Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 31 March 2009 at 21:04:45 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 March 2009, Liverpool vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 29 65 +31 84.23 3.73 41.26 63.77 90.85 99.79 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 64 +33 81.61 3.38 43.78 30.65 79.94 99.60 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 30 61 +32 77.86 3.44 40.70 5.56 28.96 97.25 99.86 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 55 +21 67.68 3.59 23.83 0.02 0.24 2.99 72.26 99.89 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 30 52 +7 64.77 3.74 9.84 0.00 0.00 0.35 25.11 98.10 0.00 0.00 Everton 30 48 +9 59.12 3.75 9.38 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.70 76.84 0.00 0.00 Wigan 30 41 +2 52.75 3.77 3.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 10.84 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 30 41 +0 50.88 3.64 -1.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 4.18 0.00 0.00 Fulham 30 40 +4 50.65 3.67 3.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 4.57 0.00R 0.00 Man_City 30 38 +9 50.15 3.62 11.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.70 0.01R 0.00 Tottenham 30 38 +2 48.85 3.66 1.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.83 0.03R 0.00 Bolton 30 34 -12 43.36 3.65 -14.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.85R 0.04 Hull 30 33 -17 41.59 3.64 -21.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.51R 0.23 Sunderland 30 32 -10 41.07 3.66 -12.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 10.74R 0.32 Portsmouth 29 32 -14 42.78 4.02 -16.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 8.53R 0.27 Stoke 30 32 -18 41.38 3.74 -20.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.90R 0.52 Blackburn 30 31 -16 39.30 3.47 -21.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.90R 1.54 Newcastle 30 29 -13 37.42 3.52 -17.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.85R 3.28 Middlesbrough 30 27 -21 33.65 3.30 -27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.29R 21.77 West_Brom 30 24 -29 30.68 3.38 -36.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.39R 72.03Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 March 2009, Cardiff vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 40 77 +24 87.89 3.18 28.11 84.69 96.55 100.00 97.51P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 40 72 +14 81.44 3.21 15.73 6.88 41.03 99.86 55.65P 0.00 0.00 Reading 39 68 +30 80.74 3.53 34.58 6.63 43.10 99.71 63.28P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 39 66 +21 77.87 3.47 24.37 1.22 12.61 97.32 37.77P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 40 65 +8 73.44 3.31 8.21 0.01 0.66 73.49 11.93P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 38 63 +15 76.34 3.86 18.49 0.57 6.05 90.42 26.86P 0.00 0.00 Preston 40 61 +3 69.22 3.17 3.10 0.00 0.00 17.73 2.81P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 40 58 +11 67.02 3.20 12.22 0.00 0.00 9.00 1.92P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 40 58 +6 66.79 3.27 6.82 0.00 0.00 8.74 1.64P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 40 56 +8 64.65 3.15 8.67 0.00 0.00 2.16 0.40P 0.00 0.00 QPR 40 56 +0 63.86 3.13 -0.44 0.00 0.00 1.17 0.18P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 39 51 +1 61.03 3.58 1.77 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 0.00R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 40 51 -9 58.52 3.19 -9.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Coventry 38 50 -4 61.04 3.77 -3.77 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.02P 0.02R 0.00 Doncaster 40 49 -14 55.36 3.05 -16.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.26R 0.00 Watford 39 47 -5 57.54 3.59 -3.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.63R 0.00 Derby 38 47 -5 56.48 3.79 -7.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.01R 0.00 Blackpool 40 47 -12 54.22 3.12 -13.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.25R 0.00 Barnsley 38 44 -11 52.05 3.56 -15.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.81R 0.03 Norwich 40 43 -8 50.29 3.23 -9.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.05R 0.11 Plymouth 40 43 -14 50.31 3.06 -14.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.07R 0.07 Nottm_Forest 40 41 -19 47.84 3.13 -21.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.73R 0.79 Southampton 39 40 -16 47.79 3.41 -18.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.23R 1.71 Charlton 39 29 -24 36.55 3.42 -27.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.87R 97.28League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 March 2009, Bristol_Rovers vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 40 82 +37 94.27 3.10 43.13 90.72 99.43 100.00 99.66P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 40 78 +23 88.64 3.20 27.14 8.79 82.67 100.00 87.02P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 40 73 +11 82.48 3.26 12.74 0.21 7.86 99.25 26.18P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 39 69 +29 81.95 3.51 34.28 0.23 7.80 98.87 38.00P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 39 68 +21 79.01 3.53 23.05 0.04 1.44 92.34 24.71P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 39 67 +17 78.16 3.49 19.64 0.01 0.80 87.78 19.69P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 40 63 +11 72.29 3.18 12.50 0.00 0.00 17.88 4.10P 0.00 0.00 Southend 40 61 -3 68.42 3.18 -4.13 0.00 0.00 1.44 0.21P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 40 59 +3 68.28 3.35 4.60 0.00 0.00 1.45 0.25P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 40 57 +0 65.99 3.27 1.14 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 40 57 -5 65.50 3.24 -4.70 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 40 56 +5 65.04 3.21 6.14 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 40 55 -2 62.05 3.18 -3.88 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 39 54 +17 65.34 3.55 19.72 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 39 45 -12 53.30 3.46 -13.