Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 29 March 2009 at 21:04:44 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 March 2009, Liverpool vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   65  +31      84.23     3.75    41.23    63.56    90.67    99.84    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   64  +33      81.69     3.36    43.94    30.96    80.62    99.66    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   61  +32      77.85     3.46    40.71     5.46    28.49    97.27    99.82   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   55  +21      67.62     3.60    23.77     0.02     0.21     2.86    71.78    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   52   +7      64.75     3.76     9.82     0.00     0.01     0.36    25.35    97.90     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   48   +9      59.30     3.76     9.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.01    78.08     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           30   41   +2      52.68     3.77     3.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    10.02     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        30   41   +0      50.92     3.67    -1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.31     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          30   40   +4      50.64     3.66     3.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.22     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   38   +9      50.16     3.65    11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.77     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham       30   38   +2      48.78     3.66     1.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.77     0.04R    0.00  
Bolton          30   34  -12      43.49     3.63   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.50R    0.03  
Hull            30   33  -17      41.62     3.64   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.56R    0.29  
Sunderland      30   32  -10      40.93     3.66   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.41R    0.35  
Portsmouth      29   32  -14      42.79     4.00   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.26R    0.29  
Stoke           30   32  -18      41.34     3.76   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.20R    0.51  
Blackburn       30   31  -16      39.27     3.47   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.20R    1.56  
Newcastle       30   29  -13      37.44     3.52   -17.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.31R    3.18  
Middlesbrough   30   27  -21      33.60     3.31   -27.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.42R   22.11  
West_Brom       30   24  -29      30.71     3.40   -36.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.11R   71.67  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 March 2009, Cardiff vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    40   77  +24      87.92     3.15    28.12    84.97    96.64   100.00    97.50P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       40   72  +14      81.41     3.21    15.69     6.69    40.60    99.83    55.34P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          39   68  +30      80.78     3.51    34.64     6.65    43.56    99.74    63.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   66  +21      77.81     3.48    24.29     1.19    12.23    97.23    36.77P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   65   +8      73.43     3.30     8.22     0.01     0.75    73.17    12.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +15      76.30     3.88    18.46     0.48     6.21    90.05    27.18P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          40   61   +3      69.21     3.18     3.10     0.00     0.01    18.40     2.96P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          40   58  +11      67.09     3.20    12.30     0.00     0.00     9.36     1.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     40   58   +6      66.79     3.27     6.79     0.00     0.00     8.68     1.68P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   56   +8      64.63     3.16     8.63     0.00     0.00     2.04     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              40   56   +0      63.89     3.13    -0.40     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   51   +1      61.09     3.56     1.86     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   51   -9      58.51     3.19    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Coventry         38   50   -4      61.02     3.80    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.03R    0.00  
Doncaster        40   49  -14      55.39     3.04   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27R    0.00  
Watford          39   47   -5      57.52     3.59    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60R    0.00  
Derby            38   47   -5      56.59     3.79    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.97R    0.00  
Blackpool        40   47  -12      54.15     3.12   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.39R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   44  -11      52.02     3.52   -15.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.53R    0.02  
Norwich          40   43   -8      50.27     3.21    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.49R    0.14  
Plymouth         40   43  -14      50.30     3.07   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.36R    0.06  
Nottm_Forest     40   41  -19      47.85     3.13   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.49R    0.76  
Southampton      39   40  -16      47.80     3.42   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.89R    1.77  
Charlton         39   29  -24      36.53     3.41   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   97.24  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 March 2009, Brighton vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        40   82  +37      94.24     3.09    43.10    90.23    99.14   100.00    99.42P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   78  +23      88.60     3.20    27.07     8.47    75.30   100.00    81.19P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   73  +12      84.41     3.54    14.53     1.05    17.39    99.72    34.87P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   69  +29      81.90     3.52    34.18     0.22     6.39    98.42    36.83P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            39   68  +21      79.02     3.52    23.10     0.02     1.08    92.18    23.89P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       39   67  +17      78.23     3.51    19.76     0.01     0.70    87.32    18.90P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         40   63  +11      72.24     3.18    12.42     0.00     0.00    16.91     3.63P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         40   61   -3      68.44     3.17    -4.11     0.00     0.00     1.37     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           40   59   +3      68.23     3.35     4.53     0.00     0.00     1.28     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        40   56   +5      65.10     3.20     6.23     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   55   -2      62.12     3.17    -3.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   54  +18      67.55     3.82    22.05     0.00     0.00     2.57     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   54   -1      63.86     3.54    -0.57     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     39   54   -6      63.14     3.50    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   45  -12      53.34     3.46   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.76R    0.00  
