Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 8 April 2009 at 21:04:51 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 April 2009, Everton vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   68  +32      85.25     3.46    41.41    64.17    92.41    99.93   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   67  +34      82.94     3.04    44.39    32.12    84.78    99.83   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   64  +34      78.57     3.18    41.31     3.71    22.66    97.78    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   58  +23      69.04     3.27    25.45     0.00     0.15     2.43    83.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   52   +6      64.14     3.55    10.06     0.00     0.00     0.04    12.53    97.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   51  +13      61.17     3.50    13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.53    93.67     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   44   +2      52.28     3.35     0.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.64     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           31   41   -2      50.94     3.51    -1.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.59     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   40   +3      49.55     3.40     3.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City        31   38   +7      49.01     3.36     9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       31   38   +1      47.12     3.30     0.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06R    0.00  
Bolton          31   37   -9      45.18     3.39   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.71R    0.00  
Stoke           31   35  -16      43.32     3.45   -17.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.26R    0.00  
Blackburn       31   34  -15      41.39     3.18   -19.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.37R    0.07  
Hull            31   34  -17      40.81     3.26   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.84R    0.07  
Portsmouth      30   33  -14      42.54     3.65   -16.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.34R    0.06  
Sunderland      31   32  -12      39.74     3.37   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.95R    0.23  
Newcastle       31   29  -15      36.70     3.28   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.17R    2.07  
Middlesbrough   31   27  -24      32.56     2.99   -29.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.32R   19.01  
West_Brom       31   24  -31      29.26     3.03   -38.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.97R   78.50  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 8 April 2009, Cardiff vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    41   77  +22      86.71     2.87    26.37    76.84    93.56   100.00    95.16P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       41   75  +16      83.00     2.90    17.62    13.69    55.52   100.00    67.29P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        41   72  +24      79.93     2.89    25.66     3.47    19.34    99.86    42.34P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   69  +30      80.07     3.21    34.15     5.55    27.68    99.82    53.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   67  +18      76.74     3.33    20.27     0.45     3.76    95.35    25.52P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   66   +8      73.11     2.99     8.30     0.00     0.13    75.32    11.15P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          41   62   +3      69.24     2.89     3.63     0.00     0.00    16.42     2.52P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          41   59  +11      67.12     2.91    12.86     0.00     0.00     6.95     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     41   59   +6      66.10     2.95     6.34     0.00     0.00     5.09     0.87P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              41   57   +0      63.24     2.81    -0.77     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   56   +6      63.61     2.88     7.10     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   54   -8      60.53     2.89    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   53   +1      60.21     2.97     1.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         40   52   -4      60.96     3.26    -2.83     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   51   -4      58.23     3.00    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster        41   49  -15      53.98     2.68   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13R    0.00  
Derby            40   48   -8      55.08     3.23    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   47  -13      52.41     2.78   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.52R    0.01  
Plymouth         41   46  -13      52.25     2.78   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.83R    0.01  
Barnsley         40   45  -12      50.77     3.03   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.41R    0.07  
Norwich          41   43   -9      48.55     2.87   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.33R    0.77  
Nottm_Forest     41   42  -19      47.77     2.82   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.10R    1.51  
Southampton      41   41  -17      46.21     2.82   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.39R    4.13  
Charlton         40   32  -23      38.65     3.16   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.53R   93.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 April 2009, Hereford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        41   83  +37      92.80     2.87    41.41    76.51    98.26   100.00    98.85P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   81  +24      90.22     2.86    28.10    22.64    89.58   100.00    92.15P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   76  +13      83.74     2.94    14.22     0.44     6.28    99.75    25.66P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   72  +31      82.74     3.27    34.87     0.39     5.14    99.08    36.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   72  +22      79.90     2.93    23.54     0.02     0.40    94.32    24.20P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   67  +17      78.21     3.51    19.75     0.01     0.33    81.58    17.34P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   66  +13      73.92     2.87    14.52     0.00     0.00    23.17     5.32P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         41   64   -2      70.43     2.87    -2.54     0.00     0.00     1.97     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   59   +2      66.79     3.03     3.42     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        41   57   +5      64.02     2.91     5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   57   -1      64.60     2.95     0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   57   -6      63.76     2.92    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   55   -4      61.06     2.89    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   54  +15      63.91     3.26    17.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   49  -11      55.01     2.86   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Hartlepool       41   46   -9      51.84     2.96   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.05R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   46  -23      53.02     3.12   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.85R    0.00  
