Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 27 March 2009 at 22:04:54 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 March 2009, Liverpool vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 29 65 +31 84.32 3.72 41.38 64.79 91.19 99.88 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 64 +33 81.57 3.39 43.73 29.61 79.76 99.56 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 30 61 +32 77.87 3.43 40.71 5.59 28.84 97.43 99.87 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 55 +21 67.59 3.59 23.74 0.01 0.21 2.82 71.43 99.88 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 30 52 +7 64.83 3.75 9.96 0.00 0.00 0.29 25.81 98.11 0.00 0.00 Everton 30 48 +9 59.20 3.75 9.48 0.00 0.00 0.02 2.81 77.30 0.00 0.00 Wigan 30 41 +2 52.73 3.80 3.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 10.69 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 30 41 +0 50.84 3.64 -1.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 4.15 0.00 0.00 Fulham 30 40 +4 50.60 3.63 3.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 4.21 0.00R 0.00 Man_City 30 38 +9 50.14 3.64 11.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.74 0.00R 0.00 Tottenham 30 38 +2 48.82 3.64 1.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.87 0.04R 0.00 Bolton 30 34 -12 43.38 3.65 -14.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.75R 0.03 Hull 30 33 -17 41.57 3.63 -21.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.80R 0.25 Sunderland 30 32 -10 41.04 3.66 -12.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.97R 0.37 Portsmouth 29 32 -14 42.81 3.99 -16.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 8.24R 0.29 Stoke 30 32 -18 41.35 3.75 -20.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 14.25R 0.54 Blackburn 30 31 -16 39.31 3.47 -21.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.01R 1.45 Newcastle 30 29 -13 37.42 3.53 -17.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.00R 3.46 Middlesbrough 30 27 -21 33.70 3.33 -26.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.56R 21.52 West_Brom 30 24 -29 30.70 3.38 -36.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.38R 72.08Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 March 2009, Cardiff vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 40 77 +24 87.90 3.15 28.12 84.92 96.64 100.00 97.52P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 40 72 +14 81.48 3.20 15.81 7.07 41.51 99.89 56.15P 0.00 0.00 Reading 39 68 +30 80.72 3.54 34.57 6.45 42.99 99.73 63.05P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 39 66 +21 77.80 3.48 24.28 1.10 12.28 97.07 37.01P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 40 65 +8 73.46 3.33 8.24 0.00 0.67 72.88 12.29P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 38 63 +15 76.27 3.87 18.42 0.46 5.90 90.03 26.74P 0.00 0.00 Preston 40 61 +3 69.28 3.19 3.17 0.00 0.01 18.77 2.93P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 40 58 +11 67.13 3.20 12.36 0.00 0.00 9.40 2.04P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 40 58 +6 66.74 3.28 6.75 0.00 0.00 8.61 1.58P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 40 56 +8 64.64 3.16 8.65 0.00 0.00 2.03 0.43P 0.00 0.00 QPR 40 56 +0 63.84 3.15 -0.48 0.00 0.00 1.13 0.18P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 39 51 +1 61.12 3.57 1.89 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 40 51 -9 58.54 3.19 -9.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09R 0.00 Coventry 38 50 -4 60.96 3.78 -3.87 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 0.03R 0.00 Doncaster 40 49 -14 55.33 3.04 -16.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.30R 0.00 Watford 39 47 -5 57.50 3.62 -3.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.74R 0.00 Derby 38 47 -5 56.55 3.79 -7.37 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.90R 0.00 Blackpool 40 47 -12 54.16 3.10 -13.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.49R 0.00 Barnsley 38 44 -11 52.12 3.55 -15.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.13R 0.03 Norwich 40 43 -8 50.28 3.24 -9.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.39R 0.14 Plymouth 40 43 -14 50.31 3.07 -14.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.32R 0.07 Nottm_Forest 40 41 -19 47.83 3.12 -21.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.73R 0.72 Southampton 39 40 -16 47.82 3.42 -18.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.97R 1.77 Charlton 39 29 -24 36.52 3.41 -27.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.91R 97.27League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 27 March 2009, Southend vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 39 82 +39 96.07 3.37 45.78 96.09 99.60 100.00 99.76P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 39 75 +21 86.51 3.52 24.35 3.03 57.08 99.95 67.87P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 38 70 +11 82.96 3.86 13.80 0.32 17.24 98.50 34.69P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 38 69 +31 83.44 3.80 36.48 0.54 24.05 99.17 49.90P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 38 65 +19 77.11 3.86 20.61 0.01 1.19 79.83 20.82P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 38 64 +14 76.65 3.84 16.80 0.00 0.83 74.45 16.49P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 39 62 +11 73.04 3.50 13.09 0.00 0.01 33.04 7.52P 0.00 0.00 Southend 40 61 -3 68.38 3.18 -4.17 0.00 0.00 2.42 0.37P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 39 59 +4 69.79 3.64 5.82 0.00 0.00 7.57 1.34P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 39 56 +7 66.34 3.51 8.05 0.00 0.00 1.59 0.35P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 38 54 +2 65.29 3.81 2.42 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.17P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 39 54 -2 63.27 3.47 -2.54 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 37 51 +16 66.04 4.11 20.16 0.00 0.00 2.32 0.67P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 38 51 -7 61.67 3.80 -7.70 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.01R 0.00 Swindon 39 44 -3 54.27 3.59 -2.