Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 26 January 2009 at 22:05:42 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 January 2009, Liverpool vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         21   47  +24      84.03     5.41    44.08    55.34    82.01    95.74    99.07   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   47  +22      78.99     5.49    37.51    17.50    45.48    81.54    95.02    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   45  +29      80.36     5.18    50.64    25.16    62.48    88.95    97.29    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   44  +13      71.25     5.81    21.73     1.52     7.16    21.87    62.37    98.01     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   41  +13      68.52     5.71    22.18     0.46     2.81    11.28    40.24    95.77     0.00     0.00  
Everton         22   36   +4      59.74     5.97     6.66     0.01     0.06     0.54     4.89    59.28     0.00R    0.00  
Wigan           22   31   +2      53.26     5.86     2.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.48    16.48     0.11R    0.01  
West_Ham        22   29   -2      49.03     5.83    -5.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     5.24     1.30R    0.11  
Hull            22   27  -13      45.58     5.71   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.07     6.05R    0.87  
Fulham          20   26   +2      49.88     6.27     1.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     8.23     1.07R    0.09  
Man_City        21   25   +9      52.04     6.05    15.11     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.38    13.95     0.53R    0.06  
Portsmouth      21   24  -12      41.34     5.92   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37    20.28R    4.94  
Bolton          22   23   -8      43.61     6.00   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94    10.22R    1.96  
Newcastle       22   23   -9      40.52     5.67   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18    21.90R    5.31  
Sunderland      22   23   -9      39.73     5.63   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    25.35R    6.08  
Tottenham       22   21   -6      39.47     5.76   -11.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    26.40R    7.28  
Blackburn       21   21  -11      38.20     5.80   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    36.93R   12.40  
Middlesbrough   22   21  -15      34.63     5.21   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    63.19R   29.07  
Stoke           22   21  -16      38.67     5.85   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    34.54R   11.32  
West_Brom       22   21  -17      36.17     5.52   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    52.12R   20.49  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 January 2009, Blackpool vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Wolverhampton    28   59  +22      93.12     6.03    38.50    54.30    87.76    99.84    90.63P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          28   54  +31      90.92     5.91    50.87    39.76    81.84    99.65    88.21P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       28   52   +9      81.71     6.28    16.38     3.82    15.93    88.84    32.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        28   47  +15      77.33     6.08    23.17     0.69     4.99    73.43    25.55P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   47   +7      74.22     6.29    10.60     0.25     1.97    51.53    11.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   45  +11      77.67     6.62    20.71     1.06     6.11    72.74    24.31P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          28   43   +2      69.64     6.37     4.96     0.03     0.34    24.47     4.74P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              28   42   +1      65.72     6.15     0.16     0.00     0.06     9.57     1.91P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea          28   41   +7      71.05     6.33    15.09     0.04     0.48    34.48     9.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   40   +7      68.61     6.71    10.83     0.03     0.37    22.68     5.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          28   39  +10      67.17     6.14    15.19     0.01     0.13    15.67     4.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        28   38   -9      57.91     6.06   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.11P    1.54R    0.02  
Coventry         28   37   -1      60.30     6.28    -2.87     0.00     0.01     2.11     0.48P    0.52R    0.02  
Bristol_City     27   35   -2      61.23     6.45    -1.69     0.00     0.01     2.98     0.60P    0.50R    0.02  
Blackpool        28   34   -6      57.16     6.18    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.12P    2.23R    0.05  
Plymouth         27   33   -4      56.17     6.39    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.09P    3.13R    0.13  
Barnsley         28   32   -9      51.62     6.01   -16.48     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   11.78R    0.75  
Nottm_Forest     28   30   -8      49.90     6.00   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   18.04R    1.26  
Norwich          28   29   -7      50.96     6.20   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.17R    1.17  
Derby            27   29  -11      50.29     6.32   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   18.93R    1.84  
Watford          28   27  -12      49.64     6.26   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   20.96R    2.27  
Doncaster        27   27  -13      45.32     5.90   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.30R    6.93  
Southampton      28   26  -18      42.51     5.74   -30.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.85R   16.60  
Charlton         28   19  -22      35.70     5.77   -36.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.98R   68.94  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 January 2009, Bristol_Rovers vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Leicester        26   60  +31     100.80     6.43    52.96    82.99    95.76    99.95    97.18P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          26   51  +24      90.29     6.53    43.32    12.50    61.79    97.83    74.05P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           27   48  +13      79.43     6.53    21.62     0.50     6.29    67.72    21.09P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     26   47  +14      82.65     6.74    27.72     1.62    13.55    82.54    32.17P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       26   47  +13      79.53     6.87    21.23     0.66     7.00    67.37    20.94P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         24   47   +8      81.43     7.46    14.32     1.54    12.12    73.16    25.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            26   42  +10      74.47     6.93    17.90     0.12     1.72    39.48    11.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Stockport        26   41  +10      72.95     6.73    16.95     0.04     0.89    30.57     8.83P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         25   40   +6      71.59     7.26    10.08     0.04     0.80    24.21     6.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     27   40   -3      66.17     6.59    -3.17     0.00     0.05     5.97     0.99P    0.05R    0.00  
Colchester       26   36   +1      64.44     6.90     2.28     0.00     0.02     4.74     0.96P    0.21R    0.00  
Northampton      26   33   +3      60.18     6.86     2.46     0.00     0.00     1.29     0.34P    1.12R    0.01  
Walsall          25   32   -2      60.41     7.06    -2.83     0.00     0.00     1.57     0.32P    1.22R    0.01  
Hartlepool       25   32   -3      59.64     7.20    -5.64     0.00     0.01     1.24     0.25P    2.03R    0.05  
Carlisle         26   31   -7      57.75     6.89    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.08P    2.92R    0.06  
Southend         26   31  -11      53.46     6.69   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    9.09R    0.26  
Bristol_Rovers   25   30   +3      60.28     7.25     4.79     0.00     0.01     1.79     0.44P    1.35R    0.02  
Yeovil           26   27  -13      48.50     6.60   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   28.19R    2.01  
Swindon          25   24   -9      49.15     6.88   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   24.75R    1.97  
Brighton         25   24   -9      48.25     6.91   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   28.87R    2.25  
Leyton_Orient    27   23  -16      42.25     6.12   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.37R   11.51  
Hereford         25   21  -14      42.33     6.72   -24.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.95R   12.73  
Cheltenham       25   21  -25      38.03     6.15   -48.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.78R   35.89  
Crewe            25   19  -24      38.34     6.51   -42.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.08R   33.23  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 January 2009, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe              26   49  +16      84.41     6.57    27.84    36.61    70.89    96.02    77.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            25   43  +12      78.59     6.85    22.21    10.98    37.46    81.61    49.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 27   43  +10      74.11     6.59    17.96     2.76    15.59    61.18    26.05P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   43   +3      71.04     6.87     4.21     1.28     7.73    40.10    12.93P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            26   42  +22      79.97     6.61    39.54    16.59    48.97    88.15    60.98P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           26   42  +19      79.62     6.50    34.49    13.82    45.87    87.75    59.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             26   42  +13      74.62     6.88    21.45     4.00    19.17    63.99    29.69P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           25   41  +17      78.16     7.03    30.27    11.24    37.23    80.37    49.26P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               26   40   +4      69.70     6.85     7.85     0.80     5.50    33.69    11.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             25   39   +9      71.61     7.13    15.13     1.83    10.39    46.43    18.01P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            25   36   -3      61.66     6.93    -8.74     0.04     0.42     6.27     1.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         26   33   +2      61.49     6.86     3.79     0.03     0.33     6.13     1.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County         27   32   -7      54.85     6.39   -12.38     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.11P    0.12R    0.01  
Chesterfield         25   31   +3      60.85     7.14     4.66     0.03     0.39     6.20     1.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield         25   31  -16      52.56     6.58   -29.85     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P    0.36R    0.01  
Morecambe            25   28   -9      52.11     6.77   -16.19     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.06P    0.52R    0.04  
Port_Vale            26   27  -17      46.19     6.38   -30.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.90R    0.34  
Chester              26   25  -15      45.65     6.44   -26.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    4.66R    0.42  
Accrington_Stanley   25   24  -11      47.04     6.80   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.11R    0.36  
Rotherham            25   23   +5      54.73     7.19     9.72     0.00     0.02     0.99     0.31P    0.17R    0.02  
Barnet               26   21  -22      40.25     6.36   -36.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.74R    3.74  
Grimsby              25   20  -19      39.59     6.56   -34.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   22.97R    4.49  
Bournemouth          26   10   -9      34.26     6.77   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.00R   18.07  
Luton                26    1   -7      25.90     6.79   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.43R   72.51  