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.62R 0.00 Yeovil 39 45 -23 52.76 3.36 -25.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.00R 0.00 Swindon 40 44 -4 52.47 3.31 -3.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.27R 0.00 Hartlepool 40 43 -11 50.75 3.26 -12.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.90R 0.01 Carlisle 40 43 -14 49.83 3.17 -16.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.55R 0.02 Crewe 40 43 -18 49.79 3.14 -20.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.84R 0.03 Northampton 39 42 -1 51.17 3.48 -1.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.44R 0.01 Brighton 38 36 -18 43.97 3.61 -22.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.32R 4.57 Hereford 38 33 -27 40.13 3.41 -32.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.28R 25.99 Cheltenham 39 31 -36 37.67 3.26 -41.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.77R 69.36League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 March 2009, Aldershot vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Brentford 39 71 +23 82.44 3.44 25.76 77.24 96.74 99.96 97.71P 0.00 0.00 Bury 40 66 +15 76.02 3.14 17.74 5.09 48.30 94.02 60.49P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 40 65 +17 74.56 3.26 19.11 2.87 34.14 87.40 47.55P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 39 65 +17 76.93 3.42 20.42 9.85 60.74 95.75 71.63P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 40 65 +11 72.71 3.16 10.41 0.97 12.15 69.77 25.00P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 40 65 +3 72.50 3.16 1.94 0.46 11.64 64.27 20.22P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 39 63 +17 73.66 3.51 18.58 3.30 27.13 79.98 42.01P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 40 60 +16 68.93 3.19 17.21 0.03 2.24 30.31 10.35P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 40 59 +10 66.73 3.24 9.25 0.00 0.31 10.82 2.81P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 39 59 +9 70.25 3.64 11.49 0.15 5.29 43.17 13.80P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 38 55 +17 67.15 3.84 18.98 0.04 1.29 20.52 7.01P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 39 52 +2 61.44 3.52 1.86 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.13P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 39 52 -1 60.99 3.41 -1.77 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 39 48 -17 56.10 3.33 -19.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 37 47 +18 62.83 4.09 23.05 0.00 0.03 3.13 1.19P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 40 44 -12 51.12 3.06 -13.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 40 44 -13 51.11 3.02 -14.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 39 41 -19 48.27 3.36 -22.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Macclesfield 40 39 -31 45.30 3.11 -34.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.11R 0.00 Barnet 39 37 -21 45.64 3.56 -22.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.71R 0.01 Bournemouth 40 34 -1 42.61 3.25 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.20R 0.07 Grimsby 40 33 -21 40.54 3.12 -22.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.16R 0.31 Chester 40 30 -35 35.98 3.05 -38.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.23R 6.72 Luton 40 22 -4 28.88 3.21 -6.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.56R 92.89 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 March 2009, Burton_Albion vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 40 85 +35 94.20 3.37 36.47 86.82 100.00 90.29P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 40 76 +25 86.91 3.14 29.11 4.40 98.52 32.40P 0.00 0.00 Histon 38 73 +29 86.30 3.78 32.79 8.01 96.42 33.18P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 39 71 +23 81.37 3.63 24.08 0.60 70.64 16.06P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 40 69 +17 78.26 3.24 18.60 0.00 32.29 5.96P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 39 68 +16 77.64 3.56 16.12 0.00 27.93 5.19P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 37 66 +17 79.29 4.11 18.44 0.15 45.33 10.25P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 38 65 +14 77.22 3.68 15.99 0.00 23.33 5.46P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 39 62 +19 72.22 3.59 19.94 0.00 3.30 0.73P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 38 58 +16 71.66 3.73 20.34 0.00 2.24 0.49P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 41 53 +11 60.57 2.89 11.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 41 53 -6 58.58 2.83 -7.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 39 53 -11 63.05 3.49 -10.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 39 51 +1 61.84 3.55 2.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 39 47 -16 55.18 3.30 -18.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Forest_Green 39 44 -7 53.12 3.51 -7.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.11R 0.00 Barrow 38 42 -15 50.21 3.56 -19.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.79R 0.00 Weymouth 39 42 -31 49.12 3.28 -35.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.84R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 35 41 -6 56.03 4.53 -6.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30R 0.00 York 38 40 -5 53.02 3.89 -2.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.23R 0.00 Grays_Athletic 40 40 -22 46.74 3.17 -24.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.45R 0.00 Woking 39 37 -16 44.12 3.30 -19.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.36R 0.00 Northwich 39 25 -29 33.32 3.33 -31.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.87R 0.40 Lewes 40 17 -59 21.19 2.66 -64.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.60 Adjustments: Mansfield -4