Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 19 February 2009 at 22:06:20 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 February 2009, Man_Utd vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 25 59 +34 88.70 4.24 51.86 86.88 97.78 99.75 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 54 +25 80.97 4.63 39.45 10.80 68.34 92.24 98.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 25 51 +16 72.97 4.91 22.75 0.47 7.96 30.78 81.29 99.81 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 25 49 +29 76.55 4.73 43.74 1.84 25.38 72.89 94.54 99.97 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 44 +13 66.26 4.88 20.10 0.01 0.51 3.87 20.78 96.27 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 40 +6 61.00 5.16 10.93 0.00 0.02 0.47 4.29 76.58 0.00 0.00 Wigan 25 34 +2 53.07 5.07 4.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 13.83 0.02R 0.00 West_Ham 25 33 -1 50.51 5.12 -1.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 6.15 0.17R 0.00 Man_City 25 31 +8 48.54 4.90 7.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.36 0.37R 0.01 Fulham 24 30 +0 48.30 5.18 -0.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.93 0.68R 0.05 Sunderland 25 30 -6 43.45 4.88 -12.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 5.33R 0.38 Hull 25 29 -15 44.19 4.95 -19.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 6.09R 0.48 Newcastle 25 27 -9 40.74 4.80 -16.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 15.56R 2.02 Bolton 25 27 -10 43.93 5.17 -11.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 5.86R 0.63 Portsmouth 25 27 -14 41.62 5.00 -19.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 14.21R 2.13 Tottenham 25 25 -5 40.11 4.89 -9.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 17.98R 2.99 Stoke 25 24 -19 38.28 4.98 -24.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 34.47R 8.37 Blackburn 24 23 -13 36.27 4.89 -23.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 49.32R 14.13 Middlesbrough 25 22 -18 33.03 4.49 -27.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.95R 34.05 West_Brom 25 22 -23 33.47 4.67 -33.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.00R 34.77Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 February 2009, Derby vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 33 63 +21 87.37 4.94 31.95 27.35 68.34 99.68 76.50P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 32 60 +12 82.50 5.25 16.88 7.36 23.94 95.53 41.41P 0.00 0.00 Reading 31 59 +32 90.11 5.21 48.45 59.43 85.39 99.88 90.85P 0.00 0.00 Preston 33 53 +5 72.74 5.05 7.91 0.06 0.58 44.96 8.67P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 29 51 +15 80.93 6.02 24.65 5.58 19.82 89.95 40.80P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 32 51 +14 72.98 5.21 18.21 0.14 1.06 51.01 14.80P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 33 51 +1 69.67 5.21 2.16 0.01 0.12 23.25 3.79P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 33 50 +5 67.40 4.97 4.46 0.01 0.04 12.60 2.55P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 32 48 +11 71.94 5.22 18.26 0.03 0.40 43.49 11.35P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 33 47 +9 65.51 4.91 10.04 0.00 0.02 7.60 1.79P 0.00 0.00 QPR 31 47 +4 68.55 5.51 5.70 0.02 0.17 19.92 4.65P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 30 43 +7 65.57 5.94 8.03 0.02 0.11 11.10 2.65P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 33 42 -11 55.62 4.84 -17.35 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.00P 2.06R 0.03 Coventry 32 41 -3 59.32 5.24 -4.05 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.12P 0.46R 0.01 Doncaster 32 40 -9 54.39 4.89 -15.10 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 3.43R 0.08 Derby 31 38 -5 56.56 5.53 -8.09 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.05P 2.20R 0.09 Blackpool 33 38 -12 53.95 4.92 -14.86 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 5.44R 0.20 Barnsley 31 35 -11 51.35 5.27 -17.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.29R 0.98 Plymouth 33 35 -13 48.43 4.69 -19.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.66R 1.76 Nottm_Forest 33 34 -12 48.40 4.89 -17.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.56R 2.18 Watford 31 33 -9 53.94 5.63 -8.76 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 7.35R 0.43 Norwich 33 32 -9 47.76 4.96 -12.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.27R 3.07 Southampton 32 28 -21 41.22 4.89 -30.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.97R 32.59 Charlton 32 25 -21 38.51 4.87 -31.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.30R 58.59League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 February 2009, Bristol_Rovers vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 32 70 +35 97.82 5.09 48.91 80.55 97.68 100.00 98.49P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 30 60 +28 90.33 5.68 41.68 17.45 76.48 99.53 83.93P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 31 54 +15 79.44 5.61 23.11 0.35 5.63 80.76 25.07P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 29 53 +14 81.17 6.14 21.85 1.18 11.40 85.11 30.01P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 31 53 +12 78.08 5.64 18.98 0.14 3.71 72.80 21.32P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 29 52 +7 78.06 6.13 10.95 0.31 4.51 69.68 18.40P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 31 48 +12 71.04 5.57 15.66 0.00 0.18 26.03 7.27P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds 31 48 +10 71.41 5.59 14.45 0.01 0.26 28.46 7.29P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 31 48 +6 69.53 5.62 7.35 0.00 0.10 17.00 3.90P 0.00R 0.00 Huddersfield 31 47 -2 67.59 5.52 -2.11 0.00 0.04 8.95 1.60P 0.01R 0.00 Colchester 30 42 +1 64.74 5.78 2.08 0.00 0.00 4.79 0.99P 0.12R 0.00 Walsall 31 40 -3 60.88 5.47 -2.65 0.00 0.00 0.87 0.15P 0.54R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 29 39 +8 64.00 6.26 10.27 0.00 0.01 5.24 1.38P 0.23R 0.00 Southend 30 37 -12 54.40 5.68 -19.22 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 9.40R 0.08 Hartlepool 31 36 -6 56.21 5.72 -7.05 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 4.70R 0.04 Carlisle 30 36 -7 57.11 5.85 -8.77 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.06P 3.81R 0.02 Yeovil 30 36 -12 54.88 5.72 -16.14 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 7.97R 0.08 Northampton 29 33 +0 56.51 6.16 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.07P 5.00R 0.05 Swindon 29 30 -8 53.25 6.12 -8.56 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 13.39R 0.37 Leyton_Orient 31 30 -15 45.78 5.26 -20.