Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 15 March 2009 at 22:04:26 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 March 2009, Aston_Villa vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         28   65  +33      86.52     3.94    44.58    79.82    94.53    99.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   61  +33      80.02     3.70    42.85    10.27    53.77    98.89    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   61  +28      80.13     3.78    38.72     9.90    51.48    98.33    99.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   52  +19      66.43     3.89    22.42     0.00     0.15     1.73    50.58    99.29     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   52  +12      66.12     3.96    14.84     0.00     0.07     1.07    41.20    98.40     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   48  +10      61.16     4.07    11.32     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.33    86.14     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        28   39   +0      52.75     4.24     0.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     8.35     0.00R    0.00  
Wigan           29   38   +1      51.51     4.06     2.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     4.93     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham          29   37   +2      47.87     3.85     0.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.09R    0.00  
Man_City        29   35   +8      49.17     3.94    11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.73     0.09R    0.00  
Tottenham       29   35   +1      46.24     3.88    -0.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.59R    0.00  
Bolton          29   33  -12      43.92     3.97   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     4.22R    0.14  
Hull            29   33  -16      42.49     3.86   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     9.29R    0.26  
Sunderland      29   32   -9      41.80     3.92   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     9.32R    0.38  
Blackburn       29   30  -16      39.62     3.83   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.96R    2.12  
Newcastle       29   29  -11      38.58     3.80   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.98R    2.64  
Portsmouth      28   29  -15      40.51     4.27   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    21.58R    1.89  
Stoke           29   29  -19      39.93     4.06   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.55R    2.57  
Middlesbrough   29   27  -20      34.65     3.60   -26.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.92R   16.53  
West_Brom       28   22  -29      30.64     3.98   -37.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.40R   73.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 March 2009, Bristol_City vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    39   74  +23      86.82     3.44    27.97    72.44    91.95   100.00    93.98P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       39   71  +14      82.41     3.51    16.59    15.28    52.90    99.80    64.41P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   64  +29      80.19     4.07    34.64     9.02    36.09    98.53    57.88P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   63  +18      75.49     3.75    20.30     0.53     4.89    85.25    25.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   61   +7      71.89     3.85     6.75     0.03     0.51    49.05     8.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   60  +17      77.46     4.40    22.63     2.70    13.56    90.27    35.15P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          39   60   +3      69.78     3.49     3.38     0.00     0.06    23.82     3.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     39   58   +7      68.17     3.54     7.89     0.00     0.01    16.64     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   57  +12      69.02     3.77    13.64     0.00     0.03    25.24     5.31P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   54   +8      66.37     3.78    10.17     0.00     0.00     9.25     2.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   50   +3      62.98     4.12     4.08     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.31P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR              38   50   -2      60.28     3.68    -2.79     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        39   50   -9      58.75     3.48   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.15R    0.00  
Doncaster        38   49  -12      57.31     3.56   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Coventry         37   47   -5      59.69     4.04    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.23R    0.00  
Watford          37   46   -4      58.16     4.06    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.95R    0.00  
Derby            37   46   -5      57.38     4.06    -6.74     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.10R    0.00  
Blackpool        39   46  -12      54.81     3.43   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.34R    0.01  
Plymouth         39   43  -13      51.74     3.37   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.06R    0.05  
Norwich          39   42   -8      49.98     3.46   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.04R    0.34  
Nottm_Forest     39   41  -18      48.95     3.42   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.57R    0.63  
Barnsley         36   40  -13      49.97     4.07   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.67R    0.53  
Southampton      38   39  -16      47.72     3.68   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.62R    2.56  
Charlton         38   28  -24      36.65     3.72   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.71R   95.89  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2009, Brighton vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        38   81  +39      97.33     3.63    47.12    92.28    99.49   100.00    99.68P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   72  +20      84.59     3.82    22.91     0.69    20.76    99.46    41.92P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          35   67  +32      88.59     4.46    42.69     6.98    75.15    99.84    83.91P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   64   +9      78.98     4.39    10.68     0.05     3.61    84.55    20.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            37   62  +18      75.71     4.12    19.98     0.01     0.58    66.39    18.56P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         37   59  +10      73.25     4.11    12.79     0.00     0.05    40.08     9.77P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       36   58   +9      74.59     4.30    13.68     0.00     0.29    53.20    12.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   58   +6      72.57     4.18     9.47     0.00     0.05    32.11     7.03P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        38   56  +11      68.34     3.78    13.02     0.00     0.00     7.36     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         37   55   -4      66.82     4.03    -4.66     0.00     0.00     2.81     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       37   53   +2      64.78     4.01     1.07     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   50  +17      68.55     4.68    22.38     0.00     0.02    12.50     3.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     37   50   -7      62.76     4.07    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Walsall          37   48   -6      59.85     3.98    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.10R    0.00  
