Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 4 February 2009 at 22:05:55 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 February 2009, Liverpool vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   53  +30      86.51     4.80    49.23    73.90    92.01    98.94    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   51  +24      80.51     4.84    40.08    16.41    58.18    90.78    98.43   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   48  +29      78.67     4.87    47.20     9.02    43.69    85.36    97.08    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   48  +14      71.38     5.25    20.91     0.63     5.28    19.73    71.10    99.24     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   43  +13      66.84     5.15    20.49     0.04     0.84     5.00    29.88    95.74     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   37   +3      58.93     5.48     7.13     0.00     0.01     0.18     2.93    58.47     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           24   33   +2      53.68     5.32     4.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30    19.28     0.04R    0.01  
West_Ham        24   33   +0      51.08     5.30    -1.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     9.07     0.16R    0.00  
Fulham          22   29   +3      49.85     5.65     2.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     7.50     0.51R    0.02  
Man_City        23   28   +9      50.23     5.45    11.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     8.39     0.37R    0.03  
Hull            24   28  -15      42.96     5.06   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21    10.11R    1.48  
Bolton          24   27   -7      45.60     5.45    -8.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.55     3.65R    0.38  
Sunderland      24   27   -8      41.77     5.07   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20    12.01R    1.69  
Tottenham       24   24   -5      40.12     5.21    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    19.59R    4.13  
Newcastle       24   24  -10      39.11     5.13   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    26.39R    6.40  
Portsmouth      23   24  -15      39.16     5.37   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    29.83R    8.01  
Stoke           24   24  -17      39.68     5.29   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    25.74R    6.36  
Blackburn       23   23  -11      37.60     5.21   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    38.39R   10.91  
Middlesbrough   24   22  -17      33.75     4.70   -27.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.76R   32.30  
West_Brom       24   22  -22      34.75     5.00   -32.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    63.44R   28.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 February 2009, Bristol_City vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    31   63  +23      91.13     5.46    35.67    41.66    81.50    99.88    86.18P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          30   58  +32      91.53     5.35    50.34    50.73    85.72    99.92    91.10P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       30   56  +10      82.28     5.80    16.39     4.37    16.54    93.09    34.20P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        31   51  +15      75.53     5.42    20.84     0.21     1.82    68.18    20.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   51  +15      81.12     6.01    24.98     2.96    13.40    90.03    35.36P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          31   49   +4      70.87     5.54     5.81     0.02     0.27    31.16     5.73P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              30   46   +4      68.84     5.71     5.62     0.01     0.11    21.30     4.57P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          30   46   +0      67.95     5.88    -0.15     0.00     0.07    16.92     2.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          30   45  +10      71.97     5.75    17.70     0.03     0.45    43.11    11.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     30   44   +3      66.10     5.74     3.27     0.00     0.03    10.77     2.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          30   43  +11      67.49     5.63    14.90     0.00     0.08    17.36     4.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   40   +5      63.86     6.14     5.89     0.00     0.02     7.13     1.67P    0.07R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        30   39  -10      56.55     5.61   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    2.66R    0.05  
Coventry         30   37   -4      56.84     5.69    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    2.00R    0.05  
Blackpool        30   37   -8      57.15     5.67   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    2.16R    0.08  
Plymouth         30   35   -6      54.77     5.64    -8.80     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    4.32R    0.14  
Nottm_Forest     30   33   -9      50.56     5.53   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.88R    0.99  
Norwich          31   32   -7      50.18     5.50   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.41R    1.17  
Derby            29   32  -11      51.39     5.88   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    15.62R    1.28  
Barnsley         30   32  -12      48.77     5.42   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.65R    2.42  
Doncaster        29   31  -12      48.12     5.50   -19.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   31.00R    2.87  
Watford          30   30  -11      51.59     5.84   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.97R    1.06  
Southampton      31   28  -19      42.39     5.16   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.29R   19.95  
Charlton         31   22  -23      36.68     5.19   -33.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.96R   69.94  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 February 2009, Huddersfield vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        29   67  +35     102.26     5.65    54.80    91.14    98.38   100.00    98.94P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          29   57  +26      89.46     5.93    41.05     6.34    59.29    98.57    71.85P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       28   53  +16      84.03     6.27    26.43     1.37    19.13    90.03    36.75P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     28   50  +15      80.94     6.32    25.19     0.44     8.74    79.75    27.31P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         26   50   +9      81.22     6.94    14.67     0.64    10.61    76.78    25.38P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           29   49  +11      76.13     6.08    16.90     0.04     1.95    52.16    13.60P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            28   45  +11      73.86     6.39    17.51     0.02     1.08    38.36    10.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Stockport        29   44  +11      71.21     6.04    17.10     0.00     0.27    22.84     6.29P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     30   44   -3      65.54     5.83    -3.93     0.00     0.01     4.03     0.71P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         27   43   +6      71.11     6.64     8.88     0.01     0.45    22.38     5.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Colchester       28   42   +4      68.43     6.31     6.55     0.00     0.10    12.57     2.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Walsall          28   35   -5      59.09     6.27    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.11P    1.78R    0.01  
Hartlepool       28   34   -4      56.83     6.36    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    4.15R    0.04  
