Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 6 April 2009 at 21:05:38 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 April 2009, Everton vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   68  +32      85.23     3.46    41.38    64.63    92.29    99.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   67  +34      82.84     3.06    44.19    31.54    83.82    99.77   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   64  +34      78.59     3.17    41.38     3.83    23.76    97.70    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   58  +23      69.03     3.28    25.43     0.00     0.13     2.58    83.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   52   +6      64.13     3.57    10.01     0.00     0.00     0.05    12.68    97.99     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   51  +13      61.17     3.46    13.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.49    93.76     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   44   +2      52.28     3.33     0.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.58     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           31   41   -2      50.93     3.53    -1.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   40   +3      49.62     3.42     3.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   38   +7      49.02     3.34     9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       31   38   +1      47.12     3.30     0.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05R    0.00  
Bolton          31   37   -9      45.15     3.41   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.77R    0.00  
Stoke           31   35  -16      43.27     3.44   -17.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.64R    0.01  
Blackburn       31   34  -15      41.34     3.16   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.94R    0.04  
Hull            31   34  -17      40.92     3.28   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.39R    0.06  
Portsmouth      30   33  -14      42.62     3.67   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.29R    0.04  
Sunderland      31   32  -12      39.71     3.36   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.68R    0.22  
Newcastle       31   29  -15      36.80     3.29   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.93R    1.92  
Middlesbrough   31   27  -24      32.50     3.01   -29.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.30R   19.26  
West_Brom       31   24  -31      29.26     3.02   -38.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.98R   78.46  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 April 2009, Birmingham vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    41   77  +22      86.62     2.85    26.25    77.02    94.19   100.00    95.64P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       41   75  +16      82.98     2.89    17.58    14.17    58.61   100.00    69.51P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   69  +30      80.04     3.20    34.08     5.69    28.73    99.86    54.52P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   69  +23      79.12     3.16    25.86     2.85    15.97    99.44    41.08P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   66   +8      73.20     2.97     8.42     0.00     0.15    77.03    11.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   64  +15      75.44     3.59    17.78     0.26     2.34    89.93    21.94P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          41   62   +3      69.25     2.89     3.66     0.00     0.00    18.74     2.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          41   59  +11      67.13     2.90    12.88     0.00     0.00     8.03     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     41   59   +6      66.05     2.94     6.27     0.00     0.00     5.42     0.92P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              41   57   +0      63.27     2.81    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   56   +6      63.67     2.87     7.21     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   54   -8      60.55     2.87    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   52   +1      60.92     3.30     2.08     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         39   51   -4      60.96     3.54    -3.33     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   50   -4      59.19     3.33    -2.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Doncaster        41   49  -15      53.95     2.69   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.37R    0.00  
Derby            39   48   -5      56.07     3.47    -7.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   47  -13      52.40     2.78   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.56R    0.02  
Plymouth         41   46  -13      52.31     2.77   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.73R    0.01  
Barnsley         39   45  -11      51.39     3.21   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.00R    0.06  
Norwich          41   43   -9      48.49     2.88   -11.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.25R    0.76  
Nottm_Forest     41   42  -19      47.80     2.81   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.04R    1.49  
Southampton      40   40  -17      45.99     3.09   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.02R    5.61  
Charlton         40   32  -23      38.70     3.17   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.57R   92.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 April 2009, Tranmere vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        41   83  +37      92.73     2.89    41.30    76.18    97.96   100.00    98.67P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   81  +24      90.22     2.86    28.10    22.86    89.02   100.00    91.77P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   76  +13      83.74     2.95    14.21     0.45     6.31    99.73    25.65P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   72  +31      82.75     3.27    34.87     0.41     5.12    99.04    35.75P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            40   71  +22      80.61     3.24    24.01     0.08     1.26    95.28    25.44P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   67  +17      78.18     3.52    19.68     0.01     0.33    81.36    17.32P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   66  +13      73.87     2.84    14.45     0.00     0.00    22.55     5.10P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         41   64   -2      70.40     2.87    -2.58     0.00     0.00     1.91     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   59   +2      66.85     3.03     3.53     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        41   57   +5      64.03     2.88     5.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   57   -1      64.63     2.96     0.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   57   -6      63.80     2.92    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   55   -4      61.05     2.90    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   54  +15      64.02     3.24    17.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   48  -11      55.01     3.11   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.00  
