Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 20 March 2009 at 22:04:31 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 March 2009, West_Ham vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 28 65 +33 86.64 3.89 44.77 80.29 94.56 99.97 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 61 +33 80.15 3.68 43.06 10.32 54.88 99.04 99.93 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 61 +28 80.15 3.74 38.70 9.38 50.41 98.48 99.82 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 52 +19 66.30 3.91 22.22 0.01 0.11 1.53 50.10 99.34 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 29 52 +12 66.03 3.96 14.69 0.00 0.04 0.91 41.20 98.89 0.00 0.00 Everton 29 48 +10 61.20 4.07 11.34 0.00 0.00 0.06 8.86 88.51 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 29 40 +0 51.41 3.96 -1.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 4.51 0.00R 0.00 Wigan 29 38 +1 51.53 4.10 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 5.52 0.01R 0.00 Fulham 29 37 +2 47.80 3.83 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.08R 0.00 Man_City 29 35 +8 49.23 3.92 11.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.97 0.08R 0.00 Tottenham 29 35 +1 46.19 3.87 -0.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.63R 0.00 Bolton 29 33 -12 43.96 3.96 -14.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 4.01R 0.11 Hull 29 33 -16 42.51 3.88 -20.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 9.47R 0.30 Sunderland 29 32 -9 41.66 3.89 -12.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 9.77R 0.48 Blackburn 29 30 -16 39.56 3.81 -21.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.82R 2.34 Newcastle 29 29 -11 38.62 3.80 -15.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.93R 2.68 Portsmouth 28 29 -15 40.49 4.26 -18.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.78R 2.08 Stoke 29 29 -19 40.08 4.07 -20.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 24.89R 2.66 Middlesbrough 29 27 -20 34.71 3.59 -26.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.35R 18.21 West_Brom 29 23 -29 31.06 3.76 -36.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.18R 71.12Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 March 2009, Cardiff vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 39 74 +23 86.69 3.47 27.77 67.54 89.06 100.00 91.93P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 39 71 +14 82.51 3.50 16.71 15.36 47.95 99.85 61.06P 0.00 0.00 Reading 38 67 +30 81.46 3.82 35.12 13.30 43.99 99.71 63.90P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 38 63 +18 75.51 3.77 20.32 0.48 3.94 87.17 25.06P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 37 63 +18 78.45 4.14 22.59 3.30 14.82 95.04 37.21P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 39 62 +7 71.84 3.57 7.26 0.01 0.20 52.32 8.78P 0.00 0.00 Preston 39 60 +3 69.75 3.49 3.33 0.00 0.04 25.85 4.05P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 39 58 +7 68.14 3.51 7.87 0.00 0.00 18.21 3.58P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 39 57 +11 67.53 3.52 12.43 0.00 0.00 14.99 3.06P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 39 55 +8 65.59 3.47 9.55 0.00 0.00 5.63 1.15P 0.00 0.00 QPR 39 53 -1 62.12 3.42 -1.52 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 38 50 +1 61.21 3.84 1.51 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.10P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 39 50 -9 58.77 3.49 -10.07 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.22R 0.00 Doncaster 39 49 -13 56.37 3.30 -16.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.06R 0.00 Coventry 37 47 -5 59.71 4.06 -4.35 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 0.36R 0.00 Watford 38 46 -5 57.31 3.85 -4.60 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.38R 0.00 Derby 37 46 -5 57.38 4.07 -6.68 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 1.26R 0.00 Blackpool 39 46 -12 54.82 3.42 -13.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.33R 0.00 Barnsley 37 43 -11 52.05 3.81 -15.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.46R 0.08 Plymouth 39 43 -13 51.64 3.39 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.74R 0.06 Norwich 39 42 -8 49.99 3.44 -10.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.53R 0.35 Nottm_Forest 39 41 -18 48.94 3.43 -20.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.29R 0.79 Southampton 38 39 -16 47.79 3.68 -19.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.53R 2.65 Charlton 38 28 -24 36.70 3.73 -27.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.81R 96.06League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 March 2009, Cheltenham vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 38 81 +39 97.37 3.61 47.21 92.31 99.53 100.00 99.72P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 38 72 +20 84.47 3.80 22.67 0.62 20.05 99.55 41.54P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 35 67 +32 88.61 4.45 42.75 7.04 75.85 99.87 84.53P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 36 64 +9 78.98 4.38 10.66 0.03 3.50 86.43 20.87P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 37 62 +18 75.73 4.13 20.00 0.00 0.55 69.50 19.69P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 37 61 +12 75.67 4.05 15.83 0.00 0.47 67.72 15.83P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 38 59 +9 71.04 3.80 10.51 0.00 0.00 22.46 5.32P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 37 58 +6 72.58 4.19 9.45 0.00 0.04 34.38 7.21P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 38 56 +11 68.28 3.79 12.93 0.00 0.00 7.93 2.11P 0.00 0.00 Southend 38 55 -7 65.23 3.74 -8.03 0.00 0.00 1.07 0.15P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 37 53 +2 64.79 4.02 1.06 0.00 0.00 1.63 0.31P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 36 51 +17 67.69 4.40 21.58 0.00 0.00 9.09 2.64P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 37 50 -7 62.75 4.09 -6.52 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.05P 0.01R 0.00 Walsall 37 48 -6 59.95 3.99 -6.72 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.11R 0.00 Hartlepool 38 43 -9 53.34 3.84 -10.