Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 30 January 2009 at 22:05:47 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 January 2009, Blackburn vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 22 50 +29 85.72 5.09 49.61 67.10 89.53 97.73 99.65 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 23 48 +31 80.77 5.01 50.38 21.39 65.32 90.00 97.94 99.99 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 23 48 +22 78.13 5.23 36.82 9.98 35.92 77.52 94.25 99.95 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 23 47 +14 72.31 5.50 21.78 1.32 7.62 25.95 70.61 99.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 23 42 +13 68.01 5.42 21.92 0.21 1.61 8.52 33.83 95.97 0.00 0.00 Everton 23 37 +4 59.41 5.57 6.82 0.00 0.01 0.24 2.87 58.82 0.00 0.00 Wigan 23 32 +2 53.50 5.60 3.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.34 17.16 0.08R 0.00 West_Ham 23 32 +0 50.66 5.58 -3.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 7.74 0.31R 0.01 Man_City 22 28 +10 52.56 5.74 14.11 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.36 15.16 0.19R 0.01 Hull 23 27 -15 43.96 5.39 -21.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37 8.50R 1.28 Fulham 21 26 +1 47.91 5.91 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 4.14 1.79R 0.18 Sunderland 23 26 -8 41.97 5.40 -15.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29 12.93R 1.95 Tottenham 23 24 -4 41.59 5.51 -8.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 13.86R 2.44 Bolton 23 24 -8 43.63 5.66 -9.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.75 8.20R 1.29 Portsmouth 22 24 -13 40.42 5.64 -21.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 22.87R 5.38 Newcastle 23 23 -10 39.79 5.42 -16.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 23.78R 5.35 Blackburn 22 22 -11 38.13 5.53 -22.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 35.66R 10.47 Middlesbrough 23 21 -17 34.31 5.07 -27.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.95R 27.56 Stoke 23 21 -18 37.40 5.61 -24.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 41.95R 13.93 West_Brom 23 21 -22 34.47 5.25 -33.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 64.93R 30.14Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 January 2009, Doncaster vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Wolverhampton 29 59 +21 92.32 5.84 38.29 44.42 84.33 99.85 88.26P 0.00 0.00 Reading 29 57 +32 92.33 5.61 51.23 48.77 86.25 99.87 91.34P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 29 55 +10 83.01 6.04 16.86 4.77 17.75 93.17 35.18P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 28 48 +13 79.76 6.27 23.40 1.71 8.41 83.53 29.33P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 29 47 +14 74.63 5.97 20.35 0.17 1.51 58.00 17.49P 0.00 0.00 Preston 29 47 +4 72.47 6.02 7.07 0.07 0.62 40.41 7.82P 0.00 0.00 QPR 29 45 +4 68.86 5.98 5.11 0.02 0.17 20.41 4.73P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 29 44 +10 73.17 5.97 18.87 0.06 0.63 48.46 13.12P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 29 43 -1 67.24 6.11 0.32 0.00 0.07 13.55 2.30P 0.01R 0.00 Ipswich 29 42 +11 68.74 5.91 16.16 0.01 0.15 22.18 5.91P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 28 40 +6 66.34 6.43 8.48 0.01 0.08 13.39 3.08P 0.03R 0.00 Bristol_City 28 38 +0 63.76 6.23 1.62 0.00 0.03 5.77 1.14P 0.15R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 29 38 -10 56.44 5.80 -17.40 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.06P 2.95R 0.10 Coventry 29 37 -3 58.34 5.98 -5.76 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.15P 1.36R 0.03 Blackpool 29 34 -9 54.48 5.88 -13.18 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 6.29R 0.43 Plymouth 28 33 -6 54.11 6.09 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.04P 6.66R 0.44 Nottm_Forest 29 33 -7 51.46 5.76 -14.80 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 13.31R 0.98 Barnsley 29 32 -10 50.06 5.70 -17.86 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 19.87R 2.03 Norwich 30 31 -7 49.28 5.62 -13.69 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 21.31R 2.49 Doncaster 29 31 -12 47.91 5.49 -20.