Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 9 April 2009 at 21:05:18 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 April 2009, Everton vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   68  +32      85.23     3.46    41.42    64.12    92.25    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   67  +34      82.92     3.04    44.31    31.83    84.47    99.81   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   64  +34      78.62     3.18    41.37     4.04    23.14    97.68    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   58  +23      69.00     3.28    25.40     0.00     0.14     2.55    83.36    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   52   +6      64.13     3.59    10.04     0.00     0.00     0.04    13.04    97.99     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   51  +13      61.18     3.50    13.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.64    93.64     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   44   +2      52.27     3.36     0.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.66     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           31   41   -2      50.92     3.51    -1.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.00R    0.00  
Fulham          31   40   +3      49.53     3.43     3.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   38   +7      49.00     3.38     9.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham       31   38   +1      47.07     3.29     0.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.07R    0.00  
Bolton          31   37   -9      45.16     3.37   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.79R    0.00  
Stoke           31   35  -16      43.30     3.44   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.44R    0.00  
Blackburn       31   34  -15      41.32     3.14   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.77R    0.04  
Hull            31   34  -17      40.85     3.27   -21.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.80R    0.07  
Portsmouth      30   33  -14      42.61     3.68   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.44R    0.05  
Sunderland      31   32  -12      39.73     3.36   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.28R    0.23  
Newcastle       31   29  -15      36.80     3.30   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.08R    2.02  
Middlesbrough   31   27  -24      32.56     2.99   -29.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.32R   19.09  
West_Brom       31   24  -31      29.30     3.02   -38.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.01R   78.49  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 8 April 2009, Cardiff vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    41   77  +22      86.68     2.86    26.32    76.37    93.38   100.00    95.04P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       41   75  +16      83.00     2.89    17.64    13.80    55.31   100.00    67.19P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        41   72  +24      79.96     2.91    25.71     3.77    19.59    99.84    43.17P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   69  +30      80.12     3.18    34.21     5.60    27.89    99.78    53.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   67  +18      76.73     3.32    20.24     0.46     3.70    95.49    25.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   66   +8      73.10     2.96     8.29     0.00     0.12    75.52    10.85P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          41   62   +3      69.22     2.89     3.62     0.00     0.00    16.26     2.44P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          41   59  +11      67.10     2.91    12.83     0.00     0.00     6.91     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     41   59   +6      66.05     2.95     6.27     0.00     0.00     5.06     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              41   57   +0      63.25     2.81    -0.76     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   56   +6      63.61     2.88     7.11     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   54   -8      60.56     2.88    -8.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   53   +1      60.21     2.99     1.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -4      60.89     3.24    -2.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          41   51   -4      58.25     3.01    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Doncaster        41   49  -15      53.99     2.69   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.20R    0.00  
Derby            40   48   -8      55.11     3.22    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   47  -13      52.41     2.78   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.55R    0.00  
Plymouth         41   46  -13      52.27     2.75   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.96R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   45  -12      50.79     3.01   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.22R    0.06  
Norwich          41   43   -9      48.53     2.89   -11.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.89R    0.75  
Nottm_Forest     41   42  -19      47.82     2.84   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.56R    1.50  
Southampton      41   41  -17      46.19     2.82   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.34R    3.99  
Charlton         40   32  -23      38.60     3.15   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.57R   93.69  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 April 2009, Hereford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        41   83  +37      92.79     2.90    41.39    76.74    98.12   100.00    98.81P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   81  +24      90.23     2.83    28.09    22.38    89.57   100.00    92.27P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   76  +13      83.72     2.95    14.19     0.46     6.31    99.75    25.52P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   72  +31      82.76     3.27    34.92     0.39     5.23    99.06    36.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   72  +22      79.93     2.93    23.59     0.01     0.42    94.71    24.52P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   67  +17      78.16     3.51    19.66     0.02     0.36    80.97    16.99P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   66  +13      73.91     2.85    14.51     0.00     0.00    23.27     5.30P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         41   64   -2      70.40     2.87    -2.59     0.00     0.00     2.11     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   59   +2      66.78     3.03     3.42     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        41   57   +5      64.00     2.90     5.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   57   -1      64.60     2.95     0.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   57   -6      63.74     2.92    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   55   -4      61.10     2.91    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   54  +15      63.98     3.25    17.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   49  -11      55.02     2.85   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06R    0.00  
