Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 6 April 2009 at 21:05:38 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 April 2009, Everton vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 30 68 +32 85.23 3.46 41.38 64.63 92.29 99.89 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 31 67 +34 82.84 3.06 44.19 31.54 83.82 99.77 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 31 64 +34 78.59 3.17 41.38 3.83 23.76 97.70 99.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 31 58 +23 69.03 3.28 25.43 0.00 0.13 2.58 83.87 100.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 31 52 +6 64.13 3.57 10.01 0.00 0.00 0.05 12.68 97.99 0.00 0.00 Everton 31 51 +13 61.17 3.46 13.92 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.49 93.76 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 31 44 +2 52.28 3.33 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.58 0.00 0.00 Wigan 31 41 -2 50.93 3.53 -1.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.50 0.00 0.00 Fulham 31 40 +3 49.62 3.42 3.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.15 0.00 0.00 Man_City 31 38 +7 49.02 3.34 9.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.77 0.01R 0.00 Tottenham 31 38 +1 47.12 3.30 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.05R 0.00 Bolton 31 37 -9 45.15 3.41 -11.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.77R 0.00 Stoke 31 35 -16 43.27 3.44 -17.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.64R 0.01 Blackburn 31 34 -15 41.34 3.16 -19.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.94R 0.04 Hull 31 34 -17 40.92 3.28 -21.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.39R 0.06 Portsmouth 30 33 -14 42.62 3.67 -16.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.29R 0.04 Sunderland 31 32 -12 39.71 3.36 -14.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.68R 0.22 Newcastle 31 29 -15 36.80 3.29 -18.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.93R 1.92 Middlesbrough 31 27 -24 32.50 3.01 -29.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.30R 19.26 West_Brom 31 24 -31 29.26 3.02 -38.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.98R 78.46Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 April 2009, Birmingham vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 41 77 +22 86.62 2.85 26.25 77.02 94.19 100.00 95.64P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 41 75 +16 82.98 2.89 17.58 14.17 58.61 100.00 69.51P 0.00 0.00 Reading 40 69 +30 80.04 3.20 34.08 5.69 28.73 99.86 54.52P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 40 69 +23 79.12 3.16 25.86 2.85 15.97 99.44 41.08P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 41 66 +8 73.20 2.97 8.42 0.00 0.15 77.03 11.65P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 39 64 +15 75.44 3.59 17.78 0.26 2.34 89.93 21.94P 0.00 0.00 Preston 41 62 +3 69.25 2.89 3.66 0.00 0.00 18.74 2.89P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 41 59 +11 67.13 2.90 12.88 0.00 0.00 8.03 1.60P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 41 59 +6 66.05 2.94 6.27 0.00 0.00 5.42 0.92P 0.00 0.00 QPR 41 57 +0 63.27 2.81 -0.73 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 41 56 +6 63.67 2.87 7.21 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 41 54 -8 60.55 2.87 -8.29 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 40 52 +1 60.92 3.30 2.08 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 39 51 -4 60.96 3.54 -3.33 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Watford 40 50 -4 59.19 3.33 -2.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Doncaster 41 49 -15 53.95 2.69 -17.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.37R 0.00 Derby 39 48 -5 56.07 3.47 -7.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42R 0.00 Blackpool 41 47 -13 52.40 2.78 -15.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.56R 0.02 Plymouth 41 46 -13 52.31 2.77 -13.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.73R 0.01 Barnsley 39 45 -11 51.39 3.21 -15.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.00R 0.06 Norwich 41 43 -9 48.49 2.88 -11.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.25R 0.76 Nottm_Forest 41 42 -19 47.80 2.81 -20.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.04R 1.49 Southampton 40 40 -17 45.99 3.09 -20.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.02R 5.61 Charlton 40 32 -23 38.70 3.17 -25.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.57R 92.05League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 April 2009, Tranmere vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 41 83 +37 92.73 2.89 41.30 76.18 97.96 100.00 98.67P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 41 81 +24 90.22 2.86 28.10 22.86 89.02 100.00 91.77P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 41 76 +13 83.74 2.95 14.21 0.45 6.31 99.73 25.65P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 40 72 +31 82.75 3.27 34.87 0.41 5.12 99.04 35.75P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 40 71 +22 80.61 3.24 24.01 0.08 1.26 95.28 25.44P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 39 67 +17 78.18 3.52 19.68 0.01 0.33 81.36 17.32P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 41 66 +13 73.87 2.84 14.45 0.00 0.00 22.55 5.10P 0.00 0.00 Southend 41 64 -2 70.40 2.87 -2.58 0.00 0.00 1.91 0.29P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 41 59 +2 66.85 3.03 3.53 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 41 57 +5 64.03 2.88 5.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Colchester 41 57 -1 64.63 2.96 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 41 57 -6 63.80 2.92 -6.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 41 55 -4 61.05 2.90 -5.