Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 21 February 2009 at 22:06:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 February 2009, Arsenal vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         26   62  +35      88.66     4.15    50.06    85.94    97.46    99.82   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   54  +25      80.96     4.63    39.45    10.99    63.69    92.83    99.36   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   52  +30      78.14     4.36    44.60     2.89    34.98    86.88    98.43   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   51  +15      71.80     4.69    21.97     0.18     3.73    18.45    81.43    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   45  +13      64.75     4.63    18.33     0.00     0.13     1.61    15.05    95.63     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   40   +6      60.99     5.19    10.95     0.00     0.01     0.42     5.61    80.70     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           26   35   +2      52.16     4.79     3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    11.13     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham        26   33   -2      48.83     4.78    -2.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.35     0.30R    0.01  
Man_City        25   31   +8      48.34     4.96     6.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.98     0.54R    0.03  
Sunderland      26   31   -6      44.17     4.65   -10.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     3.41R    0.15  
Fulham          24   30   +0      48.41     5.23    -0.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.87     0.76R    0.05  
Bolton          26   30   -9      45.69     4.84   -10.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63     2.38R    0.15  
Hull            25   29  -15      44.08     4.97   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     6.43R    0.61  
Portsmouth      26   28  -14      41.23     4.73   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    14.82R    2.07  
Newcastle       25   27   -9      40.79     4.83   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    16.12R    2.16  
Tottenham       25   25   -5      40.03     4.90    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    19.20R    3.43  
Stoke           26   25  -19      37.87     4.67   -24.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.54R    8.81  
Blackburn       25   23  -14      36.41     4.80   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    48.20R   13.45  
Middlesbrough   26   23  -18      33.24     4.25   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.62R   32.47  
West_Brom       25   22  -23      33.51     4.74   -33.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.65R   36.60  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 February 2009, Barnsley vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    33   63  +21      87.49     4.92    32.07    41.15    75.92    99.76    82.18P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       33   60  +11      80.74     5.03    15.29     5.99    19.55    92.89    36.78P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          32   59  +30      87.23     5.04    43.92    43.52    76.76    99.69    85.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     34   53   +7      70.54     4.82     8.74     0.03     0.31    30.02     6.53P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          34   53   +3      70.63     4.83     4.85     0.03     0.28    29.27     5.65P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        33   52  +14      72.41     4.95    17.92     0.16     1.10    47.77    13.63P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          34   52   +1      69.27     4.87     2.16     0.01     0.11    20.57     3.60P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   51  +15      80.77     6.07    24.41     8.94    24.49    89.77    43.25P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          33   51  +13      73.22     5.00    19.81     0.15     1.29    55.35    15.11P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          34   50  +11      67.80     4.75    13.00     0.01     0.09    15.91     3.98P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              32   47   +2      66.42     5.25     2.57     0.01     0.08    10.80     2.22P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        34   45   -9      57.68     4.65   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.42R    0.00  
Coventry         33   44   -2      61.43     5.02    -2.41     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.24P    0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   43   +5      63.69     5.65     5.27     0.01     0.03     5.91     1.26P    0.03R    0.00  
Derby            32   41   -3      58.75     5.32    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.13P    0.50R    0.02  
Doncaster        33   40  -11      53.48     4.70   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.62R    0.17  
Blackpool        34   38  -14      51.91     4.62   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   10.42R    0.62  
Watford          32   36   -7      56.14     5.38    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    2.71R    0.14  
Barnsley         32   36  -11      50.43     4.98   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.76R    1.14  
Plymouth         34   36  -13      48.69     4.48   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.16R    1.66  
Nottm_Forest     34   34  -14      46.44     4.59   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.98R    5.88  
Norwich          34   33   -9      47.11     4.69   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.77R    4.36  
Southampton      33   31  -19      43.84     4.77   -27.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.97R   18.96  
Charlton         33   26  -21      38.55     4.68   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.58R   67.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 February 2009, Bristol_Rovers vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        33   73  +36      99.39     4.76    49.72    88.62    99.30   100.00    99.57P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          31   61  +28      89.76     5.46    41.34    10.73    79.30    99.63    86.03P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     32   57  +16      80.76     5.37    23.66     0.34     8.73    88.25    29.47P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           32   54  +12      77.22     5.38    18.27     0.03     2.90    71.08    20.36P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       30   53  +12      78.92     5.87    18.44     0.23     6.60    77.79    23.39P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         30   52   +6      75.54     5.93     8.34     0.05     2.30    55.65    13.55P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        32   51  +13      72.87     5.29    16.98     0.00     0.41    40.40    11.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            32   51  +12      72.25     5.40    14.96     0.00     0.39    36.06     9.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         32   49   +6      69.51     5.36     7.97     0.00     0.06    18.07     4.23P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     32   47   -4      65.37     5.24    -5.52     0.00     0.01     4.41     0.73P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall          32   43   -1      63.42     5.31     0.81     0.00     0.00     2.58     0.52P    0.16R    0.00  
Colchester       31   42   +0      62.16     5.56    -0.75     0.00     0.00     2.03     0.49P    0.53R    0.00  