Hartlepool       41   46   -9      51.83     2.97   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.39R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   46  -23      53.02     3.11   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.08R    0.00  
Swindon          41   45   -4      51.48     2.96    -4.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.98R    0.00  
Carlisle         41   44  -14      50.56     3.03   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.24R    0.00  
Crewe            41   44  -18      49.97     2.85   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.64R    0.00  
Northampton      39   42   -1      51.11     3.49    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.95R    0.00  
Brighton         39   36  -20      43.50     3.44   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.50R    2.13  
Hereford         39   33  -29      39.24     3.15   -34.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.59R   20.15  
Cheltenham       40   31  -37      36.13     2.88   -43.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   77.71  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 April 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            40   72  +23      82.12     3.16    25.81    80.58    98.16   100.00    98.68P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   68  +12      74.11     2.83    11.08     2.10    26.79    91.87    41.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   67  +15      75.39     2.84    17.39     3.04    50.58    96.00    62.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              39   65  +17      77.03     3.43    20.55    11.77    69.95    97.71    78.46P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             41   65  +13      72.96     2.95    14.75     0.57    20.37    82.55    34.74P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   65   +1      70.32     2.84    -1.32     0.06     4.28    46.28    11.06P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           40   64  +17      72.79     3.21    17.91     1.84    24.27    81.22    40.99P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   61  +16      67.73     2.89    15.97     0.00     0.97    24.19     7.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             41   60  +10      66.41     2.95     9.29     0.00     0.20    11.93     3.01P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   60   +9      69.51     3.35    10.91     0.04     3.87    43.23    12.77P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            39   55  +16      65.97     3.56    18.29     0.01     0.48    15.26     4.87P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   55   +4      63.35     3.24     4.28     0.00     0.01     2.49     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   53   -1      61.18     3.19    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   50  +19      64.07     3.80    23.47     0.00     0.07     7.00     2.76P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            40   48  -18      54.90     3.05   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         41   44  -14      49.04     2.69   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   44  -14      49.54     2.73   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            40   42  -19      48.28     3.09   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Barnet               40   40  -19      47.99     3.34   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   40  -31      45.23     2.81   -33.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.91R    0.00  
Bournemouth          41   37   +3      44.43     2.93     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.77R    0.01  
Grimsby              41   34  -21      40.91     2.92   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.34R    0.25  
Chester              41   33  -34      38.29     2.80   -36.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.79R    1.74  
Luton                40   22   -4      28.87     3.19    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   98.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 April 2009, Burton_Albion vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        42   85  +30      90.73     2.68    30.36    74.81    99.96    80.90P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              41   77  +26      85.15     3.02    27.91     8.88    94.59    30.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        41   76  +24      84.68     2.84    26.73     3.91    93.32    29.27P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               39   73  +28      84.79     3.46    31.59    10.93    91.66    32.51P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   72  +18      80.05     2.91    19.90     0.10    43.50     8.49P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        38   69  +19      80.92     3.86    20.36     1.38    54.21    13.45P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            40   68  +14      76.29     3.30    14.04     0.00    10.19     1.85P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         40   65  +23      74.14     3.27    24.38     0.00     4.29     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            39   65  +12      75.76     3.39    13.83     0.00     7.56     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              40   62  +18      71.85     3.15    20.77     0.00     0.72     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    42   56  +12      61.74     2.54    12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   41   56   -9      62.69     2.87    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            42   53   -7      57.59     2.53    -8.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            40   51   -1      60.83     3.28     1.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     37   47   -4      59.16     3.95    -4.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green         40   47   -6      55.65     3.32    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Altrincham           40   47  -18      53.09     3.00   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Barrow               40   43  -16      48.88     3.02   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.39R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic       41   43  -21      48.56     2.88   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.81R    0.00  
Weymouth             40   42  -34      47.96     2.98   -38.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.65R    0.00  
York                 39   40   -6      51.33     3.59    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.37R    0.00  
Woking               40   40  -15      46.10     3.03   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.06R    0.00  
Northwich            40   25  -30      32.33     3.08   -31.68     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.95  
Lewes                41   20  -57      23.63     2.44   -61.68     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.05  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4