Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 7 April 2009 at 21:05:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 April 2009, Everton vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   68  +32      85.20     3.46    41.35    63.75    92.10    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   67  +34      82.90     3.04    44.27    32.26    84.36    99.76   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   64  +34      78.63     3.16    41.40     3.99    23.39    97.71    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   58  +23      69.10     3.26    25.55     0.00     0.15     2.58    84.14    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   52   +6      64.20     3.57    10.13     0.00     0.00     0.04    12.54    98.21     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   51  +13      61.18     3.48    13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.35    93.69     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   44   +2      52.21     3.32     0.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.37     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           31   41   -2      50.94     3.50    -1.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   40   +3      49.59     3.41     3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   38   +7      49.01     3.37     9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       31   38   +1      47.12     3.30     0.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06R    0.00  
Bolton          31   37   -9      45.10     3.39   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.73R    0.00  
Stoke           31   35  -16      43.33     3.44   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.47R    0.00  
Blackburn       31   34  -15      41.29     3.14   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.80R    0.05  
Hull            31   34  -17      40.87     3.27   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.48R    0.07  
Portsmouth      30   33  -14      42.59     3.64   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.24R    0.04  
Sunderland      31   32  -12      39.68     3.35   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.63R    0.20  
Newcastle       31   29  -15      36.76     3.30   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.15R    2.10  
Middlesbrough   31   27  -24      32.53     3.01   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.41R   19.32  
West_Brom       31   24  -31      29.30     3.03   -38.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.02R   78.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 April 2009, Sheff_Utd vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    41   77  +22      86.67     2.86    26.32    76.56    93.56   100.00    95.24P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       41   75  +16      83.01     2.88    17.64    13.83    56.09   100.00    67.79P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        41   72  +24      79.96     2.92    25.71     3.82    20.03    99.85    43.72P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   69  +30      80.07     3.20    34.12     5.55    27.94    99.85    54.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   66   +8      73.17     2.99     8.42     0.00     0.14    76.77    11.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   64  +15      75.48     3.61    17.81     0.24     2.24    89.93    21.82P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          41   62   +3      69.24     2.89     3.65     0.00     0.00    18.69     2.83P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          41   59  +11      67.11     2.92    12.88     0.00     0.00     8.03     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     41   59   +6      66.04     2.95     6.27     0.00     0.00     5.36     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              41   57   +0      63.27     2.79    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   56   +6      63.67     2.87     7.21     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   54   -8      60.57     2.87    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   52   +1      60.90     3.30     2.06     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   51   -4      58.18     3.00    -3.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         39   51   -4      60.97     3.51    -3.33     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        41   49  -15      53.98     2.69   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.14R    0.00  
Derby            39   48   -5      56.03     3.49    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   47  -13      52.41     2.78   -15.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.37R    0.00  
Plymouth         41   46  -13      52.27     2.76   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.63R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   45  -12      50.77     3.01   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.12R    0.07  
Norwich          41   43   -9      48.50     2.88   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.82R    0.91  
Nottm_Forest     41   42  -19      47.77     2.81   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.15R    1.61  
Southampton      41   41  -17      46.15     2.80   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.90R    4.41  
Charlton         40   32  -23      38.71     3.18   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.47R   92.99  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 April 2009, Hereford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        41   83  +37      92.78     2.87    41.37    76.33    98.24   100.00    98.85P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   81  +24      90.24     2.85    28.12    22.81    89.69   100.00    92.22P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   76  +13      83.72     2.94    14.19     0.44     6.17    99.70    25.06P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   72  +31      82.79     3.27    34.95     0.38     5.12    99.08    36.15P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   72  +22      79.98     2.95    23.64     0.01     0.43    94.69    24.73P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   67  +17      78.13     3.53    19.62     0.02     0.34    81.12    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   66  +13      73.92     2.85    14.51     0.00     0.00    23.31     5.43P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         41   64   -2      70.41     2.88    -2.59     0.00     0.00     1.97     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   59   +2      66.80     3.02     3.46     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        41   57   +5      63.99     2.91     5.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   57   -1      64.63     2.97     0.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   57   -6      63.75     2.92    -6.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   55   -4      61.07     2.90    -5.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   54  +15      63.99     3.24    17.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   49  -11      55.04     2.85   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool       41   46   -9      51.83     2.96   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.13R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   46  -23      53.05     3.12   -24.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.67R    0.00  