Adjustments:
Rotherham            -17
Bournemouth          -17
Luton                -30


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 January 2009, Barrow vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Burton_Albion        29   65  +24      94.20     6.03    33.46    59.81    99.17    68.79P    0.00     0.00  
Histon               25   51  +17      87.84     7.10    29.77    20.44    90.20    37.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            30   47   +7      69.63     5.92     7.78     0.01     7.99     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         28   46  +16      74.62     6.33    22.32     0.30    30.08     8.00P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              26   46  +14      81.37     6.83    26.09     4.21    68.99    20.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        28   46  +10      75.72     6.27    17.62     0.36    34.18     8.61P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster        27   46   +9      75.41     6.62    14.04     0.62    31.97     7.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham              25   45  +19      85.60     6.75    38.61    13.09    87.39    35.47P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           29   45   +5      69.65     5.98     7.21     0.03     7.38     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds    28   39   +8      66.61     6.24    12.46     0.00     3.70     0.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Kettering            23   39   +8      75.86     7.50    16.11     1.12    36.64     9.96P    0.00     0.00  
Eastbourne_Borough   28   39   -9      60.60     6.17   -14.40     0.00     0.32     0.03P    0.36R    0.00  
Weymouth             28   38   +1      63.32     6.36     1.69     0.00     1.20     0.20P    0.10R    0.00  
Altrincham           27   36  -11      58.90     6.33   -15.58     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.88R    0.00  
Mansfield            27   33   +0      60.30     6.55     1.91     0.00     0.44     0.08P    0.51R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United     29   33   -6      55.12     6.00    -7.84     0.00     0.02     0.00P    2.56R    0.00  
York                 29   32   -2      57.58     6.25     1.59     0.00     0.05     0.01P    1.26R    0.00  
Barrow               26   30   -9      52.18     6.41   -18.66     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.00R    0.01  
Woking               28   29   -8      50.53     6.21   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.81R    0.03  
Grays_Athletic       26   28  -11      47.63     6.29   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.42R    0.08  
Salisbury            27   28  -14      46.66     6.18   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.35R    0.17  
Forest_Green         27   27  -13      48.73     6.33   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.47R    0.13  
Lewes                28   17  -36      26.81     4.60   -60.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   84.68  
Northwich            26   15  -19      34.69     6.35   -32.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.38R   14.89  

Adjustments:
Mansfield            -4