Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 11 February 2009 at 22:06:01 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 February 2009, Tottenham vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 24 56 +31 87.28 4.58 48.87 80.40 95.76 99.36 99.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 54 +25 80.84 4.63 39.27 15.75 68.21 92.21 99.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 25 51 +16 72.74 4.98 22.40 0.83 8.21 30.05 80.43 99.66 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 25 49 +29 76.53 4.70 43.73 3.00 27.19 73.85 94.77 99.97 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 44 +13 66.10 4.90 19.90 0.02 0.61 4.11 20.82 95.12 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 40 +6 60.97 5.15 10.92 0.00 0.02 0.42 4.70 73.21 0.00 0.00 Wigan 25 34 +2 53.18 5.06 4.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 12.81 0.02R 0.00 West_Ham 25 33 -1 50.50 5.12 -1.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 5.46 0.16R 0.01 Man_City 24 31 +10 50.92 5.22 11.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 7.77 0.16R 0.00 Fulham 23 30 +3 49.63 5.42 2.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 5.13 0.41R 0.02 Sunderland 25 30 -6 43.58 4.86 -12.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 4.39R 0.33 Hull 25 29 -15 44.17 4.98 -19.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 5.46R 0.50 Newcastle 25 27 -9 40.85 4.81 -16.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 13.70R 1.83 Bolton 25 27 -10 43.74 5.16 -11.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 5.83R 0.69 Tottenham 25 25 -5 40.08 4.90 -9.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 16.60R 2.77 Portsmouth 24 24 -16 38.94 5.23 -23.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 28.91R 6.89 Stoke 25 24 -19 38.14 5.00 -24.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 33.65R 8.30 Blackburn 24 23 -13 36.17 4.87 -23.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.50R 13.98 Middlesbrough 25 22 -18 33.26 4.55 -26.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.87R 30.96 West_Brom 25 22 -23 33.54 4.74 -33.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.36R 33.72Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 February 2009, Birmingham vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 32 63 +22 89.20 5.24 33.74 37.80 77.02 99.82 82.56P 0.00 0.00 Reading 31 59 +32 90.13 5.16 48.47 52.21 84.79 99.90 90.61P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 31 57 +10 81.36 5.50 15.59 4.54 16.50 92.10 34.08P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 29 51 +15 81.18 6.01 25.07 5.12 18.52 90.61 39.54P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 32 51 +14 72.94 5.21 18.09 0.10 0.84 49.83 14.16P 0.00 0.00 Preston 32 50 +4 71.59 5.37 7.73 0.05 0.41 36.54 7.15P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 31 48 +13 74.13 5.47 21.49 0.16 1.45 60.25 17.04P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 31 47 +4 67.80 5.48 4.43 0.01 0.11 15.89 3.15P 0.00R 0.00 QPR 31 47 +4 68.54 5.49 5.65 0.01 0.14 19.35 4.40P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 31 47 +0 68.26 5.70 0.87 0.01 0.13 17.50 3.02P 0.00R 0.00 Ipswich 31 43 +8 65.69 5.46 11.21 0.01 0.04 9.81 2.45P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 31 42 -9 59.30 5.41 -14.01 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.12P 0.64R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 40 +5 63.59 6.11 5.55 0.00 0.04 6.52 1.48P 0.11R 0.00 Coventry 31 40 -3 59.44 5.49 -4.48 0.00 0.00 0.86 0.18P 0.57R 0.00 Blackpool 31 37 -9 55.24 5.48 -12.41 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.03P 4.21R 0.14 Derby 30 35 -8 54.33 5.71 -11.94 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 6.23R 0.28 Plymouth 31 35 -9 52.07 5.33 -13.75 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 10.79R 0.43 Nottm_Forest 31 34 -9 50.29 5.33 -15.84 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 18.26R 0.92 Doncaster 30 34 -11 50.51 5.36 -18.06 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 17.37R 1.00 Norwich 32 32 -8 48.50 5.23 -12.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.20R 1.94 Barnsley 30 32 -12 48.80 5.47 -19.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.49R 2.45 Watford 30 30 -11 51.57 5.89 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 15.29R 1.16 Southampton 31 28 -19 42.19 5.13 -29.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.95R 20.72 Charlton 31 22 -23 36.59 5.15 -33.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.86R 70.95League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 February 2009, Brighton vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 30 68 +35 101.03 5.44 53.12 88.74 97.86 99.99 98.64P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 29 57 +26 89.55 5.89 41.28 8.27 60.05 98.51 72.36P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 29 53 +17 82.94 6.04 28.07 0.96 13.72 87.06 33.29P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 28 53 +16 83.82 6.30 26.15 1.54 18.29 88.50 35.58P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 30 50 +11 76.63 5.85 18.25 0.03 1.80 53.71 14.32P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 27 50 +7 79.22 6.64 11.71 0.41 5.82 66.52 18.23P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 29 48 +13 75.77 6.09 20.07 0.05 1.76 48.98 13.96P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 29 47 +7 71.89 6.17 9.32 0.00 0.41 23.24 5.42P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 29 44 +11 71.22 6.01 17.14 0.00 0.25 21.57 5.78P 0.00R 0.00 Huddersfield 30 44 -3 65.69 5.83 -3.63 0.00 0.02 3.94 0.66P 0.02R 0.00 Colchester 29 42 +3 66.53 6.04 4.78 0.00 0.02 6.19 1.38P 0.04R 0.00 Walsall 30 37 -5 59.04 5.77 -5.05 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.04P 1.15R 0.00 Hartlepool 29 35 -4 56.27 6.09 -8.10 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 4.13R 0.04 Southend 28 34 -12 54.51 6.17 -18.75 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 7.99R 0.12 Bristol_Rovers 27 33 +3 58.83 6.71 1.80 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.19P 2.22R 0.02 Northampton 28 33 +1 57.61 6.36 0.73 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.11P 2.70R 0.02 Carlisle 29 33 -9 54.90 6.08 -11.80 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 6.92R 0.12 Yeovil 28 33 -11 52.74 6.09 -17.98 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 12.75R 0.23 Swindon 27 28 -8 51.88 6.46 -12.58 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 16.67R 0.67 Brighton 28 28 -10 49.72 6.20 -14.