Swindon          41   45   -4      51.44     2.96    -4.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.25R    0.00  
Carlisle         41   44  -14      50.56     3.02   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.49R    0.00  
Crewe            41   44  -18      49.92     2.85   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.66R    0.00  
Northampton      39   42   -1      51.13     3.49    -1.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.56R    0.00  
Brighton         40   39  -19      45.28     3.12   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.29R    0.16  
Hereford         40   33  -30      37.76     2.80   -35.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   30.91  
Cheltenham       40   31  -37      36.16     2.90   -43.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   68.93  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 April 2009, Barnet vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            40   72  +23      82.06     3.15    25.71    73.56    98.07   100.00    98.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   68  +18      78.88     3.14    21.78    21.17    86.77    99.76    90.71P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   68  +12      74.17     2.84    11.14     1.90    25.80    93.99    41.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   67  +15      75.44     2.83    17.42     2.58    51.42    96.69    63.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             41   65  +13      73.01     2.94    14.81     0.45    19.91    85.00    35.56P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   65   +1      70.33     2.83    -1.31     0.07     4.01    51.11    11.78P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           41   64  +16      71.28     2.94    16.67     0.26    10.92    71.26    28.62P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   61  +16      67.77     2.90    16.02     0.00     0.99    28.09     8.98P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   61   +9      68.80     3.04    10.39     0.00     1.49    37.91    10.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             41   60  +10      66.47     2.95     9.38     0.00     0.19    14.03     3.66P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   56   +4      63.32     2.93     4.81     0.00     0.00     1.64     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            39   55  +16      66.00     3.56    18.29     0.00     0.42    18.28     5.84P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   53   -1      61.08     3.17    -1.10     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   50  +17      62.13     3.51    20.62     0.00     0.00     1.95     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   49  -18      54.65     2.71   -20.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         41   44  -14      49.06     2.69   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   44  -14      49.58     2.73   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               41   43  -17      50.15     3.04   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            41   43  -19      47.62     2.72   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   40  -31      45.24     2.81   -33.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.88R    0.00  
Bournemouth          41   37   +3      44.47     2.93     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.96R    0.01  
Grimsby              41   34  -21      40.93     2.91   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.82R    0.23  
Chester              41   33  -34      38.26     2.79   -36.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.44R    1.77  
Luton                40   22   -4      28.84     3.19    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   97.99  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 April 2009, Altrincham vs Eastbourne_Borough; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        42   85  +30      90.67     2.67    30.27    78.88    99.99    83.75P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              41   77  +26      85.12     3.03    27.84    10.00    95.11    31.37P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        42   76  +23      83.24     2.48    25.65     0.75    90.24    25.23P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               40   74  +28      84.57     3.15    31.78     9.55    93.23    33.26P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   73  +18      79.61     2.55    19.77     0.01    40.22     7.99P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            41   71  +15      78.05     2.96    15.24     0.00    21.10     3.80P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        39   70  +19      80.37     3.56    20.09     0.80    50.98    12.38P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            40   66  +12      74.77     3.13    12.97     0.00     4.08     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         40   65  +23      74.11     3.29    24.35     0.00     4.82     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              41   63  +18      71.41     2.80    20.64     0.00     0.23     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   42   57   -9      62.37     2.50    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    42   56  +12      61.75     2.54    12.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   54   +1      62.30     2.98     3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            42   53   -7      57.66     2.54    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green         41   48   -6      55.50     3.01    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Altrincham           41   48  -18      52.69     2.63   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     38   47   -6      57.81     3.68    -6.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Barrow               41   44  -16      49.15     2.81   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.27R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic       41   43  -21      48.56     2.86   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.40R    0.00  
Weymouth             40   42  -34      48.03     2.98   -38.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.95R    0.00  
York                 40   41   -6      50.94     3.30    -3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.93R    0.00  
Woking               41   40  -17      44.71     2.66   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.21R    0.00  
Northwich            41   28  -28      34.04     2.74   -29.50     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.46  
Lewes                41   20  -57      23.63     2.41   -61.63     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.54  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4