Southend         28   34  -12      54.55     6.16   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.01R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers   27   33   +3      58.80     6.68     1.79     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.23P    2.24R    0.02  
Northampton      28   33   +1      57.88     6.34     1.14     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P    2.42R    0.04  
Yeovil           28   33  -11      53.02     6.16   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   12.26R    0.24  
Carlisle         28   32   -9      55.51     6.39   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    6.75R    0.13  
Swindon          27   28   -8      51.55     6.38   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   17.89R    0.72  
Brighton         27   28   -8      51.41     6.47   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   18.27R    0.59  
Leyton_Orient    29   26  -16      43.92     5.75   -22.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.10R    6.92  
Crewe            27   22  -25      40.75     6.09   -39.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.40R   20.67  
Hereford         27   21  -19      39.20     6.17   -31.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.11R   27.84  
Cheltenham       27   21  -28      37.54     5.86   -47.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.58R   42.64  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 February 2009, Chester vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              28   53  +17      84.17     6.12    26.68    34.17    69.18    95.67    76.49P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            28   49  +15      80.37     6.13    25.10    14.98    46.14    87.62    56.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 29   49  +12      77.40     5.96    20.02     5.94    26.86    76.03    38.19P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             28   48  +16      76.82     6.29    22.79     6.54    26.07    72.52    36.05P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           27   47  +19      81.77     6.44    32.66    23.71    56.87    90.86    66.17P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           29   46  +19      76.47     5.90    29.87     4.79    23.82    73.63    39.58P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           28   46   +3      70.60     6.36     3.12     0.78     5.36    31.90     9.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             28   45  +14      74.02     6.34    20.93     2.68    14.22    56.01    23.88P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            28   43  +21      76.68     6.20    35.88     6.00    27.28    74.50    41.43P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               28   43   +4      68.94     6.25     6.23     0.31     2.97    23.61     7.02P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         27   37   +5      64.45     6.52     7.37     0.08     0.90     9.92     2.68P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         28   37   +3      63.01     6.34     5.20     0.01     0.28     5.88     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            27   36   -8      58.21     6.32   -15.26     0.01     0.04     1.10     0.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            28   32   -8      52.81     5.99   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.12R    0.01  
Notts_County         29   32  -11      51.79     5.77   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.20R    0.01  
Macclesfield         27   32  -18      51.81     6.18   -29.93     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.31R    0.01  
Port_Vale            28   31  -14      48.54     5.95   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.85R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   28   27  -13      47.48     6.18   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.56R    0.10  
Rotherham            27   26   +6      55.19     6.71    10.91     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.22P    0.08R    0.00  
Chester              29   25  -21      40.66     5.48   -33.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.08R    1.16  
Barnet               28   22  -23      40.04     5.99   -34.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.65R    2.45  
Grimsby              27   21  -21      39.70     6.16   -32.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.11R    2.64  
Bournemouth          28   12   -9      34.23     6.28   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.26R   11.86  
Luton                28    2   -8      24.15     6.29   -12.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.77R   81.71  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 February 2009, Altrincham vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        30   68  +25      94.87     5.91    32.66    72.55    99.45    78.53P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               27   52  +15      84.55     6.64    25.04    10.09    81.85    26.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        30   50  +11      76.94     5.76    18.51     0.50    40.52    10.50P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            31   50   +8      71.35     5.69     9.01     0.02    11.78     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              27   49  +16      82.40     6.68    27.00     6.79    74.70    25.40P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        28   49  +11      78.10     6.40    17.61     1.33    48.39    11.73P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           31   49   +6      70.26     5.58     7.02     0.02     7.58     1.43P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         29   47  +16      74.00     6.05    21.94     0.24    26.04     7.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              26   46  +19      83.19     6.68    34.93     7.79    79.16    28.20P    0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   30   42   -6      62.12     5.76    -9.30     0.00     0.40     0.05P    0.09R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    30   40   +7      64.60     5.77    10.99     0.00     1.22     0.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Altrincham           29   40  -10      59.68     5.80   -15.16     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.27R    0.00  
Kettering            24   39   +7      74.03     7.30    14.39     0.67    27.44     7.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth             29   39   +1      62.74     6.10     1.38     0.00     0.81     0.22P    0.08R    0.00  
Mansfield            29   37   +1      61.86     6.00     3.42     0.00     0.46     0.11P    0.13R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     30   34   -6      55.24     5.79    -7.31     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.99R    0.00  
York                 30   33   -2      56.97     5.98     1.23     0.00     0.02     0.01P    1.15R    0.00  
Woking               30   32   -9      49.88     5.66   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.71R    0.00  
Barrow               28   31  -10      50.95     6.01   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.21R    0.01  
Salisbury            29   30  -14      46.09     5.58   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.41R    0.06  
Grays_Athletic       27   29  -11      47.34     6.08   -22.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.84R    0.04  
Forest_Green         29   29  -13      48.91     5.76   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.84R    0.02  
Lewes                30   17  -39      25.94     4.31   -60.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   85.45  
Northwich            29   16  -23      33.25     5.71   -33.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.32R   14.42  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4