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.10R 1.01 Leyton_Orient 30 27 -16 44.41 5.57 -21.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.79R 5.67 Crewe 27 22 -25 40.82 6.15 -39.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.29R 20.74 Hereford 27 21 -19 39.23 6.13 -31.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.56R 27.71 Cheltenham 27 21 -28 37.48 5.86 -47.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.69R 43.66League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 February 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Brentford 30 53 +18 80.64 5.62 26.64 14.98 49.04 90.45 60.34P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 28 53 +17 84.04 6.10 26.51 34.34 69.30 95.53 76.22P 0.00 0.00 Bury 30 50 +12 76.93 5.74 19.94 4.46 23.78 74.94 35.47P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 28 48 +16 76.92 6.29 23.02 7.22 27.32 73.17 37.03P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 29 48 +16 76.34 6.04 24.09 5.15 23.52 71.91 34.90P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 27 47 +19 81.81 6.46 32.85 25.02 58.35 91.02 67.36P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 30 47 +8 69.83 5.75 9.68 0.34 3.17 27.51 7.99P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 30 46 +18 74.46 5.63 27.93 1.96 14.31 62.81 29.47P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 29 46 +1 68.53 6.01 0.10 0.25 2.34 20.56 5.21P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 28 43 +21 76.68 6.13 35.99 6.18 27.73 75.25 41.70P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 29 38 +3 62.44 6.09 4.90 0.01 0.19 4.44 1.15P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 27 37 +5 64.56 6.60 7.56 0.10 0.91 10.46 2.73P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 27 36 -8 58.11 6.33 -15.50 0.00 0.04 1.14 0.19P 0.01R 0.00 Morecambe 29 33 -8 52.56 5.78 -13.72 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.12R 0.00 Notts_County 29 32 -11 51.90 5.73 -16.38 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.21R 0.01 Macclesfield 28 32 -22 49.99 5.87 -34.88 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.69R 0.02 Port_Vale 28 31 -14 48.19 5.93 -26.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.40R 0.06 Accrington_Stanley 29 28 -13 47.83 5.95 -18.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.57R 0.10 Rotherham 26 25 +6 55.27 6.93 10.48 0.00 0.01 0.72 0.22P 0.16R 0.01 Chester 30 25 -24 39.64 5.29 -35.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.34R 1.85 Grimsby 29 23 -21 40.32 5.68 -31.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.64R 2.10 Barnet 29 23 -23 39.68 5.72 -34.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.66R 2.76 Bournemouth 29 15 -8 36.64 6.04 -10.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.63R 6.70 Luton 28 2 -8 24.25 6.26 -12.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.57R 86.39 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 February 2009, Torquay vs Weymouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 31 71 +28 96.81 5.61 36.26 83.29 99.87 87.42P 0.00 0.00 Histon 27 52 +15 84.24 6.62 24.53 7.13 81.85 24.39P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 30 50 +11 76.85 5.73 18.35 0.28 42.48 10.72P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 31 50 +8 71.49 5.64 9.22 0.02 13.36 2.47P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 27 49 +21 83.58 6.54 34.87 6.15 82.18 28.70P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 28 49 +14 79.05 6.43 22.00 1.58 57.96 15.94P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 28 49 +11 78.13 6.36 17.63 0.89 50.60 12.23P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 31 49 +6 70.32 5.63 7.14 0.01 8.76 1.73P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 29 47 +16 74.08 6.10 22.04 0.18 28.66 7.55P 0.00 0.00 Weymouth 30 42 +3 65.92 5.84 5.77 0.01 2.28 0.46P 0.01R 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 30 42 -6 61.95 5.80 -9.64 0.00 0.47 0.07P 0.11R 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 31 40 +4 62.90 5.52 7.56 0.00 0.54 0.14P 0.03R 0.00 Mansfield 30 40 +2 63.63 5.75 4.65 0.00 1.00 0.21P 0.04R 0.00 Altrincham 29 40 -10 59.84 5.78 -14.88 0.00 0.20 0.03P 0.29R 0.00 Kettering 24 39 +7 74.13 7.27 14.51 0.46 29.77 7.95P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 30 34 -6 55.11 5.79 -7.44 0.00 0.02 0.00P 2.09R 0.00 York 31 33 -3 55.35 5.72 -0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00P 1.95R 0.00 Woking 30 32 -9 49.62 5.63 -14.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.14R 0.01 Barrow 28 31 -10 51.28 6.03 -17.57 0.00 0.01 0.00P 9.72R 0.01 Salisbury 29 30 -14 46.36 5.69 -25.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.88R 0.03 Grays_Athletic 27 29 -11 47.52 6.06 -21.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.07R 0.03 Forest_Green 29 29 -13 49.16 5.77 -18.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.34R 0.02 Lewes 31 17 -41 25.37 4.12 -60.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 87.60 Northwich 29 16 -23 33.34 5.72 -33.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.35R 12.29 Adjustments: Mansfield -4