Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 17 February 2009 at 22:06:15 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2009, Portsmouth vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 24 56 +31 87.26 4.55 48.79 80.51 95.90 99.43 99.95 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 54 +25 80.90 4.59 39.41 15.69 69.01 92.21 98.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 25 51 +16 73.03 4.96 22.90 0.88 8.90 32.30 81.90 99.76 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 25 49 +29 76.36 4.78 43.46 2.91 25.64 71.73 94.18 99.96 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 44 +13 66.10 4.90 19.89 0.02 0.53 3.86 20.35 95.73 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 40 +6 60.89 5.16 10.77 0.00 0.02 0.45 4.41 74.87 0.00 0.00 Wigan 25 34 +2 53.24 5.05 4.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 13.87 0.02R 0.00 West_Ham 25 33 -1 50.66 5.09 -1.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 6.05 0.17R 0.01 Man_City 25 31 +8 48.39 4.90 7.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.00 0.48R 0.02 Fulham 23 30 +3 49.73 5.42 2.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 5.59 0.41R 0.02 Sunderland 25 30 -6 43.62 4.90 -12.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35 4.77R 0.25 Hull 25 29 -15 44.11 4.98 -19.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26 6.22R 0.56 Newcastle 25 27 -9 40.85 4.84 -16.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 14.86R 1.73 Bolton 25 27 -10 43.86 5.15 -11.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29 6.01R 0.64 Portsmouth 25 27 -14 41.69 4.99 -19.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 13.51R 2.03 Tottenham 25 25 -5 40.06 4.93 -9.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 18.36R 3.04 Stoke 25 24 -19 38.00 4.98 -24.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 36.61R 8.84 Blackburn 24 23 -13 36.32 4.94 -23.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 48.46R 13.81 Middlesbrough 25 22 -18 32.96 4.48 -27.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.01R 33.93 West_Brom 25 22 -23 33.37 4.70 -33.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 74.12R 35.12Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 February 2009, Burnley vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 33 63 +21 87.50 4.91 32.12 27.97 69.04 99.73 77.16P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 32 60 +12 82.41 5.29 16.78 7.18 23.43 95.36 40.59P 0.00 0.00 Reading 31 59 +32 90.06 5.18 48.33 58.69 85.24 99.89 90.98P 0.00 0.00 Preston 33 53 +5 72.67 5.14 7.83 0.06 0.67 44.80 9.23P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 29 51 +15 80.89 6.08 24.62 5.87 19.60 89.66 39.90P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 32 51 +14 73.07 5.21 18.29 0.15 1.11 51.66 14.98P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 33 51 +1 69.64 5.16 2.15 0.00 0.13 22.97 4.04P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 33 50 +5 67.43 4.98 4.48 0.00 0.05 13.14 2.72P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 32 48 +11 71.83 5.23 18.11 0.05 0.46 43.00 11.25P 0.00 0.00 QPR 31 47 +4 68.59 5.51 5.71 0.02 0.16 20.32 4.60P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 32 44 +8 64.57 5.17 10.05 0.00 0.01 6.40 1.48P 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 30 43 +7 65.86 5.91 8.41 0.01 0.09 12.02 2.87P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 33 42 -11 55.69 4.87 -17.25 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 1.94R 0.03 Coventry 32 41 -3 59.30 5.27 -4.09 0.00 0.00 0.68 0.13P 0.47R 0.00 Doncaster 32 40 -9 54.48 4.91 -15.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 3.40R 0.06 Blackpool 32 38 -9 55.77 5.24 -11.08 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.03P 3.36R 0.10 Derby 30 35 -8 54.29 5.77 -12.01 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 6.37R 0.36 Barnsley 31 35 -11 51.07 5.24 -17.63 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 15.75R 0.99 Plymouth 33 35 -13 48.41 4.70 -19.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.00R 1.80 Nottm_Forest 32 34 -11 49.12 5.10 -17.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.85R 2.06 Watford 31 33 -9 54.05 5.65 -8.58 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 7.24R 0.50 Norwich 33 32 -9 47.67 4.98 -12.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.24R 3.26 Southampton 32 28 -21 41.30 4.95 -30.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.43R 32.44 Charlton 32 25 -21 38.54 4.94 -31.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.92R 58.40League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 February 2009, Bristol_Rovers vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 32 70 +35 97.79 5.09 48.86 80.31 97.55 100.00 98.44P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 30 60 +28 90.40 5.71 41.80 17.77 76.60 99.49 84.14P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 31 54 +15 79.38 5.62 23.03 0.34 5.45 80.02 24.53P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 29 53 +14 81.26 6.08 21.93 1.12 11.44 85.28 29.85P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 31 53 +12 78.25 5.63 19.20 0.13 3.95 73.40 22.02P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 29 52 +7 78.02 6.16 10.94 0.32 4.44 68.81 18.09P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 31 48 +12 71.15 5.59 15.80 0.00 0.17 26.68 7.22P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 31 48 +10 71.45 5.63 14.51 0.00 0.26 28.38 7.44P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 31 48 +6 69.58 5.64 7.51 0.00 0.10 17.16 3.92P 0.00R 0.00 Huddersfield 31 47 -2 67.52 5.52 -2.29 0.00 0.02 8.75 1.48P 0.01R 0.00 Colchester 30 42 +1 64.75 5.83 2.09 0.00 0.01 5.02 1.15P 0.11R 0.00 Walsall 31 40 -3 60.96 5.51 -2.52 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.18P 0.52R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 29 39 +8 64.04 6.26 10.38 0.00 0.01 5.40 1.38P 0.21R 0.00 Southend 30 37 -12 54.44 5.65 -19.16 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 8.96R 0.07 Hartlepool 31 36 -6 56.12 5.71 -7.22 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 4.85R 0.05 Carlisle 30 36 -7 57.04 5.89 -8.88 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.05P 4.04R 0.03 Yeovil 30 36 -12 54.78 5.78 -16.29 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 8.30R 0.08 Northampton 29 33 +0 56.57 6.13 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.06P 4.74R 0.04 Swindon 29 30 -8 53.17 6.13 -8.73 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 13.75R 0.35 Leyton_Orient 31 30 -15 45.89 5.27 -20.