Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 19 March 2009 at 22:04:42 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 March 2009, West_Ham vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 28 65 +33 86.65 3.91 44.77 80.39 94.58 99.94 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 61 +33 80.12 3.69 43.02 10.23 54.63 99.01 99.93 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 61 +28 80.17 3.73 38.74 9.37 50.61 98.58 99.89 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 52 +19 66.37 3.92 22.36 0.00 0.13 1.53 50.54 99.43 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 29 52 +12 66.08 3.96 14.76 0.00 0.05 0.91 41.13 99.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 29 48 +10 61.19 4.05 11.36 0.00 0.00 0.03 8.44 88.75 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 29 40 +0 51.38 3.97 -1.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 4.46 0.00R 0.00 Wigan 29 38 +1 51.53 4.05 2.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 5.25 0.02R 0.00 Fulham 29 37 +2 47.79 3.84 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.09R 0.00 Man_City 29 35 +8 49.13 3.95 10.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.94 0.08R 0.00 Tottenham 29 35 +1 46.14 3.88 -0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.61R 0.01 Bolton 29 33 -12 43.91 3.96 -14.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 4.19R 0.13 Hull 29 33 -16 42.40 3.85 -21.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.92R 0.33 Sunderland 29 32 -9 41.76 3.87 -12.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 9.47R 0.44 Blackburn 29 30 -16 39.66 3.80 -21.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.72R 2.32 Newcastle 29 29 -11 38.60 3.82 -15.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.44R 2.91 Portsmouth 28 29 -15 40.53 4.25 -18.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 21.74R 1.99 Stoke 29 29 -19 39.99 4.07 -21.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.42R 2.69 Middlesbrough 29 27 -20 34.76 3.62 -26.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.21R 17.81 West_Brom 29 23 -29 31.06 3.76 -36.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.09R 71.36Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 March 2009, Cardiff vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 39 74 +23 86.67 3.47 27.76 67.55 88.95 100.00 91.78P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 39 71 +14 82.45 3.49 16.66 15.04 46.85 99.84 60.10P 0.00 0.00 Reading 38 67 +30 81.48 3.82 35.17 13.52 44.89 99.65 64.35P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 38 63 +18 75.52 3.75 20.32 0.49 3.95 87.47 25.34P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 37 63 +18 78.46 4.15 22.60 3.39 15.11 95.08 37.68P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 39 62 +7 71.82 3.58 7.25 0.01 0.22 52.28 8.41P 0.00 0.00 Preston 39 60 +3 69.67 3.48 3.22 0.00 0.03 25.26 4.05P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 39 58 +7 68.12 3.54 7.82 0.00 0.00 18.39 3.48P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 39 57 +11 67.55 3.52 12.48 0.00 0.00 15.08 3.44P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 39 55 +8 65.60 3.48 9.57 0.00 0.00 5.60 1.16P 0.00 0.00 QPR 39 53 -1 62.17 3.41 -1.48 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.09P 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 38 50 +1 61.17 3.84 1.44 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.09P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 39 50 -9 58.78 3.47 -10.04 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.23R 0.00 Doncaster 39 49 -13 56.42 3.32 -15.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.08R 0.00 Coventry 37 47 -5 59.69 4.06 -4.40 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 0.37R 0.00 Watford 38 46 -5 57.35 3.84 -4.50 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.31R 0.00 Derby 37 46 -5 57.33 4.04 -6.82 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 1.35R 0.00 Blackpool 39 46 -12 54.81 3.44 -13.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.35R 0.00 Barnsley 37 43 -11 52.05 3.80 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.58R 0.10 Plymouth 39 43 -13 51.69 3.39 -13.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.47R 0.05 Norwich 39 42 -8 49.92 3.43 -10.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.75R 0.35 Nottm_Forest 39 41 -18 48.96 3.42 -20.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.61R 0.74 Southampton 38 39 -16 47.80 3.69 -19.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.12R 2.80 Charlton 38 28 -24 36.76 3.71 -27.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.77R 95.95League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 March 2009, Cheltenham vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 38 81 +39 97.46 3.60 47.34 92.28 99.55 100.00 99.73P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 38 72 +20 84.50 3.82 22.72 0.57 19.86 99.54 41.28P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 35 67 +32 88.67 4.46 42.80 7.13 75.82 99.92 84.59P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 36 64 +9 79.04 4.38 10.76 0.02 3.66 86.89 21.39P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 37 62 +18 75.67 4.13 19.93 0.00 0.57 69.12 19.36P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 37 61 +12 75.61 4.04 15.74 0.00 0.48 67.08 15.47P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 38 59 +9 71.05 3.81 10.55 0.00 0.01 22.58 5.34P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 37 58 +6 72.62 4.22 9.50 0.00 0.05 34.82 7.49P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 38 56 +11 68.30 3.80 12.97 0.00 0.00 8.16 2.25P 0.00 0.00 Southend 38 55 -7 65.12 3.74 -8.23 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.15P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 37 53 +2 64.77 4.00 1.02 0.00 0.00 1.55 0.33P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 36 51 +17 67.70 4.39 21.58 0.00 0.00 9.03 2.58P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 37 50 -7 62.80 4.09 -6.44 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.05P 0.02R 0.00 Walsall 37 48 -6 59.82 3.97 -6.89 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.15R 0.00 Hartlepool 38 43 -9 53.37 3.86 -10.