Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 16 February 2009 at 22:06:12 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2009, Portsmouth vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 24 56 +31 87.40 4.53 48.99 80.59 96.02 99.49 99.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 54 +25 80.96 4.62 39.46 15.65 68.83 92.43 99.04 100.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 25 51 +16 72.92 4.92 22.74 0.80 8.26 30.97 81.74 99.76 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 25 49 +29 76.52 4.72 43.71 2.95 26.36 73.01 94.77 99.95 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 44 +13 66.02 4.89 19.79 0.01 0.50 3.65 19.95 95.53 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 40 +6 60.89 5.20 10.83 0.00 0.03 0.45 4.37 74.81 0.00 0.00 Wigan 25 34 +2 53.22 5.05 4.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 13.82 0.02R 0.00 West_Ham 25 33 -1 50.60 5.08 -1.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 6.06 0.15R 0.00 Man_City 25 31 +8 48.37 4.93 7.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.15 0.46R 0.02 Fulham 23 30 +3 49.88 5.37 2.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 5.72 0.35R 0.02 Sunderland 25 30 -6 43.54 4.91 -12.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36 5.15R 0.30 Hull 25 29 -15 44.09 4.92 -19.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23 5.96R 0.61 Newcastle 25 27 -9 40.76 4.83 -16.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 15.18R 1.97 Bolton 25 27 -10 43.89 5.15 -11.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36 5.82R 0.65 Portsmouth 25 27 -14 41.50 4.99 -19.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 14.46R 2.28 Tottenham 25 25 -5 40.06 4.87 -9.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 17.73R 3.05 Stoke 25 24 -19 38.10 4.98 -24.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 35.73R 8.77 Blackburn 24 23 -13 36.14 4.88 -24.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 50.18R 14.44 Middlesbrough 25 22 -18 33.09 4.47 -27.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.04R 32.95 West_Brom 25 22 -23 33.45 4.68 -33.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.78R 34.95Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2009, Birmingham vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 33 63 +21 87.54 4.91 32.18 27.92 68.30 99.67 76.14P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 32 60 +12 82.55 5.26 16.95 7.15 23.59 94.65 40.63P 0.00 0.00 Reading 31 59 +32 90.09 5.19 48.35 58.78 84.62 99.83 90.58P 0.00 0.00 Preston 33 53 +5 72.53 5.10 7.65 0.05 0.53 39.51 7.63P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 29 51 +15 81.02 6.05 24.86 5.74 19.77 88.63 40.11P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 32 51 +14 72.96 5.21 18.15 0.12 0.99 47.11 13.44P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 32 50 +6 69.03 5.27 5.83 0.02 0.16 18.97 3.89P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 32 50 +1 70.47 5.39 2.85 0.01 0.26 25.73 4.52P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 31 48 +13 73.98 5.52 21.30 0.19 1.59 55.80 16.19P 0.00 0.00 QPR 31 47 +4 68.48 5.46 5.59 0.01 0.11 17.40 3.87P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 32 44 +8 64.62 5.19 10.15 0.00 0.01 5.43 1.34P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 32 42 -10 57.69 5.18 -15.38 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.03P 0.82R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 29 40 +5 63.74 6.12 5.72 0.00 0.05 6.17 1.49P 0.10R 0.00 Coventry 31 40 -3 59.28 5.53 -4.66 0.00 0.00 0.66 0.11P 0.55R 0.01 Blackpool 32 38 -9 55.63 5.22 -11.26 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00P 2.99R 0.12 Doncaster 31 37 -10 52.47 5.09 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 7.64R 0.29 Derby 30 35 -8 54.32 5.75 -11.98 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 5.77R 0.30 Plymouth 32 35 -11 50.06 4.99 -16.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.19R 0.89 Nottm_Forest 32 34 -11 49.28 5.13 -17.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.01R 1.75 Norwich 33 32 -9 47.67 4.99 -12.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.37R 3.29 Barnsley 30 32 -12 48.88 5.49 -19.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.80R 3.03 Watford 30 30 -11 51.66 5.90 -11.88 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 14.14R 1.47 Southampton 32 28 -21 41.28 4.92 -30.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.96R 32.04 Charlton 32 25 -21 38.62 4.93 -31.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.66R 56.80League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2009, Brighton vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 31 69 +35 99.31 5.29 50.71 85.27 98.15 100.00 98.87P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 30 60 +28 90.12 5.72 41.40 13.03 73.18 99.26 81.59P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 30 53 +15 79.74 5.82 23.08 0.34 6.16 78.28 24.43P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 29 53 +14 81.11 6.10 21.79 0.78 10.66 82.67 28.47P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 31 53 +12 78.10 5.64 19.04 0.06 3.67 68.94 20.16P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 28 51 +7 79.26 6.47 12.26 0.50 6.78 71.93 20.98P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 30 48 +12 73.95 5.85 18.30 0.01 0.97 42.22 11.64P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 30 47 +6 70.06 5.92 7.69 0.00 0.19 18.09 4.25P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 31 47 -2 67.69 5.56 -1.95 0.00 0.04 7.83 1.56P 0.01R 0.00 Stockport 30 45 +11 70.67 5.80 16.94 0.01 0.19 22.29 6.09P 0.00R 0.00 Colchester 30 42 +1 64.59 5.81 1.88 0.00 0.01 3.99 0.87P 0.08R 0.00 Walsall 31 40 -3 61.01 5.52 -2.39 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.15P 0.37R 0.00 Southend 29 37 -11 56.87 5.96 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 4.04R 0.03 Bristol_Rovers 28 36 +5 62.14 6.50 6.86 0.00 0.00 2.92 0.73P 0.57R 0.00 Carlisle 30 36 -7 57.05 5.85 -8.87 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 3.26R 0.02 Yeovil 29 36 -9 56.70 6.00 -12.56 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 3.97R 0.03 Hartlepool 30 35 -6 55.35 5.88 -9.04 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 5.52R 0.04 Northampton 29 33 +0 56.64 6.15 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.07P 4.04R 0.02 Leyton_Orient 31 30 -15 45.80 5.29 -20.