Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 14 February 2009 at 22:13:33 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2009, Portsmouth vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Man_Utd 24 56 +31 87.28 4.56 48.86 80.15 95.54 99.37 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 25 54 +25 80.91 4.65 39.47 15.96 68.32 91.91 98.93 100.00 0.00 0.00
Aston_Villa 25 51 +16 72.92 4.94 22.69 0.77 8.33 31.20 81.49 99.78 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 25 49 +29 76.58 4.67 43.74 3.09 27.27 73.47 95.06 99.98 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 25 44 +13 66.04 4.88 19.76 0.02 0.51 3.57 19.81 95.70 0.00 0.00
Everton 25 40 +6 60.91 5.15 10.83 0.00 0.03 0.48 4.52 75.01 0.00 0.00
Wigan 25 34 +2 53.14 5.07 4.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 13.51 0.02R 0.00
West_Ham 25 33 -1 50.62 5.10 -1.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 6.11 0.18R 0.00
Man_City 25 31 +8 48.43 4.93 7.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.33 0.44R 0.01
Fulham 23 30 +3 49.79 5.34 2.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 5.50 0.39R 0.02
Sunderland 25 30 -6 43.58 4.81 -12.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 4.81R 0.29
Hull 25 29 -15 44.13 4.98 -19.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 6.18R 0.50
Newcastle 25 27 -9 40.81 4.82 -16.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 14.92R 1.93
Bolton 25 27 -10 43.87 5.15 -11.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 5.86R 0.64
Portsmouth 25 27 -14 41.57 4.99 -19.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 14.35R 2.18
Tottenham 25 25 -5 40.01 4.92 -9.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 18.64R 3.18
Stoke 25 24 -19 37.96 4.97 -24.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 36.83R 9.27
Blackburn 24 23 -13 36.31 4.89 -23.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.49R 13.64
Middlesbrough 25 22 -18 33.08 4.49 -27.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.38R 33.45
West_Brom 25 22 -23 33.49 4.71 -33.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.51R 34.90
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2009, Birmingham vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Wolverhampton 33 63 +21 87.50 4.96 32.11 27.58 67.72 99.65 76.10P 0.00 0.00
Birmingham 32 60 +12 82.67 5.22 17.12 7.31 23.73 94.97 40.95P 0.00 0.00
Reading 31 59 +32 90.21 5.16 48.63 58.89 85.26 99.90 90.81P 0.00 0.00
Preston 33 53 +5 72.59 5.09 7.70 0.03 0.53 39.81 8.02P 0.00 0.00
Cardiff 29 51 +15 80.90 6.10 24.70 5.82 19.54 88.16 39.27P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 32 51 +14 72.84 5.20 17.97 0.13 0.95 46.02 12.99P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_City 32 50 +6 68.93 5.26 5.67 0.01 0.13 18.34 3.83P 0.00 0.00
Burnley 32 50 +1 70.45 5.35 2.84 0.02 0.25 25.29 4.32P 0.00 0.00
Swansea 31 48 +13 74.14 5.47 21.53 0.20 1.69 57.12 16.64P 0.00 0.00
QPR 31 47 +4 68.62 5.49 5.80 0.01 0.15 18.04 4.08P 0.00R 0.00
Ipswich 32 44 +8 64.65 5.18 10.22 0.00 0.01 5.48 1.35P 0.01R 0.00
Sheff_Wed 32 42 -10 57.76 5.13 -15.26 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.02P 0.71R 0.01
Crystal_Palace 29 40 +5 63.70 6.13 5.68 0.00 0.04 6.16 1.47P 0.06R 0.00
Coventry 31 40 -3 59.19 5.47 -4.78 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.12P 0.51R 0.01
Blackpool 32 38 -9 55.62 5.23 -11.29 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.00P 2.77R 0.11
Doncaster 31 37 -10 52.43 5.17 -16.61 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 8.29R 0.30
