Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 6 February 2009 at 22:07:33 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 February 2009, Liverpool vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 23 53 +30 86.54 4.79 49.31 73.99 92.02 98.97 99.90 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 24 51 +24 80.55 4.82 40.15 16.14 57.85 91.06 98.53 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 24 48 +29 78.78 4.83 47.42 9.22 44.14 85.91 97.21 99.99 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 24 48 +14 71.37 5.24 20.82 0.59 5.09 18.99 71.10 99.12 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 24 43 +13 66.85 5.17 20.45 0.06 0.89 4.89 29.49 95.94 0.00 0.00 Everton 24 37 +3 58.99 5.51 7.25 0.00 0.01 0.15 3.14 59.24 0.00R 0.00 Wigan 24 33 +2 53.72 5.32 4.57 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.33 19.51 0.04R 0.00 West_Ham 24 33 +0 51.09 5.30 -1.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 9.11 0.15R 0.01 Fulham 22 29 +3 49.60 5.60 1.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 6.95 0.52R 0.04 Man_City 23 28 +9 50.12 5.43 11.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 7.85 0.43R 0.03 Hull 24 28 -15 42.98 5.06 -23.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 10.09R 1.49 Bolton 24 27 -7 45.59 5.44 -8.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.53 3.57R 0.38 Sunderland 24 27 -8 41.82 5.09 -14.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 11.78R 1.59 Tottenham 24 24 -5 40.13 5.17 -9.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 19.18R 3.99 Newcastle 24 24 -10 39.22 5.12 -17.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 25.69R 5.95 Portsmouth 23 24 -15 39.08 5.36 -24.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 30.28R 8.21 Stoke 24 24 -17 39.78 5.32 -22.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 25.24R 6.17 Blackburn 23 23 -11 37.56 5.17 -22.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 38.63R 11.04 Middlesbrough 24 22 -17 33.73 4.72 -27.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.50R 32.69 West_Brom 24 22 -22 34.72 5.01 -32.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.89R 28.43Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 February 2009, Bristol_City vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 31 63 +23 91.16 5.46 35.70 41.78 81.27 99.91 85.99P 0.00 0.00 Reading 30 58 +32 91.54 5.36 50.40 50.51 85.69 99.90 91.15P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 30 56 +10 82.26 5.79 16.34 4.29 16.42 93.07 33.78P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 31 51 +15 75.64 5.44 20.98 0.25 1.89 68.87 20.79P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 29 51 +15 81.13 6.03 25.02 3.10 13.66 90.10 35.86P 0.00 0.00 Preston 31 49 +4 70.91 5.56 5.89 0.02 0.26 31.57 5.85P 0.00 0.00 QPR 30 46 +4 68.95 5.70 5.79 0.00 0.13 21.54 4.87P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 30 46 +0 67.77 5.90 -0.43 0.01 0.11 16.10 2.53P 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 30 45 +10 71.91 5.74 17.59 0.02 0.42 42.82 10.92P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 30 44 +3 65.95 5.74 3.01 0.00 0.03 10.26 1.98P 0.01R 0.00 Ipswich 30 43 +11 67.62 5.69 15.09 0.01 0.10 18.13 4.65P 0.00R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 40 +5 63.66 6.11 5.65 0.00 0.02 6.55 1.47P 0.10R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 30 39 -10 56.49 5.54 -16.82 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.03P 2.48R 0.04 Coventry 30 37 -4 56.86 5.73 -6.94 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.06P 2.09R 0.03 Blackpool 30 37 -8 57.20 5.74 -10.39 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.06P 2.21R 0.05 Plymouth 30 35 -6 54.73 5.63 -8.83 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 4.21R 0.16 Nottm_Forest 30 33 -9 50.43 5.55 -16.13 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 17.56R 1.09 Norwich 31 32 -7 50.30 5.52 -10.96 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 15.85R 1.09 Derby 29 32 -11 51.44 5.87 -16.85 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 15.58R 1.21 Barnsley 30 32 -12 48.81 5.42 -19.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.57R 2.26 Doncaster 29 31 -12 47.93 5.45 -20.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.20R 2.99 Watford 30 30 -11 51.75 5.81 -11.72 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 13.36R 1.05 Southampton 31 28 -19 42.49 5.16 -28.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.52R 19.46 Charlton 31 22 -23 36.64 5.16 -33.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.25R 70.56League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 February 2009, Huddersfield vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 29 67 +35 102.20 5.69 54.69 90.94 98.36 99.99 98.94P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 29 57 +26 89.52 5.90 41.21 6.55 59.50 98.69 72.30P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 28 53 +16 83.92 6.37 26.30 1.24 18.81 89.38 36.32P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 28 50 +15 81.05 6.27 25.43 0.41 8.62 80.37 27.84P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 26 50 +9 81.36 7.01 14.84 0.80 11.11 76.90 25.62P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 29 49 +11 76.15 6.06 16.95 0.03 1.85 51.92 13.55P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 28 45 +11 73.78 6.37 17.39 0.02 0.97 38.23 10.13P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 29 44 +11 71.18 6.01 17.08 0.00 0.23 23.08 6.23P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 30 44 -3 65.48 5.81 -3.98 0.00 0.01 3.75 0.65P 0.03R 0.00 Tranmere 27 43 +6 71.09 6.65 8.91 0.01 0.44 22.60 5.10P 0.01R 0.00 Colchester 28 42 +4 68.53 6.32 6.65 0.00 0.10 12.63 2.81P 0.01R 0.00 Walsall 28 35 -5 58.99 6.29 -6.44 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.12P 1.82R 0.00 Hartlepool 28 34 -4 56.94 6.28 -7.52 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.06P 3.68R 0.03 Southend 28 34 -12 54.40 6.16 -18.95 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 8.62R 0.16 Bristol_Rovers 27 33 +3 58.88 6.67 1.90 0.00 0.00 0.90 0.20P 2.12R 0.02 Northampton 28 33 +1 57.81 6.32 1.07 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.10P 2.60R 0.03 Yeovil 28 33 -11 52.96 6.11 -17.60 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 12.49R 0.23 Carlisle 28 32 -9 55.55 6.36 -11.43 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 6.54R 0.13 Swindon 27 28 -8 51.64 6.38 -12.98 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 17.62R 0.67 Brighton 27 28 -8 51.35 6.42 -12.31 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 18.32R 0.62 Leyton_Orient 29 26 -16 44.05 5.80 -22.