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 54.78R 2.17 Swindon 28 29 -8 52.92 6.34 -9.69 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 13.80R 0.34 Brighton 29 28 -12 47.11 5.85 -18.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 43.87R 1.79 Hereford 28 24 -18 41.70 5.94 -28.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.84R 11.91 Crewe 28 22 -26 39.03 5.88 -40.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.90R 26.70 Cheltenham 28 21 -29 35.49 5.60 -50.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.95R 56.94League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2009, Bournemouth vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Brentford 31 56 +20 81.51 5.37 27.51 18.34 51.71 92.05 62.87P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 29 53 +16 82.51 5.78 25.23 23.66 57.81 92.78 67.20P 0.00 0.00 Bury 31 53 +13 78.19 5.43 20.43 6.19 27.17 79.08 38.61P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 29 51 +17 78.03 6.02 23.14 8.77 29.78 76.26 39.61P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 30 51 +17 78.33 5.81 25.62 8.35 31.19 79.67 42.42P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 31 50 +9 70.64 5.48 9.35 0.35 3.09 26.97 7.51P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 31 49 +19 75.43 5.38 28.01 2.44 15.35 65.24 30.60P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 27 47 +19 81.71 6.44 32.68 24.73 54.74 89.64 64.26P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 29 46 +22 77.27 5.97 35.11 7.05 27.65 75.54 41.48P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 30 46 -1 67.15 5.72 -1.95 0.08 0.96 11.55 2.60P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 29 38 +3 62.36 6.10 4.78 0.01 0.13 3.48 0.84P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 28 37 +4 63.75 6.32 7.50 0.04 0.40 6.24 1.58P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 30 36 -6 53.97 5.50 -12.10 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 0.02R 0.00 Aldershot 28 36 -9 57.27 6.07 -15.72 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.08P 0.00R 0.00 Notts_County 30 35 -9 53.14 5.48 -14.96 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.05R 0.00 Macclesfield 29 32 -23 48.92 5.64 -35.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.79R 0.02 Port_Vale 29 31 -16 47.54 5.74 -27.26 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.31R 0.04 Rotherham 27 28 +8 57.43 6.61 13.32 0.00 0.02 0.94 0.32P 0.04R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 30 28 -14 46.63 5.70 -18.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.61R 0.07 Chester 31 25 -26 38.55 5.03 -37.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.81R 2.46 Grimsby 30 23 -22 39.42 5.44 -31.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.84R 2.17 Barnet 30 23 -25 38.25 5.39 -36.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.14R 3.60 Bournemouth 30 18 -7 38.21 5.81 -9.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.57R 3.59 Luton 29 2 -9 23.93 6.13 -11.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.83R 88.05 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 February 2009, Kidderminster vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 31 71 +28 96.82 5.60 36.26 78.79 99.83 83.98P 0.00 0.00 Histon 28 55 +19 86.94 6.35 30.39 11.84 90.32 32.08P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 32 53 +11 73.99 5.42 13.66 0.03 21.12 3.84P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 28 52 +22 84.25 6.34 34.46 6.48 83.52 28.22P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 29 52 +16 80.50 6.15 23.83 1.70 64.27 17.45P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 32 52 +9 71.77 5.35 9.81 0.01 10.70 1.94P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 30 50 +11 76.82 5.71 18.26 0.24 38.87 9.63P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 29 49 +10 74.80 6.13 13.57 0.18 26.72 5.80P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 29 47 +16 74.30 6.08 22.43 0.17 27.14 7.16P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 25 42 +8 75.93 7.00 15.68 0.56 35.59 9.53P 0.00 0.00 Weymouth 31 42 +0 63.26 5.60 0.75 0.00 0.45 0.08P 0.01R 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 30 42 -6 62.13 5.78 -9.37 0.00 0.40 0.07P 0.06R 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 31 40 +4 63.03 5.49 7.71 0.00 0.38 0.09P 0.02R 0.00 Mansfield 30 40 +2 63.29 5.73 4.11 0.00 0.63 0.11P 0.03R 0.00 Altrincham 30 40 -12 58.82 5.64 -16.51 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.23R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 30 34 -6 55.06 5.77 -7.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.77R 0.00 York 31 33 -3 55.45 5.71 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.36R 0.00 Woking 31 32 -10 48.38 5.38 -15.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.92R 0.01 Barrow 29 31 -13 49.38 5.67 -21.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.28R 0.02 Salisbury 30 30 -18 44.63 5.31 -30.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.74R 0.11 Grays_Athletic 28 29 -12 47.36 5.96 -21.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.78R 0.03 Forest_Green 29 29 -13 49.02 5.78 -19.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.66R 0.03 Northwich 30 19 -22 36.53 5.63 -29.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.17R 5.50 Lewes 31 17 -41 25.43 4.10 -60.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.97R 94.31 Adjustments: Mansfield -4