Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 1 April 2009 at 21:05:12 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 March 2009, Liverpool vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   65  +31      84.29     3.73    41.30    64.49    91.00    99.84    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   64  +33      81.63     3.38    43.84    30.13    80.26    99.64    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   61  +32      77.82     3.47    40.62     5.36    28.51    97.18    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   55  +21      67.62     3.59    23.79     0.02     0.23     3.01    72.08    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   52   +7      64.73     3.76     9.82     0.00     0.01     0.32    25.11    97.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   48   +9      59.22     3.78     9.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.88    77.35     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           30   41   +2      52.69     3.75     3.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    10.34     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        30   41   +0      50.94     3.65    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.35     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          30   40   +4      50.65     3.66     3.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.44     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   38   +9      50.19     3.63    11.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.95     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham       30   38   +2      48.76     3.64     1.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          30   34  -12      43.44     3.62   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.50R    0.04  
Hull            30   33  -17      41.58     3.63   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.50R    0.27  
Sunderland      30   32  -10      41.00     3.66   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.14R    0.37  
Portsmouth      29   32  -14      42.76     4.02   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.50R    0.32  
Stoke           30   32  -18      41.32     3.75   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    14.37R    0.52  
Blackburn       30   31  -16      39.26     3.49   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.57R    1.54  
Newcastle       30   29  -13      37.46     3.53   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.21R    3.39  
Middlesbrough   30   27  -21      33.66     3.30   -27.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.01R   22.10  
West_Brom       30   24  -29      30.76     3.41   -36.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.19R   71.45  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 March 2009, Cardiff vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    40   77  +24      87.95     3.15    28.19    85.22    96.73   100.00    97.57P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       40   72  +14      81.40     3.20    15.69     6.54    40.73    99.83    55.29P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          39   68  +30      80.79     3.52    34.64     6.62    43.59    99.74    63.51P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   66  +21      77.81     3.48    24.30     1.12    12.20    97.15    37.14P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   65   +8      73.48     3.30     8.27     0.00     0.71    73.28    12.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +15      76.28     3.87    18.42     0.50     6.04    90.00    26.58P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          40   61   +3      69.28     3.19     3.19     0.00     0.00    18.42     3.01P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          40   58  +11      67.11     3.21    12.31     0.00     0.00     9.34     1.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     40   58   +6      66.81     3.25     6.82     0.00     0.00     8.65     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   56   +8      64.62     3.16     8.60     0.00     0.00     2.10     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              40   56   +0      63.85     3.14    -0.47     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   51   +1      61.07     3.55     1.84     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   51   -9      58.51     3.18    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Coventry         38   50   -4      61.02     3.77    -3.79     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Doncaster        40   49  -14      55.33     3.03   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.00  
Watford          39   47   -5      57.51     3.61    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Derby            38   47   -5      56.54     3.79    -7.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.02R    0.00  
Blackpool        40   47  -12      54.18     3.11   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.26R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   44  -11      52.06     3.53   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.50R    0.02  
Norwich          40   43   -8      50.30     3.21    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.08R    0.12  
Plymouth         40   43  -14      50.29     3.08   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.81R    0.06  
Nottm_Forest     40   41  -19      47.83     3.11   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.71R    0.71  
Southampton      39   40  -16      47.80     3.42   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.58R    1.76  
Charlton         39   29  -24      36.49     3.41   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   97.33  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 March 2009, Bristol_Rovers vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        40   82  +37      94.28     3.09    43.15    90.99    99.47   100.00    99.66P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   78  +23      88.65     3.22    27.16     8.59    82.53   100.00    87.01P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         40   73  +11      82.47     3.25    12.73     0.16     7.76    99.33    26.07P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   69  +29      81.97     3.51    34.30     0.21     7.97    98.81    37.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            39   68  +21      79.00     3.54    23.06     0.03     1.44    92.31    25.26P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   67  +17      78.15     3.52    19.65     0.02     0.83    87.59    19.37P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         40   63  +11      72.28     3.19    12.48     0.00     0.00    17.95     4.18P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         40   61   -3      68.45     3.18    -4.07     0.00     0.00     1.47     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           40   59   +3      68.21     3.34     4.49     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   57   +0      65.99     3.28     1.14     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     40   57   -5      65.48     3.26    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        40   56   +5      65.04     3.21     6.14     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   55   -2      62.10     3.17    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   54  +17      65.41     3.52    19.79     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   45  -12      53.33     3.44   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.43R    0.00  
