Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 4 March 2009 at 22:04:09 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 March 2009, Blackburn vs Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 27 65 +36 89.39 3.96 49.62 94.37 99.11 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 28 58 +32 79.33 3.95 43.37 3.74 66.14 97.71 99.77 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 28 58 +25 77.39 4.04 34.01 1.88 33.77 92.63 98.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 28 52 +13 68.26 4.20 17.10 0.01 0.79 7.23 65.32 99.46 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 49 +15 65.06 4.16 18.92 0.00 0.19 2.32 30.12 98.13 0.00 0.00 Everton 28 45 +8 60.13 4.32 10.20 0.00 0.00 0.11 5.65 81.24 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 28 39 +0 52.79 4.26 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 11.06 0.00R 0.00 Man_City 28 35 +9 49.69 4.08 10.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.95 0.06R 0.00 Wigan 28 35 +0 49.48 4.32 1.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.59 0.15R 0.00 Fulham 27 34 +1 47.73 4.36 -0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.68 0.48R 0.00 Bolton 28 33 -10 45.45 4.25 -12.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 2.27R 0.06 Hull 28 32 -16 43.01 4.18 -20.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 9.31R 0.29 Tottenham 27 31 +0 44.06 4.38 -2.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 4.29R 0.18 Sunderland 27 31 -8 43.44 4.47 -11.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 6.18R 0.26 Stoke 28 29 -17 40.97 4.27 -19.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 19.39R 1.62 Newcastle 28 28 -11 38.96 4.13 -15.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.50R 2.75 Portsmouth 27 28 -15 40.88 4.51 -18.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 21.06R 2.05 Blackburn 27 27 -13 38.43 4.27 -19.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.46R 4.71 Middlesbrough 28 26 -20 34.84 3.88 -26.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.47R 16.33 West_Brom 28 22 -29 30.65 3.97 -37.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.38R 71.76Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 March 2009, Birmingham vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 36 67 +21 85.81 4.24 29.37 42.03 77.05 99.92 82.96P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 36 64 +11 80.45 4.27 14.92 7.38 23.08 97.27 40.44P 0.00 0.00 Reading 34 62 +30 85.44 4.66 40.56 44.17 75.66 99.75 84.56P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 35 58 +16 76.01 4.52 20.36 1.18 5.95 83.10 26.49P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 33 56 +16 78.68 5.17 23.19 5.15 17.37 90.34 38.96P 0.00 0.00 Preston 36 56 +3 70.65 4.30 4.52 0.02 0.26 35.56 6.21P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 36 55 +0 68.60 4.36 -0.26 0.01 0.08 19.22 3.00P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 36 54 +6 68.44 4.38 7.19 0.00 0.08 21.37 4.36P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 35 53 +13 70.91 4.54 17.23 0.06 0.47 44.00 11.12P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 36 50 +7 63.53 4.26 6.54 0.00 0.00 3.37 0.77P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 35 48 +0 62.67 4.49 -0.32 0.00 0.00 2.57 0.49P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 36 48 -8 59.54 4.26 -11.30 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.04P 0.46R 0.00 Coventry 35 47 -2 62.05 4.53 -1.90 0.00 0.00 1.64 0.31P 0.08R 0.00 Doncaster 35 46 -9 57.61 4.28 -13.51 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 1.24R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 34 44 +2 59.95 4.81 1.48 0.00 0.00 1.14 0.22P 0.51R 0.00 Derby 34 42 -4 57.02 4.82 -6.36 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 3.28R 0.05 Plymouth 36 42 -11 53.45 4.10 -13.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.38R 0.11 Nottm_Forest 36 40 -12 51.35 4.25 -15.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.04R 0.62 Watford 34 39 -6 56.06 4.89 -5.29 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 5.51R 0.10 Barnsley 34 39 -12 51.66 4.55 -17.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.91R 0.69 Blackpool 36 39 -15 50.44 4.16 -18.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.97R 1.34 Southampton 35 37 -15 49.52 4.44 -19.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.37R 2.65 Norwich 36 36 -9 47.94 4.25 -11.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.40R 3.64 Charlton 35 27 -22 37.51 4.28 -30.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.82R 90.80League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 March 2009, Crewe vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 35 75 +36 97.60 4.29 48.14 87.81 99.59 100.00 99.74P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 35 63 +17 80.62 4.67 21.36 0.24 8.21 92.00 30.33P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 32 62 +28 89.38 5.23 41.21 11.83 85.31 99.78 90.14P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 35 58 +11 76.05 4.65 15.49 0.02 1.86 69.27 18.33P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 33 58 +8 76.84 5.16 9.38 0.08 3.00 70.78 17.76P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 34 55 +13 73.55 4.86 16.06 0.01 0.67 49.89 13.60P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 33 54 +9 74.35 5.09 12.97 0.01 1.20 54.48 13.39P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 35 53 +12 70.75 4.59 15.92 0.00 0.10 28.12 8.08P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 34 52 +6 69.42 4.84 7.44 0.00 0.04 18.63 4.53P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 34 49 -4 65.14 4.75 -4.69 0.00 0.00 3.58 0.71P 0.01R 0.00 Walsall 34 47 +1 65.00 4.81 3.44 0.00 0.00 4.15 0.96P 0.02R 0.00 Colchester 34 47 +1 63.50 4.84 1.00 0.00 0.00 2.37 0.55P 0.06R 0.00 Southend 34 46 -9 60.81 4.81 -11.43 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.08P 0.27R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 32 43 +9 64.75 5.46 12.74 0.00 0.02 6.23 1.74P 0.08R 0.00 Hartlepool 35 43 -5 57.77 4.73 -5.74 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 1.40R 0.00 Carlisle 34 40 -8 56.39 4.85 -8.29 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 3.57R 0.00 Northampton 32 37 -1 55.27 5.37 -2.50 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 6.40R 0.00 Yeovil 33 37 -16 51.89 4.98 -20.