Swindon          40   44   -4      52.44     3.28    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.44R    0.00  
Hartlepool       40   43  -11      50.68     3.24   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.04R    0.01  
Carlisle         40   43  -14      49.85     3.17   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.08R    0.01  
Crewe            40   43  -18      49.83     3.14   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.58R    0.03  
Northampton      38   42   +0      52.78     3.75    -0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.93R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   42  -24      50.83     3.63   -26.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.39R    0.06  
Brighton         38   36  -18      43.93     3.58   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.98R    4.40  
Hereford         38   33  -27      40.14     3.41   -32.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.05R   25.54  
Cheltenham       39   31  -36      37.66     3.23   -41.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   69.94  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 March 2009, Barnet vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            39   71  +23      82.50     3.44    25.81    72.11    96.30    99.96    97.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 40   66  +15      76.04     3.14    17.79     4.25    45.92    94.16    58.84P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             40   65  +17      74.49     3.25    19.03     2.34    30.80    87.32    45.18P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           40   65   +3      72.47     3.16     1.91     0.46    10.86    64.62    19.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              38   64  +17      78.28     3.65    21.86    17.22    72.16    97.66    79.96P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           39   63  +17      73.60     3.50    18.53     2.69    24.87    80.29    40.64P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               39   62  +10      71.73     3.44    10.40     0.54     7.92    59.24    19.49P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           40   60  +16      68.95     3.16    17.23     0.03     1.99    31.44    10.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             40   59  +10      66.70     3.24     9.20     0.00     0.25    11.42     2.77P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   58   +9      70.79     3.98    11.73     0.35     7.77    49.93    17.28P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            38   55  +17      67.17     3.83    19.02     0.02     1.14    21.32     7.25P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   52   -1      60.95     3.43    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   49   +1      60.60     3.77     2.08     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   47  -17      56.42     3.66   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   44  +16      61.12     4.40    20.89     0.00     0.02     1.75     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   44  -12      51.12     3.07   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         40   44  -13      51.15     3.02   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   41  -18      49.00     3.59   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield         39   39  -30      46.10     3.37   -34.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79R    0.00  
Barnet               38   36  -21      45.00     3.72   -24.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.50R    0.06  
Bournemouth          40   34   -1      42.71     3.27    -0.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.12R    0.23  
Grimsby              40   33  -21      40.52     3.12   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.64R    0.77  
Chester              40   30  -35      35.90     3.04   -38.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.83R   13.46  
Luton                39   22   -2      30.29     3.50    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.09R   85.48  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 March 2009, Weymouth vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        39   84  +35      95.01     3.65    37.10    92.48   100.00    94.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        39   73  +24      85.71     3.42    28.71     2.52    96.50    30.13P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              39   71  +23      81.37     3.61    24.07     0.61    72.15    16.97P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               37   70  +26      84.85     4.06    29.97     4.19    91.57    27.62P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   69  +17      78.26     3.23    18.61     0.01    34.80     6.77P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        37   66  +17      79.41     4.12    18.62     0.16    48.92    11.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            38   65  +14      75.72     3.82    13.68     0.00    16.55     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            37   64  +14      77.16     3.90    15.43     0.02    25.75     6.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         38   62  +20      74.11     3.91    21.72     0.00    11.08     2.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              38   58  +16      71.59     3.74    20.22     0.00     2.68     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    40   52  +11      61.33     3.22    12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury            40   52   -6      59.11     3.19    -7.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            38   51   +4      63.08     3.79     5.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   38   50  -12      61.03     3.78   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Altrincham           38   47  -15      56.28     3.57   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Forest_Green         39   44   -7      53.01     3.52    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22R    0.00  
Barrow               38   42  -15      50.13     3.57   -19.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.72R    0.00  
Weymouth             39   42  -31      49.13     3.30   -35.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.95R    0.00  
York                 37   40   -3      54.61     4.15     0.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.87R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic       39   39  -22      46.66     3.46   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.04R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     34   38   -7      54.75     4.82    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.42R    0.00  
Woking               38   37  -15      45.07     3.51   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.02R    0.00  
Northwich            38   24  -29      33.56     3.64   -31.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.72R    0.44  
Lewes                40   17  -59      21.15     2.64   -64.97     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.56  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4