98 0.00 0.00 0.02 12.35 97.83 0.00 0.00 Everton 31 51 +13 61.20 3.48 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.54 93.65 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 31 44 +2 52.30 3.35 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 4.73 0.00 0.00 Wigan 31 41 -2 50.96 3.53 -1.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.56 0.00 0.00 Fulham 31 40 +3 49.57 3.41 3.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.09 0.00 0.00 Man_City 31 38 +7 49.01 3.39 9.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.91 0.01R 0.00 Tottenham 31 38 +1 47.12 3.29 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04R 0.00 Bolton 31 37 -9 45.16 3.38 -11.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.73R 0.00 Stoke 31 35 -16 43.28 3.44 -17.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.62R 0.00 Blackburn 31 34 -15 41.31 3.15 -19.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.01R 0.04 Hull 31 34 -17 40.88 3.28 -21.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.34R 0.10 Portsmouth 30 33 -14 42.55 3.67 -16.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.51R 0.05 Sunderland 31 32 -12 39.72 3.36 -14.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.43R 0.21 Newcastle 31 29 -15 36.80 3.29 -18.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.95R 1.98 Middlesbrough 31 27 -24 32.54 3.02 -29.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.31R 19.32 West_Brom 31 24 -31 29.29 3.03 -38.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.04R 78.29Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 10 April 2009, Reading vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 42 80 +25 87.52 2.59 28.02 83.15 96.14 100.00 97.22P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 42 75 +25 82.04 2.59 27.33 6.80 41.04 100.00 58.92P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 41 75 +16 83.02 2.89 17.65 9.26 50.95 100.00 63.34P 0.00 0.00 Reading 41 69 +29 78.27 2.90 32.50 0.57 8.58 99.47 40.91P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 40 67 +18 76.71 3.32 20.21 0.22 3.17 95.44 23.93P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 41 66 +8 73.11 2.96 8.30 0.00 0.12 75.72 10.87P 0.00 0.00 Preston 41 62 +3 69.19 2.89 3.56 0.00 0.00 16.09 2.35P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 41 59 +11 67.10 2.90 12.83 0.00 0.00 7.13 1.38P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 41 59 +6 66.06 2.95 6.30 0.00 0.00 5.06 0.92P 0.00 0.00 QPR 41 57 +0 63.27 2.78 -0.74 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 41 56 +6 63.64 2.88 7.13 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 41 54 -8 60.53 2.87 -8.30 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 41 53 +1 60.21 2.96 1.61 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 40 52 -4 60.92 3.24 -2.88 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Watford 41 51 -4 58.25 2.99 -3.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Doncaster 41 49 -15 53.96 2.68 -17.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.98R 0.00 Derby 40 48 -8 55.07 3.23 -9.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.59R 0.00 Blackpool 41 47 -13 52.45 2.78 -15.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.44R 0.00 Plymouth 41 46 -13 52.27 2.77 -13.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.04R 0.01 Barnsley 40 45 -12 50.74 3.02 -15.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.82R 0.06 Norwich 41 43 -9 48.52 2.89 -11.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.86R 0.73 Nottm_Forest 41 42 -19 47.81 2.83 -20.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.00R 1.48 Southampton 42 41 -20 45.54 2.58 -21.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.78R 5.44 Charlton 40 32 -23 38.70 3.18 -25.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.50R 92.28League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 10 April 2009, Bristol_Rovers vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 41 83 +37 92.87 2.88 41.54 86.97 98.37 100.00 98.99P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 42 82 +24 88.67 2.64 25.85 11.68 82.03 100.00 86.81P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 42 76 +11 81.92 2.62 11.60 0.04 2.40 99.61 20.54P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 41 75 +33 84.27 2.94 36.74 1.27 16.39 99.95 46.16P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 41 72 +22 79.93 2.94 23.57 0.03 0.77 96.51 26.23P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 40 67 +16 75.97 3.23 17.31 0.00 0.04 68.20 13.62P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 41 66 +13 73.93 2.87 14.52 0.00 0.00 34.65 7.51P 0.00 0.00 Southend 42 64 -4 69.17 2.53 -4.36 0.00 0.00 0.92 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 42 60 +2 66.42 2.67 3.42 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 42 60 -5 66.03 2.64 -4.14 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 41 57 +16 65.16 2.93 18.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 41 57 +5 64.07 2.90 5.30 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 Colchester 41 57 -1 64.62 2.95 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 41 55 -4 60.99 2.88 -5.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 41 49 -11 55.00 2.86 -12.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10R 0.00 Yeovil 41 49 -21 55.21 2.87 -21.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.99R 0.00 Hartlepool 41 46 -9 51.85 2.97 -10.