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.02R 0.01 Carlisle 37 42 -10 53.75 4.05 -11.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.21R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 37 42 -12 53.00 4.00 -13.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.82R 0.00 Crewe 37 42 -16 51.16 3.83 -21.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.10R 0.06 Northampton 35 38 -3 52.74 4.56 -3.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.15R 0.04 Swindon 37 38 -7 50.83 4.14 -6.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.32R 0.13 Yeovil 36 38 -25 48.49 4.12 -29.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.34R 0.93 Brighton 35 35 -13 46.03 4.37 -19.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.49R 2.30 Hereford 35 30 -24 40.08 4.20 -31.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.00R 25.27 Cheltenham 36 28 -36 36.92 3.97 -45.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.42R 71.25League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 March 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Brentford 38 70 +23 83.45 3.69 26.63 58.94 94.57 99.87 96.14P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 38 64 +6 73.91 3.68 4.55 1.26 15.41 70.47 25.01P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 36 63 +18 81.09 4.17 24.38 29.97 81.54 98.45 86.67P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 37 61 +19 74.52 4.07 20.97 2.52 26.49 78.10 39.52P 0.00 0.00 Bury 37 61 +14 76.45 3.88 18.92 4.23 40.26 89.18 53.12P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 37 61 +11 73.26 3.97 11.09 1.08 13.22 65.36 24.70P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 38 58 +16 69.70 3.67 17.35 0.07 2.92 34.34 11.77P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 38 58 +11 69.84 3.81 12.32 0.08 2.39 33.26 9.75P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 36 57 +15 73.06 4.32 18.64 1.63 17.21 66.32 31.07P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 52 +16 66.63 4.02 19.93 0.00 0.54 14.84 4.89P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 35 52 +8 69.48 4.70 11.63 0.20 4.70 34.06 11.56P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 37 51 +0 62.56 3.97 -0.95 0.00 0.01 1.61 0.35P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 36 48 +2 63.31 4.31 4.54 0.00 0.06 3.22 0.85P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 35 44 -15 55.68 4.29 -21.26 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 38 40 -14 48.67 3.50 -17.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Rotherham 32 39 +14 64.27 5.40 22.98 0.00 0.67 10.87 4.59P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 37 39 -28 47.29 3.75 -35.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23R 0.00 Port_Vale 36 38 -18 47.05 3.98 -25.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 37 37 -14 46.69 3.81 -17.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35R 0.00 Bournemouth 38 34 +1 45.72 3.80 2.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.75R 0.00 Barnet 36 33 -21 44.20 4.23 -25.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.83R 0.06 Chester 38 28 -35 35.26 3.49 -41.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.55R 7.05 Grimsby 38 27 -25 37.09 3.74 -26.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.07R 3.06 Luton 37 16 -4 27.17 4.01 -5.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.96R 89.83 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 19 March 2009, Kettering vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 37 78 +30 92.92 4.16 33.98 80.25 99.87 85.08P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 39 73 +24 85.73 3.42 28.70 6.60 96.95 33.48P 0.00 0.00 Histon 35 66 +25 84.09 4.66 29.76 8.11 86.24 27.90P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 36 66 +22 82.58 4.38 26.24 4.51 80.79 23.17P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 38 65 +15 76.33 3.80 15.55 0.02 23.29 4.46P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 36 63 +14 76.22 4.42 13.17 0.08 24.90 4.64P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 34 59 +13 76.31 4.89 14.23 0.20 27.19 6.05P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 35 58 +20 76.61 4.60 25.65 0.12 33.73 8.64P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 36 58 +18 72.74 4.45 19.53 0.01 9.65 2.25P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 34 57 +11 74.85 4.71 13.29 0.09 17.16 4.31P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 37 51 +15 66.17 4.06 19.02 0.00 0.12 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 36 50 +5 65.15 4.31 7.05 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 36 50 -9 63.50 4.32 -9.47 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 36 46 -12 58.09 4.17 -14.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Salisbury 37 45 -9 55.85 4.04 -11.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00 Weymouth 37 42 -26 52.04 3.88 -30.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.25R 0.00 York 35 38 -3 55.58 4.70 0.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.61R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 32 38 -5 57.19 5.23 -5.01 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.33R 0.00 Forest_Green 37 38 -13 49.99 3.97 -13.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.03R 0.00 Woking 37 37 -12 46.34 3.80 -15.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.77R 0.00 Barrow 36 36 -20 46.79 4.02 -24.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.29R 0.00 Grays_Athletic 36 35 -19 44.80 4.02 -24.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.84R 0.00 Northwich 36 21 -30 31.53 4.02 -35.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.71R 3.62 Lewes 38 17 -54 22.33 3.07 -62.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 96.38 Adjustments: Mansfield -4