Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 5 April 2009 at 21:05:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 April 2009, Everton vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   68  +32      85.21     3.48    41.36    63.54    92.00    99.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   67  +34      82.94     3.03    44.40    32.70    84.77    99.82   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   64  +34      78.61     3.18    41.37     3.74    23.09    97.77    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   58  +23      69.03     3.27    25.42     0.02     0.14     2.46    83.71   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   52   +6      64.14     3.56    10.03     0.00     0.00     0.03    12.87    98.07     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   51  +13      61.12     3.48    13.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.48    93.34     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   44   +2      52.29     3.35     0.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.83     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           31   41   -2      50.95     3.50    -1.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          31   40   +3      49.66     3.42     3.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   38   +7      49.03     3.38     9.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       31   38   +1      47.14     3.26     0.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03R    0.00  
Bolton          31   37   -9      45.12     3.39   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.71R    0.00  
Stoke           31   35  -16      43.27     3.44   -17.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.62R    0.00  
Blackburn       31   34  -15      41.29     3.15   -19.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.06R    0.06  
Hull            31   34  -17      40.84     3.28   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.55R    0.08  
Portsmouth      30   33  -14      42.59     3.68   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.22R    0.06  
Sunderland      31   32  -12      39.74     3.36   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.98R    0.22  
Newcastle       31   29  -15      36.72     3.30   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.74R    2.12  
Middlesbrough   31   27  -24      32.57     3.01   -29.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.18R   19.16  
West_Brom       31   24  -31      29.29     3.04   -38.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.91R   78.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 April 2009, Cardiff vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    40   77  +24      88.03     3.15    28.34    87.60    97.18   100.00    97.94P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       40   72  +14      81.33     3.21    15.60     6.43    41.72    99.88    56.23P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   69  +30      80.08     3.20    34.11     3.81    36.72    99.80    59.78P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   69  +23      79.14     3.18    25.90     2.01    20.76    99.42    44.89P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   66   +8      73.15     2.97     8.38     0.00     0.29    76.67    11.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   64  +15      75.52     3.60    17.87     0.16     3.31    90.29    23.58P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          41   62   +3      69.26     2.90     3.66     0.00     0.00    19.02     3.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          41   59  +11      67.10     2.89    12.83     0.00     0.00     7.98     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     41   59   +6      66.04     2.95     6.27     0.00     0.00     5.45     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              41   57   +0      63.24     2.81    -0.78     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   56   +6      63.63     2.89     7.14     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   54   -8      60.58     2.88    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   52   +1      60.92     3.29     2.08     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         39   51   -4      60.96     3.53    -3.35     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          40   50   -4      59.23     3.31    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Doncaster        41   49  -15      53.96     2.68   -17.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.28R    0.00  
Derby            39   48   -5      56.01     3.48    -7.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   47  -13      52.40     2.78   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.66R    0.01  
Plymouth         41   46  -13      52.29     2.77   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.88R    0.00  
Barnsley         39   45  -11      51.38     3.22   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.24R    0.04  
Norwich          41   43   -9      48.53     2.87   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.23R    0.76  
Nottm_Forest     41   42  -19      47.79     2.81   -20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.13R    1.53  
Southampton      40   40  -17      45.94     3.08   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.49R    5.51  
Charlton         40   32  -23      38.69     3.15   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.62R   92.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 April 2009, Tranmere vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        41   83  +37      92.74     2.90    41.31    75.95    97.91   100.00    98.63P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   81  +24      90.23     2.85    28.08    23.06    88.99   100.00    91.73P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   76  +13      83.76     2.95    14.24     0.44     6.41    99.76    25.89P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   72  +31      82.75     3.27    34.90     0.40     5.14    99.06    36.06P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            40   71  +22      80.64     3.25    24.05     0.13     1.24    95.07    25.43P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   67  +17      78.20     3.51    19.74     0.03     0.31    81.40    17.06P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   66  +13      73.88     2.87    14.45     0.00     0.00    22.49     4.86P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         41   64   -2      70.42     2.88    -2.54     0.00     0.00     2.08     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   59   +2      66.80     3.02     3.45     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        41   57   +5      64.05     2.90     5.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   57   -1      64.66     2.96     0.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   57   -6      63.80     2.93    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   55   -4      61.04     2.90    -5.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   54  +15      64.01     3.26    17.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   48  -11      55.00     3.10   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.56R    0.00  