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.49R 3.17 Brighton 29 28 -12 46.98 5.83 -18.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.03R 2.63 Hereford 29 27 -16 44.45 5.74 -25.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.31R 6.06 Crewe 29 25 -25 41.51 5.69 -37.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.90R 18.00 Cheltenham 29 21 -30 35.21 5.42 -48.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.78R 69.52League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 February 2009, Bradford vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Brentford 31 56 +20 81.62 5.37 27.74 18.12 53.98 93.04 64.66P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 30 56 +17 84.72 5.57 27.01 36.97 73.34 97.19 80.00P 0.00 0.00 Bury 31 53 +13 78.07 5.42 20.20 5.62 27.14 80.15 38.72P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 32 52 +20 75.94 5.20 27.15 2.57 17.26 70.90 33.25P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 30 52 +17 76.63 5.78 21.58 5.30 22.30 71.12 32.32P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 31 52 +17 77.77 5.51 25.30 5.64 27.49 79.50 39.99P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 31 50 +9 70.62 5.46 9.35 0.29 3.11 28.24 7.85P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 28 48 +19 81.74 6.10 33.13 22.42 56.56 91.55 66.46P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 31 47 -1 66.07 5.45 -3.23 0.04 0.44 8.42 1.60P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 30 46 +21 75.42 5.79 33.28 2.98 17.79 67.50 32.10P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 29 38 +3 62.48 6.01 5.02 0.00 0.12 3.88 0.87P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 28 37 +4 63.79 6.33 7.61 0.04 0.43 7.02 1.78P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 31 37 -6 54.62 5.33 -10.33 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.01R 0.00 Aldershot 29 37 -9 57.72 5.89 -14.37 0.00 0.01 0.48 0.07P 0.01R 0.00 Notts_County 31 36 -9 52.85 5.23 -14.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.02R 0.00 Macclesfield 30 33 -23 48.48 5.30 -34.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.68R 0.02 Port_Vale 29 31 -16 47.55 5.72 -27.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25R 0.04 Rotherham 27 28 +8 57.21 6.61 13.02 0.00 0.03 0.96 0.34P 0.03R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 30 28 -14 46.58 5.70 -19.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.57R 0.09 Chester 32 25 -27 38.05 4.87 -36.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.45R 2.42 Grimsby 30 23 -22 39.41 5.51 -31.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.52R 2.10 Barnet 30 23 -25 38.15 5.42 -36.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.88R 3.52 Bournemouth 30 18 -7 38.18 5.79 -9.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.50R 3.48 Luton 29 2 -9 23.75 6.11 -11.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.09R 88.32 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 February 2009, Burton_Albion vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 32 74 +29 98.30 5.36 37.02 86.22 99.97 89.72P 0.00 0.00 Histon 28 55 +19 86.92 6.27 30.42 9.38 90.62 30.25P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 31 53 +13 79.28 5.46 21.48 0.36 57.18 14.81P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 32 53 +11 74.10 5.42 13.81 0.02 21.41 4.03P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 29 52 +21 83.07 6.05 33.76 2.35 79.86 23.94P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 29 52 +16 80.33 6.12 23.58 1.27 63.86 16.61P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 32 52 +9 71.74 5.37 9.78 0.01 10.69 2.13P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 30 49 +8 72.53 5.91 10.22 0.02 15.43 3.04P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 29 47 +16 74.24 6.06 22.25 0.07 26.90 6.83P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 26 43 +8 75.44 6.76 15.49 0.30 32.36 8.36P 0.00 0.00 Weymouth 31 42 +0 63.27 5.55 0.76 0.00 0.44 0.06P 0.01R 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 30 42 -6 62.09 5.84 -9.44 0.00 0.41 0.05P 0.06R 0.00 Mansfield 31 41 +2 62.99 5.47 4.18 0.00 0.42 0.09P 0.02R 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 31 40 +4 62.92 5.52 7.55 0.00 0.38 0.08P 0.03R 0.00 Altrincham 30 40 -12 58.88 5.61 -16.40 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.27R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 30 34 -6 55.26 5.82 -7.29 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.89R 0.00 York 31 33 -3 55.47 5.75 -0.04 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.56R 0.00 Salisbury 31 33 -17 46.27 5.12 -29.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.94R 0.02 Woking 32 32 -11 46.97 5.13 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.08R 0.01 Barrow 29 31 -13 49.52 5.67 -21.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.96R 0.03 Grays_Athletic 28 29 -12 47.38 5.91 -21.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.89R 0.03 Forest_Green 29 29 -13 49.07 5.86 -19.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.20R 0.03 Northwich 30 19 -22 36.45 5.61 -29.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.10R 5.45 Lewes 31 17 -41 25.42 4.12 -60.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.97R 94.44 Adjustments: Mansfield -4