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.25R 0.00 Swindon 41 45 -4 51.47 2.97 -4.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.87R 0.00 Carlisle 42 45 -14 50.18 2.66 -14.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.94R 0.00 Crewe 41 44 -18 49.88 2.84 -19.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.36R 0.00 Northampton 40 42 -2 50.16 3.20 -2.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.36R 0.00 Brighton 40 39 -19 45.27 3.13 -22.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.21R 0.21 Hereford 40 33 -30 37.74 2.81 -35.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.94R 38.22 Cheltenham 41 32 -37 36.90 2.74 -40.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 61.57League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 10 April 2009, Bury vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Brentford 40 72 +23 82.12 3.16 25.80 72.31 97.61 100.00 98.35P 0.00 0.00 Bury 42 70 +16 76.87 2.48 18.17 4.40 68.33 99.71 77.10P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 40 68 +18 78.95 3.15 21.87 21.03 85.53 99.85 90.25P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 41 68 +12 74.09 2.83 11.06 1.56 20.14 95.01 37.15P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 41 65 +13 73.00 2.95 14.80 0.40 15.86 87.20 33.54P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 41 65 +1 70.34 2.81 -1.28 0.04 3.05 55.21 11.55P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 41 64 +16 71.24 2.95 16.60 0.25 8.28 74.21 27.71P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 42 61 +15 66.61 2.60 15.26 0.00 0.05 16.62 4.93P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 41 61 +9 68.79 3.03 10.38 0.00 0.90 40.99 10.32P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 42 60 +9 65.12 2.61 8.39 0.00 0.00 6.37 1.45P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 41 56 +4 63.37 2.92 4.88 0.00 0.00 1.98 0.48P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 41 56 +0 62.77 2.89 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.86 0.20P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 39 55 +16 65.98 3.55 18.27 0.00 0.25 19.51 6.06P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 39 50 +17 62.16 3.54 20.67 0.00 0.00 2.48 0.89P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 41 49 -18 54.62 2.71 -20.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 41 44 -14 49.03 2.70 -16.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 41 44 -14 49.56 2.71 -15.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 41 43 -17 50.19 3.06 -16.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Port_Vale 41 43 -19 47.59 2.70 -22.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Macclesfield 41 40 -31 45.19 2.81 -33.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.07R 0.00 Bournemouth 41 37 +3 44.43 2.93 3.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.92R 0.01 Grimsby 41 34 -21 40.97 2.91 -20.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.76R 0.23 Chester 41 33 -34 38.27 2.80 -36.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.35R 1.64 Luton 40 22 -4 28.84 3.19 -6.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.86R 98.12 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 9 April 2009, Ebbsfleet_United vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 42 85 +30 90.72 2.68 30.32 79.67 100.00 84.57P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 41 77 +26 85.06 3.02 27.78 9.89 95.46 31.07P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 42 76 +23 83.23 2.49 25.64 0.77 90.99 25.41P 0.00 0.00 Histon 40 74 +28 84.58 3.15 31.81 9.35 93.68 33.54P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 42 73 +18 79.57 2.55 19.70 0.00 41.43 8.09P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 40 71 +19 79.80 3.25 19.81 0.32 45.86 10.76P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 41 71 +15 78.08 2.98 15.25 0.00 22.60 4.15P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 40 66 +12 74.79 3.12 12.99 0.00 4.49 1.08P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 40 65 +23 74.12 3.29 24.36 0.00 5.25 1.30P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 41 63 +18 71.42 2.81 20.65 0.00 0.24 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 42 57 -9 62.36 2.51 -9.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 42 56 +12 61.78 2.54 12.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 41 54 +1 62.32 2.97 3.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 42 53 -7 57.65 2.55 -8.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 41 48 -6 55.53 3.02 -5.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 39 48 -6 57.64 3.41 -6.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Altrincham 41 48 -18 52.67 2.63 -21.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17R 0.00 Barrow 41 44 -16 49.14 2.81 -18.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.66R 0.00 Grays_Athletic 41 43 -21 48.57 2.87 -22.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.08R 0.00 Weymouth 40 42 -34 48.05 2.99 -38.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.71R 0.00 York 40 41 -6 50.96 3.28 -3.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.86R 0.00 Woking 41 40 -17 44.68 2.66 -19.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.46R 0.00 Northwich 41 28 -28 34.02 2.75 -29.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 0.47 Lewes 41 20 -57 23.61 2.41 -61.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.53 Adjustments: Mansfield -4