Southend         31   40  -11      56.98     5.42   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    4.83R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   30   39   +7      62.75     6.00     9.46     0.00     0.01     3.60     0.96P    0.59R    0.00  
Yeovil           31   37  -12      55.07     5.52   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   10.07R    0.07  
Hartlepool       32   36   -7      53.88     5.48    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   12.44R    0.12  
Carlisle         31   36   -8      55.70     5.66    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    8.19R    0.07  
Northampton      30   33   -2      54.06     5.87    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   12.82R    0.16  
Swindon          30   33   -6      55.71     5.84    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    8.81R    0.09  
Leyton_Orient    32   33  -14      48.40     5.08   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.14R    1.11  
Brighton         30   31  -11      49.73     5.67   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.03R    0.87  
Crewe            30   28  -23      43.96     5.50   -34.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.95R    9.26  
Hereford         30   27  -17      43.39     5.52   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.36R    8.42  
Cheltenham       30   21  -32      34.53     5.26   -48.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.03R   79.82  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 February 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Brentford            32   59  +21      83.55     5.12    29.14    27.70    71.16    97.77    78.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   56  +17      84.71     5.49    27.03    35.79    76.04    98.05    82.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 32   56  +15      79.29     5.15    21.60     7.39    37.42    89.40    49.44P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   52  +18      73.58     4.94    23.79     0.71     8.35    59.83    22.98P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             31   52  +16      74.95     5.48    20.02     2.12    15.07    66.38    26.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             32   52  +14      74.81     5.30    19.88     1.54    12.75    66.04    24.79P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           29   51  +20      82.04     5.95    31.91    22.81    60.96    94.12    70.47P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               32   51   +9      69.79     5.22     8.72     0.15     2.07    27.45     7.08P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           32   50   +1      67.08     5.23    -2.34     0.04     0.74    12.97     2.65P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            31   47  +21      74.66     5.47    32.60     1.68    14.38    68.01    30.57P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         30   41   +4      64.22     5.75     6.24     0.02     0.30     7.59     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         29   40   +5      64.94     6.10     7.82     0.05     0.73    10.70     2.78P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            32   40   -4      57.16     5.13    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            30   37  -11      55.23     5.54   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County         32   36  -11      51.94     5.00   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield         31   33  -25      47.37     5.08   -36.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.13R    0.06  
Port_Vale            30   31  -17      46.06     5.41   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.39R    0.22  
Accrington_Stanley   31   29  -14      46.58     5.41   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.65R    0.14  
Rotherham            27   28   +8      57.33     6.57    13.17     0.00     0.03     1.30     0.42P    0.04R    0.00  
Barnet               31   26  -22      41.40     5.26   -31.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.56R    1.90  
Chester              33   26  -27      38.14     4.61   -35.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.02R    4.17  
Grimsby              31   23  -23      39.08     5.31   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.95R    4.24  
Bournemouth          31   18   -8      37.28     5.57   -10.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.01R    7.48  
Luton                30    5   -7      26.51     5.90    -7.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.18R   81.79  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 February 2009, Altrincham vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        32   74  +29      98.76     5.36    37.70    90.42    99.97    92.77P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               29   56  +19      85.23     6.08    28.32     5.43    86.49    25.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        32   56  +15      80.24     5.24    22.48     0.43    64.76    17.13P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           33   55  +10      73.07     5.12    10.34     0.01    14.81     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            32   53  +11      74.36     5.48    14.21     0.03    23.36     4.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              29   52  +21      83.51     6.03    34.39     2.53    82.03    24.91P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              30   52  +15      78.79     5.85    22.25     0.58    53.85    13.65P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        30   49   +8      72.70     5.94    10.44     0.04    16.39     3.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         30   47  +13      70.49     5.87    15.54     0.01    10.79     2.53P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering            27   46   +9      77.62     6.50    17.23     0.51    44.62    11.92P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    32   43  +13      67.27     5.22    20.58     0.00     2.23     0.66P    0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   31   43   -6      62.70     5.62    -7.72     0.00     0.38     0.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Altrincham           31   43  -11      60.76     5.42   -14.93     0.00     0.16     0.01P    0.07R    0.00  
Weymouth             32   42   -9      59.52     5.30   -12.38     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Mansfield            32   41   +1      61.48     5.20     2.96     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Salisbury            32   36  -14      49.65     5.06   -23.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.60R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     30   34   -6      55.37     5.79    -7.10     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.64R    0.00  
York                 31   33   -3      55.58     5.71     0.10     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.54R    0.00  
Forest_Green         30   32  -10      51.03     5.62   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.95R    0.00  
Woking               33   32  -12      45.36     4.84   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.83R    0.01  
Barrow               30   32  -13      49.23     5.47   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.34R    0.00  
Grays_Athletic       29   30  -12      46.59     5.64   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.36R    0.02  
Northwich            31   19  -25      34.27     5.20   -33.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.47R    7.33  
Lewes                32   17  -43      24.78     3.96   -61.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   92.64  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4