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.22R 0.00 Hartlepool 40 43 -11 50.83 3.26 -11.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.86R 0.02 Crewe 39 43 -17 50.88 3.43 -20.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.38R 0.04 Leyton_Orient 38 42 -13 51.43 3.74 -14.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.79R 0.03 Carlisle 39 42 -14 50.18 3.47 -16.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.25R 0.04 Northampton 37 41 +0 53.28 4.10 -0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.13R 0.00 Yeovil 37 39 -25 48.69 3.89 -28.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.47R 0.70 Brighton 37 35 -18 43.94 3.85 -23.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.80R 5.86 Hereford 37 33 -26 41.40 3.71 -31.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.57R 17.57 Cheltenham 38 30 -36 37.43 3.48 -43.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.51R 75.75League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 25 March 2009, Chesterfield vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Brentford 38 70 +23 83.57 3.71 26.81 74.79 97.30 99.98 98.12P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 39 64 +17 75.39 3.54 19.83 3.31 42.93 90.78 54.49P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 39 64 +3 72.14 3.36 0.89 0.53 10.63 63.31 19.01P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 37 63 +17 79.00 3.91 22.35 17.58 77.39 97.99 83.68P 0.00 0.00 Bury 39 63 +14 74.87 3.44 17.45 1.87 33.79 88.87 48.57P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 38 61 +10 71.63 3.69 9.66 0.55 9.78 59.56 20.96P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 38 60 +16 72.20 3.78 17.87 1.12 16.57 69.20 31.84P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 39 59 +16 68.92 3.41 16.78 0.03 3.05 35.02 12.36P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 39 58 +10 67.54 3.55 9.88 0.01 0.83 20.38 5.53P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 37 55 +8 70.00 4.22 12.07 0.20 6.58 45.57 15.75P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 52 +16 66.57 4.03 19.81 0.01 1.04 20.50 7.01P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 38 52 +0 62.86 3.74 0.01 0.00 0.02 2.36 0.48P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 37 48 +1 61.60 4.05 3.02 0.00 0.01 1.81 0.45P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 37 47 -16 57.70 3.95 -19.07 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 35 43 +16 62.28 4.60 22.03 0.00 0.09 4.60 1.75P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 39 43 -12 50.75 3.26 -14.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Notts_County 39 43 -13 50.95 3.28 -15.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 37 41 -17 49.62 3.80 -22.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Macclesfield 38 39 -29 46.44 3.52 -35.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.62R 0.00 Barnet 37 36 -20 46.16 3.97 -23.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.77R 0.02 Bournemouth 39 34 +0 43.54 3.50 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.39R 0.06 Grimsby 39 30 -22 39.09 3.47 -22.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.41R 1.13 Chester 39 29 -35 35.88 3.34 -39.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.95R 7.01 Luton 38 19 -3 28.07 3.74 -5.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.83R 91.78 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 March 2009, Histon vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 38 81 +31 94.05 3.86 34.19 88.67 99.96 91.38P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 39 73 +24 85.79 3.40 28.80 4.74 96.28 32.12P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 38 70 +23 81.95 3.91 24.40 1.84 73.60 18.49P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 39 68 +17 78.52 3.55 18.42 0.07 36.59 7.40P 0.00 0.00 Histon 36 67 +25 83.38 4.36 29.17 3.98 82.16 24.58P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 36 65 +17 79.96 4.41 18.84 0.64 51.22 12.24P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 37 64 +14 76.24 4.13 13.88 0.02 20.50 3.90P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 37 61 +20 75.04 4.20 22.55 0.01 16.07 3.95P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 36 61 +13 75.91 4.16 14.97 0.02 17.41 4.41P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 37 58 +17 72.79 4.03 20.94 0.00 6.22 1.53P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 39 52 +13 63.46 3.50 15.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 37 50 +4 63.46 4.03 5.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 37 50 -10 62.31 4.06 -10.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 39 49 -8 57.50 3.47 -9.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Altrincham 37 46 -15 56.05 3.83 -18.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Weymouth 38 42 -28 50.92 3.62 -32.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.44R 0.00 Forest_Green 38 41 -10 52.20 3.71 -9.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.34R 0.00 York 36 39 -3 55.01 4.39 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.85R 0.00 Barrow 37 39 -18 47.95 3.82 -23.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.78R 0.00 Grays_Athletic 38 39 -18 47.43 3.63 -21.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.43R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 33 38 -6 55.80 5.01 -5.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.80R 0.00 Woking 38 37 -15 45.17 3.55 -18.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.30R 0.00 Northwich 37 21 -31 30.88 3.85 -35.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.92R 3.02 Lewes 39 17 -56 21.64 2.84 -63.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 96.98 Adjustments: Mansfield -4