Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 7 February 2009 at 22:06:18 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 February 2009, Blackburn vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 25 54 +25 80.85 4.66 39.29 18.57 68.51 91.49 98.67 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 23 53 +30 86.44 4.81 49.07 76.10 93.72 98.84 99.87 100.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 25 51 +16 72.90 4.96 22.71 1.12 8.59 30.65 78.09 99.65 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 25 49 +29 76.54 4.74 43.70 4.13 28.09 72.57 93.62 99.94 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 24 43 +13 66.93 5.20 20.66 0.09 1.07 5.95 25.22 95.62 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 40 +6 60.92 5.18 10.83 0.00 0.01 0.48 4.27 72.11 0.00 0.00 Wigan 25 34 +2 53.10 5.07 4.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 12.33 0.02R 0.00 West_Ham 24 33 +0 51.14 5.27 -1.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 7.01 0.12R 0.01 Man_City 24 31 +10 50.82 5.27 10.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 7.62 0.15R 0.00 Fulham 23 30 +3 49.51 5.40 2.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 4.76 0.37R 0.02 Sunderland 25 30 -6 43.69 4.89 -12.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 4.18R 0.28 Hull 25 29 -15 44.18 4.96 -19.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23 5.33R 0.44 Newcastle 25 27 -9 40.87 4.82 -16.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 13.74R 1.61 Bolton 25 27 -10 43.81 5.17 -11.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29 5.48R 0.62 Tottenham 24 24 -5 39.91 5.19 -10.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 18.94R 3.65 Portsmouth 24 24 -16 38.92 5.23 -23.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 28.84R 6.81 Stoke 25 24 -19 38.21 5.05 -24.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 33.35R 8.27 Blackburn 24 23 -13 36.32 4.88 -23.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 45.94R 13.31 Middlesbrough 25 22 -18 33.17 4.48 -27.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.44R 31.62 West_Brom 25 22 -23 33.56 4.72 -33.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.08R 33.36Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 February 2009, Birmingham vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 32 63 +22 89.18 5.20 33.66 38.36 77.68 99.79 83.14P 0.00 0.00 Reading 31 59 +32 90.05 5.16 48.30 51.73 84.75 99.90 90.56P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 31 57 +10 81.20 5.50 15.37 4.45 16.12 91.78 33.11P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 29 51 +15 81.01 6.07 24.84 5.12 18.26 89.67 39.05P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 32 51 +14 73.02 5.20 18.23 0.08 0.90 50.67 14.47P 0.00 0.00 Preston 32 50 +4 71.70 5.36 7.82 0.05 0.41 37.23 7.72P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 31 48 +13 74.11 5.49 21.51 0.17 1.46 60.07 17.27P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 31 47 +4 67.81 5.50 4.43 0.01 0.09 15.77 3.17P 0.00 0.00 QPR 31 47 +4 68.39 5.51 5.49 0.01 0.14 18.73 4.17P 0.00R 0.00 Burnley 31 47 +0 68.37 5.72 1.03 0.01 0.13 18.19 3.20P 0.00R 0.00 Ipswich 31 43 +8 65.69 5.44 11.24 0.00 0.02 9.56 2.29P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 31 42 -9 59.32 5.48 -13.99 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.10P 0.65R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 29 40 +5 63.55 6.14 5.47 0.00 0.04 6.74 1.56P 0.10R 0.00 Coventry 31 40 -3 59.36 5.52 -4.59 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.16P 0.68R 0.01 Blackpool 31 37 -9 55.23 5.44 -12.41 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 4.18R 0.10 Derby 30 35 -8 54.39 5.70 -11.85 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 6.22R 0.26 Plymouth 31 35 -9 51.99 5.32 -13.89 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 11.43R 0.49 Nottm_Forest 31 34 -9 50.22 5.33 -15.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.25R 0.98 Doncaster 30 34 -11 50.75 5.39 -17.74 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 16.65R 0.97 Norwich 32 32 -8 48.54 5.23 -12.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.93R 2.01 Barnsley 30 32 -12 48.83 5.46 -19.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.38R 2.37 Watford 30 30 -11 51.49 5.87 -12.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 15.46R 1.21 Southampton 31 28 -19 42.36 5.14 -28.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.19R 20.23 Charlton 31 22 -23 36.60 5.17 -33.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.87R 71.37League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 February 2009, Hartlepool vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 30 68 +35 101.04 5.40 53.19 89.10 98.06 100.00 98.76P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 29 57 +26 89.43 5.95 41.08 7.94 59.10 98.58 71.74P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 28 53 +16 83.96 6.37 26.41 1.64 19.31 89.78 36.68P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 28 50 +15 81.02 6.31 25.35 0.52 8.89 80.49 27.61P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 30 50 +11 76.82 5.90 18.57 0.04 2.16 57.50 15.63P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 26 50 +9 81.21 6.96 14.62 0.75 10.91 76.97 25.65P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 28 45 +11 73.78 6.37 17.42 0.02 1.03 38.52 10.21P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 29 44 +11 71.21 6.02 17.12 0.00 0.23 23.11 6.17P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 28 44 +6 69.64 6.41 7.35 0.00 0.20 16.15 3.64P 0.01R 0.00 Huddersfield 30 44 -3 65.61 5.81 -3.81 0.00 0.02 4.02 0.69P 0.02R 0.00 Colchester 28 42 +4 68.50 6.32 6.65 0.00 0.11 12.68 2.73P 0.03R 0.00 Walsall 29 36 -5 59.19 6.08 -5.51 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.10P 1.51R 0.02 Hartlepool 29 35 -4 56.31 6.11 -7.98 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.05P 4.26R 0.05 Southend 28 34 -12 54.50 6.18 -18.75 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02P 8.48R 0.14 Bristol_Rovers 27 33 +3 58.77 6.70 1.69 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.18P 2.31R 0.02 Northampton 28 33 +1 57.90 6.31 1.18 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.12P 2.42R 0.01 Yeovil 28 33 -11 53.11 6.11 -17.43 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 11.72R 0.20 Carlisle 28 32 -9 55.32 6.35 -11.73 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 6.90R 0.09 Swindon 27 28 -8 51.74 6.43 -12.79 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 17.68R 0.63 Brighton 27 28 -8 51.05 6.45 -12.