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.14R 3.98 Watford 29 30 -9 52.21 6.04 -11.80 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 12.63R 1.21 Derby 28 29 -12 49.50 6.12 -18.22 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 24.59R 3.58 Southampton 29 27 -18 43.00 5.55 -29.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.94R 21.56 Charlton 29 22 -21 37.96 5.54 -34.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.76R 63.18League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 January 2009, Bristol_Rovers vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leicester 27 61 +31 99.24 6.26 50.67 84.01 95.07 99.92 96.82P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 27 51 +23 86.59 6.50 38.66 7.39 40.64 93.37 57.37P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 27 50 +16 82.97 6.62 27.37 2.50 18.38 82.73 34.76P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 27 50 +15 81.73 6.57 24.23 1.69 14.03 77.57 29.03P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 25 50 +10 83.65 7.20 17.27 3.60 22.12 81.52 35.50P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 28 48 +11 77.61 6.35 18.94 0.39 4.42 55.48 16.44P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 27 45 +12 75.83 6.64 19.56 0.23 2.89 45.25 13.39P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 26 43 +7 73.73 6.97 11.88 0.16 1.74 31.76 8.37P 0.00R 0.00 Stockport 27 41 +9 71.36 6.54 15.68 0.02 0.62 20.67 5.94P 0.01R 0.00 Huddersfield 28 40 -4 64.05 6.35 -5.36 0.00 0.03 2.57 0.49P 0.16R 0.00 Colchester 27 39 +2 65.80 6.63 2.93 0.00 0.04 5.44 1.09P 0.12R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 26 33 +4 60.76 6.94 3.70 0.00 0.01 1.51 0.31P 1.18R 0.02 Northampton 27 33 +2 58.56 6.58 1.06 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.12P 2.15R 0.03 Hartlepool 26 33 -3 58.53 6.92 -6.82 0.00 0.01 0.66 0.15P 2.97R 0.03 Walsall 26 32 -3 58.74 6.78 -4.32 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.14P 2.39R 0.03 Carlisle 27 32 -7 57.81 6.67 -7.97 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.06P 3.36R 0.06 Southend 27 31 -13 52.38 6.42 -20.75 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 14.48R 0.37 Yeovil 27 30 -12 50.71 6.28 -19.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.76R 0.75 Swindon 26 27 -8 51.13 6.66 -14.85 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 19.48R 0.90 Leyton_Orient 28 26 -15 46.01 6.06 -21.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 47.55R 3.56 Brighton 26 25 -9 49.26 6.79 -13.90 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 27.69R 1.52 Hereford 26 21 -16 40.58 6.30 -27.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.36R 18.45 Cheltenham 26 21 -26 37.70 5.99 -47.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.77R 38.83 Crewe 26 19 -26 38.00 6.34 -42.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.57R 35.47League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 January 2009, Chesterfield vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 27 50 +16 83.53 6.26 27.05 33.12 68.51 95.62 76.35P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 26 46 +15 80.50 6.57 25.66 18.32 50.14 89.18 60.64P 0.00 0.00 Bury 28 46 +11 75.82 6.20 19.10 4.44 21.98 72.06 33.49P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 26 44 +18 79.21 6.76 30.37 15.37 44.15 85.26 55.28P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 27 43 +22 78.52 6.40 37.75 12.41 41.57 85.15 54.49P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 27 43 +19 77.89 6.30 32.35 9.68 36.56 83.09 52.02P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 27 43 +2 68.87 6.57 1.92 0.58 4.08 28.50 8.06P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 