Hartlepool       41   46   -9      51.86     2.95   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.72R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   46  -23      52.97     3.11   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.97R    0.00  
Swindon          41   45   -4      51.49     2.97    -4.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.86R    0.00  
Carlisle         41   44  -14      50.54     3.01   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.56R    0.00  
Crewe            41   44  -18      49.96     2.85   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.48R    0.00  
Northampton      39   42   -1      51.11     3.51    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.20R    0.00  
Brighton         40   39  -19      45.30     3.13   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.20R    0.19  
Hereford         40   33  -30      37.80     2.81   -35.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   30.69  
Cheltenham       40   31  -37      36.18     2.90   -43.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   69.12  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 April 2009, Barnet vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            40   72  +23      82.11     3.16    25.78    73.46    98.08   100.00    98.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   68  +18      78.91     3.14    21.80    21.51    87.00    99.75    91.09P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   68  +12      74.17     2.82    11.17     1.84    26.21    94.11    41.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   67  +15      75.42     2.83    17.42     2.41    50.93    96.81    63.51P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             41   65  +13      73.00     2.95    14.79     0.43    19.95    85.02    35.44P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   65   +1      70.34     2.84    -1.29     0.06     4.03    51.11    11.67P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           41   64  +16      71.26     2.94    16.64     0.27    10.69    71.04    28.32P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   61  +16      67.81     2.90    16.08     0.00     1.07    28.77     9.51P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   61   +9      68.75     3.04    10.32     0.01     1.37    37.31     9.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             41   60  +10      66.49     2.96     9.41     0.00     0.24    14.40     3.69P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   56   +4      63.28     2.91     4.74     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            39   55  +16      65.97     3.54    18.26     0.00     0.40    17.86     5.65P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   53   -1      61.12     3.20    -1.05     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   50  +17      62.12     3.51    20.59     0.00     0.00     1.96     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   49  -18      54.63     2.71   -20.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         41   44  -14      49.08     2.70   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   44  -14      49.56     2.73   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barnet               41   43  -17      50.16     3.05   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            41   43  -19      47.63     2.71   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   40  -31      45.24     2.81   -33.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.99R    0.00  
Bournemouth          41   37   +3      44.46     2.94     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.91R    0.01  
Grimsby              41   34  -21      40.91     2.91   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.07R    0.24  
Chester              41   33  -34      38.27     2.80   -36.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.14R    1.73  
Luton                40   22   -4      28.84     3.20    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   98.02  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 9 April 2009, Ebbsfleet_United vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        42   85  +30      90.69     2.67    30.28    79.03   100.00    84.08P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              41   77  +26      85.16     3.04    27.93    10.41    95.72    32.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        42   76  +23      83.21     2.48    25.63     0.79    90.98    25.20P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               40   74  +28      84.58     3.15    31.79     9.45    93.78    33.33P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   73  +18      79.58     2.54    19.73     0.00    41.91     8.28P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        40   71  +19      79.78     3.26    19.79     0.31    45.90    10.50P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            41   71  +15      78.03     2.97    15.19     0.01    22.07     3.76P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            40   66  +12      74.75     3.12    12.97     0.00     4.36     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         40   65  +23      74.07     3.28    24.30     0.00     5.04     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              41   63  +18      71.43     2.82    20.67     0.00     0.23     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   42   57   -9      62.37     2.51    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    42   56  +12      61.76     2.54    12.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   54   +1      62.30     2.97     3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            42   53   -7      57.63     2.54    -8.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         41   48   -6      55.49     3.02    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     39   48   -6      57.66     3.41    -5.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham           41   48  -18      52.71     2.64   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Barrow               41   44  -16      49.18     2.82   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.40R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic       41   43  -21      48.57     2.89   -22.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.42R    0.00  
Weymouth             40   42  -34      48.03     2.98   -38.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.37R    0.00  
York                 40   41   -6      50.93     3.28    -3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.06R    0.00  
Woking               41   40  -17      44.75     2.66   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.50R    0.00  
Northwich            41   28  -28      34.02     2.74   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    0.43  
Lewes                41   20  -57      23.62     2.41   -61.66     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.57  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4