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.39R 3.31 Brighton 29 28 -12 47.10 5.85 -18.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.80R 2.52 Hereford 29 27 -16 44.53 5.76 -24.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.72R 6.17 Crewe 29 25 -25 41.45 5.69 -38.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.37R 18.60 Cheltenham 29 21 -30 35.34 5.44 -48.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.56R 68.76League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 February 2009, Bradford vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Brentford 31 56 +20 81.69 5.36 27.81 18.48 54.43 93.35 65.16P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 30 56 +17 84.77 5.53 27.10 37.27 73.72 97.62 80.29P 0.00 0.00 Bury 31 53 +13 77.98 5.40 20.06 5.34 26.57 79.96 38.01P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 32 52 +20 75.96 5.21 27.20 2.59 17.38 71.02 33.39P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 30 52 +17 76.65 5.74 21.61 4.90 22.50 71.58 32.83P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 31 52 +17 77.77 5.55 25.25 5.55 27.46 79.37 40.17P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 31 50 +9 70.60 5.46 9.33 0.35 3.15 28.26 7.83P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 28 48 +19 81.70 6.14 33.11 22.65 56.48 91.48 66.43P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 31 47 -1 66.08 5.46 -3.21 0.03 0.52 8.60 1.76P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 30 46 +21 75.29 5.76 33.07 2.80 17.22 66.52 31.09P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 29 38 +3 62.38 6.04 4.84 0.01 0.12 3.87 0.92P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 28 37 +4 63.72 6.28 7.47 0.02 0.42 6.79 1.69P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 31 37 -6 54.62 5.34 -10.31 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.01R 0.00 Aldershot 29 37 -9 57.78 5.84 -14.22 0.00 0.01 0.46 0.07P 0.00R 0.00 Notts_County 31 36 -9 52.95 5.20 -14.52 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.02R 0.00 Macclesfield 30 33 -23 48.53 5.34 -34.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.68R 0.02 Port_Vale 29 31 -16 47.52 5.74 -27.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.07R 0.06 Rotherham 27 28 +8 57.27 6.63 13.07 0.00 0.02 1.04 0.34P 0.03R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 30 28 -14 46.71 5.70 -18.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.30R 0.08 Chester 32 25 -27 38.00 4.85 -37.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.80R 2.40 Grimsby 30 23 -22 39.36 5.42 -31.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.07R 2.18 Barnet 30 23 -25 38.19 5.40 -36.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.59R 3.45 Bournemouth 30 18 -7 38.11 5.79 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.37R 3.36 Luton 29 2 -9 23.75 6.10 -11.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.06R 88.46 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 February 2009, Forest_Green vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 32 74 +29 98.34 5.31 37.04 86.69 99.98 89.83P 0.00 0.00 Histon 28 55 +19 86.84 6.27 30.25 8.92 90.31 30.02P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 31 53 +13 79.24 5.43 21.43 0.32 56.85 14.39P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 32 53 +11 74.17 5.43 13.91 0.02 21.94 4.08P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 29 52 +21 83.08 6.12 33.71 2.36 79.44 23.85P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 29 52 +16 80.31 6.16 23.57 1.31 63.06 16.69P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 32 52 +9 71.74 5.36 9.79 0.01 10.62 1.97P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 30 49 +8 72.60 5.95 10.24 0.03 15.51 3.14P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 29 47 +16 74.23 6.06 22.29 0.07 26.78 6.93P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 26 43 +8 75.69 6.76 15.85 0.27 33.91 8.79P 0.00 0.00 Weymouth 31 42 +0 63.19 5.58 0.64 0.00 0.42 0.09P 0.01R 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 30 42 -6 61.96 5.75 -9.64 0.00 0.34 0.03P 0.07R 0.00 Mansfield 31 41 +2 62.90 5.48 4.02 0.00 0.39 0.10P 0.02R 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 31 40 +4 63.00 5.48 7.68 0.00 0.36 0.07P 0.03R 0.00 Altrincham 30 40 -12 58.89 5.66 -16.39 0.00 0.08 0.01P 0.34R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 30 34 -6 55.30 5.76 -7.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.80R 0.00 York 31 33 -3 55.43 5.78 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00P 1.58R 0.00 Salisbury 31 33 -17 46.41 5.14 -28.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.44R 0.02 Forest_Green 30 32 -10 50.88 5.56 -15.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.52R 0.00 Woking 32 32 -11 46.83 5.12 -16.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.20R 0.01 Barrow 29 31 -13 49.67 5.68 -20.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.77R 0.01 Grays_Athletic 28 29 -12 47.17 5.88 -21.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.38R 0.02 Northwich 31 19 -25 34.87 5.25 -33.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.88R 7.86 Lewes 31 17 -41 25.42 4.15 -60.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.97R 92.07 Adjustments: Mansfield -4