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.01R 0.00 Carlisle 37 42 -10 53.77 4.04 -11.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.01R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 37 42 -12 53.02 4.01 -13.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.96R 0.01 Crewe 37 42 -16 51.18 3.81 -21.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.49R 0.06 Northampton 35 38 -3 52.75 4.55 -3.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.02R 0.02 Swindon 37 38 -7 50.84 4.14 -6.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.23R 0.13 Yeovil 36 38 -25 48.41 4.09 -29.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.16R 0.90 Brighton 35 35 -13 46.02 4.38 -19.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.25R 2.53 Hereford 35 30 -24 39.96 4.17 -31.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.25R 26.82 Cheltenham 36 28 -36 37.07 3.98 -45.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.45R 69.52League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 March 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Brentford 38 70 +23 83.46 3.70 26.62 59.17 94.36 99.89 95.92P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 38 64 +6 74.01 3.69 4.68 1.30 15.79 71.13 25.20P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 36 63 +18 81.02 4.17 24.29 29.22 81.08 98.38 86.34P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 37 61 +19 74.52 4.07 20.98 2.64 26.21 77.76 39.45P 0.00 0.00 Bury 37 61 +14 76.41 3.90 18.85 4.17 39.91 88.67 52.94P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 37 61 +11 73.34 3.97 11.19 1.22 13.64 65.72 25.08P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 38 58 +16 69.77 3.68 17.47 0.06 3.08 34.72 12.16P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 38 58 +11 69.90 3.83 12.45 0.08 2.59 33.88 9.95P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 36 57 +15 73.17 4.28 18.79 1.91 17.53 67.05 31.53P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 52 +16 66.48 4.02 19.73 0.01 0.45 13.97 4.41P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 35 52 +8 69.39 4.73 11.55 0.21 4.61 33.23 11.34P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 37 51 +0 62.57 3.94 -0.95 0.00 0.01 1.51 0.33P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 36 48 +2 63.23 4.32 4.43 0.00 0.04 3.10 0.77P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 35 44 -15 55.72 4.31 -21.19 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 38 40 -14 48.63 3.49 -17.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Rotherham 32 39 +14 64.31 5.38 23.01 0.01 0.71 10.97 4.58P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 37 39 -28 47.31 3.75 -35.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26R 0.01 Port_Vale 36 38 -18 47.01 3.97 -25.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 37 37 -14 46.77 3.83 -17.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34R 0.00 Bournemouth 38 34 +1 45.75 3.78 2.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.77R 0.00 Barnet 36 33 -21 44.13 4.22 -25.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.96R 0.08 Chester 38 28 -35 35.27 3.50 -41.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.72R 6.89 Grimsby 38 27 -25 37.04 3.77 -26.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.65R 3.11 Luton 37 16 -4 27.16 3.98 -5.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.02R 89.90 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 19 March 2009, Kettering vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 37 78 +30 92.98 4.13 34.08 80.75 99.93 85.43P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 39 73 +24 85.76 3.40 28.73 6.33 97.05 33.16P 0.00 0.00 Histon 35 66 +25 84.10 4.69 29.78 8.03 86.16 28.01P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 36 66 +22 82.64 4.36 26.35 4.33 81.12 23.30P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 38 65 +15 76.30 3.81 15.49 0.05 22.95 4.21P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 36 63 +14 76.26 4.44 13.20 0.08 25.20 4.68P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 34 59 +13 76.21 4.89 14.08 0.22 26.54 5.86P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 35 58 +20 76.71 4.57 25.79 0.14 33.88 8.79P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 36 58 +18 72.76 4.43 19.52 0.01 9.68 2.29P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 34 57 +11 74.79 4.72 13.20 0.06 17.28 4.24P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 37 51 +15 66.25 4.05 19.13 0.00 0.08 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 36 50 +5 65.06 4.31 6.91 0.00 0.11 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 36 50 -9 63.40 4.33 -9.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Altrincham 36 46 -12 58.03 4.19 -14.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Salisbury 37 45 -9 55.86 4.01 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09R 0.00 Weymouth 37 42 -26 52.03 3.90 -30.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.29R 0.00 York 35 38 -3 55.53 4.67 0.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.61R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 32 38 -5 57.16 5.27 -5.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31R 0.00 Forest_Green 37 38 -13 49.96 3.96 -13.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.04R 0.00 Woking 37 37 -12 46.40 3.79 -15.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.26R 0.00 Barrow 36 36 -20 46.79 4.04 -24.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.61R 0.00 Grays_Athletic 36 35 -19 44.82 4.04 -24.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.07R 0.00 Northwich 36 21 -30 31.53 4.05 -35.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.68R 3.99 Lewes 38 17 -54 22.42 3.08 -62.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 96.01 Adjustments: Mansfield -4