Yeovil           39   45  -23      52.78     3.36   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.55R    0.00  
Swindon          40   44   -4      52.47     3.29    -3.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.41R    0.00  
Hartlepool       40   43  -11      50.67     3.24   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.15R    0.01  
Carlisle         40   43  -14      49.85     3.17   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.34R    0.03  
Crewe            40   43  -18      49.85     3.14   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.26R    0.02  
Northampton      39   42   -1      51.15     3.49    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.65R    0.01  
Brighton         38   36  -18      43.92     3.57   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.19R    4.48  
Hereford         38   33  -27      40.11     3.42   -32.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.24R   25.78  
Cheltenham       39   31  -36      37.64     3.23   -42.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.79R   69.67  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 March 2009, Aldershot vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            39   71  +23      82.53     3.46    25.88    77.73    96.76    99.97    97.74P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 40   66  +15      76.00     3.14    17.71     4.65    48.07    94.00    60.29P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             40   65  +17      74.57     3.27    19.13     3.00    34.35    87.47    47.71P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              39   65  +17      76.94     3.42    20.44     9.87    60.91    95.92    71.67P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               40   65  +11      72.65     3.18    10.31     0.94    12.23    68.96    24.55P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           40   65   +3      72.47     3.15     1.92     0.52    11.67    64.21    20.21P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           39   63  +17      73.63     3.49    18.54     3.07    26.77    80.23    42.02P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           40   60  +16      68.93     3.17    17.21     0.03     2.25    30.46    10.63P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             40   59  +10      66.69     3.25     9.20     0.00     0.27    11.11     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   59   +9      70.21     3.67    11.43     0.15     5.30    42.90    13.59P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            38   55  +17      67.16     3.82    19.01     0.03     1.39    20.55     7.11P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         39   52   +2      61.51     3.52     1.98     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   52   -1      61.00     3.45    -1.73     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   48  -17      56.10     3.35   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   47  +18      62.84     4.10    23.06     0.00     0.02     3.30     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   44  -12      51.11     3.07   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         40   44  -13      51.10     3.02   -14.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            39   41  -19      48.27     3.37   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield         40   39  -31      45.38     3.14   -33.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06R    0.00  
Barnet               39   37  -21      45.58     3.57   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79R    0.00  
Bournemouth          40   34   -1      42.63     3.26    -0.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.23R    0.09  
Grimsby              40   33  -21      40.48     3.13   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.32R    0.29  
Chester              40   30  -35      35.97     3.07   -38.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.02R    6.84  
Luton                40   22   -4      28.89     3.20    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.55R   92.77  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 April 2009, Woking vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        40   85  +35      94.20     3.37    36.46    87.11   100.00    90.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        40   76  +25      86.90     3.11    29.08     4.15    98.19    32.23P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               38   73  +29      86.21     3.78    32.66     7.58    95.45    32.03P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              39   71  +23      81.38     3.64    24.08     0.70    67.26    15.15P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        38   69  +21      81.11     3.91    22.71     0.45    62.61    15.14P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   69  +17      78.32     3.22    18.69     0.01    28.17     5.18P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            39   68  +16      77.54     3.58    15.92     0.00    23.70     4.16P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            38   65  +14      77.20     3.67    15.95     0.00    20.14     4.69P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         39   62  +19      72.22     3.58    19.93     0.00     2.57     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              38   58  +16      71.65     3.75    20.33     0.00     1.91     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    41   53  +11      60.62     2.88    12.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            41   53   -6      58.61     2.85    -7.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   39   53  -11      63.07     3.50   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            39   51   +1      61.91     3.56     2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           39   47  -16      55.16     3.30   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green         39   44   -7      53.14     3.51    -7.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Barrow               38   42  -15      50.25     3.59   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.08R    0.00  
Weymouth             39   42  -31      49.11     3.28   -35.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.74R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     35   41   -6      55.95     4.52    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
York                 38   40   -5      52.98     3.89    -2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic       40   40  -22      46.71     3.17   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.75R    0.00  
Woking               40   37  -20      42.86     3.02   -23.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.03R    0.00  
Northwich            39   25  -29      33.39     3.33   -31.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R    0.37  
Lewes                40   17  -59      21.15     2.64   -64.95     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.63  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4