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 20.36R 0.10 Swindon 33 34 -8 50.90 5.09 -9.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.05R 0.17 Crewe 33 34 -18 47.16 4.81 -26.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.80R 1.33 Leyton_Orient 34 33 -16 46.25 4.65 -19.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.91R 1.38 Brighton 32 32 -15 46.55 5.03 -22.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.12R 1.19 Hereford 31 30 -16 45.35 5.34 -23.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.15R 2.34 Cheltenham 33 22 -35 32.69 4.50 -49.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.82R 93.48League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 March 2009, Barnet vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Brentford 34 65 +23 86.07 4.63 29.97 55.65 93.41 99.87 95.28P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 33 61 +19 83.80 4.81 26.35 31.41 84.00 99.20 88.73P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 34 58 +18 76.08 4.80 20.74 2.57 27.92 83.05 41.10P 0.00 0.00 Bury 34 56 +13 75.77 4.71 18.22 1.66 23.79 81.68 38.16P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 34 55 +13 72.86 4.86 15.29 0.59 9.83 61.07 21.54P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 34 55 +11 72.25 4.76 12.42 0.44 7.48 55.18 18.09P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 32 54 +18 78.03 5.24 25.48 7.50 45.33 90.14 58.39P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 34 54 +2 68.68 4.70 -0.57 0.06 1.75 25.31 5.54P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 35 53 +15 69.92 4.46 18.01 0.04 2.84 39.19 13.22P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 34 48 +17 67.79 4.83 22.62 0.01 1.29 26.09 8.41P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 31 44 +6 66.26 5.59 8.92 0.05 1.35 18.37 5.22P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 32 44 +6 65.87 5.36 10.30 0.02 0.91 16.06 4.66P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 34 44 -3 59.08 4.67 -4.95 0.00 0.01 0.60 0.13P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 32 40 -11 55.66 5.07 -17.70 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.03P 0.00R 0.00 Notts_County 34 39 -10 53.83 4.61 -12.25 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 34 36 -25 47.94 4.49 -33.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.53R 0.01 Port_Vale 32 34 -17 46.78 4.91 -27.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.08R 0.03 Rotherham 29 32 +9 60.07 6.16 16.06 0.00 0.09 3.96 1.50P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 33 30 -16 44.54 4.82 -20.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.82R 0.16 Barnet 33 30 -21 44.13 4.82 -27.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.73R 0.27 Chester 35 27 -29 38.14 4.32 -35.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.77R 3.26 Bournemouth 34 24 -6 40.27 4.79 -6.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.50R 1.68 Grimsby 34 23 -27 35.92 4.67 -32.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.79R 10.17 Luton 33 10 -5 26.91 5.04 -6.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.77R 84.43 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 March 2009, Crawley_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 33 75 +29 97.63 5.13 36.52 89.49 99.95 92.00P 0.00 0.00 Histon 32 63 +24 86.46 5.39 30.59 7.89 91.34 29.70P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 35 61 +16 80.64 4.48 22.76 0.36 66.52 17.93P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 35 60 +13 75.29 4.70 13.17 0.02 22.13 3.94P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 33 59 +18 80.62 5.15 23.66 0.99 64.12 15.94P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 35 58 +11 73.39 4.55 11.47 0.01 11.04 2.14P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 33 54 +18 73.68 5.22 20.83 0.02 18.11 4.38P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 31 53 +20 79.91 5.55 30.12 0.63 61.03 17.13P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 31 52 +10 74.29 5.65 12.42 0.07 19.96 4.35P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 29 50 +11 78.21 5.97 18.37 0.52 44.95 12.27P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 34 46 +14 66.37 4.71 19.87 0.00 0.59 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 33 44 +2 64.07 5.02 5.41 0.00 0.25 0.04P 0.00R 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 33 43 -11 59.39 5.08 -13.61 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Altrincham 33 43 -14 58.51 4.90 -17.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Weymouth 33 42 -11 58.20 5.01 -14.29 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.11R 0.00 Salisbury 33 37 -14 50.70 4.95 -20.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.33R 0.00 York 33 36 -3 56.09 5.23 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.62R 0.00 Forest_Green 33 35 -10 51.21 4.95 -12.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.64R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 30 34 -6 55.47 5.79 -6.87 0.00 0.01 0.00P 1.22R 0.00 Woking 35 33 -13 44.68 4.31 -17.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.78R 0.00 Barrow 32 33 -15 47.55 4.91 -22.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.57R 0.00 Grays_Athletic 32 31 -14 44.61 4.89 -22.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.67R 0.00 Northwich 33 21 -25 34.31 4.75 -32.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.86R 3.63 Lewes 34 17 -50 23.55 3.56 -65.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 96.37 Adjustments: Mansfield -4