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.40R 6.80 Crewe 27 22 -25 40.72 6.15 -39.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.46R 21.19 Hereford 27 21 -19 39.13 6.12 -31.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.55R 27.72 Cheltenham 27 21 -28 37.52 5.87 -47.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.73R 42.39League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 February 2009, Chester vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 28 53 +17 84.13 6.07 26.59 33.87 68.61 95.67 75.87P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 28 49 +15 80.49 6.09 25.28 15.47 46.66 87.73 57.65P 0.00 0.00 Bury 29 49 +12 77.40 5.96 19.99 5.88 26.70 75.92 37.97P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 28 48 +16 77.03 6.30 23.13 7.05 27.19 73.19 37.11P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 27 47 +19 81.77 6.41 32.67 23.23 56.67 90.86 66.10P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 29 46 +19 76.55 5.87 30.03 4.69 23.88 74.15 39.43P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 28 46 +3 70.66 6.28 3.26 0.71 5.18 31.94 9.55P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 28 45 +14 74.01 6.37 20.92 2.70 14.03 56.15 23.79P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 28 43 +21 76.72 6.17 35.96 6.02 27.18 74.51 41.56P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 28 43 +4 68.88 6.23 6.19 0.29 2.72 22.91 6.54P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 27 37 +5 64.42 6.50 7.29 0.08 0.82 9.69 2.61P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 28 37 +3 62.81 6.30 4.87 0.01 0.29 5.28 1.38P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 27 36 -8 58.35 6.38 -15.06 0.01 0.05 1.26 0.25P 0.02R 0.00 Morecambe 28 32 -8 52.84 6.06 -13.88 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.12R 0.00 Notts_County 29 32 -11 51.69 5.77 -16.81 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.17R 0.01 Macclesfield 27 32 -18 51.77 6.25 -29.92 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.03P 0.26R 0.01 Port_Vale 28 31 -14 48.51 5.92 -25.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.92R 0.03 Accrington_Stanley 28 27 -13 47.37 6.20 -19.45 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.67R 0.13 Rotherham 27 26 +6 54.97 6.63 10.58 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.14P 0.09R 0.01 Chester 29 25 -21 40.62 5.46 -33.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.08R 1.20 Barnet 28 22 -23 40.09 5.96 -34.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.36R 2.43 Grimsby 27 21 -21 39.81 6.13 -32.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.85R 2.63 Bournemouth 28 12 -9 34.20 6.26 -13.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.74R 12.10 Luton 28 2 -8 24.15 6.31 -12.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.73R 81.46 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 February 2009, Altrincham vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 30 68 +25 94.83 5.88 32.60 72.89 99.48 78.82P 0.00 0.00 Histon 27 52 +15 84.50 6.65 24.95 10.07 81.51 26.54P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 30 50 +11 77.00 5.72 18.56 0.47 40.77 10.66P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 31 50 +8 71.45 5.69 9.14 0.01 12.02 2.14P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 27 49 +16 82.37 6.57 26.97 6.44 74.71 24.88P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 28 49 +11 78.23 6.38 17.81 1.31 48.67 12.07P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 31 49 +6 70.31 5.62 7.13 0.03 7.58 1.33P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 29 47 +16 74.09 6.07 22.08 0.27 26.31 7.02P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 26 46 +19 83.13 6.71 34.82 7.91 78.58 28.32P 0.00 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 30 42 -6 61.98 5.81 -9.52 0.00 0.44 0.07P 0.08R 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 30 40 +7 64.65 5.77 11.10 0.00 1.21 0.27P 0.02R 0.00 Altrincham 29 40 -10 59.62 5.79 -15.28 0.00 0.19 0.04P 0.34R 0.00 Kettering 24 39 +7 73.98 7.31 14.32 0.60 27.34 7.55P 0.00 0.00 Weymouth 29 39 +1 62.86 6.07 1.51 0.00 0.70 0.17P 0.08R 0.00 Mansfield 29 37 +1 61.90 6.01 3.45 0.00 0.46 0.10P 0.12R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 30 34 -6 55.16 5.77 -7.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.04R 0.00 York 30 33 -2 56.70 5.97 0.79 0.00 0.02 0.01P 1.36R 0.00 Woking 30 32 -9 49.62 5.60 -14.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.94R 0.01 Barrow 28 31 -10 50.97 5.94 -18.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.17R 0.02 Salisbury 29 30 -14 46.26 5.64 -25.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.42R 0.07 Grays_Athletic 27 29 -11 47.48 6.03 -21.97 0.00 0.00 0.00P 26.78R 0.04 Forest_Green 29 29 -13 48.89 5.82 -19.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.61R 0.03 Lewes 30 17 -39 25.91 4.31 -60.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.95R 85.63 Northwich 29 16 -23 33.37 5.73 -33.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.07R 14.20 Adjustments: Mansfield -4