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 40 54 +15 64.02 3.24 17.75 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 40 48 -11 55.01 3.11 -12.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.63R 0.00 Hartlepool 41 46 -9 51.83 2.97 -10.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.39R 0.00 Yeovil 40 46 -23 53.02 3.11 -24.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.08R 0.00 Swindon 41 45 -4 51.48 2.96 -4.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.98R 0.00 Carlisle 41 44 -14 50.56 3.03 -14.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.24R 0.00 Crewe 41 44 -18 49.97 2.85 -19.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.64R 0.00 Northampton 39 42 -1 51.11 3.49 -1.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.95R 0.00 Brighton 39 36 -20 43.50 3.44 -23.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.50R 2.13 Hereford 39 33 -29 39.24 3.15 -34.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.59R 20.15 Cheltenham 40 31 -37 36.13 2.88 -43.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 77.71League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 April 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Brentford 40 72 +23 82.12 3.16 25.81 80.58 98.16 100.00 98.68P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 41 68 +12 74.11 2.83 11.08 2.10 26.79 91.87 41.41P 0.00 0.00 Bury 41 67 +15 75.39 2.84 17.39 3.04 50.58 96.00 62.81P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 39 65 +17 77.03 3.43 20.55 11.77 69.95 97.71 78.46P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 41 65 +13 72.96 2.95 14.75 0.57 20.37 82.55 34.74P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 41 65 +1 70.32 2.84 -1.32 0.06 4.28 46.28 11.06P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 40 64 +17 72.79 3.21 17.91 1.84 24.27 81.22 40.99P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 41 61 +16 67.73 2.89 15.97 0.00 0.97 24.19 7.78P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 41 60 +10 66.41 2.95 9.29 0.00 0.20 11.93 3.01P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 40 60 +9 69.51 3.35 10.91 0.04 3.87 43.23 12.77P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 39 55 +16 65.97 3.56 18.29 0.01 0.48 15.26 4.87P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 40 55 +4 63.35 3.24 4.28 0.00 0.01 2.49 0.61P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 40 53 -1 61.18 3.19 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 38 50 +19 64.07 3.80 23.47 0.00 0.07 7.00 2.76P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 40 48 -18 54.90 3.05 -20.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 41 44 -14 49.04 2.69 -16.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 41 44 -14 49.54 2.73 -15.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 40 42 -19 48.28 3.09 -21.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Barnet 40 40 -19 47.99 3.34 -19.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27R 0.00 Macclesfield 41 40 -31 45.23 2.81 -33.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.91R 0.00 Bournemouth 41 37 +3 44.43 2.93 3.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.77R 0.01 Grimsby 41 34 -21 40.91 2.92 -20.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.34R 0.25 Chester 41 33 -34 38.29 2.80 -36.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.79R 1.74 Luton 40 22 -4 28.87 3.19 -6.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.85R 98.00 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 April 2009, Burton_Albion vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 42 85 +30 90.73 2.68 30.36 74.81 99.96 80.90P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 41 77 +26 85.15 3.02 27.91 8.88 94.59 30.57P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 41 76 +24 84.68 2.84 26.73 3.91 93.32 29.27P 0.00 0.00 Histon 39 73 +28 84.79 3.46 31.59 10.93 91.66 32.51P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 41 72 +18 80.05 2.91 19.90 0.10 43.50 8.49P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 38 69 +19 80.92 3.86 20.36 1.38 54.21 13.45P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 40 68 +14 76.29 3.30 14.04 0.00 10.19 1.85P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 40 65 +23 74.14 3.27 24.38 0.00 4.29 1.01P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 39 65 +12 75.76 3.39 13.83 0.00 7.56 1.78P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 40 62 +18 71.85 3.15 20.77 0.00 0.72 0.17P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 42 56 +12 61.74 2.54 12.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 41 56 -9 62.69 2.87 -9.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 42 53 -7 57.59 2.53 -8.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 40 51 -1 60.83 3.28 1.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 37 47 -4 59.16 3.95 -4.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Forest_Green 40 47 -6 55.65 3.32 -5.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16R 0.00 Altrincham 40 47 -18 53.09 3.00 -21.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.56R 0.00 Barrow 40 43 -16 48.88 3.02 -19.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.39R 0.00 Grays_Athletic 41 43 -21 48.56 2.88 -22.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.81R 0.00 Weymouth 40 42 -34 47.96 2.98 -38.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.65R 0.00 York 39 40 -6 51.33 3.59 -3.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.37R 0.00 Woking 40 40 -15 46.10 3.03 -17.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.06R 0.00 Northwich 40 25 -30 32.33 3.08 -31.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 1.95 Lewes 41 20 -57 23.63 2.44 -61.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 98.05 Adjustments: Mansfield -4