Hartlepool       38   43   -9      53.25     3.85   -10.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.27R    0.00  
Carlisle         37   42  -10      53.75     4.04   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.38R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient    37   42  -12      53.20     4.05   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.22R    0.01  
Crewe            36   41  -16      51.17     4.12   -22.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.18R    0.06  
Northampton      35   38   -3      52.63     4.59    -3.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.26R    0.02  
Yeovil           36   38  -25      48.42     4.09   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.62R    0.47  
Swindon          36   35  -10      48.88     4.39   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.92R    0.32  
Brighton         35   35  -13      46.02     4.39   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.58R    1.47  
Hereford         34   30  -21      40.94     4.42   -29.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.71R   12.63  
Cheltenham       35   25  -37      34.66     4.20   -47.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   85.01  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2009, Aldershot vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            37   70  +24      85.82     3.96    29.11    75.46    98.05    99.98    98.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              36   63  +18      81.08     4.17    24.39    18.77    81.98    98.74    87.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             37   61  +19      74.76     4.07    21.32     1.59    28.98    81.64    42.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61  +14      76.53     3.90    18.98     2.33    42.97    90.76    55.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               37   61  +11      73.19     3.95    10.96     0.68    13.50    67.87    25.47P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           37   61   +5      72.23     3.98     3.40     0.37     9.41    56.79    17.46P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   58  +16      69.72     3.68    17.41     0.04     3.22    38.06    13.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             37   58  +14      71.58     4.11    15.92     0.26     8.07    55.41    19.97P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           35   54  +14      71.18     4.62    17.31     0.45    10.35    52.37    21.97P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            37   52  +16      66.45     4.01    19.64     0.00     0.59    15.96     5.11P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   51   +0      62.59     3.95    -0.91     0.00     0.01     1.98     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         34   49   +7      66.70     4.94     8.90     0.04     1.83    19.39     5.81P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   48   +3      64.93     4.61     5.95     0.00     0.36     9.62     2.50P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            35   44  -15      55.79     4.31   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County         37   40  -13      50.20     3.80   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Rotherham            32   39  +14      64.13     5.34    22.74     0.00     0.67    11.38     4.60P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         37   39  -28      47.34     3.77   -35.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Port_Vale            35   38  -16      48.36     4.22   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   36   34  -16      45.15     4.09   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.41R    0.01  
Barnet               36   33  -21      44.20     4.25   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.94R    0.04  
Bournemouth          37   31   -2      43.59     4.07    -1.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.01R    0.06  
Chester              38   28  -35      35.29     3.49   -41.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.37R    5.10  
Grimsby              37   27  -24      37.93     4.00   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.30R    2.08  
Luton                36   13   -5      26.09     4.26    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.61R   92.71  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 March 2009, Altrincham vs Weymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        36   75  +25      91.37     4.42    29.07    73.51    99.57    79.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        38   70  +22      84.47     3.70    27.25     8.34    93.59    32.87P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              36   66  +22      82.60     4.36    26.30     7.25    82.74    26.18P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               34   63  +22      83.08     4.87    27.63     9.32    81.95    27.60P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            36   63  +14      76.33     4.42    13.33     0.23    28.19     5.43P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           37   62  +14      74.31     4.05    14.04     0.05    14.19     2.92P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        34   59  +13      76.23     4.89    14.15     0.44    28.94     6.86P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         36   58  +18      72.73     4.45    19.49     0.03    10.87     2.65P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              34   55  +19      75.70     4.82    25.74     0.23    29.64     7.99P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            32   54  +11      76.19     5.18    15.61     0.59    29.98     8.20P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    37   51  +15      66.20     4.08    19.09     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            36   50   +5      65.07     4.30     6.96     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   35   49   -9      64.22     4.63    -8.97     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham           36   46  -12      58.01     4.17   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Salisbury            36   44   -9      56.01     4.32   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Weymouth             36   42  -21      53.45     4.19   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     32   38   -5      57.12     5.27    -5.12     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.48R    0.00  
York                 34   37   -3      55.91     4.94     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84R    0.00  
Woking               37   37  -12      46.40     3.78   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.70R    0.00  
Forest_Green         36   37  -13      50.22     4.22   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.02R    0.00  
Barrow               35   36  -18      47.73     4.25   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.02R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic       35   35  -16      45.58     4.21   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.31R    0.00  
Northwich            35   21  -29      32.29     4.26   -35.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R    3.69  
Lewes                37   17  -53      22.63     3.19   -63.25     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   96.31  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4