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 20.10R 0.65 Leyton_Orient 30 27 -16 44.24 5.54 -21.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.47R 5.72 Crewe 27 22 -25 40.76 6.17 -39.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.98R 20.90 Hereford 27 21 -19 39.24 6.18 -30.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.02R 27.89 Cheltenham 27 21 -28 37.41 5.87 -47.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.10R 43.69League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 February 2009, Bournemouth vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 28 53 +17 84.02 6.09 26.45 32.49 68.35 95.90 75.78P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 29 52 +18 81.69 5.86 27.58 19.49 55.18 92.74 65.19P 0.00 0.00 Bury 30 50 +12 76.83 5.71 19.74 4.11 22.77 75.29 34.44P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 28 48 +16 76.72 6.31 22.63 6.44 25.54 72.95 35.44P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 29 48 +16 76.37 6.09 24.08 5.00 23.47 72.49 35.16P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 27 47 +19 81.90 6.49 32.92 24.19 57.94 91.66 67.41P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 30 46 +18 74.40 5.64 27.83 1.75 13.58 62.85 28.86P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 29 46 +1 68.46 6.00 -0.09 0.20 2.20 20.87 5.25P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 29 44 +4 68.11 6.04 5.57 0.17 1.96 19.84 5.48P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 28 43 +21 76.83 6.20 36.15 6.08 27.73 76.57 42.27P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 27 37 +5 64.50 6.57 7.45 0.07 0.92 10.40 2.75P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 28 37 +3 62.85 6.36 4.89 0.01 0.31 6.00 1.50P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 27 36 -8 58.24 6.42 -15.27 0.00 0.04 1.39 0.21P 0.01R 0.00 Morecambe 28 32 -8 52.94 6.00 -13.75 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 0.16R 0.00 Notts_County 29 32 -11 51.83 5.74 -16.58 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.21R 0.01 Macclesfield 27 32 -18 51.71 6.17 -30.01 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 0.34R 0.02 Port_Vale 28 31 -14 48.29 5.91 -26.26 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 1.25R 0.07 Accrington_Stanley 28 27 -13 47.49 6.15 -19.28 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 2.01R 0.16 Rotherham 26 25 +6 55.49 6.86 10.81 0.00 0.01 0.77 0.22P 0.13R 0.00 Chester 30 25 -24 39.69 5.32 -35.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.84R 1.84 Grimsby 28 22 -21 40.03 5.95 -31.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.40R 2.63 Barnet 28 22 -23 40.09 5.98 -34.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.91R 2.88 Bournemouth 29 15 -8 36.70 6.06 -10.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.41R 6.82 Luton 28 2 -8 24.27 6.29 -12.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.32R 85.56 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 February 2009, Lewes vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 30 68 +25 94.86 5.89 32.66 72.10 99.43 78.20P 0.00 0.00 Histon 27 52 +15 84.40 6.62 24.82 9.59 81.04 26.07P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 30 50 +11 77.00 5.79 18.55 0.50 40.72 10.38P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 31 50 +8 71.43 5.65 9.12 0.02 11.38 2.01P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 27 49 +21 84.08 6.53 35.66 9.42 82.75 31.09P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 27 49 +16 82.33 6.59 26.89 6.14 74.28 24.61P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 28 49 +11 78.06 6.36 17.57 1.35 47.44 11.67P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 31 49 +6 70.19 5.61 6.92 0.04 7.22 1.32P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 29 47 +16 73.96 6.02 21.89 0.24 25.34 6.62P 0.00 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 30 42 -6 62.12 5.80 -9.38 0.00 0.39 0.07P 0.13R 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 30 40 +7 64.73 5.70 11.17 0.00 1.16 0.32P 0.02R 0.00 Mansfield 30 40 +2 63.50 5.73 4.49 0.00 0.79 0.17P 0.02R 0.00 Altrincham 29 40 -10 59.65 5.82 -15.20 0.00 0.21 0.03P 0.32R 0.00 Kettering 24 39 +7 74.00 7.27 14.37 0.60 27.13 7.31P 0.00R 0.00 Weymouth 29 39 +1 62.79 6.03 1.44 0.00 0.70 0.13P 0.06R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 30 34 -6 55.30 5.79 -7.15 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.91R 0.00 York 31 33 -3 55.56 5.71 0.15 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.62R 0.00 Woking 30 32 -9 49.62 5.63 -14.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.57R 0.00 Barrow 28 31 -10 51.04 6.00 -18.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.80R 0.00 Salisbury 29 30 -14 46.11 5.67 -25.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.16R 0.04 Grays_Athletic 27 29 -11 47.27 6.06 -22.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.77R 0.01 Forest_Green 29 29 -13 48.99 5.80 -19.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.46R 0.02 Lewes 31 17 -41 25.41 4.10 -60.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 87.32 Northwich 29 16 -23 33.26 5.73 -33.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.19R 12.59 Adjustments: Mansfield -4