Derby 30 35 -8 54.46 5.72 -11.77 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 5.30R 0.35
Plymouth 32 35 -11 50.09 4.98 -16.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.87R 0.83
Nottm_Forest 32 34 -11 49.24 5.12 -17.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.02R 1.91
Norwich 33 32 -9 47.52 4.99 -12.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.21R 3.26
Barnsley 30 32 -12 48.84 5.49 -19.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.69R 3.04
Watford 30 30 -11 51.58 5.89 -12.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 14.46R 1.49
Southampton 32 28 -21 41.30 4.95 -30.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.40R 31.87
Charlton 32 25 -21 38.63 4.88 -31.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.70R 56.83
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2009, Brighton vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Leicester 31 69 +35 99.27 5.27 50.65 84.80 98.19 100.00 98.88P 0.00 0.00
MK_Dons 30 60 +28 90.26 5.73 41.61 13.55 73.76 99.32 81.94P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 30 53 +15 79.95 5.86 23.39 0.37 6.57 78.90 25.10P 0.00 0.00
Scunthorpe 29 53 +14 80.98 6.10 21.54 0.71 9.97 82.05 27.50P 0.00 0.00
Oldham 31 53 +12 77.94 5.64 18.82 0.06 3.37 68.33 19.41P 0.00 0.00
Millwall 28 51 +7 79.42 6.44 12.54 0.50 6.79 73.10 21.52P 0.00 0.00
Leeds 30 48 +12 74.06 5.83 18.48 0.02 0.96 42.60 12.17P 0.00 0.00
Tranmere 30 47 +6 69.98 5.92 7.57 0.00 0.18 17.83 4.21P 0.00 0.00
Huddersfield 31 47 -2 67.74 5.58 -1.90 0.00 0.03 7.90 1.37P 0.00R 0.00
Stockport 30 45 +11 70.64 5.72 16.86 0.00 0.16 21.54 6.08P 0.00R 0.00
Colchester 30 42 +1 64.73 5.79 2.11 0.00 0.00 4.05 0.83P 0.11R 0.00
Walsall 31 40 -3 60.93 5.55 -2.54 0.00 0.00 0.76 0.13P 0.40R 0.00
Southend 29 37 -11 56.86 5.97 -16.58 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 4.07R 0.01
Bristol_Rovers 28 36 +5 62.02 6.50 6.62 0.00 0.01 2.69 0.66P 0.62R 0.00
Carlisle 30 36 -7 57.05 5.91 -8.84 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 3.22R 0.01
Yeovil 29 36 -9 56.58 6.05 -12.75 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 4.23R 0.03
Hartlepool 30 35 -6 55.53 5.93 -8.76 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 5.50R 0.05
Northampton 29 33 +0 56.52 6.17 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.06P 4.01R 0.03
Leyton_Orient 31 30 -15 45.84 5.25 -20.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.46R 2.10
Swindon 28 29 -8 52.80 6.31 -9.92 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 14.08R 0.35
Brighton 29 28 -12 47.14 5.83 -18.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.27R 1.80
Hereford 28 24 -18 41.66 5.89 -28.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.43R 11.97
Crewe 28 22 -26 38.99 5.92 -40.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.72R 27.16
Cheltenham 28 21 -29 35.52 5.59 -50.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.88R 56.48
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2009, Bournemouth vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Brentford 31 56 +20 81.56 5.36 27.59 18.44 52.08 92.00 62.91P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 29 53 +16 82.40 5.84 25.08 23.36 56.64 92.22 66.36P 0.00 0.00
Bury 31 53 +13 78.16 5.41 20.37 5.89 26.89 78.75 38.21P 0.00 0.00
Rochdale 29 51 +17 78.01 5.98 23.14 8.77 29.55 76.25 39.37P 0.00 0.00
Bradford 30 51 +17 78.32 5.78 25.62 8.31 31.08 79.47 42.63P 0.00 0.00
Exeter 31 50 +9 70.78 5.48 9.55 0.38 3.10 27.69 7.68P 0.00 0.00
Shrewsbury 31 49 +19 75.58 5.34 28.22 2.46 15.95 65.99 31.39P 0.00 0.00