26 42 +12 73.18 6.91 18.07 3.16 14.87 56.08 23.32P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 27 42 +12 73.13 6.58 20.12 2.44 13.68 56.78 23.48P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 27 40 +3 68.03 6.49 6.41 0.36 2.90 24.47 7.00P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 27 36 +3 63.87 6.56 5.94 0.05 0.76 10.30 2.77P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 26 36 -6 60.21 6.63 -11.99 0.02 0.17 3.69 0.62P 0.01R 0.00 Chesterfield 26 34 +4 62.59 6.83 5.98 0.05 0.62 8.67 2.25P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 28 32 -10 53.45 6.07 -15.31 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.03P 0.17R 0.01 Macclesfield 26 32 -16 52.95 6.41 -28.46 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.02P 0.31R 0.01 Port_Vale 27 30 -14 48.41 6.22 -26.54 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 1.44R 0.10 Morecambe 26 28 -10 50.54 6.43 -17.37 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.78R 0.07 Accrington_Stanley 26 27 -10 48.81 6.51 -18.33 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 1.42R 0.13 Chester 27 25 -18 43.71 6.07 -30.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.25R 0.67 Rotherham 26 23 +4 53.62 6.89 9.20 0.00 0.01 0.50 0.14P 0.28R 0.02 Barnet 27 22 -22 40.75 6.15 -34.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.99R 2.97 Grimsby 26 21 -19 40.50 6.37 -31.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 18.59R 3.21 Bournemouth 27 11 -9 33.64 6.45 -14.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.36R 18.36 Luton 27 2 -7 25.73 6.57 -11.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.41R 74.43 Adjustments: Rotherham -17 Bournemouth -17 Luton -30Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 29 January 2009, Cambridge_Utd vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Burton_Albion 30 68 +25 94.76 5.86 32.52 70.38 99.52 76.95P 0.00 0.00 Histon 26 51 +15 85.59 6.89 26.17 13.35 85.23 30.25P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 31 50 +8 71.36 5.69 9.00 0.02 12.09 2.14P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 27 49 +16 82.29 6.59 26.86 5.86 74.76 24.43P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 28 49 +11 78.22 6.36 17.76 1.30 50.21 12.49P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 29 47 +16 74.07 6.09 22.13 0.26 27.39 7.02P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 29 47 +10 74.93 6.00 16.93 0.23 29.43 7.71P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 26 46 +19 83.26 6.71 35.16 7.98 79.97 28.78P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 30 46 +5 69.88 5.78 8.11 0.02 7.69 1.50P 0.00 0.00 Eastbourne_Borough 29 42 -5 64.00 6.09 -7.52 0.00 1.21 0.16P 0.04R 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 29 40 +8 66.72 5.94 13.16 0.00 3.43 0.92P 0.01R 0.00 Kettering 24 39 +7 73.96 7.25 14.31 0.58 27.94 7.42P 0.00R 0.00 Weymouth 29 39 +1 62.61 6.06 1.18 0.00 0.69 0.16P 0.06R 0.00 Altrincham 28 37 -11 58.44 6.11 -15.68 0.00 0.14 0.03P 0.68R 0.00 Mansfield 28 34 +0 59.71 6.28 1.65 0.00 0.25 0.05P 0.41R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 30 34 -6 55.16 5.79 -7.41 0.00 0.02 0.00P 1.93R 0.00 York 30 33 -2 56.67 5.94 0.72 0.00 0.02 0.00P 1.11R 0.00 Barrow 27 30 -10 52.43 6.29 -16.59 0.00 0.02 0.00P 7.28R 0.02 Grays_Athletic 27 29 -11 47.25 6.06 -22.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.96R 0.08 Woking 29 29 -12 47.09 5.78 -18.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.15R 0.05 Salisbury 28 29 -14 45.76 5.87 -27.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.76R 0.16 Forest_Green 28 28 -13 48.80 6.08 -20.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.91R 0.09 Lewes 29 17 -38 26.07 4.41 -61.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.91R 91.47 Northwich 27 16 -19 36.55 6.26 -28.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.79R 8.12 Adjustments: Mansfield -4