Hartlepool       41   46   -9      51.82     2.94   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.19R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   46  -23      52.97     3.12   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.35R    0.00  
Swindon          41   45   -4      51.46     2.96    -4.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.93R    0.00  
Carlisle         41   44  -14      50.58     3.02   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.00R    0.00  
Crewe            41   44  -18      49.94     2.85   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.91R    0.00  
Northampton      39   42   -1      51.09     3.45    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.85R    0.00  
Brighton         39   36  -20      43.50     3.41   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.65R    2.18  
Hereford         39   33  -29      39.25     3.16   -34.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.57R   20.22  
Cheltenham       40   31  -37      36.16     2.89   -43.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   77.60  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 April 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            40   72  +23      82.07     3.14    25.72    80.38    98.16   100.00    98.69P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               41   68  +12      74.17     2.85    11.17     2.20    27.53    92.13    42.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   67  +15      75.40     2.81    17.37     3.05    50.01    96.14    62.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              39   65  +17      76.99     3.41    20.51    11.82    69.87    97.59    78.23P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             41   65  +13      72.97     2.95    14.75     0.60    20.21    82.61    34.58P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   65   +1      70.32     2.82    -1.28     0.07     4.09    46.10    10.91P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           40   64  +17      72.80     3.22    17.95     1.85    24.62    81.50    40.90P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   61  +16      67.77     2.89    16.02     0.00     1.03    24.31     7.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             41   60  +10      66.40     2.95     9.30     0.00     0.19    11.80     2.98P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   60   +9      69.49     3.35    10.88     0.04     3.78    42.83    12.83P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            39   55  +16      65.95     3.55    18.23     0.00     0.42    15.31     4.82P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   55   +4      63.37     3.21     4.30     0.00     0.01     2.32     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   53   -1      61.11     3.21    -1.07     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   50  +19      64.09     3.80    23.46     0.00     0.09     7.12     2.63P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            40   48  -18      54.94     3.06   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         41   44  -14      49.05     2.69   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   44  -14      49.55     2.72   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            40   42  -19      48.24     3.08   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Barnet               40   40  -19      47.94     3.34   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   40  -31      45.24     2.81   -33.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.90R    0.00  
Bournemouth          41   37   +3      44.51     2.94     4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.75R    0.01  
Grimsby              41   34  -21      40.93     2.91   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.91R    0.21  
Chester              41   33  -34      38.26     2.82   -36.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.29R    1.78  
Luton                40   22   -4      28.88     3.20    -6.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.82R   98.00  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 April 2009, Barrow vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        41   85  +31      92.48     3.03    31.94    87.01   100.00    90.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        41   76  +24      84.67     2.85    26.76     2.12    94.13    28.12P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              40   74  +25      83.09     3.34    26.21     3.29    83.10    21.96P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               39   73  +28      84.73     3.47    31.49     6.71    91.94    30.63P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   72  +18      80.03     2.90    19.86     0.03    46.83     9.29P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        38   69  +19      80.95     3.84    20.41     0.84    56.88    14.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            40   68  +14      76.32     3.29    14.08     0.00    12.11     2.37P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         40   65  +23      74.17     3.28    24.43     0.00     5.39     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            39   65  +12      75.81     3.39    13.88     0.00     8.71     2.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              40   62  +18      71.84     3.16    20.72     0.00     0.90     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    42   56  +12      61.73     2.56    12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   41   56   -9      62.72     2.87    -9.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            42   53   -7      57.62     2.56    -8.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            40   51   -1      60.84     3.29     1.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     37   47   -4      59.19     3.97    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green         40   47   -6      55.57     3.31    -5.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Altrincham           40   47  -18      53.02     2.97   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Barrow               40   43  -16      48.92     3.05   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.77R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic       41   43  -21      48.59     2.87   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.99R    0.00  
Weymouth             40   42  -34      48.09     2.98   -38.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.84R    0.00  
York                 39   40   -6      51.25     3.59    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.66R    0.00  
Woking               40   40  -15      46.16     3.03   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.01R    0.00  
Northwich            40   25  -30      32.32     3.05   -31.66     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.83  
Lewes                41   20  -57      23.57     2.42   -61.75     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.17  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4