Darlington 27 47 +19 81.82 6.45 32.92 25.49 55.36 89.59 64.51P 0.00 0.00
Dag_&_Red 29 46 +22 77.27 5.96 35.14 6.76 27.81 75.27 41.48P 0.00 0.00
Gillingham 30 46 -1 67.10 5.76 -2.03 0.10 0.97 11.38 2.61P 0.00 0.00
Lincoln_City 29 38 +3 62.40 6.05 4.81 0.00 0.12 3.51 0.86P 0.00 0.00
Chesterfield 28 37 +4 63.80 6.30 7.58 0.03 0.42 6.32 1.60P 0.00 0.00
Morecambe 30 36 -6 54.03 5.52 -12.03 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.02R 0.00
Aldershot 28 36 -9 57.30 6.06 -15.60 0.00 0.01 0.49 0.09P 0.01R 0.00
Notts_County 30 35 -9 53.27 5.50 -14.73 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.04R 0.00
Macclesfield 29 32 -23 48.97 5.63 -35.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.85R 0.02
Port_Vale 29 31 -16 47.44 5.71 -27.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.27R 0.04
Rotherham 27 28 +8 57.48 6.62 13.36 0.00 0.02 1.00 0.29P 0.02R 0.00
Accrington_Stanley 30 28 -14 46.51 5.68 -19.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.61R 0.08
Chester 31 25 -26 38.53 5.03 -37.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.54R 2.23
Grimsby 30 23 -22 39.32 5.41 -31.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.21R 2.24
Barnet 30 23 -25 38.28 5.37 -36.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.27R 3.39
Bournemouth 30 18 -7 38.03 5.73 -10.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.11R 3.55
Luton 29 2 -9 23.81 6.11 -11.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.05R 88.44
Adjustments:
Rotherham -17
Bournemouth -17
Luton -30
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2009, Oxford_Utd vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Burton_Albion 31 71 +28 96.75 5.62 36.18 78.69 99.81 83.75P 0.00 0.00
Histon 28 55 +19 86.72 6.26 30.02 11.18 88.85 30.81P 0.00 0.00
Stevenage 32 53 +11 73.90 5.42 13.52 0.04 18.66 3.50P 0.00 0.00
Wrexham 28 52 +22 84.19 6.33 34.40 6.36 81.61 27.02P 0.00 0.00
Torquay 29 52 +16 80.66 6.16 24.09 2.03 62.76 17.61P 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 32 52 +9 71.65 5.38 9.65 0.02 9.04 1.67P 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 30 50 +11 76.95 5.75 18.44 0.25 36.67 9.43P 0.00 0.00
Kidderminster 28 49 +11 78.09 6.38 17.59 0.78 44.70 11.19P 0.00 0.00
Crawley_Town 29 47 +16 74.20 6.03 22.24 0.13 23.88 6.14P 0.00 0.00
Kettering 25 42 +8 75.81 6.95 15.58 0.51 32.47 8.59P 0.00 0.00
Weymouth 31 42 +0 63.43 5.59 1.02 0.00 0.37 0.06P 0.01R 0.00
Eastbourne_Borough 30 42 -6 62.10 5.80 -9.41 0.00 0.27 0.04P 0.06R 0.00
Rushden_&_D'monds 31 40 +4 63.08 5.50 7.79 0.00 0.33 0.07P 0.02R 0.00
Mansfield 30 40 +2 63.30 5.68 4.12 0.00 0.51 0.10P 0.04R 0.00
Altrincham 30 40 -12 58.68 5.63 -16.65 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.23R 0.00
Ebbsfleet_United 30 34 -6 55.26 5.80 -7.30 0.00 0.01 0.01P 1.53R 0.00
York 31 33 -3 55.41 5.69 -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00P 1.26R 0.00
Woking 31 32 -10 48.48 5.38 -15.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.39R 0.00
Barrow 29 31 -13 49.52 5.69 -21.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.51R 0.02
Salisbury 30 30 -18 44.53 5.35 -30.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.68R 0.07
Grays_Athletic 28 29 -12 47.31 6.00 -21.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.44R 0.04
Forest_Green 29 29 -13 48.95 5.78 -19.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.81R 0.02
Lewes 31 17 -41 25.41 4.11 -60.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.94R 87.54
Northwich 29 16 -23 33.33 5.73 -33.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.08R 12.30
Adjustments:
Mansfield -4