Swindon          41   45   -4      51.49     2.96    -4.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.81R    0.00  
Carlisle         41   44  -14      50.52     3.02   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.80R    0.00  
Crewe            41   44  -18      49.94     2.85   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.73R    0.00  
Northampton      39   42   -1      51.14     3.48    -1.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.75R    0.00  
Brighton         40   39  -19      45.31     3.12   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.00R    0.15  
Hereford         40   33  -30      37.78     2.82   -35.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.93R   30.58  
Cheltenham       40   31  -37      36.17     2.89   -43.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   69.27  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 April 2009, Barnet vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            40   72  +23      82.09     3.16    25.76    73.84    98.09   100.00    98.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   68  +18      78.90     3.13    21.81    21.19    87.25    99.73    91.06P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   68  +12      74.13     2.83    11.09     1.75    25.41    93.89    40.86P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   67  +15      75.40     2.82    17.40     2.45    50.98    96.72    63.68P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             41   65  +13      73.01     2.95    14.80     0.46    20.03    85.10    35.76P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   65   +1      70.35     2.84    -1.27     0.04     4.20    51.30    12.05P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           41   64  +16      71.28     2.94    16.66     0.26    10.82    71.39    28.68P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   61  +16      67.79     2.90    16.03     0.00     1.16    28.20     9.04P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   61   +9      68.76     3.04    10.33     0.00     1.45    37.24     9.86P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             41   60  +10      66.41     2.95     9.31     0.00     0.19    13.96     3.51P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   56   +4      63.35     2.92     4.86     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            39   55  +16      66.00     3.57    18.32     0.00     0.41    18.45     5.63P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   53   -1      61.20     3.20    -0.95     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   50  +17      62.11     3.52    20.59     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   49  -18      54.61     2.71   -20.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         41   44  -14      49.06     2.70   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   44  -14      49.58     2.73   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               41   43  -17      50.18     3.05   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            41   43  -19      47.63     2.70   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   40  -31      45.17     2.79   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.13R    0.00  
Bournemouth          41   37   +3      44.43     2.93     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.10R    0.01  
Grimsby              41   34  -21      40.94     2.92   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.95R    0.23  
Chester              41   33  -34      38.31     2.81   -36.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.92R    1.68  
Luton                40   22   -4      28.84     3.20    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   98.09  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 April 2009, Altrincham vs Eastbourne_Borough; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        42   85  +30      90.66     2.66    30.26    78.66    99.99    83.68P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              41   77  +26      85.13     3.02    27.87    10.05    95.16    31.93P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        42   76  +23      83.23     2.47    25.65     0.72    90.38    24.98P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               40   74  +28      84.60     3.18    31.84     9.73    93.33    33.59P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   73  +18      79.59     2.57    19.70     0.01    39.37     7.65P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            41   71  +15      78.08     2.97    15.25     0.00    21.20     3.71P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        39   70  +19      80.39     3.56    20.12     0.84    51.62    12.23P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            40   66  +12      74.73     3.13    12.92     0.00     4.03     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         40   65  +23      74.11     3.28    24.32     0.00     4.74     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              41   63  +18      71.48     2.81    20.74     0.00     0.18     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   42   57   -9      62.38     2.52    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    42   56  +12      61.76     2.55    12.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   54   +1      62.32     2.96     3.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            42   53   -7      57.64     2.55    -8.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         41   48   -6      55.51     3.01    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Altrincham           41   48  -18      52.59     2.60   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     38   47   -6      57.76     3.70    -6.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barrow               41   44  -16      49.18     2.82   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.56R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic       41   43  -21      48.58     2.88   -22.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.28R    0.00  
Weymouth             40   42  -34      48.04     3.00   -38.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.27R    0.00  
York                 40   41   -6      50.92     3.30    -3.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.01R    0.00  
Woking               41   40  -17      44.72     2.67   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.66R    0.00  
Northwich            41   28  -28      34.01     2.74   -29.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    0.47  
Lewes                41   20  -57      23.65     2.43   -61.59     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.53  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4